Comments from Piers
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Comments submitted - 260 Add your comment

On 27 Jul 2015, Steve,Dorset,UK sub wrote:

There was me thinking no this is not right and then I saw a report on climate realist site about the forecast being spot on by piers, then after checking the members site I twigged that I have been looking at a interim forecast piers put out early and never thought of looking for or at the update, let confusion reign, I am now back up to speed on the real thing and will have to be careful about looking on the members page in future. Chilly and showers today so yes piers you are quite correct in your forecast.
On 30 May 2015, Roy wrote:

Russ, you are wrong with your last comment. Jack Straw as Labour's 1st home secretary in Blairs government abolished the act of Treason in 197/8. Roy
On 30 May 2015, @Piers_Corbyn wrote:

THANKS FOR GREAT COMMS ALL ON THIS THREAD. We have now started New one 30May... With Amazing 12months for only 5 deal (brief) marking success of Slat 12a this deal includes 100d ahead forecasts
On 30 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Was it Craig a while ago, who said that the 'average' i.e. CET temperature trend for May was essentially flat, or slightly below normal? Well that just proves what a load of baloney average temperatures are, because here in sheep deep Derbyshire we have had quite a miserable spring. Lots of sun but that persistent chilly breeze has been a thorn in the side of any enjoyment. Whatever happened to the Dutch lady who commented regularly? Any road up! I think that the next 3 to 5 years are going to be a real toe curler of a time as we head into the solar minimum. If it's chilly here and cold in the NE US already, then wait a few years and hope that we get a reprieve. .... According to Mr Obama, we whom question the lies and misleading news stories of the warmist nazi's, are virtual terrorists. There Barack, I just beat you to your punch-line. He says that we are a threat to national security. Someone somewhere needs to remind him that we can still hang people for treason!!
On 29 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

8 deg at 11 a.m max 12 but felt cooler, mostly rain cloud some showers heavy but had a few glimpses of sun! NW breeze and can feel temps dropping tonight.
On 29 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, 4˚ overnight, bright sunny morning, temp rising to a max of 18˚. Showery afternoon, more so than yesterday, with impressive cumulus towers and anvil clouds brought on a N’ly breeze, temps cooling down in every shower and not really recovering. 5˚ by 10pm, low enough considering that we’re about to move into flaming June.
On 29 May 2015, Bob Weber, N Mich USA Subscriber wrote:

Gerry, yes. Low solar flux is affecting the planet already. The places where it is warm or hot now are areas in the NH where there is large amounts of atmospheric water vapor. Even a weak sun nearing our summer solstice feels warm and will feel even warmer with a lot of water vapor in the air, as it has in the US southern states, INDIA, and anywhere else near the tropics. I've monitored water vapor images every day for well over a year, and regularly see ocean evaporation changes in response to solar activity changes. The extreme weather in the US lately was caused by that El Nino moisture clashing with very southward cold waves from the north. W/o that El Nino now, I think it'd be cooler everywhere except the tropics. My research includes the quantifiable solar-ENSO relationship; for instance, without recent upticks in solar flux that only lasted 10-14 days at a time, this El Nino would've fizzled out sooner. Two weeks of F10.7cm flux under 120 =>> ocean evaporation drops off!
On 29 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

MObeeb now confirming the cool trend of May to the end of the month and into early June. Mobeeb-Scotland predicting temperature of only 3-4 C for the Munro tops this weekend, so well with the snow falling range in heavy showers. One commentator on the Iceage Now site mentioned that snow might fall down to 1500ft on Sunday.
On 29 May 2015, C View wrote:

Here is a link to a story on the BBC website of all places that backs up the Glencoe Glacier story, this was posted in August 2014. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-28885119
On 29 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

LEE BARRETT: thanks for getting back to us on this. Any chance of a photo? Would be great to have this examined by a glaciologist, climatologist or qualified geographer ( perhaps you are ). Mind you warmists might try to firebomb it as it is embarrassing evidence!! Coming north today on the A9 via a crowded bus, I heard several passengers commenting on the amount and size of snow patches on the Atholl and Drumochter hills.
On 29 May 2015, Andy B 45D Farmer sub SE Wales wrote:

So far this month we have had nearly 6 " of rain, well above average the real killer this month has been the cold NW wind our maize crop although planted early on 20/4 was up in early May but it hates this weather and has struggled to get above 3", a lot of farmers around here have only just planted theirs and will be unlikely to get a good crop this year . The grass has been slow to grow as well, a good indicator is how often I have to cut the lawns which has not been very often! hoping for a long warm spell in June but not so sure we will get it
On 29 May 2015, C View wrote:

Fresh snow down to about 2500ft on Ben Ime today 29/5/2015. RON given a lapse rate of about 3c per 1000ft (I think that's right) then I guess if the summer temps come in at 3 or 4 degrees below average then we could be looking at glacier formation.
On 29 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

(28.05.15, not published for some reason)9˚C at 7.30, 6˚ overnight, sunny and cloudless start but with a strong W’ly breeze that kept going all day, which is why temps never got higher than 15˚ at the highest; this has been the story for so much of May. Showers in the afternoon, even snow pellets at one point. Bright sunny evening, 7˚ at 10pm in the still fresh wind. == Russ: the killer with the wind is its drying effect. Looking at our trees here, they’re gradually coming into leaf, cold or not, as they have to at this time of year. As for grass, there have of course to be moisture and nutrients in the ground for it to grow but it can cope with cold if there is a bit of sun from time to time. This spring has been bright for a lot of the time, unlike 2012 when it was so dark.
On 29 May 2015, Gerry Surrey/Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

Had to share this classic from the Test Match page. The start has been delayed and at 1140 they posted up a forecast from the day with the comment the this BBC Weather forecast was different from the one posted at 1032. LOL So in just over an hour it has changed. And Littlejohn in the Mail commented about the BBC local weather forecast for Lords test was 'warm and sunny' but was actually, cold with a breeze, cloudy and with a 2 hour break for rain. How much was that computer again? I would say that I hope they kept the receipt but then it is not the computer's fault. GIGO strikes again.
On 29 May 2015, Gerry Surrey/Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

It has been variable weather over the last week with some days of sunshine and the odd day of grey cloud and some isolated showers. Currently, grey wet and cold in London. Even when the sun has been shining the temperature has not been hot. I note Bob's comments on SFU and that all week it has been low. Does this account for the lack of heat? I can think of many a May when the amount of sun we have had would bring a very warm spell. So interesting if it will continue through the summer. There is a could write up by Lord Monckton of an anti-science meeting at the Scottish Royal Society on WUWT where warmist speakers got irked by his awkward questions. The audience actually applauded anti science statements. What must former esteemed members be thinking of such stupidity. He squeezed an admission that a global warming sceptic has never appeared there. It was all the usual lies, half-truths and omissions delivered to an on message crowd.
On 29 May 2015, Richard Tate wrote:

Hi Piers, Living out in Papua New Guinea at the moment. LOTS of Earthquakes happening here and surrounding ring of fire. Also just saw this article about the explosive volcanic eruption in Japan! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-05-28/japan-issues-highest-alert-evacuation-warnings-after-volcano-explosively-erupts-no-i
On 28 May 2015, Lee Barrett wrote:

C.VIEW- This Glacier i told you about is forming in an area which the sun never touches over Glencoe. Its been forming since 2007. Keep up the great work Piers. :)
On 28 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, 6˚ overnight, sunny and cloudless start but with a strong W’ly breeze that kept going all day, which is why temps never got higher than 15˚ at the highest; this has been the story for so much of May. Showers in the afternoon, even snow pellets at one point. Bright sunny evening, 7˚ at 10pm in the still fresh wind. == Russ: the killer with the wind is its drying effect. Looking at our trees here, they’re gradually coming into leaf, cold or not, as they have to at this time of year. As for grass, there have of course to be moisture and nutrients in the ground for it to grow but it can cope with cold if there is a bit of sun from time to time. This spring has been bright for a lot of the time, unlike 2012 when it was so dark.
On 28 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Not great weather again today, wind and rain for the most part a few sunny spells that almost tempted me to try and get stuck in outside, a banging headache also put paid to my enthusiasm, can't be any coincidence that our family of 5 peeps in three different environments all had headaches/migraines today and felt generally under the weather what with the R5 phase we have just had, youngest also had a small nose bleed which I've noticed has only ever coincided in these conditions, would that be a weather pressure thing also I'm wondering? Max temp 12 felt cooler..
On 28 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

C.VIEW: yes it would be good to get more info from Lee Barrett on this and we should remain cautious until more evidence comes in. If every month June to September was to be as far below average temperatures as this May has been, then incipient glaciation in terms of Neve and Firn in the Mamores especially, would be well in prospect. Neve was recorded last year on the north slope of Ben Nevis. If our hills were just a 1000ft higher we'd be talking small corrie glaciers.
On 28 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Wind Paddy? I have thought for a long time that plantlife such as trees, especially in more northern climes, are immune from windchill and aren't affected in the same way animals are, but, revelations just keep coming, and I now understand that even moorland (hardy) grasses are affected quite badly. Now I have to get to grips with the way humidity plays a part in holding back spring growth. It must play a part as plants have highly differing reactions to frost. It has to be tied in with windchill as freezing isn't triggered by windchill if the ambient temperature is above freezing. This is the point where I'm reminded about supercooled plants avoiding frost damaged...but is that including windchill or not??
On 28 May 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

Gav vids []A Taste Of Summer Next Week? (26/5/15) ] makes an interesting point about Hadley's biased use of CET. Hadley use a 30 year average but they do not use the current 30 year average but the 1961-1990 average which was a colder period which makes all modern reading more likely to be 'warming'. If they used more modern averages such as 1971-2000 or even better the current average 1981-2010 it would show the uk was cooling. So Hadley need to explain why they use the 1961-1990 average and not the current 1981-2000. Guesses anyone lol? the money they get should be put out to tender and the record keeping should be given to an independent body and not the warmist cabal who clearly abuse it to make it fit their religion. Hadley is broken.
On 27 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

10˚C at 7.30, 5˚ overnight, reasonably sunny morning with a SW’ly breeze, actually 19˚, but by the afternoon the cloud was moving in from the West, the wind strengthened and you could feel the cold ahead of the rain, which started around 4pm & continued to 8pm. 6˚ by 10pm, not exactly balmy. Nevertheless, vegetables & trees are making some progress during the sunny parts of the day, certainly not as bad as 2012. Russ: yes, you’re right, it’s this wind that does it and it’s been going for a long time.
On 27 May 2015, Bob Weber, USA N Mich subscriber wrote:

R5 that started yesterday having it's effect. Proton density has been spiking sporadically today, at times over 100/cm^3 (very high). Texas and other states still flooding from torrential rains this month. System low tracked NNE through Texas this week, now near us in Michigan, right on time, verifying Piers' May 26-28 USA forecast. Oklahoma feeling the brunt of those severe T-storms, and Ohio had tornadoes yesterday, both also part of Piers' forecasts. Hot & humid on Gulf coast states coastline areas per forecast with high heat index over 90 today. Cool 50-60s in Rockies. Windy and spotty rain here today, mod temps. Solar flux averaged 104 sfu/day over past 10 days; USAF yesterday forecasted it to average 107 sfu/day for the next 45 days. The Sun has ebbed close to the "low" monthly SWPC F10.7cm forecasts over the past four months; and is headed for <120 this summer. Now is the time when the Sun will really start showing warmist dummies that it is the true driver of the climate.
On 27 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

cloudy start with the odd light shower and now heavy rain showers since lunch time and feels cold at 8 deg. @ 2pm after yesterday's hot n sunny we are in a time of complete contrasts that's for sure :-/ ' yuk who turned the lights out?' our son once said after a nice day!-)
On 27 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

But unless CERN experiments focus on 'changing' particles from one type to another, instead of trying to discover new particles without figuring how they were created, then the jigsaw holes will remain. They don't need higher and higher energy levels to find the particle changes I briefly described. They already see particles disappear and reappear, but explain them as 'virtual' particles, popping into and out of this universe from another dimension. And that's the reason I don't follow the majority of standard cosmology any longer. The descriptions used are bordering on Unicorn level fantasy! They cherry-pick their own results because fund givers will only pay for 'wow & amazing' not 'dull & boring'! It's admitted that when 2 protons collide they can break up creating a shower of different particles.They must know then, that this is happening in space, and our atmosphere due to collisions. I think the word dark is a better name than virtual, if that's what it is. Simply invisible!
On 27 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Paddy... Yesterday I noticed that the trees around downtown Scotland (Glasgow/Edinburgh), were at the same stage as the ones around here but at about 600ft elevation. Temperature hovered around 13c yesterday in Scotland as well as DerbySheepyshire but in general a 2c difference between urban lowland and rural moors. So you're right, it is down to just a couple of degrees, and the wind-chill effect seems to make all the difference..........Alister... Try this video. The debaters have some interesting ideas. >> https://youtu.be/BGBY6O2p0hI <<... An energy filled universe is what the early, Big-Bang universe was, before inflation. Extreme EM waves of energy could be transmitted throughout this energy filled space, hundreds of times faster than c which could explain 'Inflation' and universal expansion, but the fizzycists must stop thinking of undetectable things as 'virtual'. They're not virtual, they're real, we know they are there, because sometimes we just catch fleeting glimpses.
On 27 May 2015, C View wrote:

A New Glacier Forming In Glencoe . Surely some caution is needed here. For sure there is still a lot of snow hanging around the higher hills due to the cold spring a late snowfall but that is not without pesident. Surely the formation of a new glacier or area of perma-snow can only be made if this area of snow and ice is still there come the end of September.
On 27 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Exceptionally high tides on NZ's East Coast http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/pictures-monster-waves-and-tidal-surge-close-sh1-night-6323371 also in Wellington and Hawkes Bay http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/68886030/rough-waves-disrupt-roads-near-kaikoura-and-wellington. A reminder that we're still in an R5 period.
On 27 May 2015, BLACK PEARL wrote:

More from the state sponsored propaganda Machine http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-32845485 More models to load into the climate change gun with the Paris climate coven approaching at the end of the year
On 26 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Cloudy start but the sun came out mid morning and it turned into a blue sky hot day, max 18 deg. still 15 now at 10.30pm with clouds moving back in, confusing for the plants as some went from lack of sun look to slightly hot n harassed in 24 hrs lol! Made the most of the day in the garden mulching plants as met say windy rainy bank holiday on the way this wkend coming with a chance of frost..
On 26 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

10˚C at 7.30, feeling cold in the NW’ly wind, pretty cloudy to start with, occasional sunny breaks, looked like a repeat performance of yesterday. However, the sun came out a lot more in the afternoon and though the cold wind kept going it got to 18˚. But whenever there was cloud cover the coat came back on, one minute roasting, the next freezing. 10˚ by 9.30. RON: what that fairmer told me happened in the Mearns, prime agricultural land at low altitude, I shiver to think what it would have been like in the hills. - The aspen (Populus tremula) near our house has only today burst into leaves, I’ve been watching it for weeks, that’s definitely late.
On 26 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Michelson & Morley were testing for a fixed aether, because that was the thinking of that era. Special Relativity discounts this fixed luminiferous aether, saying there is no fixed point from which to measure. Since then others have claimed the aether as the quantum virtual particles, dark matter/energy etc. The problem I have with using aether as a term is not that it doesn't exist, but those who advocate it keep moving the goalposts, in line with physical discoveries and interpretations as they are made. There are some who appear determined to use the term to explain away the currently unexplained but without nailing down what it is that they mean, whilst disregarding observation and evidence based science. Now that sounds like the vociferous advocates of another area of 'science', with whom I think we both wholeheartedly disagree.
On 26 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Russ - Hope we're not boring everyone else, but this is an interesting conversation to me. Aether could be photons, virtual photons, a.n. other etc. Once defined, we can devise ways to look for it, but without definition, how can we? We have named photons, virtual photons etc. This virtual micro-world is part of quantum theory, (because we can't explain why electrons don't behave like a bare charge), so the virtual particles mechanism is used to explain why it doesn't, even though we can't measure them. It's part of Feynmann's (and others) QED. There is no vacuum at the quantum scale. Far be it from me to discourage you from researching the far edges of physics, but I think you should spend a bit more time sourcing reliable information about current thinking, to date. As for funding, well, nothing new there. Those who shout loudest often get what they want, irrespective of merit. To paraphrase - truth is great, but a long time coming.
On 26 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

C.VIEW: aye, I've had a wee keek at it. Looks like a few days of 'scorchio' around that time right enough. Wonder if it'll break down to thunder or revert to a northerly. Will happy to get the duvet off the bed for a few days anyway. However let us not forget how fickle GFS is.
On 26 May 2015, C View wrote:

Keep your fingers crossed Ron but the GFS is going for a few days heat around the 8th/9th//10th of June. it will nice to get a break from this seeming never ending cold NW wind if only for a few days
On 26 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

PADDY: We had June snow 1985, 86 and 87, mainly on the upper hills, but on one occasion the snowploughs were out at Drumochter. and in the early 90s, there was snow on the top third of the Cairngorms, the day after the Solstice---so it may not be done yet. Worth a google at Iceage Now for insights on what is happening snow-wise in the Eastern USA and SW Norway. Noticed that the Barn Swallows were late and their activity is limited to late afternoon/early evening. Two batches of ducklings of our resident village Mallards have succumbed to the late chill and shortage of insects.
On 25 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Mostly cloudy again today, kids had a bonus day off so filled it with park followed by swimming, started to spit rain on the way but thankfully passed and enjoyed a walk around looking at massive beautiful trees that made our garden ones look titchy! Trees out in leaf but seem slow this year, Swans were great to watch with their 10 Cygnets in tow, max 16 deg. felt a little cooler with wnw breeze nicer when the sun made the odd appearance though.
On 25 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

10˚C at 7.30, similar day to yesterday, cloudy but with more sunny breaks and a few showers in the afternoon. Max temp 16˚ in a cool NW’ly breeze which kept going all day. 10˚ again by 9pm, hard to believe it will be June in a few days. That said, I remember an auld fairmer (old farmer) telling me years ago of a June month when the snow was filling the turnip drills, so we’ve a way to go yet :-)
On 25 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Ooh! One more point! The reason I said earlier that we should put the wave part of photon theory on hold when we look for this mysterious energy field, is that when we try to think of the field consisting of wave energy, it is very difficult to grasp the fact that photons appear to travel at c irrespective of the observers speed. Only the wavelength seems to change (redshift/blueshift). Maybe what we observe as a redshited particle is in fact a slower particle. Has anyone ever checked the speed of redshifted light? Michelson and Morely judged their experiments against a static and unmoving aether, but the aether, if it truly exists, has to be relativistic. Photons don't use the aether as a medium to travel through.....the photons ARE the aether. Of course the ones being used in the experiment are just a tiny part. In the past we have looked for an aether as a separate entity but I reckon that when you see light, you are actually observing the aether. Seems so logical ! How to quantify?
On 25 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

But most of the bottomless pit of funding is going to researching Black Holes, landing on comets and Mars rovers. How many people are still trying to find an aether? Probably no one! ......... Weather-wise? Lots of sun, but still got that cold breeze, with occasional very cold days, maybe two per week. Not noticed any frosts even with clear skies. The grass on the moors at around 600ft elevation is starting to put growth on but very slowly. Heather is also starting to grow but when you consider the number of sunlight hours it's had over the past month or so, I find it remarkable that its taken so long.
On 25 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

I've read lots of papers which describe a relativistic energy field moving across an electrical circuit and feeding the components with electrical energy; photons? Your bulb in and battery bulb circuit is not using electrons. Same number come out of the bulb that go in; so where does the energy come from to produce all the heat and light? Now Einstein admitted there were errors in his math taht he couldn't rectify, but he also refused to include an aether (for want of a better word). The cosmological constant isn't just the speed of eoa photon, it is the entire photon field of the universe. The GUT is giving cosmologists the middle finger but they still don't see it because their maths doesn't and can't include the aether, because they don't know how to quantify it. Am I making any sense Alister? Without some kind of measurement, it's impossible; they can't just guess and we're dealing with possible infinties which mathematicians hate! We are so close.
On 25 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

