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GREAT VIDEOS by Piers Corbyn 1.   Electric Universe Conf March 2014 Presentation http://bit.ly/1nJecee (30k hits by July 9)
      - Presentation pdf At EU2014: http://bit.ly/1CsThF3 
2.  Co2Con Nailed http://bit.ly/QS0k34 
VID WeatherAction meeting Roger Helmer MEP on energy policy  
   
WeatherAction LongRange forecasts are world leaders 
They give possible likely weather scenarios (+/-1d) in typically 8 time periods per month for Britain+Ireland, Europe, USA regions. They are NOT substitutes for short range detail but provide a likely scenario for LongRange decisions and choices and are normally more accurate and applicable than standard meteorology on all time scales from months ahead to 5days ahead. WeatherAction are the only LongRange forecasts with proven peer-review published significant skill. 
In addition to LongRange detail typically within 1 or 2 days resolution WeatherAction Solar factors (which are included in all forecasts) give advice which point to improverments of short range model forecasts. Comments and news in forecasts and here and in blogs linked below deal with both LongRange Forecasts and medium-short Weather and geophysical effects - eg aurora - of solar factors in Br+Ir, Europe, USA and across the world.

ALL PAST FORECASTS are available in the web access boxes for current forecasts and in the Forecast archive (Via Forecasts tab) as it updates
 
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Forecast News 30 Sept, Oct 1, 2, 3, 4....

NEW NOW LOADED:-
=> USA OCTOBER 30d forecast (later maps coming soon)
=> B+I OCTOBER** B+I 30d (45d reissue format)
=> Eu OCTOBER 30d (45d) New style Pressure-Word Maps
=> B+I NOVEMBER Notes - on BI 75d, 100d; & "TheLot"
=> B+I DECEMBER in 8 weather periods - on BI 100d; & "TheLot" 
       **B+I 30d October available in Services:-
B+I 30d, 45d, 75d, 100d, Spring inc 45d to Nov.
B+I (+Eu) ALL AUTUMN WITH NOVEMBER NOW - just reduced in price!
Scandinavia Energy Traders forecasts, 
AND "TheLot" ALL BI to 100d, Eu to 45d, USA 30d.

 From 28th and in OCT BI 45day ahead Subscriptions start with NOV (issue mid Oct) and Oct (now as 30d access) is free - so 12m sub gets 13m at charge for 8.

Check-it-out: BRILL VALUE "TheLot" 12m deal for ALL WeatherAction forecasts on web BI, Eu, USA 
NOW AS A SPECIAL OFFER for 3 days only:- 
6mths 1/3 OFF, 12mths *HALF PRICE*

TOP NEWS

3Oct => 4 Oct.....

Embedded image permalink  Will ex-Hurricane Joaquin hit Eire and UK after it crosses Atlantic from USA? Will it be bad?
Piers says: "Joaquin storm remnants will hit Ireland and Britain arriving at the right time for one of our long range predicted storm events as shown on our (new style) Euro map forecasts (in Eu forecast box and BI 45d and beyond services). 
The main effects will be in north Eire and North Britain with likely max effects ~10-11th Oct - see our maps for what situation is being enhanced. This will be an interesting few days!


27/28/29 Sept
"The Red Super-Moon at the start of Labour Conference is a good omen* for my brother", says Piers Corbyn
 
 Embedded image permalink
Red supermoon over Brighton - from BBC. NOTE There is some sort of photoshopping/zooming here! 
(*If you like omens)

 23-24-25-26-27-28-29...Sept
Acclaimed article by Piers Corbyn
President Obama and Pope reach new low in propaganda for the new Anti-science religion of man-made (CO2) Climate Change


This weeks's Pope-arama celebrations with president Obama where they mutually praise each other's brazen lies promoting the delusional nonsense of man-made (CO2) Climate Change are the lowest of the low in co-ordinated attacks on science. 

This evil tragi-comedy is matched in the last 500 years only by:-
  • Hitler's promotion of the theory of the master race and the holocaust.
  • Stalin's insistence on strange 'socialist science' inherintence rules (The Lysenko debate)
  • The Catholic churches opposition to the evidence-based sun centred view of the solar system and their consequent inquisition trial of Galilleo 1632
As with these attacks on the scientific approach the basis of man made 'Climate Change' is not science but a negation of science implemented in the interests of economic and political power structures. 
The consequence and aim of the CO2 Con is increased social control world-wide, increasing (trebling) energy costs to the benefit of Big oil - who all support the deluded theory of man-made climate change (see www.weatherAction.com home page LHS) and a guaranteed conduit of super profits to the top 0.1% of the world who, as for property speculation, always benefit from investement in such bubbles of false value. 
  
THE CASE AGAINST MAN MADE CLIMATE CHANGE IS SIMPLE 
- IN 3 KEY ARGUMENTS:- 

1. There is no evidence now and there never has been in real world data for CO2 levels controlling world temperatures.  In fact world temperatures are now falling (using accurate satellite data rather than UN fraud data see slide 6 in pdf**) while CO2 levels are rising. 
** See http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews15no16.pdf

2. Man's CO2 flux in and out of atmosphere is only 4% of total. The idea that this dominates the other very variable 96% is deranged - slides 1+3 of pdf link abaove 
The fact that termites prioduce ten times the CO2 equivalent of man means Obama and the Pope would do better at reducing CO2 by declaring WAR ON TERMITES.
Interestingly all Obama's wars hitherto have upset the stability of middle-east oil production to the benefit of USA oil production (the USA is now an energy exporter not nett importer).

3. World sea temperatures control CO2 levels under basic laws of physics so over thousands of years sea temperaures (which follow solar activity) LEAD CO2 levels by some hundreds of years, see slides 7+8 in pdf. This is an observed fact. 
In everyday life if you warm a glass of fizzy drink CO2 comes off and if you cool it then it will absorb more CO2. The deranged CO2 theory will have you believe that putting extra CO2 above a glass of drink (or anything) will warm it up. Of course this idea is a deranged tail-wagging dog nonsense.  
  • WeatherAction Challenges any and all to debate! GET Piers to your debate and invite the other side: Ring 07958713320

Sep 22/23
Recent Top Red weather (R5 17-19th) effects confirmed USA 
- see Bob Weber report latest Report (22nd evening GMT) on lates Blog comments -- click at foot of this page

Sep18
Piers' Climate Comment
"The idea that the next two year will likely 'be' the hottest world-wide relies on the continuation and redoubling of Climate data fraud by the UN and state led Meteorological organisations and academic institutions world-wide. World temperatures as best measured by satellite are falling and world ice amounts are risng while CO2 is risng. 
 

See LHS WeatherAction home page and - Presentation pdf At EU2014: http://bit.ly/1CsThF3 ,
Co2Con Nailed vid http://bit.ly/QS0k34 

Sept 16, 17, 18, 19
Solar Events and solar Factors News,  see LHS of home page for updating solar-wind data and active links

Sep 17
Massive quakes Chile M8.3 (was estimated 7.9), M6.4 and aftershocks late 16th (GMT) into 17th confirm WeatherAction Trial enhanced BIG Quake risk warning in R5 17-19+/-1d 
 

Solar coronal image
  16 Sep from http://spaceweather.com/ 
Solar wind flowing from this broad northern coronal hole should reach Earth on Sept. 16-18**. Credit: SDO/AIA.
** actual weather impact likely a day or so later - note timing of long range forecast R5 period (see below)

Current  Solar factors (R periods) (normally accurate to +/-1d)
- Issued months in advance by WeatherAction as estimates* of impact of solar wind and solar coronal events on Earth's weather; labelled R5, R4, R3...   R5 gives strongest 'Red Weather' effect with largest enhancement of rain/snow, thunder, frontal activity, tornado risk and rapid tropical storm development WHERE such are occuringR5 (and R4) periods also give TRIAL QV5, QV4 forecasts of Major M6.5+ (and M6.0+) earthquake risk.

R3 12-14 Sep, NSF (No Specific Factors) 15-16th
R5 17-19, R4 20-21 Note the main impact of these will not be in Britain & Ireland where a long range forecast high pressure ridge is expected; greater direct impact is expected in Europe and parts of USA.

SEPTEMBER 12th 2015 
Jeremy Corbyn Day - A GLORIOUS DAY
Piers Corbyn says:
WELL DONE! 
"Corbyns are not doing personal interviews because they divert from the political issues which must be furthered. I can comment on the Labour leadership result itself. 
This is a massive victory for the UK and world. It marks the advent of a new kind of politics - Accountability, Democracy, Integrity. 
"Those who say they will oppose Jeremy's democratic landslide victory and leadership must be asked two questions:-
1. Do you respect democracy?
2. Do you actually support or oppose his policies against austerity and the rich getting richer at the expense of the rest and FOR decent housing for all, a fair and just society and ACCOUNTABILITY in all policies and politics?

To those who ask: Can Jeremy stay the course to become PM? I say: YES! All Corbyns rise to the challenges they meet and stand for accountability and integrity above self-interest and spin.
For result details see twitter feed @Piers_Corbyn
 
RT interview with Piers 12th sept. EXCLUSIVE: Jeremy Corbyn's anti-spin won him working people's vote - his brother Piers. More
There wre also great interviews on BBC TV main news and Channel 4


News issued Sept 11
Giant Hail 6 Sept Naples-Italy and Nebraska-USA confirm extreme weather event enhancements in WeatherAction R4 ('MajorRed') period 5-7Sept
http://www.weather.com/storms/severe/news/baseball-hail-italy-pozzuoli-naples-sep2015
http://www.stormersite.com/showreport.cfm?rptID=414740
  • another reason for WeatherAction to be involved in the new BBC weather Service currently under review 

Piers Corbyn said "This enhancement of extreme weather conditions - such as hail / precipitation intensity or tornado / tropical storm ferocity - confirms the power of WeatherAction Red Weather periods.  These periods under WeatherAction Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique give long range warnings of extreme weather and specific short term warnings that standard meteorology precipitaion / wind / frontal activity short-term forecasts during these Red weather (R5 or R4 especially) periods will need to be significantly enhanced.

