Comments from Piers
WeatherAction  =>  email:
The LongRange Forecasters      Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR
+44(0)2079399946 +44(0)7958713320 twitter: @Piers_Corbyn 

WELCOME to Weather, Climate and All That blog
IT'S Autumn - early winter (NH) & Spring - early summer (SH) 2019,
  • Please go to Politics & All that BLOG for Wider politics
  • Troll Free rules apply to both blogs
  • Go To Foot of this page to READ AND PUT OBS + COMMENTS + QUESTIONS
  • Thank you
This blog started 23 October 2019.

PAST Articles transferred from Homepage...

- The Bigger Picture Event: Sat June1 Glastonbury KingArthur Pub 12noon-6pm:
STOP the CO2 GlobalWarming hoax and FIGHT Social-Cleansing and imposition of mass surveilence and control (UN-EU Agenda 21-2030) The event was BRILLIANT said all.


  (=> DEMAND MEDIA BALANCE Week 14-18Oct: BBC Wed )  
      (Thur 2pm... LongmanPearson "Education" 190 High Holborn WC1v 7bh);  
      (Frid 2pm...  OFCOM 1 SouthwarkBridge Rd SE1 9HL Bankside end - great success) 
      (Sat 5 Oct Cheltenham GL50 2DX 12-6 BiggerPicture = PiersCorbyn+MarkWindows+SandiAdams);
      (Sat 12Oct Pembrokeshire SA43 3ES BiggerPicture;)  
      (Mon 14Oct NewHorizons Lytham StAnnes Mark Windows;)   
      (Mon 21Oct 7-10pm LythamStAnnes FY8 1XD PiersCorbyn Record Turnout!) 
      (Frid 25Oct 7pm Hemmingford Abbots Village Hall, Piers Corbyn info ;  

=> THIS GLASTONBURY EVENT WAS TRANSMITTED LIVE. You can see it again via: Facebook - King Arthur Pub Glastonbury => Home => scroll down to Videos  and find 4 videos of the event (in reverse order or appearance):-
  • John Kitson, on the deadly Dangers of 5G 
  • Piers Corbyn, arming you to fight the CO2 con with science and politics 
  • Sandi Adams, on the UN-EU Agenda 21-2030 programme of control
  • Mark Windows, on the origins of the policies being imposed.
On Saturday after the conference we launched the #SaveTrees-STOP5Gs  campaign at an ancient holy tree in Glastonbury & on Sunday we demonstrated at the Mayor's inauguration chanting SaveTrees-Stop5Gs! and #FakeGreen!


Comments submitted - 100 Add your comment

On 20 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

FRED & STEVE: yup GFS flipped again, now back to mild south westerlies for early Dec.
On 20 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote: is NH snow extent for 19/11/2019. Massive area of Western Russia lacking snow, North America has more in NE and less in mid West and Asia has more excess than lack. But that diagram says that although right now there is greater coverage than average it is not wildly extreme. The Foehn will raise freezing levels in Northern Alps to 2500m late in the week, so northern alpine ski areas are going to have a lot of snow loss below 2000m, which in Austria is often close to the resort summits. Western Italy is going to get loaded this time... Big snow depths have not been lacking the past few winters, but very hot summers have melted everything easily. 600cm has been recorded at three separate stations to my certain knowledge this decade and each time melt was complete by late summer. People wanting glaciers to advance need cooler summers more than snowier winters.....
On 20 Nov 2019, Steve Devine wrote:

Hi Ron, if this is a repeat or close match to December 2010 then it's in line with the analysis I commented on further below with regards to extremely close correlation of temperatures for the last half of 2010 compared with 2019. Could this be a hidden 9 year cycle which Piers remarked upon? Time will tell...
On 20 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

FRED; Aye I see GFS has flipped yet again and is now suggesting a sharp end to November and a severe PM outbreak in early December---shades of 2010?
On 20 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

Models this morning going forward to end of Nov into early December are very very interesting indeed. I suggest folk get Piers’ December’s a very important forecast.
On 20 Nov 2019, Fred wrote: Rhys Widespread is not OTT at’s phenomenal
On 19 Nov 2019, Rich wrote:

Well, drought well and truly over after last 5-6 weeks rain, we needed it in SE Cambs. We've had more frosts so far than we managed in whole of run up to Xmas last year -2 this morning and very pretty. Suggestions on here of colder wintry weather in Dec, most conventional long term forecasts seem to be going for an average or mild winter again, nothing unusual for we shall wait and see who's right, fingers crossed but not holding breath.
On 19 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