If we avoid the wave part of photon theory and stick to physical particles, then distant light will be weakened not in a 'tired light way', but as the photons travel toward us, only a very narrow window, about 6mm wide (the eyes dilated pupil), will be seen. Over such a huge distance the number of photons colliding with other photons will be very large indeed, therefore the light will appear weaker and weaker over greater and greater distances. Space is filled with an unimaginable number of photons, the vast majority invisible, to the human eye but the majority 'are' detectable; infrared and ultraviolet for example. And as in particle accelerators, when high energy particles hit other, maybe lower energy particles, the impact can destroy one with the other gaining energy. If enough energy is acquired in this way, then the particle will be observed to change and appear as a different type of particle. Are these the particles which appear from nowhere? And other particles simply vanish?
On 25 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

even cooler, next door in Norway, where a convoy of trucks was stuck for 11 hrs in deep snow crossing the Hardangervidda. Overall late spring there too.
On 25 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Apologies to Piers for hijacking this thread, but I hope that what Alister and I are debating will stimulate a deeper interest in the electrical environment which surrounds the Earth and Sun, and drives everything from storms to earthquakes....... Alister, an interesting quote from this man; Robert B. Laughlin, Nobel Laureate in Physics, endowed chair in physics, Stanford University. He says about the possibility of an aether: "Subsequent studies with large particle accelerators have now led us to understand that space is more like a piece of window glass than ideal Newtonian emptiness. It is filled with 'stuff' that is normally transparent but can be made visible by hitting it sufficiently hard to knock out a part. The modern concept of the vacuum of space, confirmed every day by experiment, is a relativistic ether. But we do not call it this because it is taboo." (source evil Wiki) .... Relativistic! So a field of photons?
On 25 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Mobeeb openly admitted the cool nature of this May actually saying that some areas had been 2-3 degrees below average and that the cool theme would continue for much of the rest of this week. No wonder there's so much snow pack in the Highlands. If June turns out similar, we really will be talking neve formation in the higher corries.
On 25 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

A classic example of almost hysterical media reporting on bad weather on TVNZ News tonight. http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/polar-blast-closes-southern-schools-and-roads-video-6320657 Next weekend is Queen's Birthday Weekend in NZ which also coincides with the beginning of winter and is known for cold southerlies. This is the first really cold snap of the season and I wonder if the media hysteria will continue with each subsequent one this winter.
On 25 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

The cold south westerly did arrive in line with the current R4/ R5 period http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68812214/more-chilly-nights-ahead-after-snow-dump-metservice For us its been a colder but sunny day as the Nelson/ Tasman region is quite sheltered by the mountain ranges from the southerlies that sweep up the East Coast of the South Island.
On 24 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Dry all day today on n off sunshine with cloud, max temp 14 deg. 10 now at 11.30 pm feels a little less mild than last night but the breeze has switched from sw to nw..not as hot as met predicted this wkend but at least it was dry here though, kids enjoyed getting out n about too..
On 24 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

11˚C at 7.30, feeling mild at first but the soon arising NW’ly breeze put paid to that for the rest of the day. Mostly cloudy but with occasional clear & sunny patches when it got to 16˚, not exactly scorching. 10˚ by 9.30pm, still cloudy but less windy.
On 24 May 2015, Alister wrote:

No self respecting physicist would ever call the Higgs Boson the 'God Particle'. That is a silly journalistic term and deserves no print/air time whatsoever.
On 24 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Having trawled through a fair bit of weird and wonderful fringe science, it is not unusual for the explanations to draw bits from existing physics and come up with unvalidated and unfalsifiable statements, safe in the knowledge they cannot be contradicted, exploiting the gaps in the knowledge of existing physics, of which there are plenty. The difference is that a good physicist knows the gaps and doesn't claim to know when he/she doesn't. A common narrative from some quarters of fringe science is that 'existing physics can't explain (x)..' (which we already know), make misrepresented/skewed criticisms of current understanding, offer their own unfalsifiable version, claim that no-one listens or even that knowledge is being hidden/suppressed. If they can demonstrate that useable energy is being derived from the vacuum, how this achieved and is supported by independent validation, I will sit up and listen.
On 24 May 2015, Alister wrote:

To reiterate, the word 'aether' has been used as a vague notion to describe a number of physical phenomena over history, and keeps changing! Because it is used by fringe science as a catch-all for currently unknown or under-explained phenomena, it isn't adequately defined and can't be validated. Vacuum energy is defined as mass-energy complementarity - the ability to 'borrow' energy briefly in exchange for mass - and vice versa. Look up the ubiquitous phrase 'zero-point energy' you will be directed to any number of weird, wonderful and suitably vague and undefined explanations. Look it up in a decent physics book, it is defined as the energy associated with a particle/system (other than its mass/energy) at absolute zero, and comes about because quantum uncertainty states its energy cannot be precisely zero. To derive further energy from this system, there has to be a structural change - e.g. fission.
On 24 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Russ I think you are putting words in the mouths of physicists by making your assertions as to what they think or say. I would point out that most physicists understand the limitations of the accumulated knowledge, but have to base their understanding on something, extrapolate out with maths and then leave it to the experimenters to see if they can validate or disprove the hypotheses. The maths of quantum physics, such as Schrodinger's equation can be shown to be valid, but the reasoning for the behaviour of quantum particles is, for now and the forseeable, beyond our description - we cannot use our classical language to explain why it is that one photon appears to pass through two slits simultaneously, unless we try to measure it, when it doesn't! Quantum mechanics explains what we observe, even though our logical (classical) minds don't like it.
On 24 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

So how much do you include the magnetic field strength anomalies of the Earth when developing your new forecasting techniques Piers? The difficulty in predicting the movement and strength of high pressure blocks over the UK seems to have similarities in the cold and precipitation cut-off point over the NE US. The Ice Age line, where the glaciation limit was, seems to show where this battle between low & high pressure is most often fought. That same glaciation line cuts across the UK with lots of high pressure blocking occurring over Scandinavia and Europe, with most precipitation and low pressure over the near Atlantic and Eire. In just the same way, the most precipitation and low pressure hooliganism occurs over a small area at the NE corner of the US, to the east of the glaciation line. I think this may be your biggest challenge because the flux can change so rapidly. Are you able to predict these changes so far ahead by monitoring solar activity alone or including the Earths field?
On 24 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

I agree we need hard evidence to prove that we're on the right track to understanding the physical world Piers, but the problems today stem from the fame & funding paradigm, whereby unless your research follows fashion and the bigger agenda, then you get next to nothing. We see the same stone wall, political censorship, in climate science, and soon Google will rate a site on truth or falsity, which should see all fringe science banished to page 50,001. What I'm hoping that Alister can accept, is that the evidence is there, just like it was 150 years ago, but we still don't know how to measure or quantify it to make sense of it. That doesn't mean that an alternative explanation is wrong, and if we don't stay with the physical side of things then I fear we'll have wasted the past 100 years ending up back where we started. All I see with quantum physics is more new theories to prop up contradictions in older theories, and deeper down the unfathomable rabbit hole we go. Anyway weather!
On 23 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

The last few days have been increasing in warmth and humidity each day, dry and although very cloudy some nice sunny spells at times, a few very short warm showers also today, milder overnight too, max 18 deg. still 12 at 11.30pm. Tomatoes and cucmbers in the Polytunnel are getting their first flowers, veg is slowly coming on outside.. well appy!-)
On 23 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30 (5˚ overnight), sunny morning, good S’ly breeze, max temp 16˚, cloud drifting in from the west around 2pm & getting quite cool in the wind, light rain after 9pm, 10˚ by 9.30. Felt a bit more like spring today.
On 23 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

worth a google-look at Glen Coe Webcam for today, to see the snowpack still extant, less than a month from midsummer.
On 23 May 2015, Piers_Corbyn - twitter go there wrote:

THANKS ALL BRILL COMMS. 3 Things:- 1 NEW SLAT12a and new (May update), JUNE, JULY AND RTQ (red weather warnings and all that) are loaded and awaiting use along with half price deals for all 12m subs including upgrades, so Spend now and pass onthis great news. ++ 2. NEW GLACIERS this is very important stuff, all interested please ferrett around and draw together hard definitions and evidence - Ice age now -Bob Weber there must be stuff on these lines in Canada and N usa too ++ 3. Russ etc i very welcome your (anti) theoretical physics commms and references but be careful of wiki the fountain of green lies and many dogmas. I confirm that modern theoretical physics and cosmology included is beset by dogma and defence of contradictory fifedoms of ideas and fooolishness - so onward with EVIDENCE. Piers C
On 23 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

(22.05.15) 11˚C T 7.30, SW’ly breeze and feeling mild, quite sunny most of the day and we actually got to 20˚ by midday, another first for this year. However, the wind turned into the NW and it got fresher again, though still quite nice. 9˚ by 9.30pm.
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

7..... This is the mechanism which gives a particle its inertia and mass. So the effects of the mysterious Higgs might be better explained by an aether (one anomaly - many names). His field of photons explains so much, the guy just has to be taken seriously. Don't forget, many top scientists including Einstein were once called 'cranks' by the establishment but most are now touted as the greatest geniuses of all time. I don't agree with many things he says but his fundamental theory seems sound. The charge on the electron "doesn't act like the bare charge it appears to be" you say? Then look no further than charge photons, because this is probably another case of 'hidden in plain sight'! We have been given new and exciting ideas from the non-established ones (think non-brainwashed), and we should revel in their simplicity, not cast those ideas aside just because they don't fit with mainstream doctrine......
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

6..... It seems we agree on many things but don't lose sight of the fact that although we have been told that things have been proven, 95% haven't been, and of the remaining 5% most of the revelations are now being proven false. Try reading a few of Miles Mathis short papers (if you don't agree with him, read on, by the end of the paper you probably will), where he attempts to explain this invisible aether using 'far infrared photons' for the energy field. You can't fault the mans logic! He states that the microwave background radiation is a cosmological snap-shot of his 'charge field'. So we may be staring straight at the aether without knowing it. His charge photons are low energy far infrared, virtually microwaves. They travel through most matter and only interact with atoms when extremely close. He says that these photons are drawn into the poles of protons and neutrons and spat out, generally, at +\- 30° from the particles equator.... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

5.... "Inertia offered by other electrons". In the vacuum of space the electrons are extremely distant from each other, and often travelling at relativistic speeds. If one electron in this environment can convey some of its inertia to surrounding electrons, then surely logic tells us that something is conveying that inertia? Isn't it better to stick with an energy field, which Wiki tells us is thought to exist throughout space, rather than try to invent new particles and events which, quite frankly, have no logic, just complex maths which sometimes gives the expected preconceived answers? The lack of logical explanations doesn't appear to bother these math geniuses, yet math used to rely on logic...I thought it still did? Again, when we see something we can't explain, then we don't understand it, and no amount of fancy math, trendy new names or misplaced awards and nominations can fudge that fact.... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