We want to make our long range forecasts weeks or months ahead especially of extreme events and improvements of standard meteorology short range forecasts a day or so ahead, available to the BBC Public weather service via the new BBC-Weather Service contracts currently under review. (See WeatherAction News release 29 Aug, below)   

To keep ahead of dramatic weather events unfolding in September in Brit+Ire, Europe, USA and further ahead - such as Brit+Ire Oct or Nov available via BI 45d/75d ahead services, go to =>

- Further info on currently available forecasts below

News issued 3 Sept

Met Office UK LongRange summer 'forecast' wrong AGAIN, WeatherAction much closer to reality AGAIN
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/weather/11835279/Soggy-summer-was-impossible-to-predict-says-Met-Office.html
Once again the MetOffice hopes for a warm dry summer have proved delusional. It was overall wet and cool in most parts of the UK. 
The WeatherAction forecast was much closer to reality - for a lacklustre summer of contrasts across the UK with the Midlands, North and West being clearly cooler than normal and wetter than normal (especially in West and North) or close to normal in parts of Midlands. Any overall warmer than normal parts would be confined to the far SE under WeatherAction forecast. 
Piers Corbyn says: "Although the SE got more rain than we expected our forecast for a large majority of the area of the UK was on the correct side of normal while yet again the Met Office was in its 'BBQ' summer warmist delusions. 
"The MetOffice view that it was impossible to predict is of course true for their inadequate science and always has been and always will be. Their claim is a lie - and they know it - as far as our solar-based scientific approach is concerned through which WeatherAction has beaten them and all others soundly for Summers and Winters since 2007 (see list re BBC weather contract below).
"If the BBC and their political masters want the public and commerce to have 85% reliable long range monthly and seasonal (with DETAIL) forecasts and greatly improved day ahead and detailed reliable 10 day ahead forecasts the Met Office only has to work with WeatherAction; and the BBC has to accept a radically new approach from them with WeatherAction on board. The alternative is the BBC receiving forecasts from Dutch or New Zealand based companies who will make the same errors as the Met Office since they use the same methods and probably do not have the capability to work effectively with WeatherAction were the opportunity to arise."

Marie, N Ireland, well summarizes the UK summer (latest blog post comment via foot of page) with "folk commenting on the Autumn taking back the summer that never quite said I'm here"


News section on front page USA September forecast:

Twitfeed pic:
WeatherAction 6mths ahead of the rest

WeatherAction 6 month ahead issued 3 Mar and subsequent forecasts stated for the last 2 weekends of summer: 
22-24th Weekend and early week before bank hol period would be wet - confirmed.
29-31st Bank hol extended weekend would be generally fine and warm – largely confirmed (although NW & SE cloudy/wet). It was not as fine and warm (by day) as we expected although it turned out better than 2 day ahead TV forecasts in some places - eg NE and far SW UK. 
Piers Corbyn said: "We announced these two periods on radio (eg George Galloway LBC show) so although the Bank holiday period in the South/East was NOT what we forecast the overall results for thetwo periods for the bulk of Britain and Ireland were quite reasonable" 

Click here to get prices, buy forecasts and donate to WeatherAction Research

AUG 9
Prince Charles talks nonsense on Climate 
(but he is good on small farms)
http://www.express.co.uk/news/royal/597039/Prince-Charles-Prince-George-Princess-Charlotte-eco-warrior 
Speaking on a recent trip to Romania, the heir to the throne warned that global warming could have serious implications on food production, and leave humankind "totally vulnerable”.

Piers Corbyn astrophysicist of WeatherAction who beat the Met Office and all others in Long Range forecasting for the Royal wedding* of William and Kate and for Her Majesty the Queen's Jubilee celebrations says: (*http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews11No8.pdf )
"The Prince's statement is deluded scare-mongering nonsense which points the world in the wrong direction. It flies in the face of facts and physics. The prince made some good points about defence of small farms but on Climate Change he is seriously out-to-lunch. The scientific facts are:-
1. The world is now cooling not warming while CO2 is rising; so CO2 is not causing warming.
(see www.WeatherAction.com Home page LHS)
2. Extreme weather events, such as in the last 8 years, which have caused trouble to agriculture are caused by wild behavior of the Jet Stream. This is basic meteorological fact accepted by all sides in the Climate debate.
3. The wild jet stream behavior is in no way explained by increases in CO2. This is a fact acknowledged by the CO2 warmists who report that CO2 increases do not in their models give rise to the wild Jet Stream behavior.
4. The behavior of the Jet Stream - and the present wild jet stream Age we are in, which also gives Mini-Ice-Age circulation in winter - is driven entirely by changing solar activity and its lunar modulation, and its changes are predicted in detail by WeatherAction's Solar-Lunar Action Technique.
5. If the Prince, who might be king when my brother might be Prime minister, wants to promote science for the advancement of agriculture he should cease repeating the tax-grabbing fiction of the CO2 warmist religion and instead promote and apply our WeatherAction long range forecasts - which already save huge sums for agriculture in UK, Ireland, USA and Europe and if applied world-wide with his backing can improve food production to the tune of $billions.

Comments submitted - 179 Add your comment

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On 07 Nov 2015, Christine Gaskill wrote:

Margaret Thatcher was the first world leader to voice alarm over climate warming: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/7823477/Was-Margaret-Thatcher-the-first-climate-sceptic.html
On 07 Nov 2015, Christine Gaskill wrote:

Rainy yesterday and today in the Chilterns but warm for November 17 yesterday and 16 today!
On 06 Nov 2015, Christine Gaskill wrote:

Wow! Massive coronal hole, the wind should hit earth on the 10th! http://www.spaceweather.com/images2015/06nov15/coronalhole_sdo_blank.jpg?PHPSESSID=iu2p8vqb0ii2pmj56akfhhhfa5
On 03 Nov 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C at 7.30. Really, it is amazing that at this time of the year and under clear skies, for the 3rd day in a row, we don’t have any frost, exactly in line with Piers’ rough forecast from July where he says that the beginning of November will be very mild. Max temp in the shade was 10˚ but more like 15˚ in full sun. Splendid sunny day until 4pm when the fog rolled in for good, 7˚ at 10pm. == Good tounge in cheek (for obvious reasons) article here on the increasing Antarctic land ice https://www.corbettreport.com/nasa-admits-antarctica-gaining-land-ice-but-good-news-is-bad-news-to-climate-alarmists/
On 03 Nov 2015, Rob Horler wrote:

How the beeb love giving a deranged warmist loon an audience. According to vivienne westwood Mrs Thatcher CAUSED climate change. Listen to the link at 1-11-30 http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b06mc98y We really are in a race to the bottom.
On 03 Nov 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks 51N) wrote:

...if it wasn't for WA forecasts and being able to read model output I would be clueless. The BBC fcasts are a joke on a good day, unless they refer to the TV forecasts which at least have a degree of uncertainty expressed which makes a mockery of the accuracy claims. A guide maybe but only if you can understand what is happening with the jet or low pressure systems throwing out fronts etc. I know the MetO have a good forecast accuracy for a day ahead due to the +/- 2C error they allow (Bruce has quite a few posts on this). Its like allowing a goal just for being in the ballpark ;)
On 03 Nov 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks 51N) wrote:

Shaun - Bruce (xmetman) had a look at the record. === https://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2015/11/02/new-record-warmest-november-day/ === I think it's fair as there were contributing factors as well (see report), nearly same temp next day and it wasn't heathrow! Of course it was expected. Not only did Piers predict it weeks ahead it's what we expect with the jet stream displaced as it is - record cold & warmth noted by Lamb during the 40s-70s cooling and during LIA we had extremes too. Hard to believe it sat here as we had solid from Sat eve until last night when a slight breeze picked up and it lifted. I could see the cloud base for first time in days. Apparently it was tshirt weather just a couple of dozen miles west of here. Keele only managed a palitry ~8C under the fog. It was quite a warm fog tho' and mins are quite good for time of year. // 98% accuracy - depends how they measure but that is implausable as the forecasts keep changing.....
On 03 Nov 2015, Geoff wrote:

NASA now say that contrary to earlier reports the Antarctic ice cap is growing and total ice cover is also growing- see Daily Telegraph today. Which way is the Labour Party gyrating please? This is presumably another despicable Establishment Plot to destabilise the clear consensus -vide placards sported by Gob-lins etc- of the Proletarian Vanguard in its struggle for the theory that Warm creates Cold, and is doubtless funded with Gulf State money, But since it fits very closely with the previously published longer term predictions of Weather Action concerning Ice Cap growth as the Earth cools does that mean we can expect some stunning recantations followed by show trials of NASA and WeatherAction activists not reversing quickly enough into approved positions? Bags of overtime in the Ministry of Truth no doubt. Time to go for the Warmist Jugular, Piers. They are all but routed and much of the victory is rightly yours.
On 03 Nov 2015, shaun (Wales) wrote:

Haha, the BBC is about as 'leftwing' as the Tories, hence their part in the bias unbalanced Jeremy bashing. Anyway, the BBC are making claims their 3 day ahead forecasts are about 98% accurate? and suggesting peoples denial of such accuracy is confirmation bias! I do not believe their 3 day forecast is 98% correct, however I am open to accepting I could be wrong here. But they change their forecast every day. To say a 3 day ahead forecast is correct, there must be no updates to the original forecast otherwise it is not a forecast from 3 days ahead. They update almost all forecasts daily, often multiple times a day and even hours before a weather event (and I have still seen them get it wrong many times) so how can anyone claim that such forecasts are accurate. Surely the fact they consistently update forecasts their accuracy is almost nil or nil as for each new edit of original predictions you start your 3 days again otherwise it has not been a 3 day ahead prediction??
On 03 Nov 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

So basically MetO think we all thick and are betting no one checks their claims and we all just accept whatever they say because they are 'experts'. So when they make a big deal about a temp reading from a weather station sited in what in effect is a heat trap valley we should all bow down and kiss their slippers and say thank you wise masters. Now they have been busted twice about bogus record temps this year alone.
On 02 Nov 2015, Maria ( Ireland ) wrote:

2nd Nov. Foggy start took a while but a lovely day once it cleared, max 15 deg.
On 02 Nov 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

5˚C at 7.30, clear skies and sun all day, max temp 12˚, light S’ly wind, amazing day, 6˚ by 10pm. Spoke to someone in Edinburgh this afternoon, they had permanent fog there, 3˚ in the morning. == Maria Somerset, we haven’t lit our stove yet either, I don’t think thats ever happened since we’ve put it in in 2008, usually have to get it going by mid October so that we have one warm room in the house when the CH is off during the day.
On 02 Nov 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Richard - I am surprised at you. Surely you know that the BBC is a leftwing biased when it comes to factual output. They even let their bias creep into dramas too. So, with COP just 30 days away, of course they are going major on a single warm reading to prop up the myth. Remember warm = climate, cold = weather, unless it is the type of warm that brings cold of course. Craig beat me to it with the significance of the change in airflow between now and 1998. Evidence? Iceagenow has coldest October in Argentina since 1963 (interesting year for us in the UK) and with officialdom blaming it on El Nino who can spot the problem? Yep, coldest since 1963 and not 1998! So the super El Nino didn't bring record cold. The sun is setting and the mist is already on the rise. Clear night again in prospect so fog for the morning.
On 02 Nov 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