-4˚C at 7.30, good hard frost under a an all night clear sky, light NW’ly breeze and quite sunny for a while but then cloud started moving in and by afternoon the sky was overcast and the wind started turning into the SW, heralding the end of the present cold spell. Temps slow to lift at first but then gradually moving upwards to 3˚ by 9pm.
On 19 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Fred The snowfall in the Alps has been very, very assymetric. 300cm have fallen in parts of Sudtirol, in the southern side valleys of the Inn two metres is widespread and 150cm is common in Osttirol and parts of Kaernten. Some of the poster children for the January 2019 Nordstau like Innsbruck Nordkette, Hochfilzen, Waidring and Lofer had much less snow and in addition, lower down rainfall courtesy of Foehn winds mean 'How green are my valleys'. So talk of generalised 'winter' is misleading: a blocking pattern for two weeks has loaded up the southern/southeastern Alps but left the northern Alps distinctly lacking. It is the same in the US: California, Oregon and Washington are lacking snow but Colorado and Wyoming had record breaking Octobers. Similar things happen in Scotland when stalled SWlies hitting cold air load up Glencoe ski area, whereas northerlies load up the Lecht and the Cairngorms and Beasts from the East load up Glenshee.
On 18 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

-1˚C at 7.30, good frost, brilliant bright day with a light NW’ly breeze, max temp 3˚ but all shady places remaining frosty, -2˚ at 10pm. == Ron, same here, so we’re into thinning in our forest for firewood and giving our hedges a serious haircut, in the garden I had to put bubble wrap over my celery which is still in the ground as storing it is not so easy.
On 18 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS has been uncannily( and unusually) accurate this month and David and Fred it's now predicting a very mild start to December after certainly up here, at least, a rather cold November ( we are due a -10C frost tonight after another very sharp one last night). Again this takes me back to November 1985 when it was even more severe especially in the latter half, which was then followed by an exceptionally mild first week in December. Paddy, first November for several years when I can't transplant or re-pot due to frozen trays and seedbeds.
On 18 Nov 2019, stephen parker wrote:

For David ( yorkshire ) You're forgetting about the Beast from the East ! )
On 17 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

0˚C at 7.30, only a slight frost though, NW’ly breeze keeping up all day, occasionally strengthening, quite bright and sunny in the morning, cloudy in the afternoon, max temp 4˚ but no rain, 4˚ at 9pm.
On 17 Nov 2019, M Lewis wrote:

RE: UK Weather late November / early December 2010. It is most interesting to note the Met Office record of severe cold weather events experienced right across the UK. NOTE: In 2019 there is a FULL MOON on December 12. You can draw your own conclusions! I'm dreaming of a...….
On 17 Nov 2019, Andy B 45D wrote:

Boris should have consulted Piers about the timing of this election #snow
On 16 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, overcast and wet from overnight rain, N’ly breeze as for the previous 3 days, dry morning, some light showers in the afternoon and evening, max temp 5˚, down to 4˚ by 9pm.
On 16 Nov 2019, Andy B 45D SE Wales wrote:

Hi Piers what a forecast for December could be very interesting after all the SGSM wet weather we have had 114 mm here for Nov after 284 for Oct Most important to get the 30D out on time for December ( and possibly should be made public)
On 16 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Autumn rainfall in our back garden in NW London now totalling 304mm, above 150% of normal. November rainfall edging toward 100mm, currently 94mm. average daily max temps are currently below monthly average which means we need a mild spell for it not to be a cold month indeed. av daily min is above average, but I suspect that my min/max hung against the outside wall may mean the thermometer does not record true cold temps accurately. It recorded 1.7C the night my jug collecting rainfall froze over. Very deep snow levels now in Southern Austrian Alps and the Italian dolomites. osttirol shut most of its schools on Friday, telling children to ride out the storm indoors. There are also some daily depth records in the Upper Engadine for mid November.
On 16 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

Massive early falls of snow in Italy, early snow appearing widely.......a winter to remember could be here (was going to say on it’s way.....)
On 16 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

David (Yorkshire) et al I have been and am watching the models closely and as we close in towards December...very interesting. If you haven’t got the December deal, please get it. The models are very much showing the flow of Piers’ November cast.....timings do alter a little but not of real importance if the synoptic pattern flow is correct (as Piers always mentions a slight timing deviation is possible). And it’s looking correct. I cannot wait for next month. Get it and be ready.
On 15 Nov 2019, @Piers_Corbyn London Chief Forecaster wrote:

Hi all Great comms! That snow was nice! I like the Obs about Boris and Cobra and me! Of course in reality for this sort of stuff, although a PM CAN lay down the law, the civil service come in big and heavy and tell politicians what to do. Frankly though the state apparatus needs to know that massive deluges are a normal feature of Little Ice Age weather. 2010-2019 similarities interesting, Steve. A 9 year lunar- nodal (single node) cycle could be at play. However its not clockwork. Nevertheless such lunar affects are logically more important in periods of LOW solar activity as we are in. MEETINGS. As you may have seen I've been doing a lot of public meetings recently. They've been great fun and interesting discussions so have a look at the list of home page RHS and come along! AND organise one in your area. @Action4Life_ is expanding and there is now a new Action4Life group - @Action4LifeN for the NorthWest. What about your patch? Top weather thanks, Piers, @Piers_Corbyn
On 15 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, overnight rain on frozen ground made for slippery conditions, biting NE’ly wind, staying cloudy all day with really heavy downpours in the afternoon, occasional breaks in the clouds revealing the moon in the evening, still showery, 5˚ at 9pm. Was digging chicory roots between showers, for forcing, they keep us in fresh salads all winter, along with corn salad and bought-in iceberg.
On 15 Nov 2019, M Lewis wrote:

The Government held another emergency COBRA meeting yesterday to discuss the wet weather and floods. What a ship of fools! Piers has UK weather forecast for rest of November and December "oven ready", yet Boris won't invite him to the COBRA meetings. Bring on December 12 and Lorna Doone.
On 14 Nov 2019, David (Yorkshire) wrote:

Interesting Fred. However, equally those said conditions could lead to very unsettled weather over the UK. We shall see.
On 14 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

0˚C at 7.30, not as cold as expected but still cold enough to give a good hoar frost, light snow shower around 8 and after that the temperature began to rise, eventually hitting 4 ˚. We also had a bit of sunshine through the morning, winds were light and generally from the NW, surprisingly we had light rain by 8pm on top of a still frozen ground in parts, creating slippery conditions. Cloudy sky all day and tonight, so the moon wasn’t as powerful as yesterday, 2˚ by 9pm. Seasonal transition weather.
On 14 Nov 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:

Cold all week, frosty start on Tuesday another raw day despite blue sky and sunshine all morning and finished the yard areas that needed chippings and waved the white flag with a swollen shoulder / neck & swapped the freezing outdoors for freezer packs indoors :-/ Wednesday cold sleet rain with 4 deg feeling like -4 , snow in Carlow Portlaoise and I believe a few other places too, lots of people saying how early for here. Cold blustery today 7 deg with a real feel of 0 went shopping and everyone walking along saying how cold it is, tiny one wrapped up kept saying brrr to and closing her eyes whilst walking :)) So yeah winters edging on in...
On 14 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

Amazing ice recovery in the arctic last 2 weeks, and GW models have large ‘warm anomalies’ displaying....which quite frankly do not match recorded ground temps. The arctic has very widespread cold this year and getting colder. US continent doesn’t develop its own record cold ‘cold pool’ in Nov, that has to come from a seriously widespread cold arctic.....this following early large swathes of date record continental cold over recent months, the last cyclical warm ocean pulse has passed and that’s why we are seeing this rapid ice recovery. The sun is dropping into serious deep minima territory.....Piers knows this and knows that the acceleration into LIA will only increase over the coming years. December won’t be mild.....
On 14 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

DAVID Yorkshire: The only one I can remember -up here is November 1985 when we had a snowball fight on Guy Fawkes night. Can't say that the following December is etched in my mind, but I do remember the following 1986 February-April period being very cold and indeed snow on the hills into early June.
On 13 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

Yesterday 12th: 6˚C at 7.30, quite a bit of rain overnight, feeling raw in the cold N’ly wind in spite of the relatively high temperature. Rain started at 9 as we headed up north to Nairn, accompanying us all the way with some really heavy squalls from a low hanging cloud base, clearing up by late afternoon. Beautiful frosty morning in Nairn today at first with 0˚, then fog rolling in off the Moray Firth for a time before brightening up again. Sunshine all the way home with towering cumulus clouds over the N Sea, max temp 4˚, clear moonlit evening, -1˚ at 9pm, feels like it’s going to be the coldest night so far this winter.
On 13 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

DAVID(Yorkshire) I agree a mild December is quite likely, with even the end of November being quite warm.
On 13 Nov 2019, David (Yorkshire) wrote:

I'm going for a mild wet December for the UK. Can't remember any cold Novembers, being followed by a cold December. Plus we have had no gales or storms as such in autumn, so once the solar output upticks a bit, I believe December could feel more like a typical October! With a more standard jet pattern. Don't have much time at the min, to study anything in great detail though.
On 13 Nov 2019, M. Lewis wrote:

It seems that Lorna Doone is already cooling her self in the USA at present, with daily records been set in states including Kansas and Illinois. Forecasters say hundreds of records could be matched or broken this week. Four traffic deaths have been linked to the bad weather and more than 1,000 flights have been cancelled. Schools have also been closed in some areas. The National Weather Service said the air mass was continuing to spread from the Plains towards the East Coast and Atlantic. Bring on December 12 in the UK. Ho! ho! ho!
On 13 Nov 2019, M. Lewis wrote:

Yesterday the Prime Minister held a COBRA meeting to address the severe wet weather and floods in Derbyshire, Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire and Lincolnshire. It was perverse that he did not invite Piers to attend. Boris should remember he wrote an article a few years ago in The Telegraph praising Piers and stating that he was the man who beat the Met Office at their own game!
On 12 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