4.... The electrons are said to produce a magnetic and an electric field in close proximity to an electrical cable, as a product of their passing through the cable. No mention, ever, of a greater electrical field, why? Because nobody ever told them it existed. Indeed, they are told such a thing 'does not exist' (rolled eyes?). Something so intrinsically important to our understanding of the world around us yet it is hidden away like a cookie jar from a hungry 5 year old! We are called fringe scientists or cranks or fools for even positing that such a thing exists. I often make a connection between the quantum world and religion, not without careful thought either. Isn't the Higgs touted as, 'The God Particle'?? We now have proof (if proof were needed), that our weather is driven by electrical forces. Only the blatantly obvious e.g. lightning is openly discussed as being created electrically..... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

3.... Gravity and EM are part of the classical world yes, but still relevant, and little understood. The definition of a physicist is, 'a scientist who studies physical phenomena'. The quantum world has now drifted so far away from the physical world that it's lost sight of it. We think we now have a better understanding, yet most of the old questions have not yet been answered. The strong and weak forces in the nucleus being a perfect example of how much 'we thought we knew', yet today, we still don't understand these forces in a physical sense, even though they are the most fundamental physical thing we know. There's a huge blurred line between physical reality and conceptual reality. The electric spark is such a line. We think we understand what that spark is but try to get a teacher, an engineer, a scientist to explain exactly what electricity is, and all you'll get is a mish-mash of highschool type answers where electrons take centre stage..... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

2.... Its only the quantum physicists who are trying to work it out. But they end up back where they started, with an aether, an invisible, undetectable (directly), energy field. A new name does not impress me when talking about the very same thing. And lest we forget, energy is not a 'thing' and is not 'stuff', because as smart as we think we are, we still can't get our heads around the fact that energy is just a 'concept'! Now that, and infinity, are the two things that preoccupy my mind whenever I have a free period to think. This energy field permeates the entire universe, and we must include this nasty infinity in our calculations to have any chance of fully understanding it. From any local level, it should be scaleable, which should help us but only if we open our minds to new possibilities. Possibilities which have, in the past, been discarded as foolish, even though logic keeps on telling us to take notice..... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Alister... Yes indeed. The aether wasn't and still isn't measurable because we dont know what it is or how to measure it. What we do know is that under certain circumstances, energy makes itself available seemingly from nowhere. But why keep renaming this truly mysterious energy field for example, 'Vacuum Energy'. This is what Wiki describes it as: "Vacuum energy is an underlying background energy that exists in space throughout the entire Universe." But that's exactly what the aether is supposed to be. The importance of the fact that a moving electron can make this field of energy available to power modern electronic equipment, seems to have passed us by. Most electrical engineers and physicists can't nail down the culprit, so just ignore it.... cont'd
On 23 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

The Herald( Glasgow) is reporting today a warning from the Mountaineering Council to hillwalkers and climbers about deep winter- like snow cover on Ben Nevis. Many other of the Munro-sized hills are also carrying deep snowpack ( see Lee Barret's comment below) We should keep an eye on the Mamore Range especially in respect of this, as it is the natal ground of Scottish glaciers.
On 23 May 2015, C View wrote:

@Lee. Where in Glencoe do you think this is happening??
On 23 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Just as we sat down to dinner this was on the news http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/global-warming-doco-involving-victoria-university-secures-us-tv-deal-6318934 Its a documentary by warmists designed to stop our arguments. Called Thin Ice we thought the title quite appropriate as they are the ones treading on thin ice! Meanwhile a warning for severe weather across NZ completely in line with the R4/R5 period. I think we have to remain positive because as we get further into the MIA the truth will become increasingly apparent.
On 22 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Theme running throughout the past two spring months is the bitter breeze. Often not very strong but will chill you to the bone it will, if not active.
On 21 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, light rain and feeling milder than of late, SW’ly wind, dry interlude around midday, max temp a balmy 18˚, occasional light showers, still 11˚ at 10pm. Felt a bit more like spring today, at least no more N’ly winds for the moment. == Dean, Ron & CView, after reading your comments I’m beginning to wonder whether I’m not a closet warmist: we’ve just planted 8 apple trees in March, maybe we would have been better planting Aronia. But we do get apples on the one tree that we planted years ago, though not every year. So even in a mini ice age we might get the odd warm spell with an apple crop every 5 years :-)
On 21 May 2015, Lee Barrett wrote:

Hi Ron Greer just to add to what uv just been saying about parglacial conditions i can confirm to u that we do have a glacier already forming in the Glencoe mountains in Scotland. I think ull be interested in this too Piers and keep up the great work everyone :)
On 21 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

CVIEW: Thanks, yes indeed, such is the marginality inherent in our upland environment, with our low summer temperatures and 'flat' annual temperature curve increasing the impact of the altitudinal lapse rate on plant growth and snow retention. The last time I saw such 'near-Neve' conditions of the last few seasons was after the Mt Pinatubo eruption and the subsequent temperature reduction. The altitude of our hills will of course not increase, but even a modest reduction in mean summer temperatures could lead to more long lasting snowpack and other features of periglacial conditions.
On 21 May 2015, C View wrote:

Interesting comments Ron. I believe we would need only a feww hundred feet of additional elevation to get that permanent snow given that in an average year you will get pockets of snow in the Cairngorms past mid summer.
On 21 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

DEAN: My professional background is in research on Arctic Charr ( we have hundreds of populations of this fish in Scotland, which begs the question of why an Arctic animal is s common in the Highlands!?). It is the only member of the salmon family that is totally circumpolar in its distribution. My work took me to several northern countries and to host colleagues from them here and it always amused me to hear colleagues from the Russian Far East, Hokkaido, Canada and Alaska complain about the cold in Scotland. The nearest equivalent is in the Vestlandet of Norway or coastal SW Iceland. The marginality of Highland Scotland is fascinating in many ways. The late snowpack of recent years is a reminder that if the Cairngorms and Mamores were just a little higher, we'd have corrie glaciers.. Who knows, we might yet see their rebirth in our lifetimes.
On 20 May 2015, Dean wrote:

Dean, Glenlivet, Grampian, 245m asl Hi RON, thanks for the welcome to this Fennoscandian climate lol.....actually I used to live in N Sweden so no stranger to cold weather, but actually never so cold as here in May!! Better today and drove to Inverness, sunny and 17C, but only 12C here in Glenlivet, amazing how altitude and aspect makes such a difference. Still snow on mins around here and Cairngorms still look very Alpine....
On 20 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C overnight, 8˚ at 7.30, grey overcast and cold in the fresh NNW’ly wind, March kind of weather. Luckily, the sun came out around 10am and it was possible to remove the jacket, turned into a nice sunny, if windy day, max temp 18˚ for a short while, light rain evening, 9˚ by 10pm. Although spring is as late as in 2012, we’ve had a lot more light this year, this makes a huge difference to our tree growing enterprise because it heats the tunnels and gives plenty of energy for photosynthesis. Yes, Craig, I remember that warm blast end of May, about 10 days of it; as it turned out, that WAS our summer! I hope you’re right about the sun.
On 20 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Today turned out nicer than I had hoped, sunny start cloudy for a while after then nice from midday onwards felt mild and best of all no rain! Max 14 still 11 now at 10.30pm
On 20 May 2015, east side wrote:

Interesting end to may. Another week of cold to come, then BANG it will be HOT, with hot air from the south. I have to admit I haven't see such a northerly air stream concentrated so long over the UK in late may for quite a while. An ENSO year it would appear! Up hear the gueese are still flying over to their artic feeding grounds,- a month late. They know more than we do!
On 20 May 2015, WENDY wrote:

HIGH PEAK,DERBYSHIRE. Rain Rain Rain!! Cold too,sleet and hail.2 Degrees at 7.00am.Hope to plant lettuces this weekend,they are still on window sills.Lambs still have blue rain coats on, some get so little shelter on the. moorlands.Very bleak
On 20 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

DEAN: Welcome to our southern Fennoscandian climate! You may yet see fresh snow on the higher hills into June and only July is likely to be frost -free. PADDY: yes Aronia has much to offer in terms of health benefits, amenity, erosion control, toughness and of course I'm not influenced by the potential for making an alternative to Sloe-Gin!!!
On 20 May 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

Uk being 'jet' washed in may. Hawthorn out but no summer yet although the sun flowers i grew from seed are, despite the cold, racing away so they must know something!
On 19 May 2015, Dean wrote:

Dean, Glenlivet, Grampian, 245m asl @Ben, yes, I concur, another disappointing day here in the Grampians-rain all afternoon with some hail. Max 7C. Hasn't cleared but fully expecting fresh snowfall on mtns around here. My first May here so glad this is not normal lol. Another frost last night and forecast is -2C for the glens tonight under clearing skies and Pm airmass.
On 19 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

2˚C overnight, so frost again on the car roof early on, 8˚ by 8am, bright morning but feeling cold in the stron NNW wind which kept going all day. Max temp 15˚, cloudy afternoon with one brief heavy shower, still cloudy at 9pm when the temperature was 7˚. MARIA, are you seriously growing tomatoes outside? If only Gorebull Warming (nice one, Ron) would happen, then we could do that as well :-) The last year we grew climbing French Beans successfully outside was 2006! RON, A. melanocarpa or black chokeberry also has great health benefits, I have a cousin who swears by them, need to investigate. C VIEW, I certainly hope we won’t get a repeat performance of 2012, both our trees and veg did very badly then.
On 19 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Gees I felt cold all day today! I don't know if maybe exaggerated by tiredness but either way it felt orrible, rained all morning which watered in the box hedging I planted on the very outskirts of the veg plot, trying to create some future protection extra to the other hedging around the place, Max 10 deg. Sporadic gusty and moderate W'ly wind. Cleared up with brief sunny spells this eve. Some dark clouds rolling in again from the West and 5 deg. At 10pm Hopefully dry warm weather soon, have loads of plants to get out of the tunnel may just have to risk it for a biscuit..
On 19 May 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

May CET ("a roughly triangular area of the UK enclosed by Lancashire, London & Bristol.") is average so far at 10.1/+0.1 (till 18th). That seems about right for Sth as high pressure has had enough influence. It has been changeable. Last Weds was glorious, Thurs was cold & wet all day. Relatively fine since but today has been chilly, squally, hail+downpours with a wonderful array of blues, greys and whites to the clouds. So overall 'average' which bar (Apr 2015) it has been CET wise. Further Nth+Wst seems a diff story. Regionals will be interesting. May 2012 was much colder 1st half (eyeballing CET chart) yet came in 11.7/+0.5C due to warm blast towards month end. Feb '12 also started v. cold esp in S/SE as deep cold seeped from Euro landmass across the channel but came in at 3.8/+0.1C as a big flip to heat towards month end (which lasted until Apr when the 'drought' imploded as the heavens opened). Sun seems too changeable for those kind of atmospheric locks...for now.
On 19 May 2015, @Piers_Corbyn wrote:

THANKS ALL FOR ONGOING GREAT COMMS - espec Bob Weber - Wow, much apprreciated. === ALL LOOK Home page GREAT HALF PRICE OFFERS ON NOW to get interest in SUMMER (NH) and Speed-Up slow late Spring sales. OFFERS APPLY TO ALL EXTENSIONS - So any new sub under offer is taken from when your existing sub ends. Pass it on! Thank you!
On 19 May 2015, C View wrote:

It will be interesting to see how this May compares to the other recent cold May of 2012. It has certainly felt as cold and I would say there has been more snowfall on the Scottish hills than in May 2012.
On 19 May 2015, Ben Farrington, Moray wrote:

RON/PADDY: I can concur that its bloody freezing in the Cairngorms today, I was working near to Ben Macdui (1309m?) and suffered hail and snow showers blown into my face. Still massive snow fields and Loch Etchechan 20% frozen still! OK not particularly unusual to be cold at these altitudes in May, but I think the continuing cold temperatures will lead to some very late remaining snow patches this year. I wish I was back in the Costa Del Sol, very pleasant indeed last week, wall to wall sunshine average 25 Deg peaked at 34 Deg on Thursday. Piers congrats on your May's Forecast USA, shame about the forecast for our shores, So far this month in my area only a couple of days could be classed as warm (18 Deg) the rest were average at best if not below, with a nagging N or NW wind its just never going to be warm. And your thoughts on a supposedly south tracking JS this summer according to the MO, and the Little Spanish Boy is he going to play havoc with your forecasting skills this yea
On 19 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

RUSS: funnily enough that stove is burning logs just now. Stocking up has already started and I'm taking advantage of spring bargains in portable cookers and camping heaters. Already have 'the Alaska clothing' from my visits there. Very clear from my mini-nursery and my experimental plots near Drumochter that montane coastal tree species from the Pacific Northwest and Scandinavia are well ahead in the growth and survival stakes this spring. And, PADDY, if you are reading this the Aronia melanocarpa is also astounding.
On 19 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Alister I'll reply when I have some time...... Cold Atlantic waters? That'll be all the Arctic ice that's melting hehehe! Better get plenty of logs for that stove Ron. As eastside says, the tipping point may come sooner than we think. A new little ice age is the least of our worries! It's the major one we need to worry about........ Piers update has gone stormingly well. Lots and lots and lots and lots of rain. Cheers dude!
On 19 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

forgot to mention that there is fresh snow this morning on Ben-y-Ghlo down to less than 2000ft. The cool breeze suggests there might be more yet. How did Gorebull Warming chill the North Atlantic and help cause this?
On 19 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

MObeeb in Scotland now grudgingly admiiting that May has been colder than average' but just by a couple of degrees' Neve on Ben Nevis anyone?
On 19 May 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

9 am and I had to rush the squash and tomato plants under cover, really heavy hail shower and only 8 degrees. Cabbages are thriving and the potatoes but everything else is very slow. Fragile french and runner beans out in the soil 2 days ago, arghh, this will have set them back massively, if they survive.
On 18 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Gardening in-between the showers a few of them heavy, lots of dark electric looking clouds around and a gusty wsw wind, some bursts of sun at times and humid for a short time, max temp 11 deg. felt it drop cold outside this eve. 5 deg. at 10.30pm..spuds in the ground are just finally up, tried some out in sacks they came up 3 wks ago, getting parsnips up in cardboard tubes :) in the polytunnel to cheat and plant out to see if better success as we get so much rain, could do with some warmth soon to get things moving tulips still closed in protest!
On 18 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

10˚C at 7.30, reasonably bright start but cloud moved in and by 10am it we had showers off and on, followed by more prlonged rain from 12-3pm. Max temp 14˚ but only 8˚ by the time the rain really got going, winds from NW - NE, feeling blooming cold. Bright end to the day but with 5˚ at 10pm somehow doesn’t feel like spring; and here I am, gamely planting our vegetables in the hope that they will come to some substance eventually.
On 18 May 2015, Bob Weber, N Mich subscriber wrote:

More classic WeatherAction USA forecast periods! Piers called for 'thunderstorms, tornadoes, and hail' in the USA more than once this month, and did we ever get that! The R4 from May 9-11 produced all that extreme weather and then some, followed by a even more outrageous R5 that just obliterated several places with severe tornadoes May 13-16. R5 timed perfectly with solar wind hit (see home page graphics) with high IMF, proton density, elevated electrons, hemispheric power up to 60-70 GW! Slackened after several days, now going up again. Forecasted fronts came through. Today vigorous low pressure moved north of us, and wrap-around cold is on the way, just like Piers said it would! Northern tier Midwestern states already feeling that cold and wind. Forgot to mention the forecasted fog on May 5-7 for our general area occurred on time. Solar warm blast over past 2 weeks is done now, and moisture from that is tailing off as solar flux is now headed under 120 sfu/day for two weeks.
On 18 May 2015, C View wrote:

Ron Greer - Yes I too noticed these comments along with a mention of the jetstream being further south than normal. Regarding the story in my previious post I assume the main driver for that scare is the British Antartic Survey people must be worried that the next dose of public spending cuts are going to impact on them so they are trying to scare the money out of the treasuary and into their pockets. Fresh snow on the "Arrochar Alps" today down to about 2500ft
On 18 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

I see that on two occasions the MObeeb TV weather forecast mentioned unusually cold water in the North Atlantic in relation to the cool May we are having in Scotland, Northern Ireland. and parts of Northern England
On 17 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C overnight, 7˚ at 7.30 and once again a brilliant sunny and relatively still start, but by 8am the WNW wind picked up & clouds started moving in. Nevertheless, it was a bright day with a lot of sun and a max temp of 17˚ and as always these days, if it hadn’t been for the wind it would have been much warmer. 9˚ by 9.30pm and light rain, according to MO it will be a damp day tomorrow, there’s certainly a lot of rain on the radar just now.
On 17 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

last couple of days fairly similar some sun on Saturday then showers in the eve, today showers and then dry followed by showers this eve again, max temp 12 deg. yesterday 14 now 7 at 21.55 pm
On 17 May 2015, C View wrote:

I read the headline for this but couldn't bring myself to watch the video. By some magic trick the Antartic ice is melting from above and below. Surely this is the most barefaced lie you could ever hear. http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/32727907. it's enough to make you feel sick.
On 17 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Russ - Gravity and EM are part of the classical world, QED explains classical EM as special case within itself. Quantum theories exist because classical ones failed to explain observations of the micro-world, even if we don't like what it means - e.g. quantum tunneling and uncertainty are used to explain radioactive decay, when it appears the weak force should not be able to overcome the strong force in the nucleus - but it does - because we observe radioactive decay, which is statistically predictable, despite never knowing which individual nucleus will decay, nor when it will happen. Singularities drop out of general relativity and the presence of black holes supports the theory, but the notion that the entire universe sprang out of an almost infinitesimally small point is (despite what you may think or have been led to believe) not wholly accepted and considered by some as its main drawback.
On 17 May 2015, Richard Brown from Hull, East Yorhshire wrote:

Very blustery today....great drying weather! There is still a chill in the air which reminds me of April than May. I have seen comments elsewhere that we are now in the last months of this current solar cycle and that the next one is due to be colder....is this correct or is there more to it? We do seem to be stuck in a predominantly westerly flow with occasional incursions from the north and east.....does anyone know why this might be the case?
On 17 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Aether - that old chestnut! As it was never defined and explanations have changed over history, it has become one of the great unfalsifiable hypotheses and a pseudoscience default position. Michelson and Morley spent a lot of time and effort and found nothing they could measure. Special relativity effectively sidelines it because it says there is no 'absolute' point from which you can measure anything, when the luminiferous aether was (during the 19th century) thought of as a fixed medium, against which other things can be measured. Since then it has been the virtual particles associated with the charge on the electron (as it doesn't behave like the bare charge it appears to be), mass/energy complementarity of the uncertainty principle, or the dark energy/mass that we can't find (yet). The aether is always being touted as an explanation for things we cannot yet explain, without corresponding evidence, which is why some physicists roll their eyes when it is discussed.
On 17 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Russ - Back to physics - briefly! The inertia offered by all other electrons is inhibiting us from moving the electron we want to stimulate a photon emission - this is radiation resistance - no useable signal is associated with the inertia. Higgs Boson was postulated as the carrier of mass and the evidence so far indicates its existence, but not conclusive, its energy (GeV) is around the level predicted. Most of physics is like this - not conclusive but on balance of available evidence to date and subject to change. Its all still up for grabs, come up with the right GUT and you'll write yourself into the annals of physics history. There's no problem with extrapolating with maths, it gives experimenters something to shoot for, the maths is beyond what can be experimentally tested (e.g. m-theory), but that isn't new either - e.g Maxwell and Hertz/Lodge The problem comes when hypothesis is touted as fact. Sound familiar?
On 17 May 2015, @Piers_Corbyn twitter address wrote:

GOOD INFO EAST SIDE - Thanks - ALL Notice lates - May 17th ++ WeatherAction 'RedWeather' - Tornado/Thunder - Quake - "RTQ" forecasts are back and FREE TODAY (Pacific USA time) with ALL SERVICES. This Applies to all renewals/extensions as well. ++ NEW SLAT12a update for B+I MAY forecast is Loaded. ++ NEW Eu SLAT12a Commentary and Pressure maps are loaded. +++ BI 45d JUNE and +++ 75d JULY are loaded. Go and Get and pass on info please => http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM
On 17 May 2015, east side wrote:

Now how about some proper science? Is the Interglacial modern warm period, and the age of plenty coming to an end? There's fascinating research from Habibullo Abdussamatov, director of Russia’s space research laboratory. It's global warming research team, is convinced another little ice age is on its way Well worth the read. This year's typical very late spring and freezing temperatures in MAY can very easily become the norm as evidently this solar maximum was very weak and is now over. The Iceman Cometh? http://www.pphb.com/pdfs/musings/Musings040715.pdf In Scandinavia/Baltic it's freezing cold with a cold northerly and no sign of summer.
On 17 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

So heavy cloud but the snow was a no show, then Paddy? I guess Radio Scotland must get their forecast from the mighty Met'. If only we could shake that chilly breeze! Odd days of cloudy wetness but overall Piers forecast is pretty much still going in the right direction, if only that breeze would pick up a few degrees. For once, we in The Sheepshire, are lucky having so much sun...
On 16 May 2015, Dean wrote:

Nearly midnight and only 3C in strong NW wind. Heavy showers today with sleet and hail this morning. Spring really is fitfull with many trees still leafless. Still many daffodils out, as is Blackthorn blossom. Hawthorn scorched by the frequent frosts this month.... Glenlivet, Banffshire, 245m asl
On 16 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

6˚C overninght, 8˚ at 7.30, clear start but towering cumulus clouds building up soon, giving a few showers during the morning, even a few snow pellets early on. The outdoor forecast on Radio Scotland was talking about snow above Munro level (3000ft). However, it was mostly a sunny day and max temp was 16˚, the blustery W’ly wind made sure it didn’t climb any higher. 7˚ at 9.30pm.
On 16 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Gerry_Surrey/Kent.... That would be the rain which the Met Office forecast to hit the NW including N Ireland, W Scotland and NW England. They also said these areas would see strengthening winds through the day. Well I had glorious sunny, calm weather all the way up the M6 - M74 (west coast) corridor and only saw 'heavy cloud but no rain' (source... Sting), on the way back from Edinburgh down the A68 - A1 which are in the east. The wind didn't pick up for me until this morning(sic) back in Sheepyshire! ...... Radio Scotland mentioned that Thursday 14th was only 6C in many parts of Scotland. I thought we had it bad at only 10C. Much snow being forecast for today Sat 16th across the tops and possibly lower levels. That'll be one of those usual May blizzards that we''re all fed up with!
On 15 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Cloudy all day but only a few light showers, max 14 deg. felt a little mild and humid, but good for working hard moving soil all day well into the evening when light drizzly showers returned, 8 deg now at 23.34 pm
On 15 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Frost on the car roof when I got up this morning, 2˚C overnight on the thermometer, 7˚ by 7.30. Still at first but the SW’ly wind got up around 7 and kept going for most of the day. Bright sun until about 1pm with a max temp of 18˚, then clouding over & a few rain showers, bright again by 6pm. A bit more spring-like in spite of the wind, 9˚ at 9.45pm and feeling mild.
On 15 May 2015, Gerry Surrey/Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

Yesterday was pretty much rain all the way from about 10am until after dark. Thick cloud and very dark in the evening compared to the lovely Wednesday and watching a bat circulate over my patio. The wind had swung round to the east yesterday but now back to westerly. Was yesterday just a blip in the forecast? 2 drowned in the Arctic on the Norwegian expedition after falling through the ice. Neither had any climate / meteorology experience and seemed to be tourists like the Antarctic 'ship of fools'. Predictably, the BBC's Shukman reports all manner of untruths and scare stories from his trip (by fossil fuel) to the expedition.
On 15 May 2015, Brian Perkins wrote:

Very very hot in southern Spain over past few days. Cold and wet here in Cardiff yesterday. Piers, do we need to move the map around to fit with the weather for the remainder of the month?
On 15 May 2015, C View wrote:

Thinking of taking to the Scottish mountains this weekend? This from MWIS Frequent snow Snow frequently; generally showery, but periods when the precipitation is almost constant, with risk whiteout. Mostly rain below 700m, or 800m Loch Lomond NP/Arran.
On 15 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Russ - Hayhoe certainly lives up to her name doesn't she? Sounds like her real agenda is to raise insurance premiums around the world. I'm wondering how long it will be before NIWA or the Met Service here start spouting about "climate change" having caused this week's major weather events here. After all, in their books this couldn't have had anything to do with an R4/ R5 period could it because that would mean that they would have to acknowledge the role of the sun and we all know that this would blow their Co2 theory apart. And so the lies continue.
On 15 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

More on our chaotic NZ North Island weather http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68569615/live-north-island-weather-chaos-day-two
On 14 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

6 deg. early this morn. stayed dull cloudy all day rained most of the morning, max 12 deg. somewhat of a parting of the clouds around sunset, clearer now and temp dropping at 22.12 pm
On 14 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

6˚C at 7.30, cold and overcast all morning with a keen NNE’ly wind which lasted all day. However, by midday it did begin to brighten up and we had some decent sunshine most of the afternoon, max temp 16˚. But everything is held back, many trees still quite bare, grass not growing as it usually does at this time, silage is a distant dream (we’re later than SE Wales anyway), carrots & parsnips in the garden are manfully standing their ground, small as they are, no sign of potatoes emerging etc. 7˚ at 9pm.
On 14 May 2015, jake wrote:

exacta are saying that we never had el nina in 2010 and that recent news story's are wrong. Is this right piers and will there be no El nina because of low sunshine spots?
On 14 May 2015, Andy B 45D Farmer sub SE Wales wrote:

Enough is enough 45mm of rain today( R5 ) 116mm for the month, it has been wetter and colder than normal silage is at least 10 days behind Slat 12 not working this month a long way off target. Slat 11 100 day forecast was a lot closer to the mark. Only 7 mm in April so May is making up for it.
On 14 May 2015, steven wright wrote:

13-16 may 2015 dry very warm or hot sunny brilliant weather lol oh dear even the very best sometimes get it wrong but on serious note what has caused this cool wet weather has there been more sun spots then expected
On 14 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Here you are folks. Laugh as much as you like....cos it'll just bounce off her like a ball off a brick wall! She's not just THICK skinned this one!...>> https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2012/03/28/katharine-hayhoes-global-weirding/ <<
On 14 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Lorraine NZ ... One one the things pointed out on the 'Not a Lot of People Know That' site is that the last time that most places around the world had lots of very rapid rainfall and floods was throughout the last cooling period, during the 60s and 70s, before everything started to warm again. One of the article on that site showse what the so called 'Climate Expert' Katherine Hayhoe says, then shows reality, and what really happened. Hayhoe doesn't just tell blatent lies, she makes statements which are the exact opposite of the truth. Lots of her rhetoris is full of exaggeration too, and huge exaggerations, like the difference in rainfall in an area increasing by 50% when in reality the increase was only 12%. That's the difference between getting a bit wet and monumental floods Ms Hayhoe. Don't we say hay-hoe as a reference to someone with a 'couldn't care less' attitude?? Perfect name for the job in hand. Ad-Hominem attack? You bet! She doesn't hold back so neither will I ....!
On 14 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Update on the major flooding in the Wellington NZ region http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/live-updates-deluge-cripples-wellington-transport-network-6312722 This really is the worst regional flooding in living memory. Having lived in the Hutt Valley and Kapiti Coast before we moved to the South Island, we know that there has been nothing as widespread as this before. I've been in NZ since late 1972 and my husband since 1959 so we've seen some severe weather events. When the rain stops it will be a major clean up for people in the greater Wellington area.
On 14 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Major flooding today in the Wellington, Kapiti and Hutt Valley region of NZ http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68535256/evacuations-after-heavy-rain-floods-and-slips-in-kapiti-live-blog We had some heavy rain and thunder this morning in Motueka (Tasman, South Island) but all is calm and clearing now. This R4/ R5 period has been highly active in NZ this week.
On 13 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

A cool start 7 deg. At 9 a.m but the sun came through for us today and it was pleasantly warm enough to work in a T-shirt, a few cooler cloudy moments but not a bad day all n all, loving the later evenings to get a bit extra done, max 16 deg. dropping back to 6 now at 22.50pm
On 13 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Big change again: 9˚C at 7.30 but feeling cold in the N’ly wind which blew all day. Cloudy for most of the morning, then quite a sunny afternoon but with only 14˚ max. Cloudy again late evening, 7˚ by 10pm. Still no heat, suspended animation indeed.
On 13 May 2015, c View wrote:

Richard. I don't know if you ever saw The Power Of Nightmares documentary by Richard Curtice but what you describe fits that template
On 13 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

RUSS(NE Derbyshire): Yes topography, aspect and altitude can cause remarkable local differences in bio-climate in northern Britain, especially when we have a 'flat' annual temperature curve giving us cool oceanic summers that we do. With such a flat curve giving accumulated temperature sums that are critical for plant growth thresholds, local differences over a few miles and just a few hundreds of metres of altitude can be very striking in terms of grass growth initiation/duration and of course in tree leaf flushing. In this suspended animation spring we are having up here, I've noticed how markedly the difference is in bud burst between different tree species and in those I grow, even in the same species, but from different locations in terms of latitude and oceanicity of climate. Alaskan and Scandinavian coastal montane origins, needing lower accumulated temperature sums, initiating and maintaining growth in advance of more southern continental origins.
On 13 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

cont'd 3 .... About 40 years ago while still in education, my brother and I had a long discussion about relativity and energy at the quantum level. We agreed most strongly that gravity, EM and mass were connected in a special way (Grand Unified Theory), and that they were all different products/properties of the same physical structure which makes up the universe. Today I see many physicists following that path and making lots of good progress. Meanwhile the quantum miners just get deeper and deeper into unfathomable math, coming up with almost biblical explanations for the quantum world, without a single scrap of evidence for any physical proof. What if the same physical principle which is supposed to transmit mass from the Higg's to other particles, is just another property of the same field of force which gravity and EM already describe?? Staring us in the face doesn't seem to matter(?), if the math doesn't fit. This is Global Warming for physicists. Back to evidence based science.
On 13 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

cont'd 2 .... I know this looks like a flat earth theory harping back to the old aether, but unless I see some physical theory as an explanation, then no amount of singularities, warped spacetime, Big Bangs or Higgs Bosons are going to convince me that a theory or experiment is correct. We live in a physical 3D universe, which most math describes very well but there are still many problems which present math can't describe. We don't even know what an electron or a photon is, yet happily boast that we've found the elusive, esoteric and etherial Higg's. What you said about moving an electron, that all the other electrons seem to give some inertia to that particular one. So you are almost agreeing that all electrons, 'seem', to be connected? Quantum tunnelling anyone? So they get something which they don't understand, see lots of them apparently affect each other, in a vacuum, at a distance, then dream up some Star Trek math to explain it, ending with more mystery than they started with.
On 13 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Alister... I think we may agree on more than you think at present. We just have to look at things which experiments seem to have proven, and accept that the results may be misinterpreted. Not wrong just misleading us into believing. I've started screen capturing articles and saving PDFs as the old method of bookmarking web-pages is so unreliable. As for electrons, if you agree that a useful signal/inertia can be conveyed instantly, then the same invisible conveyer of that signal must affect the gravitational force too. You must be aware of the orbital dynamics anomaly of giving gravity a delay and ending up with all the planets leaving the Solar System? Now that instantaneous effect is put down to warped spacetime. You can't warp 'nothing' therefore something else is acting to transmit the gravitational force. This same 'field' is causing the electrons to 'seem' able to communicate over huge distances almost instantly. .....cont'd
On 13 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Yes Paddy, I agree that the big differences can come from polar air dragged down over E Scotland. I have noticed a marked effect up to 25 to 30 miles away from the Cairgorms, where directly downwind there's a real chill in the air, yet a change of direction taking your position out of the direct effect can warm the airflow considerably. We get the same effect in Derbyshire hills but on a much smaller scale of course. Not noticed the effect nearer W Scotland or Wales, those places being near the western coast and generally warmer air to start with, straight off the sea. By the time you reach The Mamores, much farther inland, the effect is back. The lack of grass growth has been a problem here and still is on the higher ground, but I've noticed the lowland hay farmers are now getting lots of growth. The difference just a few degrees makes is amazing. Trees playing catch up well here.
On 13 May 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

