Comments from Piers
WeatherAction => www.WeatherAction.com email: Piers@WeatherAction.com The LongRange Forecasters Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR
+44(0)2079399946 +44(0)7958713320 twitter: @Piers_Corbyn
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This blog started 18 May with advent of new SLAT15a which deals with - in a more systematic way - look-back choices for starting point of best analogy weather periods fopr LongRange forecasts
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Cold blasts 5th Spring event confirmed. Note the phrase "MayDay" here is not just about May1 itself which is near the end of Apr26-May2+-1d but also (a pun) means a Distress signal in air and shipping emergency parlance which is here about distress caused by the cold blast.
Piers Corbyn was on Talk Radio 3 days running (Feb 28, Mar 1, Mar 2) in the midst of blizzards and cold blasts with weather news and Climate comment ....
"This historic supercold spell and massive blizzards is due to the wild jet stream which is controlled by changes in Solar activity and completely nothing to do with CO2"
- explained Piers Corbyn in an interview on Talk Radio James Whale show Thurs 1st March - a follow-on from his interview Feb 28th. Piers pointed out that the CO2 warmists - believers in so-called Man-made Global-Warming - were referring to Sudden Stratospheric Warming and mildness in the Arctic as if these were somehow part of Global-Warming and causing the cold events when they are nothing to do with CO2. In fact, he said, the events in the stratosphere are solar driven and their impact transmits DOWNWARDS not upwards from some delusional surface warming. The mildness in the Arctic covers a much smaller area than the cold blast and is not a CAUSE of anything but just one part of the solar driven Wild Jet Stream changes"
In his third appearance (Mar 2) as snow which had been pelting down at Elephant and Castle abated, Piers who was in open air talked about Mini Ice Ages, full ice ages and the reason why CO2 levels follow sea temperatures and are not driving them. Quiz question Why is that?
THE HISTORIC SuperCold + Snow blast -
in Britain+Ireland, Scandinavia +NW Eu endFeb into March is THE END of ManMade GlobalWarming Scam.
Piers Corbyn (1 Mar): "Let's be clear, EVERYTHING the CO2 warmists now tell you is a DELIBERATE LIE AND THEY KNOW IT.
They are now using a carbon (LOL) copy of Goebbels' method - the bigger and more absurd the lie the better because no-one will believe (they hope) that such an absurd claim would be made up by those in authority as long as it is repeated often enough. Now we have the crescendo of their death scream. "Warm is cold" repeated on and on. They say oh look the Arctic is now "warm". Well as fact this milder than normal Arctic and supercold huge swathes of the north hemisphere is the polar (LOL) opposite of their theory. It is part of Wild-Jet-Stream circulation which IS the Mini-Ice-Age as we in WeatherAction warned years ago. This and ALL extremes since 2007 are the wrong type of extremes for their #FakeScience which REQUIRES a further north less wavy Jet-Stream. They know it but they lie and lie and lie because there is $Billions of theft from you and the developing world riding on it. They must be destroyed but YOU have to take the argument to the people. Talk to every deluded warmista you know and tell them like it is. They are being tricked and used by and for the Wall-Street-Soros-UN-EU world-plundering super-elites. Evidence-based accountability in science & politics is the ONLY way forward".
Piers Corbyn says: "It's no longer credible for any intelligent person to accept the Global Warming swindle when this historic cold and snow hits so hard after ongoing record-breaking and near record-breaking cold and snow in the NorthernHemisphere this winter. If this cold is global warming you might as well claim the EU (currently guilty of corporate murder in Greece) is good - and interestingly the EU and the CO2 warmist scam are off the same hym sheet.
ALL who care about evidence-based science and accountable politics must tell politicians to stop looking the other way. THERE IS NO WARMING! Prepare for the deepening MiniIceAge which is here now.
This end Feb Scandinavia-BI-NWEurope #SuperCold confirms our WeatherAction forecast of extreme cold (+snow) in Scandinavia and cold+snow Ireland & Britain with the important difference the Extreme cold in Scandinavia has come further south than in our original forecast (issued 4 weeks ahead) and it's flow has grabbed the Atlantic-polar cold Low for Br+Ir to join with it into a major supercold event further south - especially S/E UK. The Scandinavia extreme cold has been consistently further south in Europe this Feb than we expected so we conclude that the Mini-Ice-Age is now developing more rapidly and strongly than we first expected and these even more Wild Jet Stream events will continue in the coming years.
Piers Corbyn's NewYear video Message
Filmed at WeatherAction Annual Talky-Party Dec22, Delta House, Borough High Street, London Bridge SE1 1HR:
It’s War 2018 on - #FakeScience #FakeNews & Dodgy Politics declares Piers Corbyn In New Year Message - YouTube. Piers starts his message - Make 2018 The Year of Change - "100 years after the Great War 1918, the war to end wars, we have a new war against the so-called New World Order of failed & false ideologies, #FakeScience, #FakeNews & False politics..."
Piers covers many things:- He demolishes #CO2-#GlobalWarming and #CosmicRay-Climate theory and strongly promotes Nikolov-Zellar explanation that atmosphere amount controls (average) temperatures (on all planets) and recent ideas of Conor McMenemie (on Nile dam affecting N Africa Climate) & Mike McCulloch on new (quantised inertia) theories of galaxy formation etc.
He talks of setting up a new Independent Institute/Academy of New Science & Critical Analysis and calls to make 2018 THE year of the fight for evidence-based science & politics and accountability in all things.
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On 17 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
There was a nice breeze yesterday to tame some of the heat on another warm and dry day in the SE. A bit more cloud around today with a bit of breeze. Attenborough must be one of the very few who have taken the path from light to dark. There was a period when I believed in global warming but then when the taxes started coming in I started to wonder. The first book I read was Meltdown and suddenly what had appeared certain was anything but. Back before it was invented I am sure it was Attenborough presenting a programme on the Baltic where at the northern end the sea is retreating. Rather contrary to the we will all drown message but it was explained that the sea was not actually moving - the land was. Now that sort of inconvenient fact is omitted when sinking land appear to cause sea level rise.
On 17 Jul 2018, Bill S ( N E Wales) wrote:
Another good soaking yesterday that’s 38mm since last Thursday. Even the grass is starting to green up again. Today’s bbc headlines talk about “shipping”welsh water to England and introducing a hose pipe ban in the north west , a bit premature? A lot of electricity production this week is through gas and coal due to low wind generation and increased cloud , but you won’t see that on bbc though
On 17 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Yes Mark, Attenborrow told us global warming was bullsheet, then it was, " no wait a minute, my brilliant scientific mind got side-tracked for a moment there, it's actually all true....we're all doomed!" Hypocrisy knows no bounds when it comes to 'saving the planet'.
On 16 Jul 2018, Mark Hall wrote:
Like when he dug up all those turtle eggs to fry for breakfast or kidnapped all those" Zoo Quest " mammal babies for his own and the BBC viewers' entertainment back in the day. Total fraud. He correctly disparaged AGW when it first reared its ugly head, but saw which way the wind was blowing. Now a full on convert to this fraudulent religion. Not a scientist, not an educator. Just another cynical, self-interested operator.
On 16 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, overcast and still, something resembling rain happened between 9.30 and 11, just enough to settle the dust. S’ly breeze getting up which made it pleasant in the max temp of 27˚ we got in the afternoon and makes 18˚ feel cool now at 9pm. == David Yorkshire: I don’t disagree with you on A’s merits, nobody can be 100% wrong, he has undoubtedly opened people’s eyes for the natural world, a good thing. But if you look at the depopulation agenda you might take a slightly different view of Mr A.
On 16 Jul 2018, David (Yorkshire) wrote:
Bit strong to slate Attenborough like that, he has done alot of good for our planet just in educating the masses on the natural world.
On 16 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
"Dump the disgraceful Attenbrough and bring back David Bellamy." ...... I'll second that!
On 15 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
20˚C at 7.30, highest morning temperature this year, doesn’t happen very often, followed by highest max temp of 32˚ - not sure whether I can fully trust my ancient thermometer but it was damn hot and very enjoyable. Not all fun for farmers though as cereal crops haven’t filled out and our neighbour is running out of fresh grass for his cattle. Still 19˚ at 9.30pm. == Attenborough/Malthusians/Eugenicists: their pseudo-cogent arguments always involve other people dying out, not them, they don’t seem to be very keen on topping themselves or their extended families, i.e. leading by example :-)
On 15 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
Russ - you missed an important word about their predictions - wrong. We are all still waiting for their first correct prediction. Another hot day but blessed with a bit of breeze across the marsh at Lydd. Lots of hot mini-bike action on the circuit. No need for a warm up lap. Back home and the patio thermometer is reading 86F at 7pm. I hope we will have a cool evening so at least my fans can blow out the heat and draw in the cool. Dump the disgraceful Attenbrough and bring back David Bellamy.
On 15 Jul 2018, Mark Hall wrote:
Russ, Attenborough would have no problem explaining away the massive increase in Greenland's ice budget. Along the lines of AGW causing localised cooling etc. In other words it would be out of the Holdren playbook. And I have no doubt that when he dies, no one will be allowed to point out that he was a Malthusian fanatic who eagerly anticipated the demise of billions of the Earth's human inhabitants. That he advocated that future famine relief efforts should not take place especially in the undeveloped world. That sort of stuff will not be allowed just like with that other phony a couple of months ago.
On 15 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Woke up at 7.30 a.m cloudy and still, by 9 a.m a little drizzle and now some proper showers at 10.30 a.m onwards and yeah it smells and feels bootiful 😂 87% humidity and 17 deg at 11.10 a.m first rain since 18th June here, a day short of 4 weeks, it has been like a months holiday lots of fun in the sun well enjoyed but #welcomebackrainwemissedyou...atinybit 💧
On 15 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Near the end of that Greenland snow article I note the mention of global warming causing more moisture over the Arctic, therefore more snow. That only works if the place it is snowing - the Arctic - is very cold. But in the warming world they keep promising, the Arctic will be "ice free" for most of the year and warmer. Any extra snow will only fall in winter but won't collect because global warming will heat the ocean surface and prevent the sea ice forming. Their predictions are empty, circular, contradictory and misleading....so what's new?
On 15 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Maybe David Attenburg(sic) is going to be on holiday in Greenland this year? >> https://bit.ly/2zPtP1F <<
On 15 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Paddy. They could be a family from a nearby farm, say within 10 miles which, considering the changing weather patterns over Scotland lately, could have been following the food. Air currents close to the ground could have been pushing their favourite insects toward you. In similar weather conditions you could see them return. I see a similar pattern locally where a grassy moorland hillside overlooking a large birch wood is their favoured spot, but in strong winds or mist or cold, they move down to the dairy farms in the valley around 400ft lower elevation.
