Comments from Piers
WeatherAction => www.WeatherAction.com email: Piers@WeatherAction.com The LongRange Forecasters Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR
+44(0)2079399946 +44(0)7958713320 http://twitter.com/Piers_Corbyn
WELCOME to WeatherAction.com Weather, Climate & All That blog page
"After that arctic snow blast for Britain +Ireland expect more surprises for rest of winter" says Piers Corbyn
"Despite fearsome cold in most of Europe this winter (eg the coldest Orthodox Xmas (7 Jan) in Moscow for 120 years and terrible snow in centre, east and SE parts 4-9 Jan) Britain & Ireland had so far missed out on much snow /Arctic blasts until around Jan 12th. Although this was an earlier ice-snow hit (in detail) than we expected for Brit+Ire, it and what is coming was/is in line with our WeatherAction European developments forecast types this month and as one subsciber commented on our WeatherBlog our BI+Eu forecast maps and the Observed maps have been and are "incredibly similar":-
"It it also gratifying to see the deluded believers in the #FakeScience of 'GlobalWarming' have to come to terms with the fact their personal local square mile of the globe cannot anymore be 'evidence' of the 'end of snow' (since the last time it snowed there). The #FakeScience and #FakeNews of so-called man-made #ClimateChange will terminate this year.
"The NOT important storm surge of 13/14th JAN apart from a small event in East Yorkshire was not really a surprise to WeatherAction. Authorities must indeed be ready and the Full Moon was indeed a factor and we must congratulate the Met Office and the environment agency / local authorities on short-term detailed forecasting and organisation. Nevertheless the extra pep needed for it appears ALL these really extreme events - ie a WeatherAction R4 /R5 period - was NOT present; so no over-topping in the warned parts of the East coast.
"WARNING! IN THE COMING TWO DECADES it is however important to note the #WildJetStream (= #MiniIceAge in cold parts) conditions that bring these strong (potentially extreme) North winds and storm surges will be more prevelant."
WeatherAction.com RedR4 period ~JAN4-6 gave WinterStorms snow + developing big temperature contrasts USA, Europe and across the world - eg Great Lakes, South USA, Istanbul and important developing major cold E Eu.
|Comments submitted - 65||Add your comment|
On 24 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
1 deg this morning at 7.45 a.m mix of dryer spells and drizzle max 8 deg cloudy with a light S'ly breeze and rain at 21.56 pm Yellow wind warning up for Galway Donegal & Mayo
On 24 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
Been away for a couple of days before the start of the spring rush in deepest Aberdeenshire: Wed 22nd was a beautiful sunny day with gale force W’ly winds though not as bad with us than with others from what I gather, Thurs we woke up to 2” of wet snow near Aboyne which was for the most part still there when we left this morning, quite sunny again today with temps ranging from 2-8˚ as we travelled back home, the snow quickly disappeared the further east we drove, at home there had only been rain.
On 24 Feb 2017, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
Quite a few trees down on the roads. Didn't really think it had been that windy. Trains home were disrupted as there had been some line closures for debris and trees. Lovely sunny day today but cold in the wind.
On 23 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
56,000 without power at peak of storm, winds tailed down a bit but still banging things about till lunch time albeit some nice sunshine mixed in but raw with the chill factor. Some big clouds after lunch and short sleety shower or 2 then a calmer breezy cooler afternoon. Starry sky and 3 deg tonight at 11.16 pm
On 23 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
Bad storm that one. Torrential rain and strong winds for s few hours here earlier today. Worst of the winter I would say.
On 23 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
Missed the worst here in Highland Perthshire at 140 metres. Woke up to sleety rain with a dusting of snow above 250 metres, but now turning to snow in the last half-hour, but not settling.
On 23 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Wind & gusts outside woke me around 3 a.m getting worse since, really noisey now at 5.26 a.m banging slates and squally rain driving through at times, power flickering on occasions, kids waking for tea and biscuits :) 992 mb approx atm, hold onto your hats UK! -)
On 22 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Upgraded to Orange warning at 5pm for some counties, still on yellow here, after looking for cat who usually sleeps outside an hour ago he has decided to come back to be let in the shed now at almost midnight, so guessing it's gonna get a lil windy ina mo :)
On 22 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Drizzle for the most part all day on and off & fairly still, the calm before and all that (noticed the birds pretty quiet too after being fairly chatty sounding the last couple of days, our cats in a grumpy one today as well :) then some heavierish showers this afternoon, mild with sw'ly breeze increasing a little tonight since around 11 pm pressure dropped to 996.0 mb... headache and feel ick ..