Wonder where East View or Out East is these days and what he thinks of the current air masses and weather over western Russia and east-central Europe.
On 12 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Widespread snow forecast between now and Sunday down to 1000m (sometimes a bit above, sometimes below) across swathes of southern/eastern Switzerland, central and eastern Italy and southern Austria right through to Kaernten. Particularly heavy on the south side of the range (well over a metre forecasted) courtesy of a 'Sudstau' i.e. a blocking pattern bringing precipitation from the Med, not the Arctic. The complete opposite pattern to the major event in January 2019, a Nordstau which brought three metres of snow to the northern Alps of Austria and Germany. I have seen years when snow came like this in mid November only to be washed away by rain in early December (1985 comes to mind) so all this is is an early season snowfall event. And the major French alpine regions will get relatively little compared to further east.
On 11 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, cloudy and dripping wet from overnight rain, winds mostly SW’ly, a few glimpses of the sun, max temp 6˚, dry afternoon, some more showers in the evening but also clear parts of sky with bright moonlight, 3˚ at 9.30pm.
On 11 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

Mega-oops, GFS now predicting a very mild end to the month with warm southerlies. Piers doesn't have the luxury of such a volte face.
On 11 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

Snow line just above us, but calm and not too raw because of it. Aye Steve Devine, GFS has been uncannily correct this month and no sign of the 'Spanish Plume' of the last few early winter period. Luckily never had such a good wood store laid in for years.
On 11 Nov 2019, Steve Devine wrote:

I've done some further analysis and here's some more food for thought. Temperatures from April - November during 2010 and 2019 are showing a very strong correlation. Between April - November, 6 out of 8 of these months have a temperature difference of less than 1.5c. April 2010 (vs April 2019), the May months, July, September and November (so far of course) were all less than 1c apart. And now the enhanced GFS is forecasting a cold second half to November...
On 11 Nov 2019, Steve Devine wrote:

I know we're barely 1/3 through the month but as it stands, daytime temperatures are averaging 8.7c in my corner of Essex. That's the lowest November average since 2010...and we all know what happened next. Just saying...
On 11 Nov 2019, Richard Bruce wrote:

So far for Autumn (Sept-Nov) in Nidderdale which is near Harrogate in North Yorkshire, we have had 407mm of rain which includes up to 10th November. The monthly rainfall has been Sept 152mm, Oct 203mm and Nov to date 52mm. I think only Oct 2000 was wetter but this Autumn period as a whole may exceed that and be a record amount. When I say records, we are of course talking about a relatively short period say from the late 1880's when rainfall was accurately measured so in meteorological terms it is only a small span of time.
On 10 Nov 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:

It's been raw to work out in filling back up trenches sodden heavy mud that I'm surprised went back as well as it did, cold causing chapped lips and wind burnt face cold feet and hands, ahhh :)) Rain showers to start and end yesterday dry during daylight hours some nice sunny spells yesterday but cold. Frost this morning nice fog across the fields out early to move some more of the 24 ton of stone, lots of hot coffee gave up at 4.30pm for the great indoors. Rain came soon after and blustery wind tonight, met talking sleet n wet snow midweek on. Still say its feeling similar like how 2010 started lots of rain then progressively colder and fog....Paddy its def overrated I'm giving up and going back in the kitchen tomorrow its warmer :-)
On 10 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

0˚C at 7.30 but thawing quite quickly, light winds from a generally N’ly direction, cloudy with sunny periods, no precipitation, max temp 3˚ and staying that way till evening.
On 10 Nov 2019, David (Yorkshire) wrote:

Fred - Thanks for the reply. Extra precipitation is an understatement. Does look like we will be stuck,in a cold wet pattern overall.
On 10 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Another 20mm of rain yesterday in NW London means we have had our average November rainfall of just under 65mm in the first nine days of the month. Autumn (275mm and counting) is now closing in on 150% of average rainfall (195mm) with 21 days still to go.
On 09 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

Yesterday it was 0˚C at 7.30 and we had the first snow shower an hour later, lasted about 3 minutes; this morning -2˚C at 7.30, everything white with frost but then it all thawed rather quickly and we had some light rain by 11, light winds from N - NE, a few bits of sunshine and a max temp of 4˚, down to 0˚ by 9pm.
On 09 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

David We are in R3 period since 6th and Piers states expect extra precip. So to an extent he predicted it would be heavier than standard several days out. Big period from 13th onwards....trouble coming. Piers, thank you very much for resolving my issue...and November is looking very good....which means Get December......A Must for readiness
On 09 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

definitely been a winter month up here so far and if GFS continues to be unusually correct then much of the remainder of the month promises to be too. Nothing exceptional, but quite different from the recent run of mild Novembers. Another glorious blue sky and snow on the hills kind of day.
On 09 Nov 2019, Bill S (NE Wales) wrote:

Frosty start, light drizzle turned to wet snow heavy for a while, before returning to rain. Only 2c at mid day,
On 08 Nov 2019, David (Yorkshire) wrote:

Had this biblical rain been predicted by piers? Just wondered
On 08 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

First proper frost of the winter last night in NW London, my rainfall measuring jug had a solid layer of ice on top of the 40mm rainfall already collected this month. Snowfall down to Loch Morlich near Aviemore and down to 600m at Glencoe ski area. All pretty normal stuff.
On 07 Nov 2019, DaveT wrote:

Stupendous amounts of rain here in Sheffield today. Stagecoach took all their buses off the road at about 6pm. Dashed inconvenient! I've ridden my Harley through rain and floods worse than this in France, but here ... we just can't cope!
On 07 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

6˚C at 7.30, cloudy with a strong NE’ly wind that kept blowing all day, we got a bit of patchy sunshine though from midday onwards, max temp 7˚, mostly dry bar a lengthy shower in the evening, moon and stars visible among the floating clouds, quite magical actually, 3˚ at 9pm. == Maria, man jobs are overrated? Mortally offended, Tunbridge Wells :-)
On 07 Nov 2019, Danny Newton wrote:

I am still trying to figure out the mechanism that connects the jet stream to solar winds. If you idealize the jet stream as a torus with a flexible average radius, it might interact electrically with the solar wind drawn down at the poles via the magnetic field. The moving air in the torus would have to have charged particles in it or atoms with a net positive or negative charge. Ice could carry a charge. This would go against the theory that the location of the jet stream is decided by air rising and falling from below it. Has anyone ever considered this connection between solar wind and the jet streams?
On 07 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote: First snow event down to the Austrian valleys to occur tomorrow, November 8th. Snow down to 700-1000m and a further 50cm across most mountain ranges of Tirol at 2000m. Not likely to stay long in the valleys: weekend maxima of 8C predicted so freeze-thaw conditions will likely see valley snow gone in 3 or 4 days. Pretty standard progression towards winter.
On 06 Nov 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:

Well I guessed we were due a tremendously wet season or 2 as until this year we had seemed to escape with just rain and stormy spells not tremendous amounts of Ireland type rain :-) The ground is soggy, ours even more so as we had digger works planned for our yard in the summer & Tuesday work commenced, it was a dry day :) Today when I came to do my part of getting into a trench or 2 to put in some pipework it was raining again, great fun had though as I uncovered existing pipes with shovels and a trowel, very nearly resorted to a soup spoon!-) I emerged completely covered in mud soaked and happy I succeeded despite the weather and thankful for the dry intervals, man jobs are overrated 😅 temp dropped early 5 deg real feel 1 at 10pm
On 06 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

looking interesting on Saturday as an Atlantic front bumps into cold air in central Scotland and southern Highlands
On 06 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, cloudy with a cold & damp N’ly breeze, cloudy all day with a few showers, max temp 5˚, wind turning into the S by evening, typical November weather, 4˚ at 9pm.
On 06 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

road gritters out 10 miles north of Blair Atholl this morning after snow on the A9.
On 06 Nov 2019, Richard Bruce wrote:

2.8C at 9.00am this morning in North Yorkshire. A very noticeable cold feel in the air more like January and the wind in the north.
On 06 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

ISTVAN: you can never be sure of GFS, but this time the area and duration of the PM airmass is such that the usual slippage eastwards will be difficult to avoid. The Norwegian MO is also showing a similar outcome. Since this will be coming in from the north and west, then it is unlikely to be so marked in your area.
On 05 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

6˚C at 7.30, feeling colder in the light N’ly breeze, some nice sunshine morning and afternoon, max temp 7˚, light winds, clear evening with some cloud, bright moon & stars visible, 2˚ at 9pm, frost likely.
On 05 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Rutgers Global Snow Lab just published the Northern Hemisphere snow extent for October: it ranked 5th highest of 52 data points since measurements began. First significant snow event of the Alpine winter now occurring, particularly in France, Western Italy, southern Switzerland and Western Austria. Most mid latitude measuring stations in Switzerland were at record lows on 3rd November, now many are approaching or passing average depths for this date. Snowfall down to 1500-1800m, pretty average for early November.
On 05 Nov 2019, Istvan ilyes wrote:

Hi Ron. You seem to be sure about GFS this time. Down here in West Sussex, it's been very mild. In fact Autumn has is running late. Very wet. And very wet. Give us southern,s some Scotsh cheer. Hopi g for a freezing winter.
On 05 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

Strangely, GFS is going fr quite a sustained period of PM air over the British Isles, especially in Scotland. Glorious late autumn/early winter weather today.
On 04 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, another day of rain with a strong NE’ly wind, max temp 9˚, down to 7˚ by 9.30pm, river Dee pretty high, leaves coming off trees big time now.
On 04 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

Norway had had its coldest October for 10 years and some parts of Sweden have been down to -25C. GFS suggests that some of that colder air will filter in to us over the next few days.
On 04 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