love the way BBC and others link El Nino to 'man made climate change' at the end of each report. Its like a cult brainwashing mantra. If the cause of El Nino was due to co2 and co2 increases every year why don't we have one every year and why does its force not correlate with co2? Should the co2ers not be able to predict them and their force? They cant which means they dont know the cause so why they peddling this co2 trash science instead of admitting there is a black hole in their understanding of causes? There really are dark forces at work in society promoting hallucinations and it is correlated to how much money is thrown at the false beliefs.
On 12 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, still windy from the SW and gradually turning into the W, feeling cool under the cloud cover, but the sun really came out after midday and it got to 18˚ at one point despite the wind. Cattle were put on our grass today which is still looking a bit meagre, could do with more heat. Back to 8˚ at 10pm under a clear and still light sky. == Russ, I’m sure the snow capped hills do make a difference, but most often when we get a cold S’ly wind is is because of the arctic air wrapped around a low pressure system.
On 12 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

A bit better day today only a couple of light showers, wind started dropping this aft. so felt warmer as the day went on, max 13 from a feeling cooler 9 deg this a.m, warm in the Polytunnel up together in there, tomatoes and other veg have gained some growth, hoping to get back outside tomorrow as the rain has done wonders for the soil and the weeds and plants to plant out soon..
On 12 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Cross purposes - the EM signal that conveys useful information about something occurring i.e. light/RF wave (or photon) has been experimentally demonstrated to travel at the speed of light. You'll have to provide some very convincing evidence to the contrary. The 'spooky action' is different, it is as if every other electron offers some inertia to the one we've just tried to move, to emit a signal (EM). No useful information is conveyed, no contradiction between spooky action and the speed of light. The same principle applies to mass and gravity (which we already accept is a much weaker force than electromagnetism - no revelation there). Like many others, I dislike this spooky action but accept it (for now) until a better explanation is found. The violation of Bell's inequality and the Aspect experiments are stronger than anything presented to the contrary.
On 12 May 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Russ - El Nino? Like the one last year? === http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-27343057 === http://media.bom.gov.au/social/blog/266/currents-of-change-tracking-the-el-nio-la-nia-cycle/ === http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/bom-says-theres-now-a-70-plus-chance-of-2014-el-nino.html === We will probably get one, Tallbloke has been stating one large one is due around now for quite a time but what follows? A La Nina when temps will plunge. Bumpy ride ahead, especially with the sun acting like a spluttering engine. Just when you think you've got the engine going it conks out. Suggests flux above as below - LIA was not steady cold but rapid changes+contrasts. // Rain welcomed in the garden but not exactly much. Whatever rain that made it this far East has been light and small droplets even in the heavier stuff. Top soil soft and pliable. A few tulips left but mostly everything greening and putting on growth. Must be due the sea of purple shortly.
On 12 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

New quake in Nepal 7.3 mag. .... Piers, have you any comment on the soon expected El Nino event? >> http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-32704506 << Typhoon in an tea-cup??
On 12 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Paddy..... I imagine that the amount of snow lingering across the tops is having a marked cooling effect on your breeze. Where you are situated, the wind has to cross snow topped mountains before reaching Aberdeenshire. The bog standard, windless, sunny day can feel freezing in Fife yet feel swealtering in Surrey. Add in the snow cooling effect and Aberdeen gets crispy! You could always try applying The Gaia Principle. Sow some black daisies among your hay to absorb more of the Sun's heat hehehe!
On 12 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

For instance, your statement, " Each electron is instantaneously 'aware' of the movement of every other electron..." is a contradiction of this one, "The EM signal travels at the speed of light, as per experimentation." You won't see it as a contradiction because of the way you were taught. But there is a fundamental problem with those two statements describing the same thing. Its that old bug-bear, 'is it a particle or a wave' or worse still 'both'! Look at gravity. Its a force. It acts at a distance. Its action at a distance seems to break the rules because it acts many times faster than c. Feeble as it is, gravity is trumpeted as being this almighty, far reaching, mysterious action that over-rules all others. Yet its true power is infinitely dwarfed by the supreme unimaginable power of electromagnetism. All we have to do is step out of the box and allow ourselves to believe that magnetic signal can be sent across the vacuum of space almost instantly. Spookiness not required!
On 12 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Hi Alister... I'm trying to move away from all that 'spooky action at a distance', which is about as provable, using existing methods, as proving Angels ride Unicorns. In the very near future, NASA will find evidence of so called 'dark energy' and I'll bet they are dumbfounded by their findings. What we/they see at present is an illusion, one thing masquerading as another. We think we see spooky action, but in reality we are staring straight at something which we don't understand, yet is incredibly simple, and has been there all along, just waiting for us to develop a method of finding it. But how does a lifeform living in flatland know to build a theodolite to measure the height of a visiting three dimensional spaceship? It has no concept of 3D yet those objects exist all around its 2D world. That's the problem 'we' have, which has not been helped by Einstein, and others, who have been victims of the unfortunate phrase on many occasions, "God doesn't play dice" being just one....
On 12 May 2015, C View wrote:

Solar acrivity seems to have really picked up from a near spotless sun about two weeks ago to 188 with an SFU of 160, Are these the final death throes as we plunge towards minima.
On 12 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

This refers to 11th May (wasn't published for some reason): Another first for this year: temps in double digits all day - 11˚C at 7.30, max 18˚, and now at 10pm 10˚. Strong SW’ly wind all day, would have been warmer if it hadn’t been so strong, was able to work without a jacket all day, actually felt like spring, the warmth seems to have arrived for the time being.
On 12 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Taranaki NZ had a tornado today http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68466278/Tornado-rips-through-Taranaki-town. This R4 period has certainly been felt across NZ.
On 12 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Heavy rain caused flooding in Wellington NZ today http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68470170/heavy-rain-causes-major-flooding-in-wellington
On 11 May 2015, Alister wrote:

Russ - I assume you're referring to Wheeler-Feynmann absorber theory or Transactional Interpretation, i.e. explanation of radiation resistance. Each electron is instantaneously 'aware' of the movement of every other electron, offering some inertia to its movement - hence radiation resistance - but no 'useful' information is transferred as a result. The EM signal travels at the speed of light, as per experimentation. Not the same as the movement of the electrons themselves.
On 11 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Started sunny and breezy then the odd shower with quite a gusty wind, lunch onwards was not too bad with a mix of wind cloud and sunshine max temp 15 deg. Clouding over again this eve.
On 11 May 2015, C View wrote:

Weather goes wild in parts of USA everything from snow to hail, tornadoes, flash floods, heavy rain. Piers your thoughts?? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-32679986
On 11 May 2015, Maria wrote:

Any European subscribers know if the forecast May ha been loaded? I think it is getting quite late (11 May). Have not heard from Piers.
On 10 May 2015, C View wrote:

Skiing at Cairngorm finally came to close today exactly 5 months after the seaslon started. Despite the date on the calender it iis still possible to ski down to mid mountain.
On 10 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

7˚C at 7.30 (5˚ overnight), overcast all day with a fresh and really cold SSW’ly wind & occasional light showers (at least not of snow), max temp 14˚, down to 11˚ by 9pm. Where, oh where is the heat?
On 10 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Much warmer today. Even the breeze is just a tad cool. If the hazy cloud layer would shift it could be a very warm day. The moors are quite sodden, what with all the heavy showers over the past week. The trees around here have caught up with the calendar, and the grass has gone barmy! Not so lucky in Nova Scotia where crops are beng decimated by continuing snowfall and low temperatures....... On a different note, the blinkered ones over at NASA are flummoxed by the fact that electric charge (although they seem fixated with magnetism), can zip across the Sun's atmosphere almost instantaneously, setting off solar flares in different regions all at the same time. I thought science was supposed to use observation to prove or disprove the validity of a theory? The Newtons Cradle is the best analogy to describe the action of electric charge over a vast distance. EM signals are way faster than light. >> http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2010/13dec_globaleruption/ <<
On 10 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Rained most of the 8th, yesterday was quite a pleasant sunny day until the late aft/eve showers..Rain and windy today 12 deg at midday.
On 09 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Rainy start, 7˚C at 7.30, NE’ly wind. Brightening up by 10am, went for a walk on a cliff top moor, cold in the wind but feeling hot the minute we were in any kind of shelter. Max temp 14˚, big shower around 5pm, then dry evening, 7˚ again by 10pm. MO forecast is for cloudy with occasional rain tomorrow, warmer on Mon & Tue.
On 09 May 2015, east side wrote:

Meanwhile over in URAL, the weather is highly unpredictable in 2015. Winter lasted until 2-3 weeks ago, then suddenly the snow stopped, wind swung around to the south, the deep snow all melted in a week & it was the warmest part of the European continent, with temperatures of 25C+, enough to give sunburn. Finally after a week of this, the wind swung back to the north again to give cold bright weather. This is predicted to last another few days, then the wind will swing around to the west, & give a period of unsettled weather. This winter right throughout western Russia & Scandinavia was NOT a cold one, but about a month longer than we are used to. This tendency is to somewhat longer winters, to somewhat hotter summers ending about a month later. The general pattern is definitely to shorter transition seasons, in some cases mere weeks with v cold winds & abrupt changes in wind directions. This is visible throughout all of Eastern Europe to a greater or lesser extent.
On 08 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