On 22 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
This will be a bad storm. The birds haven't been out much today at all. They can sense it coming.
On 22 Feb 2017, Gerry 45d Surrey/Kent border 223ft wrote:
Take cover, Storm Doris is coming in, or this another case of over-hype? Grey and damp with drizzle or light rain on and off. Mild and a bit breezy.
On 21 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
1˚C at 7.30, quite a contrast to yesterdays 9˚, clear start but clouding over quickly, another breezy day from the SW with a max temp of 9˚, down to 7˚ by 10pm with a spot of rain.
On 21 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub wrote:
Rain from the get go quite a lot overnight too, wind picked up this afternoon, nice sounds like a winters night out, max 12 deg today but feeling cooler. Met have a yellow warning up for Wed night/Thursday morning.
On 21 Feb 2017, Gerry 45d Surrey/Kent border 223ft wrote:
Reached a balmy 65F yesterday afternoon in the City as the sun shone. Been a lot greyer today after some overnight rain and only 55F so far. Donald is getting on with the swamp draining. Scott Pruitt is in at the EPA and an order has been signed that prevents NASA from getting involved in climate change. Their heavily fiddled GISS temp series is likely to be passed over to NOAA. A bill has been drafted, not American so not up to speed with their system but seems like a private members bill here, to scrap the EPA and not have a federal authority but state ones.
On 20 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Managed to get a fair bit done in the garden/tunnel from 8.45 a.m till just after lunch before drizzly showers returned, mostly a mild cloudy day with max 12 deg some quite breezy wind for a time before lunch too. Only a glimpse of sunshine this morning.
On 20 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
9˚C at 7.30, dry and cloudy, heard my first blackbird singing for a few bars, just testing, another fairly sunny day with a very blustery W wind but we nevertheless got 15˚, highest temp so far this year. Wind moderating somewhat towards evening but still quite breezy, 6˚ at 9pm.
On 19 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Started dry and cloudy then drizzly rain all morning, followed by dry & cloudy breezy afternoon, then more showers this eve at times. Max 11 deg
On 19 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, cloudless sky first thing, followed by a really sunny and mild morning with temps climbing to 12˚ max, gradually clouding over from the W after midday but staying mild even under the clouds, light breeze from SW-W, 9˚ at 9pm.
On 19 Feb 2017, Fred wrote:
So the AGWvMobeeb forecast. Today was supposed to be a very very mild 14c. It felt chilly at 9c. Week ahead forecast. Screen showed Lindon at 13c but Willetts went to say it could be 14, 15, 16, even 17c!! Then showed big see sawing all week but ended saying ' so the week starts at 17c and ends on 6c in the North. What a complete load of tripe
On 19 Feb 2017, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter) London, Chief forecaster wrote:
GREAT COMMS ALL. GEOFF RON NICK Re Arctic etc ice it's also the case that Greenland ice is growing amazingly fast. In discussions be clear the mild bursts in the Arctic waters at current times are 100% EVIDENCE AGAINST - NOT FOR - THE MMCC DELUSION because without exception these are from WildJetStream shifts which are always associated with colder events in larger areas at mid-latitudes or even more equatorwards. These WARM-COLD-DIPOLES (eg mild arctic, record snow in Italy, snow in Sahara) are OVERALL COLD EVENTS and have JetStream configuration the OPPOSITE of the MMCC scam (which REQUIRES JetStream shifted generally +consistently polewards +shorter/less wild. Please read & circulate my zippy sheet which trashes the MMCC scam in a few basic points: "Science shows Man-Made ClimateChange is #FakeScience"=> http://bit.ly/2iIoMXN =+=+ WE HAVE JUST RELEASED NEW EUROMAPS FORECASTS 45d AHEAD. You can convert from your 30d to 45d (inc 30d) at amzingly low charge. DO IT + promote! Thanks!