October rainfall for NW London 125mm, a princely 73% above average. 25mm of rain in first three days of November. At just over 2/3 of the way through Autumn, rainfall has been 235mm, already 25% above the autumnal average. Leaf fall has started in earnest the past seven days, aided by strong winds on Saturday.
On 04 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

Subscriber. Piers where’s my Nov forecast disappeared to? When is the 30 day out? It’s the 4th. Models are showing colder and colder weather....get the 30 day out
On 03 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, strong E’ly wind, overcast with drizzle, there was quite a lot of rain overnight and more during the day, light but constant, max temp 11˚ and by evening the clouds opened up a little so that stars were visible, still 10˚ at 9pm. Three days of rain now and more coming tomorrow.
On 03 Nov 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:

Rain since last post off n on then continuous rain today 2nd Nov. Roads have a lot of laying water, rain heavy all evening still raining now 8 deg with a real feel of 4 at 12.14 a.m
On 02 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

11˚C at 7.30, continuous rain in a SE’ly breeze, occasionally heavy, going all morning until about 2pm, very foggy until the rain stopped, then clearing up and giving us a max temp of 12˚, clouds thinning a little by evening, a few stars peeking through, 8˚ at 9.30pm. == Craig, excellent interview of Piers, I’m about half-way through it, what he says about ER is confirmed by many other searchers for truth, that’s one of the reasons I support him.
On 02 Nov 2019, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS certainly going for quite a cool spell from Guy Fawkes night and well into the month. Looking favourable for early ski-ing in Scotland. Reminds me a bit of Nov 1985
On 02 Nov 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Gerry A lot of records are expected every single year both hot and cold, wet and dry. It comes with the territory of thousands of measuring stations. SLF (Swiss avalanche service) reports October 2019 to have been the fifth warmest since records began in 1864 in their monthly review issued 01/11/2019, along with being pretty wet as well. This means mountains over 3000m have a good snow cover, but lower down is totally green. It is the same in Austria, Italy and France. Snow to somewhat lower levels are predicted this week, in line with seasonal norms. Europe shows no manifestations of deep solar minimum. NW London max min the past 24hrs: 16.8C/10.6C. US Midwest is not the whole world.... 38 years ago, Austria experienced a very long and hard winter, with valley level snow of 1 metre arriving at the end of October. 37.2 years is two solar/lunar cycles of 18.6 years. Did Siberia have an unusually hard winter somewhere between 2000 and 2002? How about the US?
On 01 Nov 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, mostly light rain all day with a SE’ly breeze, temp rising to 10˚ and still that at 9.30pm, typical November weather, what else is there to say? ==Welcome Danny Newton, good to have a voice from the US. Somewhere near Bloomington, Indiana if my map reading is correct?
On 01 Nov 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

Really interesting video of Piers being interviewed by the infamous Carl Benjamin (aka Sargon of Akkad) discussing Extinction Rebellion the Labour Party and his brother. === === don't forget if you're discussing politics there's a dedicated thread for that === === first frost was Sunday night and has been cool since but very mild atm with temps and dew points around 14C as the rain heads in
On 01 Nov 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

Fred - noticed this on === This development does not mean Solar Minimum is finished. On the contrary, low solar activity will probably continue for at least another year as Solar Cycle 24 decays and Solar Cycle 25 slowly sputters to life. If forecasters are correct, Solar Cycle 25 sunspots will eventually dominate the solar disk, bringing a new Solar Maximum as early as 2023. === sounds as if this is based on the behaviour of SC24's slow start
On 01 Nov 2019, Fred wrote:

New Cycle 25 sunspot has appeared. Piers does indicate that this year is the bottom of the last cycle? If so then this minima isn’t as deep as the last. Can you give any update?
On 31 Oct 2019, Danny Newton wrote:

Unusual early winter temps here in my part of the USA(38.164 N, 85.750 W, ELEV 1100 feet MSL) Winter snow and ice mixed wth rain seen today. I have lived here over 50 years and the weather is more typical of the second or third week week of December or 500 miles north of here. Cattle farmers report having to feed their cattle early this year because of the impact of cold weather on grass.
On 31 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

7˚C at 7.30, cloudy with a fresh SW’ly wind that blew all day, a few hours of intermittent sunshine, max temp 9˚, completely overcast afternoon, ditto the evening, 7˚ by 8.30pm. For the last day of October we still have quite a lot of leaves on the trees, only few of them are bare so far. As for Piers’ October forecast, the cold didn’t materialise as expected with us here, it was only on the 25th that we had the first real frost and whiff of winter. It would be interesting to hear Piers’ comments on this.
On 31 Oct 2019, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 164ft wrote:

Record cold temperatures being set in western parts of the USA and even record snowfall contrary to what Rhys says. What a weekend of contrast. Very strong SW winds bringing warmth on Saturday then followed by NW winds and cold air. Camping at Lydden Hill the rain arrived as the last 5 races took place and then teemed down until after 10pm. At first I was warm in warm PJs but summer sleeping bag. By the early morning I was cold and resorted to an extra fleece wishing I had my winter bag. But after a bit of cloud cleared we had a lovely if chilly day of racing to end the season. Finally succumbed and put the CH on Monday evening as the thermostat was showing 3.5 deg below the set point. Then come Tues it warmed up a bit. I think thousands may well have to die to bring the global warming scam to an end but hopefully the perpetrators will face an international court for their lies.
On 31 Oct 2019, M Lewis wrote:

Jeremy Corbyn (Piers' brother) today said the Prime Minister had thought he was being "smart" in calling for an election in December, and thought that Labour supporters "won't go out to vote". He added: "Even if the rivers freeze over, we're going out to bring about real change for the many, not the few." It's Game On for a Lorna Doone winter!
On 30 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

1˚C at 7.30, damp from overnight rain, no frost, variable breeze from NW - NE - SW, sunny morning with a max temp of 8˚, drizzly afternoon, clearer evening, 4˚ at 10pm.
On 30 Oct 2019, Danny Newton wrote:

Is there any indication that the temperature of the earth is a function of the wind speeds in the jet stream? I have heard of attempts to measure high altitude winds via the telescope at Aricibo, Puerto Rico. The idea was to energize the air with electro magnetic radiation and recover the signal of the molecules flipping back to their normal orientation after the energy was removed. It seems logical to conclude that wind events could become elevated with elevated temperature but they only seem to worry about this impacting hurricanes or maybe tornadoes. What about increased vertical speeds of winds as they rise to the stratosphere?
On 29 Oct 2019, Maria (Ireland) wrote:

The last few mornings have been frosty, this mornings frost more patchy & much quicker to clear, some good sunshine but cold with an e'ly breeze. The last sunflowers finished off by the frost, just taking the heads off to keep the seeds for the birds, starting to put up a few different types of bird boxes around the place that the kids researched & made in their summer hols. Managed to mulch the leaves on the grass with the mower on Sun. to help feed the lawn. Frost is great for the garden following the clean up, at the moment the colder weather is refreshing and has been a welcome break from the rain. Can not believe the size and length of the parsnips this year and they taste amazing.
On 29 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, frosty in parts and bright with a light N’ly breeze, somewhat cloudy but sunny morning with a max temp of 8˚, light showers in the afternoon with a bit more cloud and with the stars peeking through them in the evening, 4˚ at 9pm.
On 29 Oct 2019, Andy B 45D wrote:

I am getting fed up of trying to get the message over to warmists, and have come to the conclusion that we need this Lorna Doone winter or a 63 one with some big power cuts and massive food shortages to concentrate the minds of these brainwashed fools
On 29 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Forecast for northern and Eastern Swiss Alps today of snow down to 1500-2000m, about normal for late October. Colder deviations in the Eastern US Rockies. Northern hemisphere snow cover remains above average, notably in Canada.
On 28 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, light frost in a NW’ly wind which was less strong than yesterday, sunny for most of the day with a max temp of 8˚, some light showers in the afternoon, clear starry sky at night with 3˚ at 9pm.
On 27 Oct 2019, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:

6˚C at 7.30, sunny with a stiff NW’ly wind that blew all day, max temp 10˚, a few showers in the afternoon followed by a clear evening, 4˚ at 9.30pm.
On 25 Oct 2019, Mark Hall wrote:

Really humane riposte Rhys and great info Craig. In actuarial terms cold weather extremes kill 20 times more than warm weather extremes. In the depths of the LIA mortality rates in the Baltic region touched 30%. We'll go there again, but not for a several hundred years. Lorna Doone country is very precipitous, my girlfriend wrecked her car engine on a steep incline some years ago. So you can imagine those snowy crevices described by Blackmore that lead to another world.
On 25 Oct 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

.... Following the 'record-breaking' severe winter (see above), the early part of spring 1684 (March & much of April) continued the cold theme; in the CET record, March 1684 had an 'all-series' anomaly of around -3C, followed by April with -1.5C (remember the monthly values are only to nearest half-degree C). Many reports at the time speak of a 'backward' spring, which is hardly surprising! === === this was followed by a drought with heat suggestive of quite a stuck pattern /omega block + meridional jetstream. The impacts would not be as bad today due to technology and even what was learnt following the 2009-2010 winters + General improvements to heating + insulation of homes, however energy prices continue to rise and the elderly + young children would be at much greater risk. It would not be good
On 25 Oct 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

... See also 1739/40; 1813/14 and 1962/63. (Technically, this winter was the coldest in the CET series, but series here is noted to the nearest 0.5degC only). Using the CET series, both January (-3.0) & February (-1.0) has sub-zero mean temperatures, only one of four instances of successive 'sub-zero' months in that series (see also 1740, 1878/79 & 1963). This was the winter that was described so vividly by R.D. Blackmore in his novel: "Lorna Doone". First half of February: based on reconstructed records: CET averaged (minus) 6.6 degC: the coldest 15 day period of the entire 336 year record (up to 1995, and almost certainly beyond that). However, from roughly the second-week of February, a fitful thaw set in. On 18th Feb. 1684, rain / thaw after 8 weeks with Thames frozen: ships could reach Port of London by 20th/22nd....
On 25 Oct 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