On 14 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
Rain!!!! Over in Edenbridge yesterday I could see dark clouds and rain from them and heard rumbles of thunder. Driving home nothing happened until just after I arrived when it started to rain slowly but became heavier. Had to go for a walk and it was steady and there was the lovely rain smell. slowed and stopped. Town centre looked like it had received a heavier burst. Later drove off to the farm shop and soon it was bone dry and in Godstone they had seen nothing at all. Another warm day touching 80F with some clouds to ease the heat at this year's Lingfest. Cooled off nicely in the evening again.
On 14 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
The last couple of days mostly cloudy with sunny spells, mild although temp feels cool after recently but still 22/24 deg by day and around 14 overnight. Still no rain as yet, chance of showers soon maybe.. A good bit more sunshine today and 24/25 deg for a time though cloud returned and with it the humidity has climbed a little.
On 14 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, bright sunshine, clouding over somewhat during the morning in a strengthening S’ly breeze but in all it was a very sunny day with a max temp of 27˚, great for the family & friends barbecue we had, staying warm for a long time into the evening, still 18˚ at 10.30pm. == Russ, I was sitting outside tonight enjoying the mild evening and lo and behold, there was a flight of about 8 swallows swooping & spinning above the farm, even a solitary swift turned up. After an hour or so they all left, leaving our two loners to themselves; I’m rather hoping they’ll come back and mate with ours for the second brood, bit maybe that sort of thing doesn’t happen.
On 14 Jul 2018, Geof wrote:
Can't understand why David Attenborough has just launched a brand new ice-breaker, when they've long told us that all the ice would be gone by 2018! Luckily it comes with a little submarine, which can film the immense volcanic and geothermal activity recently discovered beneath the Western Antarctic shelf which, even NASA have reluctantly agreed, was largely responsible for 30 years of 'melting'...As usual, no mention of THIS on the B.B.C (Biased Broadcasting Corp).
On 14 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Also, thinking back over the years, even when there was hardly any rain for several months, the Ladybower trio didn't look seriously empty until mid to late August. All the mining and heavy industry which used vast amounts of water have almost all closed down. This also follows an unusually cold and wet spring, where the ground was still sodden and cold (low evaporation) until mid May. But as usual, as soon as the threat of hose-pipe bans is heard echoing through the halls of meteorological giants, the rains come and cause floods and chaos. It's only a matter of time! (spoken with a soft Edinburgh accent like Alan Young in The Time Machine 1960).
On 14 Jul 2018, Bill S (NE Wales) wrote:
Yesterday was wet with rain early morning (4-6 am)and for a few hours mid afternoon 27mm in total, our wettest day this year! Still warm though 23.4c before the afternoon rain. Beautiful start to the day, plentysun with light winds, more cloud though today and feeling more humid. Temp up to 25.6 c by 2pm.
On 14 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Maria. It's been an excellent year for butterflies and we have met many people with binoculars who, when questioned, are not bird watchers but butterfly watchers. We have noted huge amounts of all insects especially dragonflies..... Paddy, If some Swallows made it that far north but the overall numbers are similar to the rest of the UK, then the reason for the severe drop in numbers must be all encompassing across the entire migratory route, and not localised as I first thought earlier in the year......David. Did they mention the diabolically cold and wet 17 month period leading up to this heatwave?...... Not sure why the Ladybower trio of dams is almost empty. Last time I visited was late May and they were all full to the brim with all tributary's flowing healthily. How they could possibly empty in 6 weeks is beyond my comprehension. The dryness and lack of rain was slowing grass growth around the middle of June so only 4 weeks ago.
On 13 Jul 2018, David (Yorkshire) wrote:
On 13 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C overnight, 14˚ at 7.30, dull start but brightening up by 9am, S’ly breeze, max temp a respectable 25˚, lovely mild evening, 16˚ at 10pm.
On 12 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, overcast and grey all day with a cool N’ly breeze, end of story. Max temp 19˚ which was the upside, down to 13˚ again by 10pm. == Re swallows, as I’ve mentioned before we just have 2 and they’re not a pair of opposite sex, so no youngsters. Also hardly saw any swifts this year, they usually pass over the farm in the evenings.
On 12 Jul 2018, Bill S (NE Wales) wrote:
The long dry spell here of over a month has ended. Some early drizzle and evening light rain only amounting to 0.4 mm . Still warm though reaching 25c today.
On 12 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Russ re: Swallows, their numbers are def. down here too as usually when going into town I would see a good amount flying down the high street and swooping back up above the houses, only seeing the odd couple. Noticed about 2 pairs and a few I presume young above around our garden and maybe another 2 next door. Not sighted many on walks either and bird numbers def. declined in our garden this summer as usually so noisy in the mornings and always a big number in our back garden. An increase in Butterflys this year..
On 12 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Somerset and NW Devon have Swallows but I only saw two lots of around 7 ... so two families the whole day. A few Swifts over Barnstaple. Eyes peeled throughout a 3.5hr train journey from Derbyshire to Devon and saw nothing until the first sighting near Taunton, about 3hrs into the journey. So my fears are confirmed. This really is a summer without Swallows, with just the odd family here and there in the south, and what seems to be just unmated pairs of - probably males - farther north. I've not seen a single House or Sand Martin either....not yet......... Could it be that the cold snaps very late in the spring, wiped out the insects just as the birds were migrating, and they literally starved en route? I'm searching for answers...
On 11 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, overcast and still start, slight breeze later mostly from an E’ly direction, grey all day but still a max temp of 22˚, drizzle from 8pm onwards, just enough to dampen the dust, 14˚ at 10pm. == Russ, when there is not enough moisture cereal grains don’t fill out, meaning a poor harvest.
On 11 Jul 2018, Kim Baker wrote:
Greetings from Pas d' Calais I found a dessicated baby bat in my courtyard this morning ,but there is no shortage of Swallows ,Swifts and Sparrows (I do put out lots of water for them though) Bone dry here
On 11 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
A lot cooler the last two days. Chilly standing out watching the flypast under cloudy skies yesterday. Sunnier today but chilly at the station. One field nearby had a combine in last Thursday. Noticed a blackbird taking blackberries already and have seen the first one that is almost black.
On 11 Jul 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
"You get loads of people citing all sorts of rubbish on here" .... True .... and trolls! Dictionary definition - 'Someone who provokes or abuses others, esp. on the Internet'........ Drove almost 400 miles all over the Yorkshire moors yesterday and saw 3 Swallows. Only 5 local Swallows a few days ago and 2 Swifts. Not seen a summer like this in 49 years of birdwatching......Lots of late sown crops ripening very quickly but through the drought so may fail. Farmers seem reluctant to harvest, so not sure what's going on. Maybe the outward appearance of ripeness hides the true state of the grain's progress?
On 10 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Temp dropped off after midnight last night back to around 10 / 11 deg. by 3.am Lovely and cold out this morning in comparison to recently and dew point down to 9 deg where it has been 13 the last few days, and 12 deg start, nice for a bare feet early morning walk. Lovely clear sky and sunshine from the get go and temp a lovely hot 27 deg this afternoon. 17 deg at 10.52pm and partly cloudy.
On 10 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, overcast was the theme of the day with a mostly light SE’ly wind, got to 22˚ in spite of the absence of the sun, calm tonight with 15˚ at 9.30pm. According to MO the outlook for the next few days is the same.
On 09 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Similar to yesterday with a fair bit of cloud to start although warm from the off, except cloud shifted quicker today and long stretches of sunshine, around max 26/27 deg with a light breeze, nice evening and continuing to make the most of the heat. Considering we have not had a Heatwave most green grass has turned a funny shade of crispy brown everywhere and grass hardly growing thats normal summer weather though eh! even though we have lived in the 'Emerald Isles' 16 years and have never had it this hot for this long. Don't mind me though i'm probably talking bollox and imagining it like really we have had weeks of 16 / (18 -20 deg. if we are lucky) & rain like our usual summers and any minute now i'm going to wake up with my face in a bowl of mash potato and well you know the rest!-)
On 09 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, overcast & feeling positively cold, well, until I started working, that is, but it was quite a contrast to yesterday, especially with a cool NW’ly wind. Afternoon was much brighter and it got up to 26˚, even more in sheltered parts. 13˚ by 10pm and overcast again. No rain in the offing for quite a while by the looks of it, somebody told me today that further inland cereal crops are looking really poor in parts.
On 09 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
A lot more cloud around today with some breeze as well. Just after 6pm and it is 78F on the patio. At least it chilled down overnight and the fans made it low 60s for bedtime. Having to sleep with the windows open and a fan going can produce some interesting results. A bat flying around your bedroom does make sleep difficult and provides the challenge of how to get it out. Opening a large window and aiming a fan through it eventually did the trick. It must have missed the roost entrance and come inside instead. Yesterday afternoon after a hit day at Brands Hatch, the patio thermometer was reading just over 90F and that was about an hour later than today. Full praise to the Kent Show, Capel Military Vehicle show and Brands Hatch for having water taps available. We have a village festival next Saturday and I have asked what provision they have to supply water. Having to buy water is not acceptable.
On 09 Jul 2018, Mark Hall wrote:
Prolonged summer droughts were common in the UK between 1885 to 1909, so we might be entering a repeating cycle. That period was the build-up to the Yoshimura climate trough around the end of the First World War. You see a lot of derelict wells on the farmland of the Home Counties that date from this period. Maybe they will be brought back into service before too long.
On 08 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, cloudy but mild, quite a bit of sunshine in the morning with temps rising to 27˚, then clouding over for the rest of the day with temps cooling down to 13˚ at 10pm. After 7pm a strange thing happened: something resembling water fell from the sky, I looked it up on the net, apparently it’s called rain - anybody know anything about that?
On 08 Jul 2018, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Eastside It does matter a jot what normal weather is in the Baltic, the fact is we are in the midst of a period of hot dry weather we only experience every few decades in the UK. Here in NW London we have barely had any rain since the beginning of May, temperatures are way above average for this country, as are sunshine hours. Only 1976 in my lifetime can compare. British people comment on British weather. Most of us have been to places where 35C is common, be that Greece, Southern Spain. We know our climate is usually more temperate than the Mediterranean. I for one have experienced -30C in an Alpine winter, colder than anything ever recorded in this country. I know full well that continental winters put UK ones to shame. But because we live in Britain, our comments are mostly about Britain. Is that a crime?
On 08 Jul 2018, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:
Loving the heat. It will be madness if and when the flood arrives?
On 07 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Another great day enjoying the good weather "heatwave heat wave 👋 wave of heat or just plain old Hot Air" whatever! makes no feckin difference to my world what you call it 😜
On 07 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
17˚C at 7.30, warm in spite of the cool NW’ly breeze - which during the day gradually turned into the SE - , mostly cloudy morning but very bright afternoon, max temp 25˚, cooler evening in the sea breeze, 16˚ at 9.30pm. == eastside, 29˚ is exceptional for us (highest I’ve ever measured on our thermometer was 31˚ a number of years ago) - and we’re enjoying it! Especially after 11 wet & mostly cool summers, last real & lasting heat we had was 2006.