Trawsgoed update- this is what the mid wales hand gliding and paragliding club say about the Trawsgoed weather station.......Scanning webcam of the sky over the Met Office station at Trawsgoed (nr Aberystwyth). Weather data from this station are of little use for flying due to it's sheltered location.....http://www.flymidwales.org.uk/cms/node/9 so here we go again just like heathrowgate now we have Trawsgoedgate another cherry picked sheltered location. I can find no pictures for the siting of the temp guague but i bets its south facing and as the hand gliders point out it will be out of the wind. So MetO and BBC pump another non story warmist jedi mind trick.
On 02 Nov 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

the Trawsgoed, Ceredigion, 22c looks highly suspicious to me. Anyone else wonder why ONE station in wales [not used to being the hottest place in uk] is higher above everywhere else in uk including other local stations? the temp max station chart shows how it stands out http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&DATE=1446379200&CONT=ukuk&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=2&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&UP=1&CEL=C&SI=mph also why would BBC make it the TOP story above other news stories? They never do coldest stories.
On 02 Nov 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

well Asim, you will either be right or wrong, one way or another. We will all remember you if winter is mild (yes right, haha) just don`t get depressed if you are wrong in public forum. Us subscribers are waiting for the knowledge, not a wild guess. It has been too warm for any heating to kick in here, my eco house retains any solar gain, I have even had to put the blinds down part way. Ok, it is pleasant and the sunlight is great but I need some cold, I want to hibernate
On 01 Nov 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

5˚C at 7.30, clear & sunny all day with very little cloud, SW’ly wind, max temp 10˚, give me a 1st November like that anytime. 5˚ by 10pm and the forecast for tomorrow is more sun. Regarding the October 30d forecast, Piers was on the nail most of the time, particularly the mild ending, though the Arctic blast 14th - 18th didn’t happen, only a very weak version of it.
On 01 Nov 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks 51N) wrote:

Whilst it may not have seemed it here with an all day fog we are under the influence of an unusually warm and moist air stream. Looking west away from the fog and we see how canny Piers is. Note the year of the previous record...."The UK's November temperature record has been broken, with 22.3C (72.1F) being reached in mid Wales. The temperature was recorded in Trawsgoed, Ceredigion, at 14:00 GMT on Sunday. The previous record was also in Wales, where temperatures reached 21.7C (71.1F) in Prestatyn in 1946. BBC Weather's Helen Willetts said: "It's a long-standing record that's gone and it could even be broken again on Monday." === http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/34692910 === David - 97/8 is not a good analogue for what's been happening this year. We are in a meridional flow not zonal as then, despite the El Nino. Check out iceagenow.info for stories of where the cold is spilling out of the Arctic into lower latitudes+Eastside (see comms below) details early cold.
On 01 Nov 2015, Maria ( Ireland ) wrote:

A mild Halloween with longer sunny spells after an overcast morning, actually seemed to take forever for the sun and light to disappear so kids could set out trick n treatin, foggy start today Orange warning for fog in our area, some brief sunny spells warm when out chilly when in, max 12 deg here today fog making a comeback this eve..spookay..
On 01 Nov 2015, Sue G ( Annual 30 day subscriber) Cambridge wrote:

One day into November and PC is absolutely right so far; extraordinarily warm afternoon after fog in the morning in Cambridge. Post-lunch coffees in the garden. Bluest sky, barely a breath of wind. Picking late raspberries. Delightful. And thanks to PC I know how long it'll last...
On 01 Nov 2015, David (Yorkshire) wrote:

I think the early signs are that the El Nino will give us a mild winter NOT a cold and snowy one. The strong one of 1997/1998 gave us a mild winter. It looks like high pressure will set up to the south of us and be stubborn, just like last winter.
On 01 Nov 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

A lot of rain Thursday night through to Friday morning but clearing during the day. Clear night with a cloudy morning clearing to sunny spells. Still mild as I was strolling along the sea front at Brighton eating chips before the excellent Joe Bonamassa gig. Driving back home from the station there was thick fog which is proving slow to clear as there is no sun as yet to burn it off. Good COP piece by Booker today pointing out that only one bunch of idiots are committed to ending their industrial economy and sending us back in time - step forward the UK government. Even the EU has cracked and Poland and Germany are building coal/lignite power stations as we close ours. And the windmill builders get away unchallenged with statements like the Irish Sea Dong array being able to power 500,000 homes when the truth is that it will only power a third of that. And other generation is needed for the other two thirds.
On 01 Nov 2015, tony wrote:

well ive now got november forecast and wait and see how it pans .........very mild at present and as ive stated before when north usa canada are cold we seem to be mild .... not always but more % than not is there any reason for this ???? is it the way the jet stream meanders ????im no expert and wonder why this is
On 01 Nov 2015, east side wrote:

Winter is very early in Russia this year. It all started with pocket of substantial polar air extending right into Ural region in the first week of October. Snow is now already as far west as the outlying parts of Moscow and Volga regions. Now non stop snow starts for 10 days in Ural region, so approx 1 month early this year. A harsh winter is in prospect, but Eastern Europe is dominated by high pressure for weeks now. In the alps:- "Skiing conditions on the glaciers are currently excellent, especially in the western and southern Alps, where we have seen the heaviest of the recent snow". http://www.weathertoski.co.uk/weather-snow/latest-snow-report/ "we are now entering a prolonged spell of dry, fine and exceptionally mild weather, which will quickly melt any low-lying snow"...
On 31 Oct 2015, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:

I see Madden is going for another cold winter beginning in the next week or do! Please retreat back under your rock.
On 31 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

12˚C at 7.30, feeling very mild, rain off & on all morning in a SW’ly wind, brightening up by midday to a beautiful afternoon with 15˚ max, clear starry evening, 8˚ at 10pm. Remarkable how spectacular the autumn colours are this year.
On 31 Oct 2015, Asim wrote:

Alisater we shall see then, but please just remember what I said when "winter" arrives in the UK.
On 31 Oct 2015, Alistair wrote:

Asim , I respect your opinion but fail to see how you justify it, although I'm far from ben an expert I would have thought that judging by some of the various ingredients that appear to be forming I would say that we are more likely to get a bad winter rather than a mild one. As a 60 year old I've certainly seen a few bad winters and I just have a feeling depending how certain things pan out that this one could turnout to be quite nasty, plus if some of the the scientific theories been put forward regarding the sun in relation to colder weather patterns, then we could well be in for quite a sustained period of colder than average winters.
On 31 Oct 2015, Richard Pinder wrote:

Al Gore is hosting a period of Climate Reality from the 13th to 14th November. But it only lasts for 24 hours, before the Climate Reality Project ends, and returns to fiction. But for 24 hours, Gore wants them to get creative and sing to the Music, seize the moment, as the world is watching. Climate change is real, and Al Gore will put a stop to it with a thunderclap. But only after 24 hours.
On 31 Oct 2015, Asim wrote:

Will be another mostly mild winter for the UK again! 2015/16 have that feeling, just like last year and the year before and I was right.
On 31 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Yesterday's Scotsman newspaper carried an item about the SNP's Transport Minister preparing for the predicted worst winter for 50 years---has he gone 'off message'?
On 31 Oct 2015, Allan wrote:

Great going Piers. Afghanistan shook, lucky it was deep. The buildings that fell over mostly looked pretty wonky. it could have been worse.
On 30 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

6˚C at 7.30, overcast and damp with light rain in the morning in a S’ly breeze, repeat performance of yesterday with great sunshine in the afternoon and warming to 10˚, still that at 10.30pm. == CRAIG: ditto for our garden, it hasn’t looked so lovely this late for many years, maybe 2002 if memory serves, lots of flowers still and nasturtiums have not been blackened by frost, bearing in mind how sensitive they are. Still lots of leaves on the trees, still haven’t lit our stove which we have to keep at least one room of the house warm, usually lit by mid October.
On 30 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Remained mild today max 15 deg. still 14 now at 8pm quite windy and a heavy spell of rain around 7pm.. Finally Bus Eireann have announced that as a precaution against severe weather and in the interest of child safety that when a status Red weather warning is in place all their bus services will not operate in the areas affected, it will also be up to schools if they see fit to close, ( As long as the met weather warnings are prompt and give ample warning!-) this should save a lot of unnecessary journeys in dangerous weather and allow us parents to collect our children prior to deteriorating weather conditions without looking like a paranoid loon! yay hopefully no more climbing over trees to meet a school bus like the feb that Piers predicted the storm that no one believed me would happen.. as long as I stay tuned to WA :)
On 30 Oct 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks 51N) wrote:

Have to say my WA forecasts have held me in really good stead the past few months. Not 100% of course but they have been a great guide on what to expect and for planning. Someone I speak to & have shown f'casts to is highly impressed as well!!! Keep it coming Piers and if you are lurking here take a dive a subscribe this winter. // Interesting we are warming up as a very active sunspot rolls around the earth facing portion of our sun - I remember last year's Halloween heat well and the 'sparkling' sun. Flux is 113 and it looks like staying that way for a little bit. I'll be watching how things go when our sun quietens again in the weeks to come and how the atmosphere reacts. // Garden is so full of colour & lush growth. Can't recall seeing so many primroses this late & so full of blooms- it's not that unusual but lovely to see. I've had a great gardening year but looking forward to easing up & plotting for next year.
On 30 Oct 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks 51N) wrote:

Today's Netweather headline says it all: "Rain Clearing Northeast, Very Mild. Halloween Drier" === http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=6967 === impressed as ever Piers. Nov and Dec forecasts looking mighty interesting. This is going to be one interesting winter and I doubt we in the South will feel so snow starved (that's my personal opinion not WA forecast - Piers will say something of needed). The news blog is still updated & there's always stories on there and videos I can find to watch (Adapt2030 has some great ones I repost) === weatheraction.wordpress.com // So NOAA refuse to release emails. Just a stalling tactic as everything is being kicked to post Paris - they need the agreement signed whatever the cost to the citizenry. Like our balmy Climate Act once in place the bureaucratic monolith will be difficult to shift. Abbott & Harper are removed. We have to stop the bloody madness. Say NO to Climate CO2 Coercion (see blog for details).
On 30 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Last few days a mix of rain breezy with some sunny spells thrown in yesterday, has also been fairly mild for the time of year, a little windy this morning around 10 deg. at 8.50 a.m grey sky today and looks like some more rain on the way.
On 29 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

10˚C at 7.30, overcast & drizzly, rain setting in by 10, some of it very heavy, continuing until 12.30, sun breaking through by 2pm. Mild and damp, went out for a walk in nearby Crathes Castle grounds, the autumn colours are spectacular there and it is almost November. Sunny afternoon, cloudy evening, 5˚ at 10.30pm.
On 29 Oct 2015, Richard Pinder wrote:

It looks like NOAA has committed scientific fraud, (finding random? errors, and making adjustments, ALWAYS UP, NEVER DOWN) but then that would explain why NOAA is defying Congress. Just like Michael Mann, the only possible explanation for a mad obsession with secrecy from a publicly funded science set up, would be withholding evidence for the proof of scientific fraud. If they are innocent, their actions would be insane. Are warmists morons or charlatans. I suppose the charlatans want to keep secrets, while the morons are scientifically disinterested environmental activists with Arts, Media and Languages qualifications wanting to push everyone around like that “so caring” little Hitler on the BBC. It seems that the NOAA administrators want to keep scientific debate secret, even from Congress, while the scientists I know, complain about the censorship of scientific debate, and would love to tell Congress of how they have calculated a coming mini ice-age.I think Piers is censored not shy
On 29 Oct 2015, Sue (30 day subscriber) Cambridge wrote:

I haven't seen Piers' forecast for Nov-Feb yet, but I am thinking about getting a small generator for domestic back-up of essentials like CH pump and oh-too-clever gas hob which won't work without electricity. Does anyone have such a system? It may be that November will be mild, December topical and January have the arrival of the first flying pigs of the year, but just in case it's 2010 revisited... Any ideas? By the way, fabulous Autumn colours both here in Cambridge and in The Hague this year. And lunch outside in The Hague on Sunday and Monday which is odd for late October.
On 29 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Richard T Redcar ..........yes I agree with you comment fully, Excellent choice for a reward.
On 29 Oct 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Some flooding in the lower North Island of NZ today http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/hutt-valley/73485356/residents-stranded-after-bridge-buckles-over-hutt-river-upper-hutt.
On 28 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

11˚C at 7.30, repeat performance of yesterday, i.e. grey, foggy and humid but with added rain from time to time. Mild however, so that’s a bonus. Wind SE’ly, 10˚ by 9pm.
On 28 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

My Monday night quizmaster bemoaned that he was due to play golf today but it was going to be a washout. I would be very pleased to be out playing a few holes in the sunshine today. Heavy rain before dawn and still raining on the commute. Dried during the morning.
On 28 Oct 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

The current R4 period is bringing rain and cooler temperatures to most of NZ. Overall this month has been very windy and warm. The rain is certainly needed in many regions including ours so is very welcome.
On 27 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

11˚C all day, simple as that. Uniformly grey & damp all day, drizzle at night, the other kind of autumnd day, and feeling mild. The radio forecast this morning was announcing sunny weather and up to 20˚ in the Northwest! Not sure whether it got to that but that’s remarkable for late October, and bang on the nail for Piers! Great late growth on various veg.
On 27 Oct 2015, Richard T yearly sub Redcar wrote:

This nobel prize winner echoes many of Pier`s beliefs and truths if you have a spare 30 minutes it`s well worth a watch https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WM038vstio Thanks,Richard.
On 27 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Some cloud yesterday evening but clearing to give a clear night. Some light cloud this morning but sunny spells appearing. Another pleasant Autumn day in prospect. If it carries on then maybe another week will pass before needing to turn the CH on. Open fire doing a good job at the moment. Pakistan snow has arrived over a month early - not seen for 40 years. Snow in China - all boosting the NH snow cover. If we can just get Paris covered in December....
On 26 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Really windy into the early hours, remained grey & blustery with constant rain all day some hefty rain darker clouds later, calming to drizzle this eve. Max 13/14 deg still 11/12 deg now at 11 pm feeling mild out tonight. Cabin fever already with the earlier dark evenings and wet weather, outside tomorrow come rain or rain!
On 26 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, fresh S’ly wind with clouds and sunshine alternating all day, feeling much fresher than of late, like real autumn. Max temp 11˚, going down to 10˚ by 10pm and feeling milder & not quite so autumnal.
On 26 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

More early snowfalls. Kashmir has up to 2ft and the Indian met has no record of it happening before. More snow in Siberia causing chaos. Iceagenow has Steve Goddard showing NH Autumn snow increasing over last 50 years. True by graph but there are a number of troughs during the modern warm period. However, of more interest highest levels in recent years. We will get the warming is cold line from the warmists. Must make some more icecubes in my oven. Coal - simple answer is build next to the sea. never more than 70 miles from the sea so transmission no worse than off shore windmills. But, most power stations have rail supplies and so traffic need not increase on the roads other than a booming economy with cheap energy. Sunyy yesterday and pleasant. Cold night. Had nice fire going in the grate. Sunny again today.
On 26 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

such a lovely sunny autumnal day yesterday, slightly breezy and lots of time spent outdoors. I hate the clocks changing too, what an old fashioned waste of time, someone tell my body clock to keep me asleep for an hour longer. Coal, not a chance that old mines would be opened up in the uk, Cheap coal would come from china, russia, kazakhstan. Would increase energy dependence on other countries and thousands more lorries on the roads
On 25 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Ps I agree with leaving the clocks the fek alone I feel like I've done an all nighter lol...
On 25 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Unsettled couple o days rain wind some shorter dry spells with a lil brief sunshine, windy tonight quite nice to hear 11 deg now at 10 pm.. loads of leaves on the ground in the garden, love the seasons...
On 25 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, frost on the car and the grass in certain exposed areas but not as much as on the 17th. Brightish start but soon clouding over and staying overcast all day. Wind from SW, temps rising to 8˚ and staying there until tonight at 9.30pm. Beautiful autumn colours now on the the trees, although last weeks winds ripped some of the leaves of it is remarkable how many are still on and gradually turning.
On 25 Oct 2015, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Maria.----- Modern Coal plants have scubbers & particulate filters on them etc do a search Very little pollution to the environment (cheap & efficient)
On 24 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

11˚C at 7.30, light rain overnight buth getting heavier through the morning with some hefty downpours, W’ly wind and temperature going down all the time, 3˚ by 9.30pm, looks like frost is coming. Brightening up by 1pm, lovely sunny afternoon & clear evening. So far, October has been very good to us.
On 24 Oct 2015, east side wrote:

"Nuclear power generation is an insanely dangerous way to boil water". Are you crazy? More people die of coal mining accidents every years, and breath in the filthy dust to die of silicosis, never mind countries like Ukraine & North Korea who subsidise dangerous or abusive mining practice. Burning coal carries far more uncontrolled radioactive isotopes into the environment directly than any nuclear reactor does. Didn't you know that coal contains uranium, thorium, radium, radon and other isotopes?
On 24 Oct 2015, Lorraine wrote:

Lorraine// Beaver creek ski resort (remote Colarado USA ) have their first snow and they are raving that their open date is not normally till 28th November so they seem to be overjoyed 7 inches of the white stuff already
On 24 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Exceptionally cold / wintry from 30/12/1894 to 05/03/1895. To horticulturists and ice skaters in East Anglia, it was the winter of the ' twelve week frost '. Thousands skated on the frozen Serpentine in London, including a detachment of soldiers. Records from Cambridge Observatory show that there were actually air frosts on 70 of the 84 nights between 26th December 1894 and 20th March 1895. In particular, the mean air temperature recorded in London from the 26th January to 19th February was around -3degC: From the 9th to the 17th February, the whole of the Thames was reported as more or less blocked by ice-floes, some 6 to 7ft thick (circa 2m). [ It is not clear where this observation was made, but I suspect that this was referring to the Pool of London - a very important port for transfer of goods.] Water mains were frozen well below the surface to a depth of 2 to 3 ft (just under 1m). January 1895: A lot of snow, both from frequent showers off the sea, and mid-month heavy snow over
On 24 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Overcast with a light wind today. Just had a sharp shower at 7pm. The bad news keeps coming - high levels of ice already in Hudson Bay which will affect supply of communities there. As the Greenland ice makes a great start to growing this season so it seems that a record low of -55C has been recorded. What happened to the 'Great Greenland Ice Melt'? They will need to get the propaganda machine up to full speed to whitewash this inconvenient fact away.
On 24 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Gerry how I agree with you about coal, it still is the best form of electricity generation, it beats all this brainwashed hogwash our so decidedly brain dead politicians have foisted on us, the climate change act and all of the implications will haunt us for decades, the bloke that thought it up with the help of the civil service of course had the ear of the looney greens who have caused untold damage to this country, the only other way as you say are very small plants like rolls Royce. Typical October day here cloud, mild, with the threat of rain, the garden has lots of colour and the clocks go back tonight.
On 23 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C at 7.30 under a clear sky, which clouded up soon enough and the temperature rose to 12˚ max, moderate wind from the SW, occasional pale sunshine, a good day for this time of year. 11˚ at 11pm.
On 23 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Maria - it is unwise to make statements about what people might know. I was around for the smogs but I know that things have changed from 50-60 years ago. Coal-fired power stations have made huge advances in technology to make them cleaner and new power stations would take advantage of that. Research on improvements to coal has been damaged by the global warming scam in the west and here the dash for gas to ensure the miners/railworkers could no longer threaten the nation didn't help. There used to be the British Coal Industry Research Association in Leatherhead but that has long since gone. Also gone from the smog days are coal heated homes. As a boy we used coal and did many others. Smokeless zones today if coal is used. Funny how I am now going back to openfires and coal to save on green tax inflated energy use. Overcast with just a breath of wind today. Not 16ins of snow and paralysed like Omsk in Siberia. Imagine that here.
On 23 Oct 2015, Alex wrote:

With the LIA rapidly coming, some good news from Scunthorpe at Keadby Power Station. Read the full article here - http://sse.com/newsandviews/allarticles/2015/10/sse-announces-reopening-of-keadby-gas-fired-power-station/ This is an additional 735MW available in about 6 weeks from now for the UK grid from a high efficiency Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (CCGT) arrangement that also has advanced emission control equipment and parts fitted, “mothballed” for the last 2 years !! (political football maybe ?) Nuclear power generation is an insanely dangerous way to boil water. From what I have read over the years, there is not one NP plant on the planet that does not leak out radiation into the environment in one form or another, never mind the hazardous waste produced. If you have a strong stomach, checkout enenews.com. to see what is happening right now.
On 22 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Still 11˚C at 7.30 but then the W’ly wind gradually got up and we experienced quite a change from yesterday. Still sunny but max temp only 12˚ with the peak of wind strength around midday, the leaf stripping kind. Gradually abated, dry & clear all day, ditto evening, 6˚ at 9.30pm, could be frosty later.
On 22 Oct 2015, Lorraine wrote:

Lorraine//not sure if I would want to eat the crab around the Flamanville plant but then I suppose it's all a matter of taste
On 22 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

you don`t remember the terrible fogs we used to get, really thick choking smog, very many people just could not breathe and you couldn`t see 6 inches in front... Give me CO2 any time but certainly not the dreadful chemicals and filth that comes out of coal. Those were the bad old days, very bad. I like nuclear and so do people around here. Good clean energy, bring it on
On 22 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Hinckley is one of the daftest decisions made by government. It will be hugely expensive to build and produce expensive energy that will help kill any remaining industry. Coal is the best fuel for power generation and is also the cheapest and that is all that matters. Wind and solar would hardly exist without taxpayers' cash as they are uneconomic. Windmills went out of use for a reason. Small local nuclear is a viable alternative to coal and deliverable immediately courtesy of Rolls Royce. The rain of yesterday has cleared to be brighter today with glimpses of the sun. Cloud shrowded the Shard yesterday and Canary Wharf too. Nice sunrise leaving home. The solar flux has briefly ticked up again but sunspot numbers are down again. Claim from Turkey that El Nino will bring record northern hemisphere snow this winter. I thought we had lots of snow around the NH last winter into Spring. More misdirection.
On 22 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

wind farms and solar farms blighting the countryside. Roll on nuclear energy. Great decision and very happy locals. Been a very nice october here, hardly had any heating on and plants till flowering. No birds on the feeders either, hedges are full of berries. 7am and almost 14 already
On 21 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Made a mistake lighting the boiler tonight it's actually quite mild and muggy, drizzly cloudy n foggy the last couple of days off n on, sw'ly breeze making it milder now and slight fog and high humidity goes without saying, max 14 today 12 deg now at 10.30 pm Yesterday morning a little sun crept through early morning with a pinky sky really hit the trees and gave a beaut of mid autumn view.
On 21 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, a bit cloudy still from the overnight rain but the sun came out soon enough and it got steadily warmer and brighter, max temp 18˚ in the shade (!), in full sun it felt more like 20˚+, it was a day of the summer that we didn’t have, better late than never. Still 12˚ at 9.30pm. == Happy to say that the sugar loaf chicory, which we eat all winter, managed to fill out and will be capable of being stored; I sowed it at the usual time but the summer was so cold and wet that I feared it wouldn’t make it, however, the predicted (by Piers) warm spell at the end of September and the mild October so far turned what I anticipated as a failure into a success, as I had hoped. == PC really socks it to them on the Welcome page in his 20 Oct(ane) comment.
On 21 Oct 2015, Lorraine wrote:

Lorraine// I am not going down the politics road my comment is concern regarding nuclear power stations in UK - is this decision today for One in Somerset idue to concerns on climate change surely there are other ways like solar,, wind farms etc . I mean building a station has many problems like waste etc health, terrorist risk earthquake etc surely with two more plants possibly on the horizon in Essex and Suffolk greener Cleaner energy will shrivel on the vine. Being married to nuclear is that a good thing? With Piers statistics on solar weather prediction this government needs to be open to the Suns influence on this planet. There are other sys to keep the lights on.
On 21 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Some of the media are correctly reporting high UK energy costs due to government policy is making it impossible for the UK steel industry to avoid bankruptcy. There is an oversupply of steel as China has slowed down consumption and is now exporting but other countries are surviving. State aid is not the answer but the government can suspend the 'green' taxes and give the industry relief from other taxes to remain in business. But blue labour seem to be no more clued up on industry than new labour or the liberal coalition were. Of course we could put up tariff barriers but since we don't have control of our trade policy we can't. from a cold clear evening to a wet morning with overnight rain and another spell during the morning.
On 21 Oct 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

the deep ecologists might rejoice the demise of uk steel and claim it was their arguments 'wot wun it' but it was the chinese exchange rate war that is destroying British jobs and factories as surely as any waves of bombers would. The correct policy on rigged exchange rates is to put duties on their goods to restore 'the truth'. Communists are better at capitalism aka as stealing thro deciet. Now China has a bigger middle class than USA and more bIllionaires than anywhere else. All thro the rigged exchange rate which is hidden behind the word 'globalisation'. If Deng Xiaoping said 'wealth is glorious' then maybe the co2ers should follow another popular chinese saying 'seek truth from facts'.
On 20 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

5˚C at 7.30, brilliant starry start to the day with Venus just about casting shadows, she will be very close to Jupiter and Mars on Wednesday. An absolute sparkler of a day with long hours of sunshine and a max temp of around 15˚ or more in full sun (thermometer on N face of tunnel said 12˚), clouding over late afternoon, rain from the passing warm front after 8pm, 8˚ at 9.30pm. MO forecasting 16˚ for tomorrow, which is not bad for last third of October.
On 20 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

In the 'warmest year on record' it must be a bit of a surprise to find 7 US states recording daily lows that are records even including Baltimore-Washington International airport not that far from DC. It must also be a bit of a puzzle to see that the Danish Met are showing that the Greenland ice has made a storming start to the annual cycle - well above the mean and from last year. Dry and still weather for the last few days. Clear night giving cold and heavy mist in the morning. Sunny at home but cloudier on the way into town. Sunny spells currently. As regards NASA or Piers, I would say that Piers is better as there are times when an R period is forecast and NASA states no chance of a strong solar stream, followed by oops there has been. More steelworkers being sacrificed for 'green energy'. Media trying to ignore energy cost and taxes to focus on China.
On 19 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

8 deg at 8.30 a.m slight fog also, cloudy for most of the day but cloud broke up a bit this afternoon, max 12 deg + high humidity, cooler this eve a few stars to be seen ..
On 19 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, grey and overcast all morning, max temp 12˚ with a bit of sunshine in the afternoon, 8˚ again by 9.30pm, practically still all day apart from a very slight variable breeze. It may be a bit disappointing that we have no sunshin under this present HP, but on the other hand we also have no frost and that’s a bonus for keeping the flowers and last lettuces alive, so no complaints. == Russ: re 14th, I wasn’t being critical of Piers, just hoped he would comment, but I think he’s very busy at the moment. Thanks for your explanations though and I hope Bob will provide more insight also.
On 19 Oct 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

PADDY.... Re: Oct 14th. Your comment about the R5 being a bit tame. This is a very important part of his forecasts. Piers must have a lot of difficulty getting right because of the critical timing when the solar uptick hits our atmosphere. If it hits while western Europe is pointing sunward then we will get the storms. But if it hits us 5hrs later then the NE USA will get the weather change. If it hits after dark then chances are the Pillipines and Indonesia will get a soaking. Even NASA can't predict a solar wind hit inside a 12hr window, and I'm sure Piers has the same problem. We also have to assume that the waves of increased magnetic flux are such that they push and pull the earth's magnetic field to cause it to go negative and allow the solar wind to flood in, which is the main catalyst for storm brewing. If it increases but stays positive for a very long period, then the charge in the atmosphere should build more slowly creating more hit & miss weather patterns. ....Bob?
On 18 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, overcast and feeling mild, very slight N’ly breeze, max temp 13˚, glimpse of the sun once or twice, really dark clouds at times, 9˚ by 9.30pm, dry all day.
On 18 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Last couple of days more cloudy some short sunny spells yesterday max daytime temp 10-12 deg. Around 6 overnight, cloudy this morn with light N breeze and light precip.
On 18 Oct 2015, Gerry Surrey Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

When it comes to winter people should remember not to be obsessed by snowfall. What will cause more problems are spells where a high pressure remains static over us so it is cold but with no wind. Lots of snow makes people think of it as a cold winter but it was a spell of prolonged high pressure that brought us to about a week from having problems with gas supply. We are worse than the EU of mad energy policy as they have slowed up on their targets. Germany and Poland are also building coal generation as we close ours down. Something that might not have been noticed by many is that the energy companies are reorganising to split their generation types. Might not seem much but it puts them in a position to say fossil fuel generation is no longer economic and bounce the ball into the government court as it their taxes that have made it so. Smart move.
On 18 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Gerry you are correct about electricity, incompetent governments old and new, why have we left our governance to the EUSSR they do not have this country's interest at heart, it looks at times they want to bankrupt us, we have a parliament of fools and freeloading types who could not debate an issue if their lives depended on it. As we will see as the global warmist swans fly in to Paris the December squawking that the Kings clothes look oh so wonderfull. By the way going back to weather it was a stillish day here yesterday with cloud all day, a slight chill in the air to indicate yes it is Autumn.
On 17 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

0˚C at 7.30, first ground frost of this autumn, open ground in the garden was white, glad I covered the remaining lettuces with mesh. The day started clear as a bell but by 8.30 the clouds moved in and never left, with only the odd glimpse of the sun in the afternoon. Mostly still, occasional variable breeze, 12˚ max temp. Under the cloud tonight at 9.30 we had 9˚, quite a contrast from last night.
On 17 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Steve - when I lived in Wallington we got our electricity from Croydon (now Ikea with just the chimneys left) and gas from Croydon - the largest gasworks in Europe at the time. Natural gas replaced town gas but where does the power come from? Battersea, Wandsworth, Bankside, LUL Lots Road have all gone. The further power is transmitted the greater the losses. The argument for the Rolls Royce systems is that there is virtually no design work needed as they are a proven powerplant. Construction time would be short. Getting local steel might be a problem as now Tata is cutting jobs. Having devised a dumb tax system that has to give money back to offset the tax typical of our incompetent government in being slower than everyone else in paying it back. By the time they get round to it all the steel furnaces will have closed. And how long before founderies, glass plants, refineries, petrochem follow them? And people think we have a conservative government.
On 16 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, no frost, very still. Great sunny day, max temp 12˚ where the thermometer is sitting, much warmer in full sun, maybe 18˚? Mostly blue skies with little cloud at times. 3˚ again by 10pm.
On 16 Oct 2015, STEPHEN PARKER wrote:

The J.M.A ( Japanese model ) is now going for a cold winter for the u.k, with a northerly then easterly flow.Whether the south gets the snow is moot, and to be fair its a long way out for models.There will be northerly blocking and as ever the jet stream position is crucial to who gets what!. So we could be in for a humdinger folks, only ten weeks to Christmas, will it be a white one?. Its barley believable that they are taking power stations off line for maintenance, may be they take their guidance from the met office?
On 16 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK sub wrote:

Gerry I totally agree with you on this stitchup by the EUSSR and the greens, we are on a very slippery slope with our energy supplies, as to the rolls thing I have seen a article about this and it is very good idea, can't remember where I read it now, small plants would be a great idea, trouble is the greens would be wetting themselves and would have to be sectioned under the global fairly act.
On 16 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Phil - you should burn your FoE leaflet and reduce it to carbon. Our energy reserve is worse this year and unlikely to survive a long cold spell with high pressure or a power station failure. Booker is concerned this time and given his knowledge of the STOR we are on a knife edge. And if that wasn't bad enough the idiots are planning to phase out coal generation by 2023. 75% of generation is by coal and do you see this being replaced by ANY other source in 8 years? Let alone a reliable one. We should get Rolls Royce working flat out making small local nuclear plants based on their submarine power systems.
On 16 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Danny... Great to think that rabbits can feel something in the air so to speak, don't you think that the experts at the ipcc do the same, they test the political water by putting their toes in if the politicians say hot so do they, I see today in the mail they say a chimp could do as well as the whole lot of them,
On 16 Oct 2015, Steve Devine wrote:

Saw some geese flying south in a perfect V formation this morning. Was grateful none of them were evacuating their bowels while overhead to be honest though! Interesting comments Danny, hope you're right! We have 2 pet rabbits in the garden but they're safely in their hutches when the kids aren't playing with them. Local weather - grim in C London with spots of drizzle, 11c.
On 16 Oct 2015, David wrote:

Just wondering if there are any comments on the suspension of France's top TV weatherman Philippe Verdier for publishing a book daring to criticize the IPCC. When even a pillar of the Establishment comes out saying they "blatantly erased data" which went against their preferred conclusions then you start to wonder who might be next!
On 15 Oct 2015, danny wrote:

Hi to Piers and all at weatheraction. I will stick my neck out and tell you all that we are in for a vicious winter, and any farmers reading this go check your rabbit burrows, warren,s, and see how deep the rabbits are digging this season, and also the rabbits kidney,s are all ready surrounded with fat. This is happening from Scotland to southern England, nature knows before humans. Best wishes Danny and his Lurcher dogs.
On 15 Oct 2015, Phil non sub Ipswich wrote:

Leaflet through the door from Friends of the Earth against Fracking. That's good, I'll make a donation. But checking their website, they want to "do something" to stop climate change. Oh dear! So they didn't get my money.
On 15 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30 and frost on the car roof, but none on grass. Clear and starry early on, 3 planets on the eastern horizon, clouding over by 8am, making for a grey and clammy morning. Brightening up to a sunny afternoon by lunchtime, max temp 13˚. Light N’ly breeze all day, very different and truly autumnal feel now. Leaves slowly beginning to turn, still quite a lot of green ones though. 5˚ at 10pm
On 15 Oct 2015, theguvnor wrote:

I heard today that UK energy suppliers have warned that reserves are down to 4% this year (from 5%) due to lack of oncoming energy sources and shutting down of traditional coal fired power stations. We've still got our STOR generator reserves though and we all know how popular diesel is at the moment should this be required to be used!
On 15 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK, sub wrote:

Richard T......The problem with this report is they are using computer models which only this month have been blown out of the water as not fit for purpose as they have been using maths that was flawed by as much as 10 times as much on the warmist side, so rubbish in utter rubbish out, as you can see by this drivel..................... Antarctica's ice loss could lead to widespread ice shelf collapses across the continent as early as 2100, according to the findings published in Nature Geoscience. Using computer models, the study also discovered there could be a doubling of ice shelf surface melting by 2050, which could quickly drive up sea levels. Note they use time scale that can't be checked in a lifetime, Follow the Money.
On 15 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

3 deg at 8 a.m thin layer of ice on car window, a few patches of light grass frost, chilly foggy start, clearing with sunshine to partly cloudy later max 12 deg. 8 now at 7 pm
On 15 Oct 2015, Richard T yearly sub Redcar wrote:

Have you seen this drabble well what next ,the sea is evaporating lol http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/antarctica-ice-loss-study?cm_ven=Facebook_TheWeatherChannel_Science_JKo_Article_No_1_20151014_twcplayer
On 15 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

Black Pearl....Don't panic perhaps Piers can persuade his Brother to make him head of climate change , then it will be sorted out properly, unless "God forbid" Piers doesn't have a hand brake turn moment, or U turn as the papers call it.
On 15 Oct 2015, Nigella wrote:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/france/11931645/Frances-top-weatherman-sparks-storm-over-book-questioning-climate-change.html
On 15 Oct 2015, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Heads up people Possibility of Greenpeace people in charge of UK energy God forbid ! http://utilityweek.co.uk/news/nandy-appoints-former-greenpeace-campaigner-as-head-of-policy/1178603#.Vh-EFn6rS71
On 15 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

1962/63 (Winter): COLDEST WINTER OF THE CENTURY This was the coldest winter (by the CET series) of the century, and the second coldest (after 1739/40) in the entire series. The wintry weather (frequent, often heavy snowfall/severe frosts) set in just after the shortest day and lasted with only minor interruptions until early March. Snow remained on the ground for a good part of this period. Notable persistence of easterly winds to south of Scandinavian blocking high. NB: HOWEVER ... an analysis (published in 1963) using Glasgow (Renfrew/Abbotsinch) from 1921, and before that Glasgow Observatory suggests that this winter was the SECOND coldest in the composite series from the winter of 1868/69 ... the COLDEST WINTER for the Glasgow area being 1878/79. (Over 450 football matches postponed - 'Pools' panel invented?); The sea froze for some distance offshore in Kent (?north shore/Thames Estuary?) , and ICE FLOES were a frequent observation in the lower Thames and across the Estuary; Lamb
On 15 Oct 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK. Sub wrote:

1963 extremel winter arrived as I remember smack out of the blue, I think we would shudder to a complete halt for days if this happened now, may I suggest you get set up with at least 10 days of supplies like tinned food etc just a thought. It must be the onset of winter soon, the first set of propaganda by the warmists has just arrived with dire warnings of doom and gloom, we are going to fry they spout, So it is bound to be snowy at the Paris meeting of warmist fools and money grabbers, like swans they will be flying in, but they will not be such a pretty sight as the swans that is for sure.
On 14 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Walking to the station I felt something strange and then lo and behold I realised it was raining lightly. Heading out of London you could see a patch of grey cloud coming in on the wind and then there was some heavier rain. Had passed over by the time I got home but the blue sky had gone. And heard in the office today 'snow in Holland' from my Dutch colleague. Province of Limburg had sleet and snow this afternoon in the town of Vaals near Aachen.
On 14 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, no frost as I had thought, chiefly on account of the HP having moved NE-wards and thus bringing in a SW’ly breeze, still cool enough though. Great sunny day, max temp 13˚, starry evening, 5˚ at 10pm. == PIERS, what’s happening? The R5 is a pussycat for the time being.
On 14 Oct 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

actually making it illegal would be great. i could go to prison. write a book make millions....
On 14 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Another chilly slightly foggy start 4 deg at 8 a.m felt colder but not as much as the previous morn. no thin layer of ice on the vehicle or slight grass frost here like yesterday, another fine dry sunny blue sky kinda day with the odd cloud here and there, perfect for clearing up and digging over the first empty veg beds, max 13 deg partly cloudy and 9 now at 7 pm..
On 14 Oct 2015, WENDY wrote:

High Peak Derbyshire .I remember 1962/1963 January, in the high peak was really awful ,snow piled up several feet high on lanes and main roads.If we have a winter like that up here it could be difficult, I am not so sure if I could cope now. We would be isolated and would need mountain rescue 4x4 vehicles.
On 14 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Plenty of instances of early snow flagged up on iceagenow to add to the observations here. As more people notice the cooling there will be more articles on the subject but there is a long way to go to counter the warmist propaganda. More pre-COP drivel being issued according to WUWT. Sadly the public aren't interested and won't be hammering down the doors demanding action - unless it is seen as a useful way of keeping warm in the cold. Better to turn up with burning torches and get a nice fire going. Which is what I should have done last night as the temp dipped to its lowest so far. Might be close to central heating on time but might hold out for a frost first. Wind in London looks to be NE today and carries a chill despite the sun.
On 14 Oct 2015, Steve Devine wrote:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2093264/Forget-global-warming--Cycle-25-need-worry-NASA-scientists-right-Thames-freezing-again.html Just confirms what Piers has said all along. Am seeing more and more of these articles forcing their way into the mainstream media, well, everything except The Metro which publishes a ridiculous Global Warming article once a week. "'If you tell a big enough lie and tell it frequently enough, it will be believed" - A. Hitler
On 14 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

CHRISTINE: you are obviously too young to remember the winters of 1962-63 and 1968-9, the former being one of the worst on record and in terms of minima,not being exceeded until 1982 and 1995.
On 14 Oct 2015, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:

So have the Russian Swans Christine! http://www.independent.co.uk/property/house-and-home/uk-weather-earliest-recorded-autumnal-arrival-of-migratory-swan-could-be-sign-of-long-cold-winter-a6693056.html
On 14 Oct 2015, Bob Weber, N Mi USA Subscriber wrote:

Christine, that is a good question! Is the reason low solar activity? For six years from 1961-1966 the solar flux averaged 88 sfu/day. That was a time of low temps. The only similarly long low period after that was 2005-10, when the ave was 77, with low temps until the ENSO in 2010. Cool 1971-77 seven years ave was 94. In the last 90 days this year, the flux ave was 101, of which 24 days were under 90, and in the last 12 days it's averaged 87. Nature seems to know something we don't. We saw geese early this year, and our oaks have dropped vast amounts of acorns since late July (~90d ago). The birds go south when it's too cold (or maybe because they can sense less intense sunlight.) Around here people who go to Florida for the winter are called 'snowbirds'. Is it genetic, or are they too lazy to shovel snow? If it's going to be a tough winter, I'm ready with a brand new R5+ ready mega snow pusher.
On 13 Oct 2015, Christine Gaskill wrote:

The geese have arrived early it seems, which the newspaper states hasn't happened since the mid sixties. I wonder what happened back then, cold winters?: http://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/environment/we-werent-expecting-you-5000-geese-arrive-in-northern-ireland-early-28789599.html
On 13 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, grey under a layer of high fog (it had been clear earlier) which kept temps low for the whole morning. Hardly any breeze, so much so that by the afternoon, when the sun came out and it got to 13˚, the midges also appeared, though they’re not as ferocious as the were in what we called summer. Find end to the day, darkness now falling at around 7pm, by mid December it’ll be by 3.45pm. Already down to 5˚ by 9pm, so we could have a frost by tomorrow morning. Further inland, temps have dipped to -3˚ in places last Saturday. == Gerry, good point re lying under oath: as long as these people can hide behind limited liability they’re all bluster but when they actually have to assume personal liability they disappear pronto. They need to be made to say what they say in sworn statements, which they won’t of course.
On 13 Oct 2015, Lorraine wrote:

Lorraine// Swallows actually all gone now last remaining seemed to have flown south over the weekend. I read a Sberian swan had arrived a month early in UK on the nternet - will monitor what migratory birds start arriving
On 13 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Richard - the warmists have always avoided court confrontations as they would have to lie under oath about global warming and they also don't want critical eyes looking at what they do. Notice how Mann has been abandoned by his side in his legal dispute with Mark Steyn. None have stepped forward to have their names added to his case. This legal move smacks of desperation knowing that COP will fail as China, India etc won't sign up. Geoff - warmism is classic marxism dressed up in a green cloak. Those of the left can never admit they are wrong, ignore evidence that proves them wrong and have a superior attitude that they are right no matter what. Chilly northerly winds are around with airport flight paths back to those for an easterly flow. Sunny and pleasant but with the clear skies chilly at night. The wind prevented mist forming last night and reduced any dew.
On 13 Oct 2015, Geoff wrote:

The Warmist Cult is only conforming to the general pattern of Evangelical Cults. Prerequisite is a conviction in one's unique righteousness. Infiltration of State Institutions or their overthrow by conquest in the name of the Cult is not always achieved, but if it is, then the creation of a penal code that is intended to silence/crush the opposition follows in short order,justified by one's righteousness, manifested in the gaining of power.From the Milvian Bridge to . the persecution of Arianists took about 70 years. Bolshevism and Nazism took 10 or so years in the open, but drew on earlier 'sacred texts'-Das Kapital for example. 'Mein Kampf' is substantially derived from earlier racialist/religious sources. Mayflower to Salem was about 60 years. Syria seems to be a work in progress. Our own dear Warmists have been at it for perhaps 40 years, so the persecutionist phase is about on track. The Pope and the Prince might go pluralist-but not I suspect the spitting zealots of Manchester
On 13 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Well, surprise, surprise, Arctic plunges now off the GFS model until the 26th-28th and a warm spell from the 20th. What a glorious autumn it has been in the Central Highlands.
On 13 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Brrr lovely cold start :) mist n fog over the fields and a thin layer of ice on the car, sun is clearing the mist and sky already clear blue in the south facing garden, taking longer to clear on the N side, 4 deg at 8.30 a.m felt colder..
On 13 Oct 2015, Richard Pinder wrote:

Piers, Supreme Court judge Lord Carnwath is after you. A semi-secret, international conference of top judges proposes to make illegal any opinion that contradicts the climate change “consensus of ignorance“. http://www.thegwpf.com/judges-plan-to-outlaw-climate-change-denial You could face Philippe Sands QC from Cherie Blair’s Matrix Chambers, in the International Court of Justice. Because he thinks the court should rule on climate science to quash sceptics. I don’t think even the Nazi’s when that far with Jewish science. I’m a UKIPer and a monarchist (at the moment), but I hope your brother can protect you from the loonies in the judiciary, and that genuine Goon, Prince Charles.
On 12 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

7˚C at 7.30, a marked change in feel. Quite a bit of heavy rain early in the morning, stopped around 7am, cool NW’ly wind blowing all day, max temp 11˚, back down to 7˚ by 10pm. Some sunshine in the afternoon, but light drizzle by 9pm.
On 12 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Fab day again today lots of blue sky and sunshine, a little cooler with a max of 12deg. but warm enough to work in a T-shirt, really fresh outside now 8 deg at 7.30 pm and I think we will see our coldest night of the season so far tonight in a wee while as def. a tad parky.
On 12 Oct 2015, Bob Weber, N Mi USA Subscriber wrote:

Gerry, the sunspot numbers from NOAA are the ones I use because they also publish every other solar indice data daily with it; spaceweather.com uses it, but I'm not sure where they get their raw SSN data from - I want to know too. The new WDC-SIDC numbers Svalgaard just re-did are for historical purposes and I don't know who is using them for daily reporting as I haven't looked. The sun is ignored by the warmists for several reasons, some political. The global warming we had last century was slow and incremental, as that is the nature of solar heat accumulation, and it's effects were once considered the cause of warming & climate change, but the linear solar relationship to temps only shows up in some time periods, fostering doubt by warmists. Ironically, there are two long periods were CO2 increases are not linear wrt to temps, but that doesn't stop them from their false attribution to CO2. They do claim cumulative CO2 is the cause while ignoring the FACT of solar accumulation!
On 12 Oct 2015, Bob Weber, N Mi USA Subscriber wrote:

Russ, that coronal hole is pretty big now. In theory, each polar hole can't get any bigger than half the sun! Put this http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/f_211_193_171_1024.jpg in a tab and watch it every day to see the corona and how it changes so much over time. The bright areas are the active regions, some of which don't make a sunspot, but it gives an indication of what x-ray flux and F10.7cm should be as the bright areas are where flux increases originate. >2MeV electrons have continued to be high as the CH is still geoeffective as it's so large, even though the center disk part I mentioned before is now out of sight, due to the sun's Parker spiral, of the solar wind, does connect to areas off to the right hand side of the solar image. See http://www.solarham.net/ "CME prediction models" on the left side panel, and see the distinct solar wind sectors and where they connect on the sun. The orange region is what we just passed through, and we can also see what's coming.
On 12 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

A very beautiful sunny day again, cool first thing but it is sparkling. Been like this for several days now. At present, 15.16 pm my netatmo in the shade is registering 20.6, vantage vue on a fencepost in a field is measuring 14 degrees. It is 23 inside as the sun is streaming in. Lovely and uplifting
On 12 Oct 2015, Fred wrote:

BBC /MetO longe range the other day spoke of easterly winds and further down the line as in next week a cold plunge in North America East Coast will ramp up the jetstream there and it will loop well north with far fetches. This in turn will cause HP to build and build in the Atlantic towards Greenland and bring cold northerlies to the UK, this they forecast for week commencing 19th. Well guess what, the models are now gearing towards HP transfering east towards Scandinavia and Britain coiming under influence SE/S winds fetching up warm air. That is what Piers has forecast......I know what I think will hapen....and the jetstream with large loops/far fetches caused by a cold plunge in N America? Well if Piers has already forecast that weeks ago it must be something else that changes the jetstream wouldn't you think?
On 11 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Cloudy start 10 deg at 9.30 a.m turned out a nice sunny blue sky day with big cumulus clouds this aft. sun quite intense making it feel warmer working in the sunshine for a couple of hours, max 14 deg. temp dropping off quickly then misty over the fields before dark, cool and clear tonight lots of stars, 8 deg. now at 10.30 pm
On 11 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

(10.10.15) 8˚C at 7.30, mostly cloudy but feeling mild and a milky sun eventually breaking through, light SE’ly breeze all day, max temp 15˚, very hazy by afternoon but still feeling mild. 10˚ by 10pm. == (11.10.15) 10˚C at 7.30, grey and overcast all day with a SSE’ly wind, a little rain in the morning, max temp 12˚, back down to 10˚ by 9.30pm, typical autumn day of the other kind. (Couldn't upload last night as Piers must have been working on the page)
On 11 Oct 2015, JohnE wrote:

Following on from my iPhone related weather forecast post last week the MO had initially, 3 days out, forecast cloud over Mull, the day before the event that I was attending said a mix of light and heavy rain with some sunshine in between. What we actually got was light cloud, sunshine but no rain at all, not a single drop all day and we had taken our waterproofs with us expecting to be stood out in the wet stuff. Amazing, truly amazing
On 11 Oct 2015, east side wrote:

"expecting snow in the next 3 days". Well it was just as I forecast,- unusually heavy snow hit the region. People can ski in the parks around, and it's at least 3-4 weeks early this year. That makes this year's warmth an unusually short one, with a very late spring and a very early winter. Anyone not believe me the northern hemisphere is cold, only need to check the images from the last few days, and the pocket of freezing polar air established, - although it's going to warm up a little. (So much for CO2, - that seems to be all "hot air" to me!) https://www.gismeteo.ru/map/557/ http://www.cud59.ru/storages/cameras/40.jpg
On 11 Oct 2015, Gerry Surrey Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

Bob - the sun must be light kryptonite to warmists as they fear its power to expose them. They have to focus on the argument that changes in TSI can't explain the warming while ignoring all the other solar inputs. They tie themselves in knots over the ozone layer. You wonder if they really do know it's the sun. Same as when people suggest that the politicians do really know a little ice age is coming but are keeping quiet about. I think that gives politicians an intelligence virtually none of them possess and they are really ignorant. A clear chilly night has brought a sunny morning but with a mix of thin and thicker clouds. Light wind blowing.
On 11 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS going for worst of potential Arctic blasts, especially the first one to miss us, though the far north of Scotland may get another incursion.
On 11 Oct 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Bob.... how big do you reckon these huge coronal holes will get eventually as we head through the next solar minimum? I've predicted they will cover most of the area surrounding the solar polar regions, for long periods, with probably no visible corona during a total solar eclipse; maybe a little right at the equator. I think this is what the ancients refer to as the dark sun, because they drew/painted depictions of the sun with and without 'rays'. So they must have been able to observe differences during different eclipses. This would have forewarned of good or bad harvests no doubt, hence their detailed interest and pictures.
On 10 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Overcast but dry all day with some partial thinning of cloud in small parts, max 14 with a 23kph light ese breeze, switched to e'ly whisper now and 11 deg at 7.15 pm nights really closing in but not as cool tonight, high humidity, the new maple I planted has turned beautiful autumn colours, the leaves are really falling from the mountain ash, last beetroot cucumbers chilli's n peppers picked, marrows collected just the last few rows of main spuds left to dig up then to wait for the frost to eat me parsnips, bring on the cold!-)
On 10 Oct 2015, Bob Weber, N MI USA Subscriber wrote:

Gerry, thanks for noticing. I don't expect Piers to comment on my work as he hasn't seen it. The usual solar antagonists showed up and attempted to foist their 'superior' knowledge again which is what they do anytime someone asserts that the sun caused global warming, climate change, etc.. I live with it. There are two classes of behavior wrt to the sun's influence - those who fear I'm (we) are right, and those who are afraid I'M wrong or can't uphold MY end sufficiently. People are not trusting, and I will only put forth what I think people can handle. Russ - that coronal hole has been very interesting to monitor as >2MeV GOES electrons shot up from zero to over 50K after the CH high speed stream squared up with us and as it has rotated to nearly off the sun's disk, still over 25K now, speeds from 700-800 km/s; it produced a very long geomagnetic storm with a big ring current bump when it started. No cyclogenesis from it AFAIK, but lots of aurora! F10 yesterday @ 81; 2015 @ 119.6.
On 10 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

William Hill only offering 3:1 against a White Christmas---don't they believe in global warming
On 10 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Questions- sunspot numbers, spaceweather details 2 methods of counting, Boulder & International. The site uses Boulder which gives 25% more sunspots but has only been around since 1848. Data for ISN is shown back to 1745. Which is better for long term correlations? Is there data before 1745 for ISN? Is this similar to tornadoes where better reporting and observation give higher numbers in recent years and better optics can allow more sunspots to be seen? I note today that the sun is nearly down to single figures and would be in ISN, hence the questions. Weatherwise- enough chill last night to have the first fire of the winter. Cloud has come across from the east today and is overcast with a light wind.
On 10 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Hammond's comments i9n the Mobeeb website on the cold Atlantic 'blob' are a real hoot and his observations on the unprecedented rate of melting of the Greenland icesheet causing further chilling are truly 'giggle-worthy'
On 10 Oct 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

The latest report from the NZ Met Service for this region http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/news/72861781/el-nino-set-to-scorch-nelson. El Nino is not a rare weather phenomenon and the continuing intensity of it (or not) for the rest of this spring and summer is at this stage unknown. This is the same Met Service that has forecast higher temperatures than were realised this week. Yes, it is dry at the moment but who knows?
On 09 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C at 7.30, chilly but bright start, staying bright all day with a bit of cloud, actually somewhat warmer than yesterday with a max of 15˚, even warmer in the sun. Light SW’ly breeze, 9˚ at 9pm and very damp in the night air. == Maria Somerset, I quite like it when Piers is wrong the right way :-), so far anyway; more of the present weather will be appreciated. Gerry, yes, it does look like Joaquin is heading for Spain.
On 09 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

It has been a beautiful week here, About 8 degrees first thing, mist and then a gorgeous day, every day, reaching to 20. No rain, not much wind, a balmy autumn. Tbh not at all as predicted, so far anyway
On 09 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Cold enough for the first extra layer this morning. Nothing to say other than blue sky and sun. There are 2 good solar related threads on WUWT which might be worthy of comment from Piers? One discusses the Soon Connolly Connolly paper that is saying the sun has caused the warmth. The second also looks at the sun's output and provides interesting information about cycle 24. Our own Bob W contributes to the discussion. Worth a read. Re- forecasts. I like the annotated maps as they can be related to pressure charts. We are seeing a deviation at the moment so could we have some background as to what is going on? Is a high blocking the Atlantic air flow?
On 09 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Sky cleared last night and was a really clear starry night, overcast this morning and some hefty showers now at lunchtime that met.ie failed to mention, 14 deg.
On 09 Oct 2015, Mike (45d subs) wrote:

What's going on with the October 30 day B & I forecast. Seems to be all over the place. This weekend forecast seems wrong.
On 08 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

