WA News 2009 No62 - 20th Sept
Major storms across world warning for 21-23 Sep.
7 extreme weather events predicted for Atlantic / USA, Pacific & Europe - driven by solar activity
- caused by major 'Solar Weather Impact period' predicted by WeatherAction.com
- Early September forecasts scored 10/10 success
- Typhoon Koppu hit South China & Hong Kong 15th Sept confirming Weather Action long range forecast
Seven specific extreme storm developments are predicted to occur during WeatherAction's long range World Weather Warning for 21-23 Sept caused by a 'Major Solar Weather Impact period' (SWIP).
Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeatherAction.com says; "We warned of some of the likely world-wide effects of this major Solar Weather Impact period in our forecasts & public video issued on 24th & 28th August and in direct communications with customers -
See video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aJg8haUm-sk Atlantic storms forecast also copied in Brit & Ireland 30 day Sept forecast via http://www.weatheraction.com/pages/pv.asp?p=wact8&fsize=0 / http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp - also for all extreme events forecast regions]
"This is a major 'SWIP' so we are making public all we know about its likely consequences. As in other SWIPs there will be other simultaneous extreme weather developments around the world which we do not know about but we are confident that in future the scope of our Solar Weather Technique will reach even further and predict hitherto unpredictable events. A general warning to apply anywhere in the world is that in this period 21st to 23rd Sept standard meteorology forecasts will tend to underestimate the intensity of rain and thunder events, frontal activity and storm systems even from 12 hours ahead"
The seven warnings
Europe (2)
West Mediterranean sea storm / wind & heavy rain 22-23 Sept probably central Med particularly around Gulf of Genoa. (in parallel with TS formation) - poss France & N Italy - Major thunderstorms & floods in places.
North Scandinavia - Wet windy & mild.
NOTE Higher pressure & much quieter in most of Ireland Britain & South Scandinavia
Atlantic/ Caribbean/Gulf (2)
Tropical Storm Formation & /or Rapid development Around 22-23 Sept
TS/Hurricane (80%) –TWO storms likely
- One in Atlantic and staying there
- One on Atlantic-Caribbean-Gulf track US Landfall possible
USA (1)
Major thunderstorm / Tornado formation Around 21-23 Sept.
East / Central Pacific (1)
Tropical Storm Formation &/or Rapid Development 21-23 Sept. TS/Hurricane (Typhoon) Deep in Pacific (75%) likely to reach cat 2-4 .
West North Pacific (1)
Tropical Storm /Super Typhoon formation 21-23 Sept Deep in Pacific (75%) (Prob at same time as central / East Pacific development - ie two typhoons / TS on map at same time)
Piers Corbyn said: "These are 'late season' events which follow on from our 10/10 success for extreme events in the first 9 days of September. Despite the fact that some had 'written-off' the Atlantic Tropical Storm season we at WeatherAction correctly predicted the late season boost of Atlantic tropical storms - Erika and Fred, dramatic mud slides in South Norway and severe thunderstorms in USA, all appearing at the dates we predicted. - see WeatherActionNews 61:
14th September 2009 WeatherAction News No 61 = http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=81&c=1
WeatherAction.com Success for September so far stands at 13/14 events reasonably confirmed (= 10/10 + 3/4). The most recent four forecasts and results were:
15-16 Sept. TS/Typhoon formation / rapid development. South China Sea (75%) CHINA HIT LIKELY.
YES to formation and China landfall: Typhoo-1 KOPPU reached typhoon status on 15th and hit China and affected Hong Kong: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/w_pacific/2009/index.html
VIDEO: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/8257960.stm
Around 15-16th Sept. East Pacific Tropical Storm Formation /Rapid Development
YES. TS Marty formed on 16th off Mexico http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/e_pacific/2009/index.html
Around 18-19th Sept (not a date in Atalntic storm formation list list) USA Major thunderstorm / Tornado formation
YES. Very heavy rain SE USA 19th Sept - map: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/dwm_prcn_20090919.html
Thunderstorm very heavy rain & Flash flood warnings eg Birmingham Alabama Sun 20 Sept - http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bmx/
17-19 Sept (Red Weather Warning) much of Ireland & Britain & prob also also North Scandinavia - Very Wet with major thunderstorms.
NO. There was a clear increase in frontal activity but high pressure blocking prevented the penetration into Britain & Scandinavia expected. See: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/tkfaxbraar.htm
The SWIP of 15/16th also gave other simultaneous extreme events in other parts of the world:
Extraordinary local rain in parts of SE England - over 2 inches Farnborough 15th Sept
http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/hi/uk_reviews/newsid_8258000/8258383.stm
Indonesian villages hit by floods - at least 38 killed by floods 15th Sept
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/8257192.stm
FURTHER INFORMATION
Assessments of Summer forecasts on BBC Radio4 -Climate Realist - Piers Corbyn - with a limerick about the Met Offices Hadley Centre computer !!
4th September 2009 WeatherAction News No 60 = http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MsAZb3EY2Cc
Remnants of Hurricane Bill strike Britain & Ireland in PERFECT FIT with WeatherAction's long range forecast! How can that be? says Piers Corbyn from WeatherAction.Com ( http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=3929&linkbox=true )
16th August 2009 WeatherAction News No 55
"It's the Sun!" - 'Many hurricanes' in modern times - "Latest BBC /Nature report is more BBC Global Warming hype and cover-up" says astrophysicist.
16th August 2009 WeatherAction News No 54
WeatherAction advances Storm forecasts: August storms success in Pacific and Atlantic - Mid August Report
Typhoon Morakot thrashes Taiwan in line with WeatherAction EndGame forecast. Extreme events worldwide well confirm forecasts for 4-6 August Solar Weather Impact Period 23rd July 2009 WeatherAction News No 47= http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=67&c=1 WeatherAction News 2009 No 47 What Does & Does Not Cause Climate Change and the threat to integrity in science - New PowerPoint Presentation