On 07 Jul 2018, eastside wrote:
You get loads of people citing all sorts of rubbish on here. 29C is by no means a heat wave, it's a normal summer day in much of Europe. (only in the overhyped, overblown UK, can 2 flakes of snow count as a freezing blast, - idem normal summer weather - "heatwave") It's really time for this sort of bollox to stop! When it becomes uncomfortable to drive without aircon, tough to work outdoors, and generally involves some sort of siesta or break in the afternoon, accompanied by obligatory cooling in fountains or swimming pools - THAT IS HOT. Ie. typical Moscow in 2010, or France in 2017. (37-38C) When the children can't go to school in winter, in our part of the world it's when it dips below -30C. All the other "Nanny state" rubbish which Canadians and Russians routinely laugh at is irrelevant, talking of which... A PROPER heat wave was taking place in Quebec now, not some wimpy UK warm air stuff. ..54 dead etc...35-36C, much as we had in the northern Rhone valley earlier th
On 07 Jul 2018, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
What is a heatwave? “A heatwave refers to a prolonged period of hot weather, which may be accompanied by high humidity. The World Meteorological Organization guidance around the definition of a heatwave is “A marked unusual hot weather (Max, Min and daily average) over a region persisting at least two consecutive days during the hot period of the year based on local climatological conditions, with thermal conditions recorded above given thresholds.” [Met Office]. Jul av max temp in Lyon 27°C. Current av max this Jul is 28°C that's +7°C over the av. CET until 5th July is 19.7°C, +4.2°C above av. What's been a relief during this spell is dew points rarely exceeding 11°C & low humidity offering relief at night & in shade, mins of 15-17°C but they have been few & far between. Nights are only ~3°C over av. It would be nice if we had shutters on windows to keep the heat out, but we don't it's an exception not the rule unlike Lyon. Could do with some rain. Any rain.
On 07 Jul 2018, eastside wrote:
Heatwave 29C?? That's no heatwave, that's just warm summer weather! Here in France, there has already been a real heatwave at the beginning of this week. (37C in Lyon/Rhone area). Back in Russia, it's been properly warm as has shown on some of the world cup matches. (30C DAILY). In Baltic area/Finland it was the warmest MAY for about 30yrs, so it shows how the blocking highs are moving around rather unpredictably after the stormiest MAY for years in France. I'm not complaining about a nice warm summer, it's good for plants, especially after the well watered month of May. That made for the best cherries I have ever tasted!
On 06 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Yesterday cloudy to start but sun breaking through and hotting up by late aft. mix of sun and clouds Max temp 27 deg. A good day to venture out for a hair cut after lots of eve. Gardening and do some food shopping with the kids as slightly less intense heat and good day to have off and get 6home by lunchtime :) Not surprisingly everywhere is so dry with crispy grass to walk on and the smell of wild fires in the distance. Another cloudier day today with hot sunny breaks, made for some great cloud watching on a blanket, can't remember the last time I did that, 26 deg dropping to 19 tonight at 11.44pm
On 06 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
'The children just won't know what snow is.' Well in southern Africa they don't as they have never seen it before but for the first time ever snow has fallen as part of widespread snowfall in S Africa, Zambia and Botswana. At the Kent show the livestock were suffering from the heat. Fans were being used to cool them at cost to the organisers thanks to the global warming scam merchants. Some cloud during the afternoon and an occasional bit of breeze but hot it was. Seems Tonbridge caught a local storm bringing flooding according to a commentator.
On 06 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, overcast start to the day but sun coming out by 9.30am and getting pretty hot, bar the usual E’ly sea breeze which kept temps deceptively cool so you don’t notice when you get sunburnt, max temp 25˚ and staying bright into the evening, 16˚ at 9pm. Everything is really dry, our farming neighbours would like some rain but, on the other hand, they’ve been able to make hay like not for many years.
On 06 Jul 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
AGWers making lots of noises abut mid-NH heatwave--no mention of the cold Arctic. PADDY--went to Cairngorm yesterday--similar experience.
On 05 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
Travelling up to Beauly yesterday with the car windows open all the way it was so hot - 29˚C according to the car thermometer, we even went swimming in the river there. As we travelled back to Nairn late afternoon, cloud started building from the west but it was still very warm, over 20˚ on the beach in the evening. Travelling back home today, it was sunny with some cloud, this getting thicker as we approached Aberdeen and temps went down as we got back on our hill, stiff S’ly breeze there. When you’re used to high temps, 20˚ seems rather cold! 12˚ at 10pm, more like the usual.
On 05 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Heatwaves are no different to cold spells - they happen infrequently so it is hard to justify having infrastructure for either. Houses in Spain for example are built with heat in mind so that when they get a cold spell they are not suited to it. If we constantly had hot weather it would be worth fitting air conditioning. At least modern office buildings are cooled given that we spend so much time in them. And more trains now have aircon to make you get less steamed up by the frequent delays. The easterly breeze has gone and for the first time in what seems ages, planes are coming in to Gatwick from my direction.
On 04 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
But equally I do realise the serious side of the heatwave as have read all the blurb in the papers and that shower or any could have been real handy.. but then again they cope in Spain and other hot countries manage ...
On 04 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Hot hot and more hot again :-) 29 deg. here today still 23 at 8.35pm I watched with anticipation as some huge cumulus clouds towering above came and perched right over us and I really thought some immense storm was going to kick off as it all darkened and could do with a wee shower, but nope it has just stayed electric looking and now i feel like the ready break character glowing but with a tan. Fab weather and you get in the zone with it and almost get used to it, & i'm just not going to do it moan that is, you can't after all the summers recently you just couldn't :-)
On 04 Jul 2018, Peterg wrote:
The "Great Fire of London" began on the 2nd of September 1666 (early Maunder Minimum) and lasted for 5 days. It had been a long, hot, dry summer and as most of the buildings were made of timber, the timber was bone dry. A strong easterly wind (know then as the Belgium Wind) had set in a few days earlier and it`s this strong wind that helped spread the fire quite rapidly across London. One third of London was destroyed by the fire. Hence my earlier comments about this heatwave being similar to the ones that occurred during the early "Maunder Minimum" https://www.museumoflondon.org.uk/application/files/6514/5511/5493/what-happened-great-fire-london.pdf This does not mean that we are about to have a similar summer, but a close watch needs to be kept on the behaviour of the lows out in the Atlantic over the next two weeks or more.
On 03 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, sunny all day again, lesser sea breeze than yesterday, reflected in higher max temp: 27˚, we’re all soaking up sun for the coming winter. Farmers are beginning to get concerned about the lack of rain, I had to water our potatoes today, good job we have our own supply. 15˚ at 10pm. == Kim: depending on your level of subscription, you might get your forecast mailed to you. Otherwise and in any case, go to the homepage, click on Subscribers, put in your email/user name and password, then go to forecasts, scroll down and you will find the one that applies to you, hope that helps.
On 03 Jul 2018, Bill S (N E Wales) wrote:
Another very warm day .This is 9th day in a row over 27c ( only just over at 27.3 today) and felt fresher too in the easterly breeze.
On 03 Jul 2018, Kim Baker wrote:
Hi WA folk, I have just subcribed please could anyone inform me what happens now?how does one receive the forecast, or how do I log in for them,grateful for any help,thanks🌹
On 03 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
The breeze is strong today and helps keep the heat down. As it did yesterday. And it has been a feature of the current warm spell that there has been a strong easterly breeze. Didn't have that in 1976. The fields look ready for a hay cut and we are just into July. When it comes to watering I have to rely on waterbutts as I have a meter. Move house in the SES Water region and they will install a meter. My longterm 20-30yrs neighbours don't have meters.
On 03 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Muggy night some fresh air early this a.m looking like another beautiful blue sky n sunshine day. 19 deg feeling more like 21 @ 9.15 a.m // Yeah sorry Russ sun went to my head yesterday and made me smile and laugh too much, have my mature head on today.
On 03 Jul 2018, Steve Devine wrote:
Sorry Russ. It was either a Fiat or a Peugeot to take the flack. The latter being a car that famously used to overheat for me so badly that the brakes locked up and eventually failed. Meanwhile, a refreshing breeze in C London this morning and hopes of some heavy downpours over the next 3 days as High Pressure relents slightly before reasserting itself from the weekend onwards. Much uncertainty about the timing and nature of the breakdown. Still in the unreliable timeframe to bank on it - unless you've subscribed any have seen the July update of course...
On 02 Jul 2018, Russ NE D'shire wrote:
Steve - Maria. I wish I could share in your jolity about Fiat reliability. We owned a Stilo 1.2 for 9 years. 115,000 miles still had original clutch, chnged original battery after 95,000 miles. Never changed the brake fluid. Only changed brake discs once around 80,000 miles. Never failed an MOT. The epitome of a reliable car. Been all over the place, across Lincolnshire, Derbyshire, Yorkshire, Cheshire, by train and by car and not a single Swallow or Swift seen anywhere. Stranger things with very late planted crops like barley, seemed to catch up with the calendar growth wise BUT they started ripening really quickly due to the heat and sunlight. Problem now is water! Poor farmers just can't win. Plant early the crops are killed by late frosts and waterlogged ground. Plant late they are destroyed by drought.
On 02 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, sunny all day but with a very cool E’ly breeze that kept going till early evening, which gave a strange mixture of hot & cold, depending on where on the farm I was working. Max temp still 24˚, many nicely shaped cirrus clouds, fine and now still evening with 15˚ at 9pm.
On 02 Jul 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
increasingly reminds me of 1995--and the cold December that followed.
On 02 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
"As reliable as a Fiat" 😂😂😂 that gave me hysterics 😊 Back warmer again this morning fab sunny day 26 deg at 3pm perfect for drying out from a manic fun water fight with the kids, great to have some quality fun time with them now tiny one 23 weeks old and my feet touching the floor again. Great weather for recharging love it! Enjoy peeps as we never know how long we got it this warm and sunny and yeah we need rain but hey Ireland won't take long to refill its rain love tank thats for sure.
On 02 Jul 2018, Steve Devine wrote:
All out hysteria breaking out on Twitter following the latest GFS 6z output. First of all the 6z is about as reliable as a Fiat and secondly, it is the notoriously fickle GFS system which changes it's mind more times than the wind changes. All eyes on Piers' latest July update which I believe is imminent. My gut feeling is that the heatwave will break down spectacularly just as the kids' summer holidays begin!