On 19 Feb 2017, Nick, Berks wrote:
Gerry, not sure where you are headed on the NZ glaciers. The study said that overall mass was decreasing until 2008. Yes, Franz Josef was reported only as decreasing in extent since then but when a steep 12 km glacier decreases by 1.5 km its odds on that it has lost mass as well. But, hey, if you know that the Kiwis are worrying unnecessarily nip over and tell them that they don't understand their own glaciers. I'm sure you'll get a warm reception. Geoff, re Arctic sea ice volume I don't know what you were told in the pub but, whilst it is true that average sea ice thickness is not constant, Arctic sea ice volume is decreasing along with extent. See 'Thickness and Volume' tab at http://polarportal.dk/en/havisen-i-arktis/nbsp/sea-ice-extent/
On 19 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
AGWers making hay with the record low ice extent in the Arctic and the Antarctic. The records ice extent in the Antartcic of just a few years ago, seems to have slipped their minds and it was apparently due to global warming anyway. Thnk goodness this batch of tropical air coming in tomorrow won't be lasting long, or they'd add that to the case too.
On 19 Feb 2017, Geoff wrote:
re ice mass v surface area and Arctic. Age causes my memory to get a bit fuzzy at times, but wasn't it suggested that winds and currents were moving the more permanent elements of the Arctic cap onto the N American side where it was piling up but largely maintaining basic year round mass,withsummer open sea freezing eah winter and contributing an annual increment to the per-mass so thst srea ws fkuctuating more nut mass was constant'growing?Or was it just s misrecollectionfrom a more thanusually convivial meeting at the pub/?
On 19 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
A few light showers to start, staying cloudy for most of the morning then brightening up for the afternoon with a mix of cloud and sunny spells, quite nice for a time, reached 15 deg in the closed polytunnel briefly for the first time this year. 7 deg at 12.09 a.m
On 18 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
8˚C at 7.30, overcast & grey with a light SW’ly breeze, mostly dry bar a few showers around the middle of the day following a few short appearances of the sun. Max temp a whopping 12˚, down to 5˚ by 10pm. Chaffinches have started singing, still a bit rusty, this usually happens around the middle of Feb, so slightly late this year.
On 18 Feb 2017, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
When it comes to ice there is mass and length/size/extent. The extents of an ice sheet of glacier can remain constant while the mass changes. This would of course not produce any scary pictures because you are unlikely to see the change in mass. Now a nice picture of a retreating glacier or less sea ice is manner from heaven from the warmists and gets front page billing along with the faked photos of polar bears and 'smoke' belching from the cooling towers of a power station as steam is just not scary. And obviously the extents of ice can change but the mass stay the same or even increase. Slippery stuff this ice. And we all know how the Kilimanjaro ice cap melted due to human CO2 causing global warming don't we. Except of course that turned out to be a local climate issue which is just as Jim Steel points out in Landscapes & Cycles happens in so many places just like New Zealand.
On 18 Feb 2017, paul wrote:
Arctic sea ice well below normal. Looks like this year is going to see another record minimum extent and melt. Still stuck in the pause with no sign of drop in world temps currently. When the atlantic goes into its cool phase things might be different.
On 18 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
Well after the forecast has been a miss for the last 10 days it looks like it might be getting back on track a bit, with very mild temps forecast early next week.
On 18 Feb 2017, Nick, Berks wrote:
Gerry, re NZ glaciers, the U of Wellington research you are presumably referring to covers only the period up to 2008, even then it explains that NZ glaciers lost mass overall during the study period of 1983 to 2008. Since then things have got very much worse. See, e. g., http://i.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/82972910/quick-retreat-of-new-zealands-glaciers-an-issue-for-tourism. Note from the Wellington / NIWA article - https://www.niwa.co.nz/news/explaining-new-zealand’s-“unusual”-growing-glaciers - that Franz Josef, which had grown almost continuously over the Wellington study period, has retreated by about 1.5 km since then. So, no cause for celebration. Yes there's variability (especially in NZ's very particular climate) but overall NZ glaciers retreat along with those of the rest of the world and, no, none of that is made up. A fuller, better referenced picture would help everybody next time.
On 18 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
17/2 Mostly rain on n off today, breezy wind and max temp 8 deg feeling cooler due to wind..
On 17 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
2˚C at 7.30, clear moonlit start, light frost on car roof, lovely sunny day for the most part with a max temp of 10˚, clear starlit evening with a few clouds, 4˚ at 9.30pm. == Ron, same here with the daffs, they’ve got their flower buds 6-8” off the ground, snowdrops in full flow, crocus opening up nicely along the A90 as you drive into Aberdeen, flowering currants also showing pink in their growing flower buds.