5˚C at 7.30, forgotten what that feels like. However, a splendid sunny day, blue as blue can be, max temp on the thermometer 13˚ but it was certainly warmer in full sun. Slight NW’ly breeze to start with, S’ly in the afternoon, 6˚ at 9.30pm. It’s days like this that make up for the gloom we’ve been getting for the last couple of days. Great starry sky at night, also early morning with Venus next to the sickle of the moon & Jupiter a bit lower down, couldn’t see Mars or Jupiter yet, they should all be visible at the moment.
On 08 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Not a bad day again misty start then some good sunshine, max 16 deg & cloud moved in as the afternoon progressed and light rain by early eve. High humidity and cloudy around 10/11 deg. now at 9 pm so less cool than the last couple of nights.
On 08 Oct 2015, Derek Watkins wrote:

Does anyone out there know why the MO/BEEB's weather presenter Chris Fawkes always dresses like an extra from Guys & Dolls ?
On 08 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

The graphs are up, better late than never
On 08 Oct 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

Andy B 45D Farmer sub SE Wales wrote: When are we going to have a proper 30 day forecast? with graphs etc...I second that, what I paid for
On 08 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

A much nicer day than recently. It was still cloudy yesterday evening but there was a hint of red to the west and so it proved that red sky at night etc brings a nice day. As per earlier comment, it was certainly a chilly start out in the country. I believe a 4 to 5 deg difference between urban and rural is much more accurate than the 1 deg claimed. Talk in the office of the aurora being seen in Hertfordshire - any sightings from the team in places north of the Thames? Seems to have been a very fast solar wind since yesterday evening. Piers - any update on Joaquin as I have read that the high to the east will cause the storm to split and miss us with rain heading down into Spain.
On 08 Oct 2015, Andy B 45D Farmer sub SE Wales wrote:

When are we going to have a proper 30 day forecast? with graphs etc.
On 07 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland South Leinster ) wrote:

Nice clear sky sunny day, max temp 14 felt warm in the sun, actually got stuck into the gardening, really nice autumn day and clear cool starry night, looks like 5/6 overnight, reports of aurora seen in Dublin tonight which was lucky for them, looking like tomorrow a good day to finish cropping certain veg..
On 07 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Still 13˚C at 7.30 but not for long: by 9.30, as the Low moved into the N Sea, the wind turned from SE into the NW and the temps started going down to 11˚, then to 9˚ at 9pm. Not as much rain as yesterday but still steady and occasionally heavy, the contrast to Sunday’s brilliant sunshine couldn’t be stronger. Sunny tomorrow, according to MO.
On 07 Oct 2015, JohnE wrote:

I have started to keep copies of the MO weather forecast as seen on my iPhone. Without exception the forecast is always updated and never has it remained constant even from the day before. I am off to Mull this weekend and for Saturday the MO was showing just cloud earlier todaybut now there will be rain and Saturday is only 3 days away. how does anyone plan for this because I cant
On 07 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Rain. Lots of it again but with a break in the middle of the day into the afternoon. Rain returned during the commute home and into the evening. Grey and dull again today but with a switch in the airports flight paths to the western pattern. Less rain so far. It seems that Joaquin miss us - but then plenty of time for them to change their minds or to be just plain wrong. Interesting regarding the summer temps. I don't recall it as being hot bar the one day or so at the start of July. I do recall that the evenings were quite cool and not conducive to sitting outside in a t-shirt.
On 07 Oct 2015, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

I must say I find 'average temperature' for a season to be a fairly pointless concept. The summer in the SE was 'warmer' not due to extended heat by day but due to unusually consistent warmth by night. Yes there was one short heatwave, but July and August were mostly 22 - 24C by day but 14 - 16C by night, which makes the average rather warm. It caused a failure of runner beans to set until late August and September, when a glut arrived, it gave great tomato crops and the lack of rain until mid-August reduced potato crops significantly. All fruit this year was a bumper harvest - apples, pears, plums, cherries.
On 06 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

13˚C all day, ditto rain, some of it very heavy at times in the strong SE’ly wind. Tomorrow looks not much better, except that the rain will be blown along on a NW wind, but Thursday & Friday are said to be sunny by MO. Piers’ September forecast was spot on most of the time, by the way, shame that we missed all the lovely weather at the end, but we got the same in France so we could tank up on sunshine for the winter.
On 06 Oct 2015, Steve 45 day sub wrote:

Hi Piers. If you haven't seen this yet you should have a read. Basically Engineer mathematically proves climate models are nonsense. http://www.ntnews.com.au/lifestyle/miranda-devine-perth-electrical-engineers-discovery-will-change-climate-change-debate/story-fnk0b1ks-1227555674611
On 06 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Beeb still not certain where Joaquin is going to go even at just a few days out.
On 06 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

Rain. Lots of it yesterday right into the night. More grey skies this morning with some heavy showers in London but some breaks and sun have arrived. Richard - who now actually believes the Met and BBC anyway. Their need to fiddle the figures to keep the warming coming will just increase the distrust as they can see the disconnect with reality. Russ - the spaceweather explanation is not unusual. More interesting is the one remaining numbered sunspot on the disc and the piece about the lunar eclipse. The dark red shows that there are volcanic aerosols in the atmosphere that are causing cooling by blocking the sun. But then hey its ok, the El Nino will override this and keep it warming. The irony of a natural cooling being overridden by a natural warming is no doubt completely lost on the warmist author. And he also only thinks the solar effect is from tsi.
On 06 Oct 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

The current spin on uk sept weather is that it was 'dry and sunny' which suggests heat right? They fail to mention sept was colder than average [you know their cherry picked cold average designed to make all temps look 'above avaerage'.] So they design reports to always make it look liek there is some warming going on. How can the official sources be trusted with this const misrepresentation not only of the data but of reports.
On 06 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland ) wrote:

Quite humid today, woke with the rain at 7 which cleared by late morning overcast for the remainder of the day, max 16 deg still 14 now at 1 a.m light sse wind outside.
On 05 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, cloudy with a strong SE’ly wind, dry until 3.30pm rain thereafter, not too heavy but constant until 8pm, 14˚ max, 12˚ by 9.30pm. First day back at work after the holiday, ouch!
On 05 Oct 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Alister... what's your take on the spaceweather.com explanation why we got a great aurora but without a CME. If it looks like a dog, sounds like a dog and walks like a dog, then it must be a cat?? The explanation, to my mind, is about as daft as the proposal that global warming causes global cooling. If I turn on the hot bath tap it warms the bath not cool it.
On 05 Oct 2015, Roon Greer wrote:

Beeb a bit confused about direction and penetration of Joaquin, though going for the blocking high to win out and easterly winds to establish. Just as well it's not December or January!
On 05 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Surrey/Kent border wrote:

All change. You could see it coming during Sunday afternoon as a veil of high cloud came across and gradually more cloud built up. Rain came by midnight and this morning it was grey and damp with a burst of rain on the way to the station. Dry on the wall to the office but then spells of rain again. With all the hoo ha over VW and emissions, in a piece on WUWT regarding the EPA reducing permitted ozone levels from 75 ppb to 70 and the guestimation of how many lives this will save is a report on premature deaths and pollutant levels in California. The report finds no link between certain things including PM2.5 particulates. It casts doubt on the whole diesel emissions saga as France prepares to raise taxes on diesel over the next 5 years. Note here that the French population is quite well spread out and its cities quite small - London has the 6th largest number of French people for example.
On 05 Oct 2015, Kent Weald wrote:

Had the bonus of the lingering high pressure last ten days, visiting and camping in the Mondahliath mountains and Cairngorms. Couple of frosty nights but glorious sunny days with the highland midge still active! The deer rut in session but seems a little half hearted this year Autumnal colours and skiens of honking geese flying south. One question, why is the Oct forecast Slat a and not the greatly improved slat b?
On 05 Oct 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

The gales continued in the South Island today and moved up to the North Island. We also had some here in the Tasman District in the early of this morning and found the wheelie bin deposited in the back garden by the wind. Fortunately that, and having to put the cover back over the dwarf peaches as it had blown off, were the only effects of the wind. Stayed windy all day but not to gale strength.
On 05 Oct 2015, Maria ( Ireland ) wrote:

After fog alerts and some sunshine, Friday was mostly overcast cooler not as foggy as previous mornings and evenings but still present, cool night temps of 6 for a couple of nights, we ended with a still mostly cloudy Sunday high humidity and milder tonight max 16 today Sunday and 12deg at 1.30 a.m ese breeze 21 kph approx
On 04 Oct 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, amazingly sunny day, 14˚ max - it’s apparently been like that for the last twelve days with the highest temp on Tues 29 Sep at 20˚, clouding over in the afternoon, 9˚ at 10pm. We enjoyed similar weather while in France, only a bit hotter with 27˚ at times. We were in the Hérault region and saw the devastation that had happened a few weeks earlier when about 30 metres of the A75 motorway were swept away by huge floods caused by thunderstorms. River valleys looked like they had been combed by a giant with a rake, whole vinyards flattened but also very localised. A man told us that this kind of event occurs in this region every now then when cold air from the Cevennes mountains collided with hot air coming up from the Mediterranean. The floods in Nice are exacerbated by the huge surfaces of concrete there.
On 04 Oct 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Was up at Aviemore and the 'Concretegorms' national park today and it was more like the Riviera, with warm sunshine and even at the ski centre at 600 metres people were in tee shirts, shorts and sandals--though they looked a bit sorry when the sun went down and a very cool breeze set in. Autumn colours more marked north of the Drumochter Pass.
On 04 Oct 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

It took until mid-afternoon for the sun the break through yesterday. Clear all night last night so clear sky and sun with just a breath of wind - I have a large eucalyptus at the bottom of my land that is a good wind indicator. Notice the early chill in my study which is a single story extension and so has just one protected wall. Not much sign of Autumn's colours yet. Horse chestnuts are usually the first to turn and I don't have one any longer. Ones at Oxted station have turned and bear lots of conkers. Acorns and Rowan berries appearing out and about. More drivel appearing ready for COP. Zambia pleading for money as their hydrodams are short of water and the rainy season and main mineworking are out of sync. They do have lots of coal though so the new China-Japan fund may be able to help them build a few power stations. India just got its COP statement in on time and has promised nothing other than to increase power generation to improve economy.
On 04 Oct 2015, east side wrote:

Very cold in Ural just now (2C) , expecting snow in the next 3 days with the kink in the JS bringing freezing polar winds straight down. Last week it was 25C here!!!!
On 04 Oct 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Bob.... thanks for your info on the previous thread. I notice another large, directly Earth facing hole is affecting us already, with sfu down to 97 and the Bz over 4° south giving strong aurora. The overall solar wind is weak in particle numbers and fairly low speed though. Went through a heliospheric current sheet fold on Friday. I noticed a huge increase in people driving like complete maniacs on Friday, and that's all day, not just 5pm. It is without doubt powering up the typhoon near China. ...... We put the heating on last night as the whole house grew cooler and cooler as the afternoon and early evening rolled on. Very heavy dew on the grass, clouds of breath on the air which remained for ages, almost resembling smoke. Lots of tree leaves have gone golden overnight.
On 04 Oct 2015, @Piers_Corbyn twitter address wrote:

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