On 02 Jul 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Seems that Maria has swapped her nights for ours as last the wind died down and it was much warmer than previous nights. A layer of cloud was around that may well have trapped the heat. At 75F it was too hot to sleep so a fan had to go on to draw the cooler outside air in. Did the trick as I woke at dawn and turned it off, job done. At alarm time it was 64F, well up on previous mornings. Sunshine and at 2pm 83F in the City. Meanwhile Lulea in Sweden has a 12 story high pile of snow to get rid of if anyone needs any. Their concern is that come winter it will still be there leaving them to find somewhere else to put their snow clearance. There is no budget to hire an excavator to spread the snow to help it melt.
On 02 Jul 2018, Lorrane wrote:
Lorraine//sunshine topping 23 degrees last week with continuous drying wind from north east but still muggy last two days forecast thunderstorms which never transpired with mediocre rain with sunshine forecast now for next two weeks can honestly see a drought warning her by end of Juky. Will keep you posted -Guernsey
On 01 Jul 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Fresh air blowing into the bedroom this morning was refreshing and good job i'd dressed the tiny one in an extra layer last night when room read 22 deg as much cooler inside and out than recent early mornings by 4 a.m Still it warmed up to another brill day some welcome cloud at times and breeze to give us some respite mixed in with sunny hot spells, max 27 deg and 17 tonight at 11pm with an almost balmy feel
On 01 Jul 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
16˚C at 7.30, warm S’ly breeze in contrast to the cold wind from the same quarter yesterday, turning into another amazingly sunny day with literally not a cloud in sight for most of it, max temp here 24˚ but where we went for a swim in the river Feugh further inland it was a few degrees warmer, clear end to the day, lovely freshness with 14˚ at 10pm. This far north we rarely get really warm or muggy nights.
On 01 Jul 2018, David (Yorkshire) wrote:
Well done piers best spell of summer weather of the century. Not too got either. Very cold winter spells followed by heatwaves. Takes me back to my childhood.
On 01 Jul 2018, Bill S (N E Wales) wrote:
Another hot day reaching 29 c before dropping back this afternoon in the hazy sun , still 22 c at 2000hrs . The one observation I forgot to mention yesterday was the “ autumn” colours on some of the younger trees , namely birch trees and some already shedding leaves. Strange to see at this time of year.
On 30 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Totally making the most of the weather and although the heat has dropped off a little we still reached 29 today and with it not being as intense as the last week we could really enjoy it, some thin cloud went on past but again on the whole blue sky and sunshine with only a couple of cloudy moments. Great night for a BBQ fab sky again and 18 deg at 11pm Our house still hanging on to its heat and at 22deg only a few deg cooler tonight but we all getting used to it now :-)
On 30 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
Very breezy today verging on windy which kept the temperature in check. Only made it to 69F at 11am and then into the high 70s during the afternoon before plunging back down in the evenings as 11pm it is now 64F. Very dry now with even the clover starting to wilt.
On 30 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30, sunny and totally cloudless for most of the day, strong & cold S’ly wind keeping temps down somewhat, otherwise we would have had more than the 20˚ max, which was still very agreeable, 13˚ by 10pm and quite still, humid & cool. == Bill S, I can also report good plant growth, surface of earth very dry but still plenty humidity down below after 12 wet summers, might have to water potatoes though, strawberries in tunnel in full flow.
On 30 Jun 2018, BillS N E Wales wrote:
Another dry month only 21.2mm most falling in the first few days of the month. Warm month too with the last 6 days being above 27c. Max recorded was 33c on 26th ( probably a degree high as the MO reported 32c locally) plants desperately dry glad there are no water restrictions here so able to give soft fruits and raised beds some good soakings. Glut of strawberries now over, blackcurrants picked and jammed today ,raspberries had first pickings this afternoon.
On 30 Jun 2018, Geoffrey hood wrote:
45 day subscriber, Well done piers i have just returned for a 10 days in south Devon which i booked using your 45 day predictions, i have changed from white to pink and then to brown, brilliant sunshine all week thanks
On 30 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Yellow Drought warning has been issued for the coming week for Ireland this morning ☺
On 30 Jun 2018, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Over the last week or two I have found mobile phone data reception far poorer than usual in London, Bedfordshire and travelling in between and very erratic. Is this anything to do with the high solar wind Piers referred to on Twitter a few days back?
On 29 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
28.06.18 A whopping 17˚ C at 7.30, warmest morning this year and prelude to a scorcher of a day with a max temp of 29˚, which for us up here is big news, good job we had a nice cooling sea breeze. Wall to wall sunshine with just some appealing cirrus formations up above, still 16˚ at 10pm. Agree Steven Wright, June forecast was spot on! == 29.06.18 = 12˚C at 7.30, foggy and cool, lifting a bit mid morning but staying grey until mid afternoon when it began to brighten and get to a max temp of 19˚, we had a sunny but cool end to the day, all in a light NE’ly breeze, 10˚ at 10.30pm, total contrast to yesterday. To see how we cope with heat in Scotland, see here https://twitter.com/bbccomedy/status/1011168149855723520
On 29 Jun 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Last night was so hot where heat had accumulated even though we had a breeze earlier in the late aft.that just blew hot air around it subsided by eve. 18 deg. Last night until it dropped to 16 around 12/1 a.m Beautiful again at 5 a.m this morning and sat outside at 6 for breakfast and to get feet on the grass, 17 by 7 a.m and another beautiful day max 29/30 deg hot hot and 24 still at 7.34pm fab blue sky all week to make the most of and lovely evening sky. Light breeze this eve. and either i'm getting the hang of the heat or its tailing off a tiny bit.
On 29 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
A lovely moon last night and Saturn should have been in view with the rings visible with a telescope or binoculars. Same pattern of weather, an easterly breeze in the country taking the day's heat away rapidly. After the cloud yesterday it was blue sky from the word go. 55F at 7am but now 76F in town. Good June forecast and I hope for the same in July although a bit of refreshing rain would be nice.
On 28 Jun 2018, steven wright wrote:
a good forecast for june I hope the rest of summer continues in the same vain just a question to ask when there is low sunspots is it easier to predict the weather and does for uk for example that when there is low sunspots that the summers tend to be a lot warmer and winters colder
On 28 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Its not funny but is a bit crazy how water restrictions going into action when we ordinarily get so much rain, glad we have a temporary kitchen but we have a bore hole, still being careful with water though as never take it for granted. Off out to see if cool enough to sunbathe might actually get tanned legs this year 😅
On 28 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Gees its 30deg here at 4.29pm and no let up yet to get outside, hotter first thing too than yesterday now that wev'e been hot all week I guess its topping up. Just presumed uk as hot as not had time to read weather
On 28 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Interesting the difference between Surrey and Ireland. I went outside at 7.30pm in shorts and t-shirt to deadhead some roses and within an hour and out from the sheltered part of the garden with the strong breeze I was actually starting to feel chilly. Breeze from east to west continuing after dark and helping cool the upstairs. Today it was overcast this morning and just 55F at 7am. Cloud has cleared now and it is a warm day in the City. 76F approaching 2pm.
On 28 Jun 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Wow another scorcher ( 27th) and by late aft. it was unreal heat & we had reached 30 deg here. Not moaning as I love the heat as much as snow but you just had to be sensible today esp. after seeing some real bad sunburn pics!-) Kids and I ventured out at 6pm was still 27 deg and sun shining but the shade was created by the red oak tree thats just getting big enough to dapple shade the paddling pool. Fans didn't really put a dent in the 25 deg indoors upstairs heat until 11pm taking it down to a kinder 23 so a late night for the 2 youngest before they could go up to bed. Midnight feet on the lawn ahhh bliss...14 deg now at 1.50 a.m
On 27 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, foggy start but brightening up by 9am, strong S’ly wind which stopped temps rising beyond 22˚ but still a fabulous blue sky day with wispy cirrus clouds, the haar was never far away though and almost reached us by evening but remarkably, it stayed clear with us all evening, 12˚ at 10pm.
On 27 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Breezy yesterday which makes a big difference to taming the heat, especially in the evening if it keeps blowing. Nice and cool come bedtime after being in the low 80s during the day. Grass not really needing cutting as growth has dropped right off. A horse owning colleague has had to buy in hay as the grass has all been grazed. Is there a July 45d forecast yet?
On 27 Jun 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Muggy to start this morning 26th with some cloud about, looked like it could rain but instead sunshine cracked on through and another beautiful day, some high cloud and high temps again 29 deg with a real feel of 31, hard work kicking into work gear at 6 a.m after tiny ones feed at 5.00 but has to be done to slot in a few hours outside as by 10 a.m it is too hot for her out, managed 2 short sunbathe slots for some me time though inbetween and was fab 😅 lovin the heat even more so with the light breeze we had for a short time. Eating outside has become the way of life and was a great eve. Stuffy indoors late eve. makes you want to sleep outside. Just turning fans off at 12.12 a.m as finally dropped another deg. Or two and 16deg now.
On 26 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C overnight, 12˚ at 7.30, foggy start to the day followed by a sunny warm morning, 19˚ max by 11am, but then the haar moved in and it cooled down to 14˚ eventually, 11˚ by 10pm.
On 26 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
As expected, the air cooled last night but with no breeze the big fans took my bedroom from 83F down to 60F by bringing in the cool air. So feet under the duvet last night. As 11am approaches it is 73F already. Meanwhile it has snowed on Mount Etna and is more like March in parts of Italy. Snow has fallen in the Carpathians and in Poland. Contrary to the warmest evah claims and never see snow again in winter, let alone June.
On 25 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C overnight, 12˚ at 7.30, sunny from the word go temps climbing rapidly to a max of 25˚ by 11am, after which the cooling SE’ly sea breeze set in as it always does with us in HP weather, quite a few cirrus clouds but they didn’t impede the sunshine much, so a glorious day. 13˚ at 9.30pm.
On 25 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
Watching the football and they commented on the heat in the city they are in, then said the MetO have declared the warmest day of the year in St. James's Park in the centre of the largest city in the UK. Strangely though my thermometer on the wall in a corner of my patio and still in shade concurs at 84F. However overnight the big gap will emerge between UHI and everywhere else. We have some breeze but I suspect it will die come sundown, so big fans it will be to cool my bedroom.
On 25 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
Agree, Maria - well done Piers. Well, last night at home it nothing on the bed and some shorts on me. I forgot to use the big fan to blow the heat out and draw the cool in as there was no breeze to speak of. However, I wonder if I had been camping in the garden as it did feel cool outside. While nice weather is good for days off and won't it be a hoot if it pours down when I return on Wednesday but I have work to do which is a struggle in the heat, although writing this looking out at the glorious day through my open study stable door over coffee and croissants. I am not sure I can spend all day in the shady parts. The Mail today is proud to say it will be hotter than Rio de Janeiro. Not sure why they chose there but of course it is winter in South America and shaping up for another cold one that could see more records broken.