On 17 Feb 2017, Steve,Dorset,UK wrote:
Only 6 out of 10 believe in global warming ye gods have we that many lemmings left that still believe, the BBC are quite good at the old propaganda evidently. No wonder trump calls them a beauty. Warm and sunny today the snowdrops and crocus look wonderful, 13 c with a slight breeze.
On 17 Feb 2017, Gerry 45d Surrey/Kent border 223ft wrote:
That so many people still don't believe in global warming despite the bombardment of lies from the BBC and legacy media is a surprise. Meanwhile in New Zealand a lot of glaciers are growing even though the earth is the hottest it has ever, ever been - honest. Apparently a strange concept called 'lower temperatures' is causing it. But these mysterious lower temperatures are caused by human activity and so is still global warming in action. In this case 'you couldn't make it up' doesn't apply because they already have. Warm and pleasant today in the City, especially in the sun.
On 17 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
oops. record warm temps in Calgary and an El Nino might be on the cards--get ready for the next warmist onslaught. Meanwhile my buddy in Maine can hardly get out of his driveway because of the depth of snow. Looks from both Mobeeb and GFS that early next week will be very warm. Daffodils about 6 weeks ahead of normal up here, but might get a bit of a shock last week Feb/ 1st week March.
On 16 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
6˚C at 7.30, overcast & dry with a fresh SW’ly breeze that slowly turned into the W, brightening up to brilliant sunshine for about 3 hrs in the morning but then clouding over again with a few spots of rain. Max temp 10˚, not feeling as balmy as yesterday on account of the wind, but still not cold, 7˚ by 9.30pm.
On 16 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Some fairly heavy rainfall after last post, tailing off to a mix of dryer brighter spells and drizzly showers the last couple of days, milder with temps around 9 deg
On 16 Feb 2017, Phil Ipswich currently non-sub wrote:
Only 6 in 10 British adults believe climate change is caused by humans http://www.thecanary.co/2017/02/15/6-10-british-adults-believe-climate-change-caused-humans/
On 15 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
Sudden changes can be caused by weather fronts and troughs. We live close to a large land mass to the East and the Atlantic to the west. Let's not get daily variables mixed up with LIA conditions. Well that SSW, at the start of the Month appears to have been another red herring for the Northern Hemisphere. I'm off the fence with that (I was getting splinters) it has a minimal effects on the weather at lower altitudes.
On 15 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
2˚C at 7.30, dry and moonlit start with a light S’ly breeze, a mostly sunny if occasionally hazy day, we hadn’t seen blue skies for quite a while, max temp a balmy 10˚, down to 5˚ by 9.30pm under a cloudy sky.
On 15 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
LIA is not just about going into the freezer. Piers calls them wild jet stream swings. The truth is the floods, droughts and severe cold spells come about from the jet stream getting stuck in a certain position/pattern for weeks/months at a time. The swings in British weather from one day to the next is just the norm and why it is talked about so much, because it is so variable.
On 15 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
I remember when the AGWers were slagged off on 'the pause' being caused by the heat going into the oceans and now we have the solarists using the same argument to pre-empt the non appearance of major MIA effects in the coming decades.! Stephen is correct of course, we can still get severe winters in any case
On 15 Feb 2017, Sou'wester (Cornish border, sub) wrote:
To us in the SW, we HAVE been experiencing extremes over the last few years = very sudden changes. Example: yesterday. In the middle of the night, (13/14)., the wind was still raging. Two carriages in two different trains had their windows smashed in by rocks hurled at them from within pounding waves on the coast. Then suddenly at dawn, the wind veered and became gentle, and WHOOMP, down came a huge fogbank in all directions, with drizzle and rain all day, and a sudden temperature rise of about 14 degrees F. This is how I interpret Piers' claim of the Jet stream becoming wilder and more volatile.
On 14 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
4˚C at 7.30, dry and moonlit start with a SE’ly breeze, feeling somewhat warmer, even spring-like by the time the sun appeared - and disappeared again shortly after. So a mostly cloudy day with a stiff S’ly breeze and a max temp of 6˚, great to have drier weather again. 5˚ by 9pm.