...Sea ice was reported along the coasts of SE England and many harbours could not be used due to ice: according to some sources, ice formed for a time between Dover & Calais, with the two sides ' joined together '! Severe problems for shipping accessing such ports on either side of the North Sea. Near Manchester, the ground was frozen to a depth of 27 inches and in Somerset to more than 4 feet. The winter was 'incredibly severe' according to John Evelyn and a Frost Fair was held on the ice. "No vessels could stir out or come in while a thick fog occurred towards the end of January which made it difficult to see across the streets". (This latter due to warm advection no doubt, as a thaw set in over snow/ice covered surfaces). HH Lamb has constructed a tentative mean seasonal pressure pattern with High pressure in the Faeroes area, an arctic northerly from Spitzbergen to the Baltic, thence an anticyclonic east or northeasterly over NW Europe / British Isles....
On 25 Oct 2019, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:

The Lorna Doone winter (via Booty) : 1683/84 (Winter & early Spring) One of the four or five coldest winters over the British Isles (& large parts of Europe), and the coldest in the CET record. (LW/Manley -'Weather', but note that the CET record to the nearest 0.5degC at this time). The 15th December 1683 saw the onset of a great frost in England & central Europe: Thames frozen down to London Bridge by 2nd January 1684, with booths on the ice by 27th January and for more than a fortnight thereafter - coaches were observed on the ice and the royal court (King Charles II) visited the fair held on the frozen Thames. Other rivers across Britain were so affected, e.g., the Tees in NE England - they didn't get the attention of the Thames! Many birds perished. This great frost was claimed to be the longest on record; the Thames in London was completely frozen for about two months and the ice was reported to be 11 inches (circa 28 cm) thick....
On 25 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

M Lewis: a Lorna Doone winter would undoubtedly kill tens of thousands in the UK alone, quite possibly up to 500,000. Having scores to settle with pathetic politicians, ER numbskulls and BBC drones does not justify willing the poorest, the youngest and oldest to meet a freezing death. It is all very well for the well-to-do to hope for conditions their wealth will enable them to survive, but actively hoping for blameless citizens to die of cold is hardly worthy of the term humanity, is it? As we will face US sanctions if we imported Russian expertise on managing cold (and they have survived more harsh winters than we ever will have to), better to hope for stasis, plan to keep warm and consider how we would feel if our lives were sacrificed under that ghastly slogan 'acceptable collateral damage', eh?
On 25 Oct 2019, M Lewis wrote:

There is a New Moon on Monday. Expect the UK weather to drastically change come this weekend. Expect cold frosty nights. Now the METEOGROUP (BBC) and Met Office (ITV, Channel 4, Channel 5) are still avoiding the onset of this coming Winter as it doesn't fit their Global Warming Agenda and Dogma. Wouldn't it be good and just swell if it snows on December 12th. Bring on a Lorna Doone winter I say! If enough of us wish for it, it will happen.
On 25 Oct 2019, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Snow on the Scottish highlands down to 500-600m (see for images), pretty standard fare in late October. Just a few centimetres at the moment, nothing major. Snow on higher mountains in ski areas in california and Washington states, but again, nothing to write home about, just average late October. A lot of noise about snow in Colorado but it is only a foot or so. Nothing earth shattering for late October, just does not happen every year. In Europe, snow has fallen mainly above 2500-3000m, which is par for the course late October. There has been record warmth in central Europe recently, now things will start turning cooler. All in all normality appears to exist in the data, which may not please ER or Ice Age scaremongers.
On 25 Oct 2019, Fred wrote:

Agreed, the metO did their usual trying to ‘keep London dry’. The rain they forecast was way to W NW, reality SE got bucketed on. You see in AGW weather London is dry and ever warmer with LP systems shifted to NW U.K. The truth is LP systems are on a much more southerly ‘general’ track. Expect another good deluge this weekend in the SE with yet another very southerly tracking trough.
On 24 Oct 2019, Gerry 45d 164ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:

The constant changing of the MetO forecasts covers up their poor forecasting ability. Piers is to be respected for not playing the same game. If there has been a deviation from the forecast I think it would be helpful to have an explanation of what happened - or didn't. With all the rain we have had a local farmer was telling me how he can't get his winter wheat crop planted. If he is forced to delay until spring he will have to factor in a reduction in germination of the seed and use more per sq yard. In some US states they are looking at total wipeout. Late planting has been followed by snow at harvest time. I was surprised at how well our football pitch is looking. The grass is a bit long but seems the drainage work done at the end of last season is working. Some moles have even had a dig along one touchline whereas they normally drown!! November looks like an interesting month!