On 25 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Well done Piers spot on, your forecast and the weather are jammin 🌞
On 25 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Yeah feet are a good measure of weather Gerry..everybodys 👣 were hanging out last night I reckon!-) 18 deg. already this morning its going to be a hot one 😎
On 24 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
A grow bag for children??? That's a new one on me. Tomatoes maybe, soft fruit perhaps. Do they come in peat-free versions? As Maria has mentioned bags it is a good measure of night time temp whether my feet are in or out of my sleeping bag. At Lydden Hill circuit in Kent the last 2 nights were a definite in. After a warm day on Friday, it was a cool night at the track. Yesterday was a pleasant day with a stiff breeze across the circuit and lots of sun but with some cloud at times. The moon was out as the temp dropped. Today was actually chilly in the shade with the breeze but the sun was out all day. The breeze ensured that the aroma of 2 stroke and Castrol R was spread around, and in the last 3 wheeler race even hot brakes could be smelt. While away at the track, today the village had a hog roast and were enjoying the sunshine as I drove past on my way home.
On 24 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Yesterday and especially today fab sunny hot days a nice breeze yesterday but only a tickle of one today, had to be a lot more vigilant today with the tiny one, again out in early morn. then in for a good bit, too hot for the baby carrier and definitely too hot for pram, 23 deg yesterday 26 today with a real feel of 29, found a nice shaded spot to eat outside again this eve. Some water fun sorted for big kids 😜 and lil tiny paddling pool to put some lukewarm water in for the tiny one n even padded on the floor these days a bonus she loved it. Striking sky tonight &17 deg at 11pm
On 24 Jun 2018, Lorrainr wrote:
Lorraine//interesting Piers may find this interesting The Guernsey sea temperature in 2017 on 24 June 2017 was 16 degrees - 24 June 2018 is 14 degrees - mmm,!
On 24 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
15˚C at 7.30, pretty cloudy to start with but then brightening and warming up fabulously, reaching a max of 24˚ by midday but then cooling somewhat in the fresh SE’ly breeze. Clouds were blowing off the sea but didn’t turn into haar, though it was somewhat cooler on the coast where we went to visit friends. Splendid sunny evening with a cloudless sky, 13˚ at 10pm.
On 23 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, overcast & still for a start but a WNW’ly breeze set in during the morning and cleared some of the clouds away, leaving us with pleasantly warm day with a max temp of 22˚, the clouds got quite dark & menacing by the end of the afternoon but no rain came of them, still 16˚ at 9.30pm.
On 23 Jun 2018, Andy B 45D wrote:
Are you going to update July 45 d forecast from 14c to 15a Piers? Or is there not much difference?
On 23 Jun 2018, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
No signs of any form of minimum in NW London. June has continued where May left off: very dry, very mild nights, days consistently above 20C. The apple tree 'June Drop' has happened on time, starting June 10th. Peas are now ready to harvest, broad beans already finished. What we actually have is a drought. As for odd cold snaps in Europe, go research 15th July 1981. 20cm of snow down to Alpine valleys at 800m in Austria, considerably more on the mountains. That was 37 years ago, so if that was a sign of Maunder, we should be well into it by now. We are not, so it is clear that freak cold weather in high summer can happen in Europe, solar minimum or not. That actually happened close to solar maximum. There was a long, cold and sustained snowy winter in 1981/2, however. So if you subscribe to the 18.6 year solar-lunar cycle, maybe winter 2018/19 will be cold, snowy or both...
On 23 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Saw my first Swifts about a week ago but I was on a hillside yesterday with wall to wall blue sky and hot sun, slight cool breeze, loads of insects of all sizes and types including calling grasshoppers, and just about the best place I know for watching Swallows and Swifts. You sit on the soft tussocky grass and look down on the birds as they fly past, often relatively slowly into a strong breeze. A unique viewpoint as Swifts are usually above you 99.9% of the time. The bad news? No Swallows and only one Swift passing by. Normally there would be around 30 Swallows and maybe 5 or 6 Swifts flying to & fro across that hillside in such conditions. The strong moorland grasses have started growing really fast this past week, now the peat has dried. Especially across the paths and tracks which bodes well for the coming winter as the paths should be less muddy, with more grass binding the surface together.
On 22 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub ) wrote:
Woke up at 5.30 a.m to feed the tiny one and she was actually a little chilly considering she had on her vest sleepsuit and I had also been putting her back in her lower tog sleeping grow bag whilst cooler at night :-) only had the window open a crack, checked and it was only 5 deg outside so fairly chilly for late June. Warmed up to a lovely sunny day 23 deg & hotter than yesterday although yesterday was nice too. One more week til the kids break up for summer, looking forward to some summer activities with the kids 🌞
On 22 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, cloudy and still quite blowy from the NW but slowly diminishing, very bright and very cloudy spells alternating, some fabulous lenticular clouds, 20˚ max, lovely bright end to the day, always a special time of year when it gets barely dark, 12˚ at 10pm.
On 22 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
In the warmest time evah it was a mere 49F at alarm time this morning - 0708 to be exact. There was a lack of breeze last night and it was certainly warm in the house so it was fire up the 18 inch fan - only £29.99 from Screwfix - and on speed 3 it shifts some air. So much so that there was even a cooling breeze coming in through the stable door in my study. So after the clear night it has been sun all the way and now 70F in the City. The MetO have already started their heatwave claims and warmer than Spain etc. Yawn. Meanwhile 1600 people are trapped by snow in Chile as their winter gets under way.
On 21 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
6˚C overnight, 9˚ at 7.30 in a cold and strengthening NW’ly wind, sunny though for most of the day bar a few darkly cloudy intervals. It was a wild day though with a max temp of only 15˚, that’s the second Thursday running that we’ve had a near gale, more branches off trees. 11˚ at 9.30pm.
On 21 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Good British bottle-conditioned beers create their own co2 so supplies will be uninterrupted. And the cask-conditioned beers are still rolling along the filling lines and onto the drays. what I didn't know was how much it is used in the food industry and in particular to suffocate chickens and pigs! I thought it was all electric needles. Still the BBC have used this crisis to sneak out a tweet that built up areas are something like 5C warmer than the countryside. Isn't that strange... a match for what I see on my car thermometer when driving out from the suburbs ib the evening, and higher than the 1C Climate Crook Jones has claimed. Meanwhile as winter barely gets going, 600 have succumbed to the cold in Peru. Today actually started sunny and is 65F in the City. So this week also sees 30 years since global warming was invented.
On 21 Jun 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
PETERG; right with you on that. Fresh snow on Scottish 'Munros' this morning and frost likely in glens tonight. The forthcoming pattern would result in low winter temperatures and minimal windpower outputs.
On 21 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
Correction, solstice is at 11.07, got my information from a Continental source.
On 21 Jun 2018, Peterg wrote:
A heatwave will be with us next week, there is no dought about this. However this is a subtle heatwave in that it`s the type of heatwave that occurred during the early part of the "Maunder Minimum". By the middle of next week it will be sweeping arctic air across most of european Russia and right down to the Balkans. Wxcharts.eu "temperature anomaly" chart, for the end of next week, shows temperatures below normal for most of North Africa, Spain, Balkans, european Russia and Finland. Also it points the way for some very severe spells of weather for the forthcoming winter
On 20 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overnight rain continuing until 8, some of it very heavy, blustery NW’ly wind keeping temps down until midday after which we had a bit of sun and a max temp of 17˚, cool again thereafter as well as a few light showers, 10˚ at 10pm. I know, Ron, but in spite of the ups & downs of temperature, vegetables & plant life in general are doing well, somehow we’re getting a bit of warmth on most days, the sun being at its highest now. Summer solstice at 13.07 tomorrow, Steve & Gerry you might crack a can of beer in celebration… if there is any left :-)
On 20 Jun 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
looks like a long hot spell from next week
On 20 Jun 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
Paddy: chilly morning and now early evening too--a bit September-like again
On 20 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Steve - nice pic links on iceagenow showing icicles in Alice Springs. You could take some Spanish solar panels with you that work 24/7. You wonder how close it is in Australia to being cheaper to buy a diesel generator than use the grid. For companies onsite generation might already be cheaper - certainly more reliable. For those that remain on the grid that would be bad news. Luckily there is a solution to the co2 shortage - good British cask beers that produce their own co2 in the barrel. Food/drink industry use co2 from ammonia production apparently and 2 plants are in shutdown at the moment. Deliciously ironic you have to admit. Another cloudy start to the day but sun out now and 71F at 2pm. Fields either side of the path to the station have been cut for silage producing a wonderful smell and a large flock of jackdaws each day.
On 20 Jun 2018, C View wrote:
The ultimate irony. A story on the BBC website today tells of beer production being curtailed due to a Co2 shortage!!!!!!! With beers in high demand due to the World Cup this is causing brewers problems.
On 19 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, overcast and really feeling cold in the W’ly breeze, had to keep my jumper on for most of the morning, warmer in the afternoon with a max of 19˚ and a few glimpses of the sun, light rain from 8pm, 11˚ by 10pm.
On 19 Jun 2018, Andy B 45D wrote:
When is July 45day forecast coming out?
On 19 Jun 2018, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:
Some nice weather on the way again. No doubt it's due to climate change and more CO2 lies!
On 19 Jun 2018, Steve Devine wrote:
Social media going into overdrive regarding potential for UK-wide heatwave conditions next week. GFS progs temperatures clipping 32c in SE England by Weds 27th June. For people who suffer in the heat like myself, this is the worst time of year. Maybe I'll move to Australia for a few months. Will need to fork out for a power generator when I get there though eh Gerry? ;-)
On 19 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
After a cool start it was a warm day yesterday but it was also very breezy which kept some of the edge off the heat if you were out and about. Cloudy start to yesterday. Sunnier from the start today, wind has dropped but still only 72F in the City. Australia is suffering from a cold spell and due to their stupid politicians, their power grid is struggling. Worth watching since morons like Perry and Clark think this is a great model for the UK. Hopefully Jo Nova will cover it tomorrow to give full details.
On 18 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, quite cloudy to start with but then turning into a bright sunny day, albeit with big clouds from time to time, blustery WSW wind from the word go but still got to a nice 20˚, the wind was quite refreshing and turning more into the W by afternoon, dropping temps down to 10˚ by 10pm. Another great summery day for us.
On 18 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Wet and breezy mostly the last few days, also cooler until today, good chance to get boring jobs like cleaning the oven done, some sun this afternoon with a breezy wsw wind and cloudy so maybe some more showers yet like earlier before the day ends. Max 18 deg.
On 17 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, bright but wet from yesterday’s rain which provided a good soaking, a fairly sunny & warm day, max temp 20˚, to about 4pm when the clouds moved in and it got markedly cooler, SW - S ‘ly breeze, 13˚ at 10pm.