On 14 Feb 2017, stephen parker ( sub ) wrote:
If you look back to the last century, 62/63 , 1947, and the war years there were some very severe winters. We dont need a LIA to go in the freezer
On 14 Feb 2017, Mark - Lancs. (non subcriber) wrote:
The fly in the ointment this year might be the tentative onset of another El Nino...According to Joe Bastardi, global temps would otherwise have been expected to begin dropping off quite steeply. Either way, sadly, he still thinks the ocean's latent heat reserves will probably mitigate much of the forthcoming minima.
On 14 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
Ron and Stephen - I agree with your sentiments. I myself have touted 2018 as the start of the mini ice age based on everything I have read and solar cycle etc. Even without a Maunder minimum we should now move into a cluster of colder winters in NW Europe.Remember though true LIA conditions are not expected until 2024 onwards. If it doesn't happen then maybe there is more heat lag in the oceans, than anticipated?
On 14 Feb 2017, Gerry 45d Surrey/Kent border 223ft wrote:
Second day of morning sunshine in the country, grey clag in the City clearing during the morning, sunny for the rest of the day. The wind takes the edge off any warmth though, especially crossing London Bridge which is either in the dull morning or after dark. Temps going down to near freezing overnight but quickly rising so no ice on the car this morning. An 11deg change over 4 days is not rapid but I am sure it has happened quicker than that. As to solar related cooling, Abdussamatov had the timing as + or - one solar cycle. As expected in Australia they are missing the cold in Perth in their reporting. Inconvenient of course.
On 14 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
GFS now going back to more like its earlier view on polar maritime incursions this month. That's just in a few hours, so those criticising Piers for not getting it totally correct at 30-100 days out, please bear this in mind. DAVID( Yorkshire) Yes an interesting time unfolding for the solarist-coolist outlook. AGWers are making hay with the heat in Australia , Eastern Iceland and the low levels of Antarctic ice( they were much quieter about the record levels of 3 years ago). The quiet sun syndrome is even being mentioned on the warmest Norwegian MO site, BUT it's getting nearer and nearer to crunch time for incontestable MIA effects in Britain, Ireland and North Atlantic Europe.
On 14 Feb 2017, Sou'wester (Cornish border, sub) wrote:
The ghostly moaning of yacht shrouds and telephone wires continued in bitter Force 7-8 gales yesterday. It was still overcast, trains still cancelled, drivers in still difficulty with the sea water and waves breaking over coastal roads. Cold even out of the wind at the same time the Beeb was reporting it was mild here. Sorry Beeb, spring did not arrive yesterday.
On 14 Feb 2017, stephen parker ( sub ) wrote:
David (yorkshire ) we've not seen the dire predictions of David Archibald and other solar proponents appearing yet, as you say just normal weather here in South West Herts.The next ten years or so will be interesting as a test of their theories. The last six weeks or so have been damp and cold, although no minus five type temperatures, no gales or blizzards just very cold minus 2-3 nights and + 3-4 degree days. At least we'll be spared the greenies wailing about drought this year, as the ground here is sodden. I have a beer or two with someone who has just retired from a lifetime of work on the Grand union canal between Uxbridge and Berkhamstead, very informative about the extremes of weather over the last forty years.
On 13 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
Woke up to hearing the wind outside this morning, cloudy to start though some bright spells later for a time on n off, remained windy, warmerish than recently max 7/8 deg. But feeling more like 5 deg with the wind. Partly cloudy with some stars visable & breezy tonight crunchy leaves still chasing around the ground outside.
On 13 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
3˚C at 7.30, dry & overcast with a stiff E’ly breeze, temps gradually rising to 4˚ by 9pm, no precipitation today, but further north and higher up there is apparently snow lying.
On 13 Feb 2017, Ron Greer(occasional subscriber) wrote:
GFS now backtracking on intensity and frequency of polar maritime incursions and going for more milder southerly/westerly influences for much of the rest of the month. AGWers making a mountain out of the exceptionally warm spell in eastern Iceland over the last few days.
On 13 Feb 2017, Carl 45d Subscriber wrote:
Well what a contrast all weekend here grey skies with snow flurries bitter cold only 2c and a cold E wind still coldish in the wind today but unbroken sunshine Just as Piers February forecast indicated Winter - Spring Well Subscribe if you want to know what the rest of Winter will bring
On 13 Feb 2017, David (Yorkshire) Sub wrote:
I don't think 2 - 13 degrees in 5 days, is really an example of wild jet stream swings especially in the South of the UK. It's just changing weather and wind direction.