On 17 Jun 2018, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
Nothing of note my way from the recent named weather system. A bit breezy perhaps. Lovely day on Friday and warm as well but it soon cools in the evening. A strong breeze from the west over the weekend and cool. Just having a small window open either side of the upstairs allows a cooling airflow. Warm when the sun is out but cool otherwise and just 64F at 2.30pm, but I am sure the MetO and their former pals at the BBC will conjure up one of the warmest Junes evah! A few light showers this morning, the first rain for a while. Cloud keeping the warm sun at bay.
On 16 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, sunny, warming up nicely in a S’ly breeze to a max of 18˚, though when clouds moved in by late morning it cooled down and we had quite a bit of rain between 3 - 8pm, much needed, I have to say, 10˚ by 9pm & feeling fresh.
On 15 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, bright and sunny day albeit with quite a few dark clouds but no rain, still a stiff SW’ly breeze and a max temp of 20˚, back down to 11˚ by 10pm. If the summer goes like today we’ll be more than happy.
On 14 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
14˚C at 7.30, overcast & wet from the overnight rain with a strengthening SW’ly wind, brightening up after 8 and warming to 19˚ when the sun came out. But it was a wild old day with a proper gale eventually, taking a few branches off trees, the wind gradually turning into the W and NW by evening and abating, cooling the air to a chilly 9˚ by 10pm. Yes, Ron, September sounds about right.
On 14 Jun 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
almost like early September today with heavy overnight rain ( much needed) and strong winds still continuing
On 14 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Well our wild, wet n windy turned out to be a warm, humid breeze. Total fizzle from the rain clouds over us...again! The Met have toned down the heavy weather for Friday through Saturday and by Monday they are using the word "perhaps". If you are making predictions based on scientific expertise and massive computing power then I don't think the word perhaps should be part of your vocabulary. Perhaps means 'chance' and chance is quite literally the toss of a coin.
On 14 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Orange and yellow weather warnings in place for storm tonight into tomorrow in parts of the N and W looks like we won't get as much here just a bit wet n windy picking up a little now just after midnight. I think its an R4 period atm so no surprise a change in weather.
On 13 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, overcast and windy from the S, some sunshine in the morning and warming up nicely to a max of 20˚ by midday, wind strengthening and light rain starting up around 4pm & getting steadily stronger, we got a reasonable soaking until about 9pm when it began to clear, more coming overnight though, this will give the vegetation a boost, exactly as you say, Russ :-). 12˚ at 10pm.
On 13 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Yes we had 15 inches of snow in the Sahara earlier in the year and it's t-shirts and sun tans in the Himalayan glaciers. What a crazy world. Met is promising wet n windy but the huge dollop of cloud only seems to be watering your plants Paddy. As usual it's all fizzling out before it reaches us. We'll have to see what tomorrow brings. Could do with cold, wet & windy. It is June after all! At least the dry period has slowed the hedge and grass growth to a more manageable rate.
On 12 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, brrr - after experiencing up to 30˚ in Switzerland in the last 10 days, as well as almost daily thunderstorms. Whereas back here we have now had a full month without any significant rain but everything is lush and green, plenty moisture in the ground still. Todays cool and overcast weather took a bit of getting used to again, max temp 12˚, down to 11˚ by 10pm. The upside is that the weeds have not grown much in our absence, so we haven’t come back to an impenetrable jungle.
On 12 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Overcast today with no sunny spells as yet, just 62F in town. Could be worse as iceagenow reports snowfalls in Anchorage and British Columbia with some forecast for Montana. Snow at this time in not unknown but in Anchorage the norm might be an inch not the 6-8 ins they got. And yet this is supposed to be a scary warm period for the planet.
On 11 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Heavy snow in Peru causing problems for livestock while here silage cutting is in full swing having followed a trailer full of grass back from my successful MOT test. Enjoyed the wait for my car watching the cricket on the village green with swifts circling the norman church, a biplane flying over to the N Downs, clock chiming the quarters - you would not believe that the M25 lay just to the north of the town. A lot of easterly breezes at the moment as we have the Gatwick traffic taking off our way. Nice again yesterday with some spells of cloud. After some cloud this morning it is now sunny and 73F. The main arena at the show on Friday had housemartins swooping over it throughout the day.
On 11 Jun 2018, Steve Devine wrote:
Hi Piers. Do you know when the August (100d) forecast will be released please? Thanks, Steve
On 11 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
We can hardly see the effects yet unless we look farther afield across the world. Crop losses all over the place and happening more often....... Up to 3 Swallows now yippeeee!
On 11 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Oh come on now....this warm sunny weather is getting boring. The poor farmers must be losing sleep. Very late and very cold spring and waterlogged fields, followed by drought with the occasional flash flood. I suppose one could say that the coming little ice age conditions, in the UK at least, will end up being a mixed bag of typical British weather but every event being at a much increased level. Heavier rain, more prolonged downpours, cooler cold snaps, longer droughts. If you look at extremes in the US like their droughts, these were areas that already had droughts due to location but in the 1940-72 cooling period, some years these became more severe than the usual and much longer lasting. It doesn't take much to turn a normal cold winter in England into 15ft snow drifts. A small change in wind direction, a few degrees less in temperature, a slight rise in humidity and boing...instant chaos.
On 10 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
First Swallow spotted 5 miles south of Buxton. Just the one.
On 10 Jun 2018, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Well if there one consistent feature in the proposed LIA we are supposedly now in, it is drought in spring/early summer in NW London. It is the only consistent feature of the last three years. All we are actually seeing is redistribution of rainfall around Europe. Italy, France, Switzerland, even Germany are getting what we are missing. Rain is coming north from the med so we here are in rainshadow. Blocking highs prevent Atlantic Westerlies wetting our soils. A minor move toward a more continental climate, not much else...
On 09 Jun 2018, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
What a lovely day. Nice breeze, not too hot. Shame the cloud rolled in from 4pm but then was gone come show end at 6.30pm. As a motorcycle racing fan it might seem a bit strange but the showjumping and the scurry racing were excellent edge of the seat - had I been sitting - stuff, with the crowd groaning as a fence came down or a cone was hit. The livestock display is always wonderful as the magnificent examples of the breeds are paraded around the ring. Does the Shetland pony grand national need any explanation as to why it is a joy to watch? Interestingly at the Saxon encampment they were saying how cold it was on Thursday - the first show day. Meanwhile parts of Canada have received damaging frosts and in northern Sweden they awoke to a blanket of snow. While not unusual, the snow arrived quickly and without warning. A solution for Maria, tape a picture of an eagle to your front door.
On 09 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
A muggy night and 2 & half hrs sleep where my own insomnia kept me awake and then a raven decided to keep headbutting the front doors downstairs at 5.30 a.m The day was bright and hot very quickly and after staying up and getting everything and everyone watered and sorted we embarked on a 9 a.m trip out to pick up essentials, on our return around lunchtime the heat was increasing around 24deg and so many amazing clouds the sky was electric, again only a few rumbles of thunder back at home but it was kicking off a few more in the distance, Orange thunder warning got downgraded to a yellow and not as much rain as forecasted by met, no 50mm here but enough to give grass and plants a refresh and smells beautiful out tonight, amazing sky at sundown 17 deg and humid just before midnight with a light wisp of an almost breeze. Bird also came back for another headbutt session late aft. I used a yellow highlighter on the door and drew up and down and across and it only came back once after.
On 07 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
A nice spell of weather being dry and not hot, and the bonus is that it is cold in the evenings so by having the windows open, come bedtime I have switched to warmer pyjamas and snuggle under the duvet. With the dry spell the subject of watering is moving front and centre. Another nice day would go well tomorrow for the South of England show. Swifts wheeling around the church yesterday evening and fields being cut for silage I presume as it must be early for hay.
On 07 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Well we didn't get anything more than rumbles of thunder in the distance on 1st but we did get some rain to help the garden, back since to fab weather and great temps. Some mostly blue sky and majority sunny other days some cloud chucked in to keep us from totally frying. A nice breeze today so me and the tiny one took some time off to sit under the chestnut tree and soak it all in the sounds n sights of summer, great space for shading her and then a gap for me to catch some much needed vit D. Nice to chill after sweating training gardening and other tasks, a cold beer would have gone down nice but will be worth the wait next year so a nice walk this eve. instead with the crew & was still 20 deg at 8pm hope the good weather continues 👍
On 04 Jun 2018, Gerry, 45d Surrey-Kent border 223ft wrote:
A warm and pleasant, and dry weekend. Some cloud at times to keep it cooler. Undergrowth plants such as brambles are really putting on a growth spurt while the lawn growth has slowed down such that I decided the daisies could stay a bit longer as the grass was still a reasonable length. May was, apparently, the hottest evah! But then in true MetO cherry picking style, they claim that the records start in 1910, which ignores the CET going back to the 1600s, and where we find 1833 as the warmest May on record. With just days to go, teams playing in Moscow might need a coat as they had their first sub-zero June reading on record.
On 03 Jun 2018, eastside wrote:
It was the hottest may in about 30 years in Estonia & Finland, and the Meteo fr Have it right it was the stormiest May in about 30 yrs in France,- still set to continue all this week btw.
On 02 Jun 2018, Ben Farrington, Sub, Moray wrote:
The stats are in for May and make for interesting reading. For my region Moray - Precipitation WA forecast 100 - 200% actual 25% (one of the driest May since 1921), Temps WA forecast - 3.5 - 2.5 actual + 1.5 - 2.0, much warmer, Sunshine WA forecast 35 - 70% actual 130 - 150%. Conclusion much warmer, dryer and sunnier than forecast. I hope June gets back on track with the updated Slat15, as my confidence has taken a knock.
On 01 Jun 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
We were off on holiday this morning but our flight was cancelled due to huge thunderstorms in Amsterdam, rebooked for tomorrow, so the first day of our hols was spent doing useful things at home on another amazingly sunny day with a max temp of 25˚, down to 15˚ by 9.30pm. The strengthening S’ly breeze was actually a welcome relief, there were some majestic cumulus towers rising further inland, looking like possible thunderstorms but nothing happened. Despite the dry conditions, veg in the garden are growing by leaps & bounds, still plenty wet underneath and deep down.
On 01 Jun 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Have been watching it slowly moving in since 2.40pm ish finally at 4.15 ish can hear first rumbles of thunder in distance, lots of activity on blitz app. Happy days 😄
On 01 Jun 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Our 'friends' at the MetO had a yellow warning for London and the SE yesterday through until 9am today. Anyone see any storms? Some light rain during the evening and very muggy. A lot of low cloud this morning and some drizzle but bright now in the City. Up to 72F at 2pm. Seems now Champagne vines have been hit but damage is much less than in Bordeaux and Cognac. Muppet writing in CityAM brings up climate change drivel.
On 01 Jun 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Paul, Bedfordshire: Maybe there are extra insects in your area due to farmers planting late and therefore spraying late. So temporarily more insects are surviving through what would have been a normal spraying season. Could just be the warm sunny weather...... More insane ideas from the environmental charlatans. Looks like a great idea on paper, but don't they have a panel of experts look over the idea before implementation, to iron out any anomalies? >> https://youtu.be/emBY6phmn9E << I wonder what effect it would have on a flock of hundreds of Swallows passerining through? If they attract insects, why don't the insects frazzle along with the birds?
On 01 Jun 2018, Bill S (N E Wales) wrote:
May has been a very dry month my weather station recording 28mm, most fell in the last week . Fortunately this area has been on the border of the really torrential thundery downpours, getting off with late afternoon /evening showers. To note how dry , I’ve had to water the garden several times this is in stark contrast to the very wet March and April. . On a positive note strawberries raspberries and blacurrants are doing really well.
On 31 May 2018, Lorraine wrote:
Lorraine// swallows but no swifts as yet Guernsey but will check next week South Africa did have a massive drought before April though
On 31 May 2018, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Most intensive thunderstorms I can remember for years. I don't know if anyone else has noticed but I have had far more insects squashed on windscreen in recent couple of weeks than for a long time. I recall seeing a while back on tv claims that far fewer bugs on windscreens and this was (of course) due to climate change. Something else about to be demolished by coming MIA Have packed up allotment now but was noticing that weather was making it much harder in recent years with cold/wet spells shortening growing season at both ends and far more dry spells in summer/irregular rain. I gather from those with one still that this year is a disaster. On good news my mason bee population has finally recovered after being decimated in Dec 2010s arctic temperatures. I feared the worst after beast from the east.
On 31 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
As it was a pleasant evening I went for stroll round the orchard and did some rose pruning. I noticed that the tips of all the new growth on a recently planted plum tree were gone or hanging off. Since some were hanging off I think animals can be ruled out. So was it the huge downpours of rain that did it? Anyone seen anything similar?
On 30 May 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Wow a continuation of beautiful weather 👍 asparagus omelets for breakfast outside in the morning, homework outside with kids after school, some fun & then relaxing with dinner outside of an evening feels like summer 🌼 A cloudy start this morn. sun won out and around 24 deg some amazing cumulus clouds for a time this afternoon and great skyscapes this eve. Tiny ones 2nd jabs today so we probably going to do some more weather watching tog.tonight :) 15 deg at 11.30pm
On 30 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, overcast with a variable N’ly breeze, brightening up after 10 and getting quite warm at times with a max temp of 22˚, cloudy afternoon with bright spells and a very few drops of rain around 8pm, 15˚ at 10pm.
On 30 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Thunderstorms and heavy rain passing across the City yesterday and causing problems on the roads and rails in Kent. As a train user I am suffering the joys of the new timetable and the frequent cancellations which is particularly bad since our direct service to London Bridge went to Thameslink. And so with lots of cancellations in the morning I drove to an alternative station. Just to cap the day off the home train was also cancelled. On my drive back home the roads were now back to their winter worst with huge lakes all along the route. An indication that we caught some rain during the day. After about 11pm we had more downpours and a few flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder. Dry and bright today. Bordeaux & Cognac have been hit by huge hailstorm that has for some wiped out 100% of the vine crop. Following last year's frost bankruptcy looms for some. Not good news as I like my Cognac but welcome to the LIA.
On 30 May 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
GFS going for a long non-Atlantic phase of weather warm/hot until at least mid June. No polar maritime air any time soon. Might be down to it being-----summer!
On 29 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
12˚C at 7.30, foggy start but clearing by 8.30 to leave us with yet another amazingly sunny day, not quite as hot as yesterday but still 23˚ max with a slightly fresher N’ly breeze. Remarkable variety of cirrus clouds, followed later on by many cumulus cloud streets, perhaps presaging the cooler & cloudier conditions expected from tomorrow. Still 14˚ at 9.30pm. == Swallow update: I was mistaken when I reported a breeding pair here: they appear to be two males or females just living on the farm for the summer, no breeding companions, sad.
On 29 May 2018, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
This is why MIA conditions are a that to crops - if it happens again next year done farmers could go busy, although other areas may benefit === "It was enough for a quarter of an hour of hail Saturday, May 19 in the early afternoon, to destroy the entire crop . In Bonnieux (Vaucluse) 11,000 tons are produced per year of the famous cherry of the Luberon. It could remain this year only 300 tons. Major damage is also to be deplored in the neighboring villages. ***Last year it was the frost and drought of the region***...Some vines have seen ten centimeters of hailstones on the ground, more than 60 millimeters of water in half an hour. For these, no grapes this year. They are lost and damaged to such an extent that the future of the next harvest is already threatened.=== https://mobile.francetvinfo.fr/economie/emploi/metiers/agriculture/vaucluse
On 29 May 2018, @CraigM350, Sub Berks 51N wrote:
Re:Swallows numbers do seem down (as are House Martins). I've been wondering of this is due to the late cold in Europe this year creating unfavorable conditions over the migration routes. I thought this content on a bird forum in mid may is pertinent =="Persistent low pressure in the Med with heavy fresh snow in the Pyrenees and Alps, plus severe thunder & hail storms over much of central and southern Europe. So quite possible some birds still being held up, and/or killed by the weather."=== https://www.birdforum.net/showthread.php?t=361674 The BTO show a similar dearth === https://weatheraction.files.wordpress.com/2018/05/chart.png === you can track other birds here === https://app.bto.org/birdtrack/main/data-home.jsp ===
On 29 May 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Not just the UK Piers... https://phys.org/news/2014-07-swallows.html .... That was 4 years ago and on a different continent so the problem isn't new, or unique to the UK... I suppose the mighty Beeb will blame global warming. Logic tells me that if that were true, then the birds would simply move further north where the climate is cooler. Isn't that why the Swallows migrate away from Africa in the first place? Also, more heat in Africa would make them migrate earlier not later. Isn't logic wonderful?
On 29 May 2018, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter) London, Chief forecaster wrote:
CITIZENS! Great Comms. I have started on twitter #WhereHaveAllTheSwallowsGone and my tweet is getting a high ReTweet rate - about 11 in half a day and 6 comments so far. The comments give other news on #swallows so I suggest have a look and we might get a map of what's happening in UK+Eire after a few days =+=+= LORRAINE I too like your seasons. I suppose the fact that the 21st of March, June, Sept, Dec is about 7 days after the numerical mid of your seasons (so the 2 halves are 2 weeks different in length) does not matter; mid meaning an astronomical essential date. =+=+=+= The thunder and lightning impressive I notice reports and what I experienced in London show the local storms were very intense and rapid with large rain drops making them almost like hail. A question must be: Is this intensification greater in the R4 period/ - which although forecast as May28 to June 1+-1d is probably May27-31 and significant on a world scale with amazing hail deluges reported on twitter.
On 28 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
13˚C at 7.30 and rising steadily, wall to wall blue sky all day and a real scorcher with a max of 25˚, highest so far this year and pretty hot for our coastal strip with the cooling NE - SE’ly sea breeze, it’ll have been really hot inland, fog coming in by 10pm when we had 13˚ again. A friend who was in Edinburgh yesterday said they’d had haar, not hair, all day and 10-11˚, requiring extra effort to stay cheery. I can’t believe our luck re sunshine this month, much cold also but that was a price worth paying. == Lorraine, I like your calendar/seasonal notes, they do make a lot of sense.
On 28 May 2018, Lorraine wrote:
Lorraine// watching spring watch - spring this spring that but according to the pagan calendar summer started May 1st mid summer 21June end of summer 1st August following that 1st August first day of autumn 21st September mid autumn and last day of Autumn 1st of November and then first day of winter 1st of November mid winter 21st December last day of winter 1st February therefore first day of spring 1st February mid spring 21st March and last day of spring 1st May and my point if you go by that you will notice our seasons are perfectly aligned to nature
On 28 May 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Paddy....my thoughts too about the Swallows being hit on their way here. Reports much further south but this whole area is devoid not just Swallows but Swifts and Martins. I will endeavour to scour a much wider area in search of the little blighters. It's only very late for Swifts but ridiculously late for Swallows. I wonder if they all ended up in pickle jars? That would explain the loss of a whole flock of thousands, destined for the tables of the 'not too fussy what they eat' types! Wholesale slaughter? Or just lack of food due to sudden onset of severe frosts? We shall see....
On 28 May 2018, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
The forecast said storms overnight and this afternoon but nothing. The main problem at Lydden Hill was dust. They should have run the bowser round the offroad sections on Friday to soak them and lay the dust. The Superlites had to just run on the tarmac as it was too dangerous to run offroad. Saturday had a strong breeze across the circuit to keep it cool but today it was still and hot out of the shady part of the track. As track action wasn't until 10.30 this morning I was hoping for a lie in but the sun beating down on the tent from as early as 7am made it too hot. There were some a few spots of rain on Saturday but the nearby storm missed the circuit. On getting home it looks like there had been some rain.
On 27 May 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
Wow 3170 Lightning strikes recorded tonight above London in the Luton Bedford area according to Blitzortung app. A few distant rumbles of thunder early hours here but no storm for us as yet tho looks positively electric tonight. Only a few light showers overnight but the last 2 days fab dry & warm although cloudier than Friday, great for getting on outside until today as woke up with no voice due to a virus, so a nice peaceful Sunday 🙊
On 27 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, sunny with a cool N’ly breeze which turned into the SE as the afternoon sea breeze, max temp 23˚, down to 15˚ by 9pm. Two weeks without rain, amazing. == Yeah, Geoff, I know the feeling, the weather plays havoc with the thatching, after a blizzard I have difficulty recognising myself in the mirror…== Digitalis, agree with your comment re doom mongering.
On 26 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, overcast, NW’ly wind, brightening up by 9.30 and yet another blue sunny day with the obligate sea breeze keeping temps at a moderately warm rather than hot level, 22˚ max which fairly made me sweat in the sheltered garden, wind strengthening and cooling towards evening, clear sky all day bar a few wisps of cirrus, 11˚ at 10pm.
On 26 May 2018, Geoff wrote:
Funny you should say that, Gerry...After a very hard frost, the following morning I woke up to find I had a bald spot !!!
On 26 May 2018, Digitalis wrote:
We have been enjoying summer like temps in the Netherlands for weeks on end. In the southern part of Holland an unusual amount of rain fell, where I live it is a bit too dry. I totally agree with Rhys´s comment to adjust to the weather indications in terms of growing season. I also would wish the `Mini Ice Age´ blogs and websites would have much less of doom-prophetical fear mongering sense (I think Piers is doing great in that respect). Yes, life will be more demanding and requiring adaptations, and yes, humans can be very studpid in adhering to the myths they bought into. But they can also be incredibly resilient, resourceful and kind. It would be great if wisdom was shared here, and observations that would benefit everyone. BTW the cuckoo is back here too!