On 13 Feb 2017, Steve Devine wrote:
9c and sunny with a fresh ESEly breeze at 2pm in SW Essex. Awaiting the March fcst with baited breath. Somehow I don't think Winter 16/17 is done with us. This week is yet another example of wild Jet Stream swings. 2c yesterday and 13c by Friday for example.
On 12 Feb 2017, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:
2 deg at 8.30 a.m feeling colder with the E'ly wind breezy/ moderate at times, remained cloudy with cold showers on n off.
On 12 Feb 2017, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:
1˚C at 7.30, dry and breezy from the E, impressive cumulus clouds with blue sky in between but mostly overcast for the rest of the day, max temp 4˚, occasional light rain or sleet showers, dry evening, 3˚ at 10pm.
On 12 Feb 2017, Andy (Chilterns 600ft elev) wrote:
Snowed virtually all day Saturday and another covering of snow this morning but melted by mid morning
On 12 Feb 2017, Sou'wester (Cornish border, sub) wrote:
Well, Gerry, it certainly seems the Donald's campaign stance on the CO2 climate theory has given permission for whistleblowers to have their evidence better aired. But I'm sure we haven't seen the back of the warmists yet. Meanwhile, in Devon, the full moon high tides and gale force wind combination has caused trains to be cancelled along the coast between Plymouth and Exeter AGAIN. Tidal flood warnings all along the South Devon coast, likely to stay in force through tomorrow. And the Beeb was reporting on Friday that spring would arrive on Monday (tomorrow). We shall see! .
On 12 Feb 2017, BLACK PEARL wrote:
**On 12 Feb 2017, Bob (Non-Subscr) wrote:** Yep we will wait & see. It took ages before weather reports even mentioned the effect of jet stream. Back of the field compared to the info being imparted by Piers for a long time before. Maybe they dont want to give you too much info in case it causes more of the population to formulate their own alternate opinions !
On 12 Feb 2017, Gerry Surrey-Sussex border 223ft 45d wrote:
On Friday CityAM reported a MetO forecast for snow on the commute home. No. There wasn't. However, having been to the pub and so was travelling home later and enjoying an enforced wait due to train delays, it started snowing and there seemed to be light snow into the night. Hard surfaces were snow free come Saturday while roofs, grass, cars were covered. More snow during the day but it warmed enough for all the settled snow to melt. A chill wind if you were outside. Uniform grey and overcast today with the NE wind cutting through. No snow or rain though. Interesting that the Pausebuster faking story has gone worldwide and is something Donald will be looking into with great interest. This could be their big mistake that brings the whole scam down.
On 12 Feb 2017, Bob (Non-Subscr) wrote:
On last night's 'look-ahead' forecast, John Hammond's graphics turned to the Pacific Ocean and he actually referenced the MJO and its Phase 8 blocking potential - (Albeit that he didn't actually use those terms) - Wow! In another couple of years the MET Office might just come around to the idea that the: MJO, PDO, AMO and climate change(s) are a completely natural process !!!
On 12 Feb 2017, TheSnowPatriarch wrote:
I thought i would be the first one to try and post on this board. I am a O type and proud to be so. I have also changed my name to TheSnowPatriarch as I thought that better explains the kind of person i am having to live through these tough times.
On 12 Feb 2017, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter) London, Chief forecaster wrote:
HELLO ALL Report from Borough High Street London Bridge: Cold and grey that 'Could snow feel' +++ THANKS ALL for REPORTS - looking forward to more - and FEEDBACK on forecasts. I think when commenting on Forecasts one needs to bear in mind there are different levels and they should be specified where possible:- Type 0, The snow only type, where everything is bad or sad unless it snows whether it was forecast or not! These are amusement. 1a General weather types over weeks or month, 1b Weather in specific time periods; 2a Circulation / Jet Stream general behaviour, 2b Specific circulation in a period. NOTE Long Range forecasts by others (eg MetO a week or more ahead) normally do NOT state wind directions but only weather in vague terms. This month 1a & 1b have been not bad (better in Ire / SW). 2a as general warnings of wild Jet stream good. 2b Specific circulation wrong for this week despite 1b not bad at first. Reason was the sudden Scand High from end R4 Feb2-5, R4 maybe a factor.