On 26 May 2018, Ron Greer wrote:
Vegetation has just caught up with the times here and the House Martins finally returned last week. GFS charts predicting a long dry and warm spell for much of western Europe, Britain and Ireland.
On 25 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
10˚C at 7.30, sunny from the start and right until sunset, what was remarkable was the warm N’ly wind - mid Atlantic air circulating around the HP centred to the NW of Scotland, though that air did gradually get cooler as the day went on, max temp a balmy 21˚, it got quite windy by evening and, clouding over by 10pm, temp 10˚. The soil is warming nicely, I can tell nut just from seedling growth but also from the temperature of our borehole water, the 100-odd metres it has to travel through the warming earth make it much less cold. == Gerry, now worries, when it rains my hair grows back forward again :-)) I meant haar, of course, didn’t notice the sneaky spell corrector. In contrast to you, it’s amazingly dry here and no rain in sight, on Sunday it will be a fortnight since the last real rain, that IS unusual in view of the last 12 years of wet summers.
On 25 May 2018, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Interesting comments from other parts of British Isles. Here in NW London, April and May have been unusually warm and May particularly dry. Two short heat waves, but the past fortnight has been mild nights of 10-14C and daytime maxima of 18-24C. I wonder what the spring overall will look like as it feels overall warmer than average after cold start. Radish sown 15th April ready after 35 days, almost catching up the 1st April sowing. Lettuce, spring onion also harvested from mid month, turnips almost ready, shallots doing very well, dwarf beans well established, apple fruit set excellent. No danger of starving here, key was waiting before sowing and planting out. I suspect true horticultural wisdom comes by aligning sowing dates not to a calendar but to natural signals each sowing season. That way, complaining about natural variability is less likely to induce crop failure.
On 25 May 2018, Maria (Ireland sub) wrote:
On 25 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
You must be an unusual person Paddy if your hair recedes due to the changing weather. Was it humid yesterday evening! It was raining on getting home but stopped by 8pm. After dark you could see the murk growing but surprisingly it was clear this morning although cloudy. Sun has come through in the City and it is 65F. Looks like there may be storms over the weekend but Wunderground is not showing a heatwave. Meanwhile Newfoundland has received a foot of snow which they admit is not unknown but they don't go on to say that given we are supposed to never see snow again in our overheated world, why has it snowed at all.
On 25 May 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub) wrote:
Progressively warmer since last post, a drop of rain over night one night, have been busy out with visitors so don't ask me which night 😊 Some gorgeous misty early early morning starts,19 deg today so far at midday beautiful day but high uv so back in with the tiny one for a while. Enjoy the fine weather folks 🌼
On 24 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, overcast & cold in the S’ly breeze, by 11 the hair receded and we had a sunny day with a max temp of 16˚ and layers of clothing came off, very contrasting weather we’ve been having this month. Plant growth is reasonably good, veggies in the garden are benefitting from a warming soil in spite of the often cold winds, though everything is late. 8˚ again by 10pm which is pretty chilly for a May evening.
On 24 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Saw swifts around the church steeple on Tuesday but yesterday I think they were martins judging by the silence. Arrived home just after the rain and with that rain smell in the air. Cloudy evening with at least 2 heavy downpours overnight - I was woken twice - but no thunder or lightning but a colleague in Epsom reported they did. Light rain to start and low cloud on the Downs but now sunny in town and 65F. Phone showing storm symbol.
On 23 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚Cat 7.30, overcast, light NE’ly breeze which gradually turned in to the SE during the day, the sun started to come out by 11 and we had a reasonably sunny part of the day with a max temp of 16˚ until around 5pm when clouds off the N Sea started moving in and we finished with a grey blanket and back down to 7˚ again by 10pm.
On 23 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Donned shorts and t-shirt, made a pot of tea and stepped outside to find it less warm than I thought. Cool wind. Noticeably cooler this morning and some low cloud over the North Downs. sunny now but only 62F at 2pm. Iceagenow has a piece on Ireland showing hawthorn a year ago in blossom and nothing yet this year. Wet ground preventing ploughing and grass not growing enough yet for a silage cut and suggesting that there might be only one cut this year and a fodder shortage.
On 23 May 2018, Steve Devine wrote:
Winds picked up last night in my corner of SW Essex, so much so it blew our garden parasol flying over the fence panel and into the street! Cool and blustery again this morning with early low cloud soon burning off. Looks unbearably humid over the weekend (and onwards) with Low Pressure pumping up unstable, thundery air from the near continent while the north stays slightly cooler and sunny.
On 22 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
7˚C at 7.30, overcast & intermittent slight drizzle in a strong N’ly breeze, that was the theme for the day, a bit like late March but with leaves on the trees. Max temp 11˚, down to 9˚ by 8.30pm, tomorrow looks like a repeat performance.
On 22 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
Taking a stroll around the orchard there was a sound of distant thunder. It was to the west so not coming my way but on the way to the pub there were damp roads. Mr Quizmaster said they had thunder, lightning and pelting rain in Banstead. A team mate confirmed that Croydon had caught it as well. Must have come after I passed through on the train home - or I was still asleep. I did note more cloud around on the way home and mid-afternoon there was the lightest of rain showers on an otherwise warm afternoon. Paul Homewood, Jo Nova, Delingpole and WUWT all covering the sacking of Prof Peter Ridd by James Cook Uni for telling the truth that most Great Barrier Reef research is rubbish. Prof Ridd is raising money to fight the university.
On 21 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, foggy and feeling cold & clammy with a S’ly breeze. Clearing by 9.30 and leaving a bright sunny day, albeit with a cool wind that was very noticeable when doing sweaty work. Max temp 20˚ but dropping markedly when clouds moved in again by 7pm and the wind strengthened as it turned into the NW, 8˚ at 9.30pm. Tomorrow & Wed will apparently be grey and cold, certainly no general warming in the offing, Piers got the cold bang on. ==Russ, the absence of swallows in your location is of concern - have they been wiped out on their migration? We have all the usual suspects here but no greenfinches and very few gold finches eating the daisy seed in the lawn, waiting for the forget-me-not see to become available.
On 21 May 2018, Russ Derbyshire wrote:
Sat looking out over perfect Swallow habitat. Any Swallows? Nope, nor Swifts or Martins. Looks like a Swallow free summer this year.sob whimper! Lots of everything else except tits. Very few around. An occasional Blue Tit or Great Tit but haven't heard or seen Willow, Coal or Long Tailed. Not heard the tiny, peep peep peep call of the Goldcrest either. Perfect weather continuing with blue sky but a gentle chilly breeze to keep the heat down when hill walking.
On 21 May 2018, Bill S ( N E Wales) wrote:
A wet start to Sunday, drew the week and a half’s stay in North Aberdeenshire to a close. Generally a very pleasant spell of predominantly dry sunny weather with one really wet day. The wind direction making the difference between cool and pleasantly warm days.( mainly southerly or se affording the north coast the shelter)
On 20 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
11˚C at 7.30, overcast, S’ly wind already going strong though not as blustery as yesterday, only occasional appearances of the sun, a few drops of rain, temps rising only towards mid afternoon to a max of 20˚, quieter end to the day with 12˚ at 10.30pm.
On 20 May 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Friday and Sat. lovely days Fri.the nicest sunshine and warmth wise after mist and chilly start, yesterday the breeze gradually came in making it feel chilly and clouds moved in giving rain and also it was a bit windy over night. Grey breezy and showery today. Cheers Paddy and agree as only 1 of 4 cucumber plants up and 2 kuri squash out of 6 and 2 courgettes up so may sow a few more this week. Tomato plants ready to pot up finally and surprisingly 8 good chilli seedlings :)
On 20 May 2018, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Wow amazing lightning activity on blitzortung app atm over Spain Gib France through to Germany ect over last 60 mins - 6.30pm
On 20 May 2018, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
How quick things can change. Foggy this morning after the clear night and then lifting to low cloud such that you could hear the aeroplanes from Gatwick but not see them, but within an hour it was all clear and bright sunshine. From being still there is now a breeze. Yesterday was a nice day but during the afternoon there was a spell of strong easterly wind that disappeared as quickly as it had come. Looking at some of the new leaves I have seen what I think may be frost damage. The mornings have been chilly but the clue came from a chat at Friday's farmshop ale session when one of my chums said that he had seen frost on his car. Looking ahead, Wunderground had a wet BH weekend, but that was yesterday and now today it will be sunny. I hope we have our leader's forecast as it time to head to the track for the first time and some super moto racing.
On 20 May 2018, @piers_Corbyn wrote:
Great comms. Always nice to hear about our forecasts being useful, Paddy and anyone who mentions applications =+=+=+= NEWS apart from the Royal Wedding: OUR amazing RIGHT ROYAL DEALS - 67% OFF MOST SERVICES 12mth subs - ENDS ON MONDAY, SO HURRY DO IT TODAY SUNDAY 20th May GoGoGo! Full Forecast sub extension credits for overlaps and if you not buying today FIND SOMEONE WHO WILL! Thank you. Piers
On 19 May 2018, Paddy, Aberdeen South, sub, 130m elevation wrote:
(18.05.18) 4˚C overnight, 8˚ at 7.30, another bright and breezy day in this hot and cold week, max temp 20˚ but feeling pretty cool in the S - SE’ly wind if it wasn’t for moving/working, 10˚ by 9.30pm. == Thanks for the update on the weather girl, Maria :-) Yes, everything late and slow, paying attention to Piers made sure I didn’t start anything too early, esp sensitive things like cucumbers, courgettes are a bit hardier. == (19.05.18) 7˚C overnight, already 12˚ at 7.30, still for the first couple of hours of yet another sunny day, after that we had a strong S’ly wind blowing all day and taking the edge of the temperature which rose to a max of 23˚, it got cloudy by 6pm, the wind abated and it got rather cool, 11˚ at 9pm.
On 18 May 2018, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey-Kent border wrote:
A bit of site work this morning so a nice pleasant walk around part of the City. Chilly wind but warm in the sun. If it stays like this for the weekend it will be ideal for outdoor work. Wind still coming from the east. For the first time this year on my morning drive to a station there were no floods or even pools of water just waiting for more rain to flood the road.
On 18 May 2018, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter) London, Chief forecaster wrote:
THANKS FOR INTERESTING COMMS ALL. =+=+= Notice this R4 period 15-19th is showing extreme events - especially hail and volcano-quakes across the world +=+=+=+ The current GREAT DEALS for 45d subs BI Eu Usa END on Monday 21st so get in there +=+=+= SLAT15a new forecasts and amendments will be loaded soon. ANYONE WHO HAS SUFFERED FROM DELAYED UPLOADS (eg some 5mth ahead) can ask for - and will get - extensions in respect of delays.