0˚C overnight, all grass was white with frost when I got up, 3˚ at 7.30 still frosty in shaded places, bright most of the day though with significant cloud amounts being driven in on a strong and cold S’ly wind - May: really? Max temp 13˚, down to 7˚ by 10pm under an overcast sky.
On 08 May 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Another quick flyby - thanks all for replies over past month, I've read replies but short on time. Will do a follow up on them as been mulling over obs esp for Spring. Have a gander at a new post === https://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2015/05/07/climate-always-changes/ === especially the comments by Thomas Barker highlighted by Hubert Lamb. 'Dry winds' delay spring! I usually look at temps but hadn't considered wind direction delaying spring. Note also the reference to Oxford and winds also - thoughts? // Tornado in Germany. I have been researching many a cold spell & found for example in Nov 1981 there were record no's of tornados in the UK. What followed in Dec 81 was notable cold. Seen this before also. Hmm // Davey out - yesss!! // Saw Piers briefly on Al jazeera in the last week - not weather of course. He was a 'housing campaigner' // Congrats to Piers brother Jeremy who increased his majority === http://bit.ly/1GTOAjK
On 08 May 2015, Sylvio Witter wrote:

Is EU30d forcast for may 2015 already published? I cannot see it in the forcast overview table
On 08 May 2015, Rob Horler wrote:

Bye bye Davey. Meet the new boss,same as the old boss? Interesting link below about potential growth days for all the growers and farmers,just scroll down for the figures http://weather.headlandamenity.com/2015/05/may-5th/
On 08 May 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Belfast over last Saturday was very wet but a slightly mild feel until the sun went down, then it was very chilly. Back home its been cool and showery since and turned much colder yesterday. Walking the dog over the moor last night, my hands were pink and going numb. Forced to use pockets...6pm in May(?). CME hit and solar storm last night should spin up the rain from the south today, with showers probably increasing rather than dispersing. Piers fine tuning update has come good, even though his May forecast was behaving pretty well already.
On 08 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

More warmist spin, this time from Australia http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/world-headed-for-an-el-nino-and-it-could-be-a-big-one-scientists-say-20150507-ggw8bo.html
On 07 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Max temp 12 deg. today not overly warm but some nice sunny spells at times with a mix of cloud, the main thing was it was dry enough to cut the grass that had finally seemed to grow from all the rain, tulips still have not opened yet but noticed the Oak is coming out before the Ash trees lol..
On 07 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚overnight, 6˚ at 7.30, cold NW’ly wind all day, the only thing that let you know that it is May was the position of the sun in the sky and the fact that when it did come out you could actually feel its heat on you, otherwise it could have been not a bad day for the end of February! RON, yes I also noticed a few snow pellets, otherwise a dry day, max temp 11˚, down to 4˚ by 9pm. Certainly feels like there will be a frost tonight. PIERS, what’s happening?
On 07 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

a chill wind is blowing in Scotland with light showers of pellet snow. Quite a sharp frost due tonight. The suspended animation spring continues, Some people at Westminster might get the wind up tonight!
On 06 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

7˚C at 7.30, very bright & clear start with a stiff SW wind, but soon clouding over with showers off & on all morning. Drier afternoon with a few sunny interludes, during which temps rose to 14˚. As the Low over Britain gradually moved east, winds started turning into the NW, bright evening, 5˚ at 10pm.
On 06 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Cloudy blustery showery day.. 13 deg. @ lunch time but feels cooler with the wind, sun trying to grin through but not feelin the outside work today, enough rain has been had now!
On 06 May 2015, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-32601555 - Tornado rips through N Germany etc...in MAY!?!
On 06 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

MObeeb, now admitting that the north-central Scottish Highlands will have hill snow Wed/Thurs as polar maritime digs in. GFS predicting a warm spell mid month and quite a cool last week
On 06 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Heavy rain for the West Coast of NZ's South Island http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/68306383/heavy-rain-flooding-hits-west-coast
On 06 May 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

I guess the question is on which side do the NPI operate? Are they honest scientists or yet more warmists? Spaceweather says we are due a CME hit on the atmosphere tomorrow. Will that drive a change? Blustery winds across the flatlands from dawn to dusk here. A lot of rain during last night but some nice sunny spells later in the day before more cloud came over. Warmer than it has been but then the winds have swung round to the SW now.
On 05 May 2015, Geoff Clarke wrote:

response to Richard East Mids Thanks for your response to my-mildly rhetorical-questions re the NPI study. I'm still puzzled, given the clucking and squawking of Chicken Licken and co re the 'shrinking of the polar ice cap'. If their previous position is that it is clearly disappearing and will be gone by today+n years, reiterated each year with the same value of n, and that this is supported by data.the NPI study seems to trash their case,since it implies that there is actually no reliable data. No data, no scientific case, though that has little/no impact on a 'sincere expression of dogma/faith' in which 'facts' are only of use if they reinforce the dogma. And one or two seasons observations by the NPI can scarcely constitute a sound basis for any extrapolation? Collapse of Stout Party mayhap?
On 05 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, very cloudy on a strong NE’ly wind, rain arriving from the south around 9.30, somw of it heavy, continuing all the way to 7pm with the temperature staying at a resolute 8˚, falling to 5˚ by 9pm. Calmer in the evening as we are near the centre of the LP over Britain. MO forecast for tomorrow not as severe as they were saying yesterday but still wet.
On 05 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Another mixed day of breezy showers sunshine n' cloud max temp 11/12 deg bit soggy outside but the Polytunnel continues to reach a good temp and working in there is handy as can prop open the door when it gets above 25 and gently lower temp a bit and keep it aired but warm and a little humid, tomato and cucumber plants are just starting to get a move on have planted some out in the tunnel and left some in pots as a back up, peppers n chilli plants a little slower but getting there, lots of lettuces radish spinach and asparagus to munch while we wait..
On 05 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

STV 's 6 o'clock news programme weather forecast was showing snow icons in the NW and Central Highlands as the low pressure system moved into southern Norway tonight and tomorrow. Mobeeb more cautious or ingenous!
On 05 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

CVIEW: yes both the reports from the resorts/press and anecdotal comment of people I met who'd been on the slopes, indicate that conditions last week were more like January than late late April/early May. I gather that the funicular tunnel at Cairngorm was blocked by one of the biggest snowdrifts of the season. Glencoe had fresh falls of 2ft and the best powder snow in Europe. Warmer yesterday, but with a Nor'easter due today and sea level temps below 10C, there could be more snow this afternoon/evening
On 05 May 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

geoff- the only people who believe those trying to whip water into a thick cream are those who haven't researched it and trust 'experts' like people used to trust priests. One may note that to sell lies in western civilization the common way is to make a 'dossier' and give it a time limit till 'disaster be it 45 minutes or 45 years. The co2ers cannot explain the causes of climate which is why they are unable to predict it. When their predictions turn out not only to be wrong but even have a bias to failure they have to pump out wild speculations. If we are in an inter glacial warming period [cause we not under a mile of ice] what would follow? it would follow temps increase, ice melts sea levels may or may not rise depending upon land mass movements. If climate change was due to co2 what would follow? it would follow melting warming was consistent and changing at a predictable correlated rate and not have wild variations nor reverses as we see. Co2 does not fit as cause.
On 05 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

7.5 quake off the coast of Papua New Guinea today http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/south-pacific/68291285/75magnitude-earthquake-hits-coast-off-papua-new-guinea
On 04 May 2015, @Piers_Corbyn wrote:

CITIZENS - Further Ad - The ALL SUMMER FORECAST B+I is HALF PRICE and 75day and 100day ahead have been added to the 6m for price of 4 and 12m for 6 LIST. These are SHORT TERM OFFERS please take-up / Pass on
On 04 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

8˚C at 7.30, bright & sunny all day with a pleasant WSW wind. Compared to yesterday, it was paradise, especially as temps rose to 17˚, shame that tormorrow it is supposedly going downhill again, MO even forecasting thunderstorms for Wed. Still 10˚ at 9pm. == A friend from across the river said they had -5˚ on Saturday morning. Also met someone from Carrbridge, north of Cairngorm, who told me they had -26˚ at one point during this past winter!! Again an illustration how much difference just relatively few miles can make in Scotland.
On 04 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

No more thunder last night here & the sky cleared enough for a time to see the moon and a few stars, a little more rain overnight but a bright morning and dry day thankfully, mix of big clouds and sunshine today max temp 13 deg. light S'ly breeze, looks like more rain forecast for tonight..
On 04 May 2015, Geoff Clarke wrote:

Did anyone else catch the BBC Today item on Arctic Winter Ice Cover, now being measured by the Norwegian Polar Institute? Struck me as quite a nice Find the Lady effort by the Ministry of Truth, but maybe I misheard or they misspoke? As it came across to me the NPI are doing the first study ever of winter ice cover (so pooh to NASA et al who have presumably been making it up but claiming it as true???!), and it will presumably take a few years and more than a few bodies to measure a fairly large area enough to assemble a good database from which to prognosticate on the cover. Plus, since wind off Eurasia seems to be an key factor in the occasional clear water through the NE Passage, but also piles the ice up over the NW passage-which is Canadian Territory- any l measurement will in any case be rather incomplete especially as to ice volume- which is presumably as important as ice surface area? Or is this another Warmist ex post facto fig leaf for a failing theory?
On 04 May 2015, C View wrote:

@Ron Greer I didn't see the BBC forecast for the snowfall but this quote from Caitngorm Ski Area is gives a clear indication of what they were experiencing. "It has been snowing incessantly all day and Blizzard conditions from mid mountain up in the storm force winds. It will be interesting to see what we come in to in the morning. Due to the poor weather staff are now leaving site and all facilities are closed for the day." Reading that you would it was January. Also I see David Shukman has been airdropped into the Arctic so expect a barrage of climate crisis stories this week on the BBC news.
On 04 May 2015, @Piers_Corbyn wrote:

GREAT COMMS ALL especially on recent R4R5 and Quake news. In case you havnt seen HOME PAGE Go THERE FOR SOME MORE LIMITED DURATION HALF PRICE OFFERS - Br+Ir ALL SUMMER MONTHS and all updates - just released is available for half price, and existing subs extended by any overlaps. Pass it on! Thank you!
On 04 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

5.8 quake in Wanaka, NZ today http://www.stuff.co.nz/southland-times/68257475/wanaka-hit-by-58-magnitude-earthquake.
On 03 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C at 7.30, still dry but the all night strong SSE’ly wind was still going & bringing in an endless supply of clouds which eventually brought rain around 10am and never stopped until around 7pm. Max temp during the day was a chilly 5˚ but by 11.30pm it had risen to 6˚ and felt really mild.
On 03 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

A similar day more rain and some sunny spells chucked in for good measure amongst the showers, everything well soaked after the last couple of days! max 14 deg. quite hot for a time in the Polytunnel and high humidity again, working away potting up and could hear the wind pick up a little and the odd rumble of thunder in the distance this eve around 8pm, some big dark clouds around now as it's getting dark around 9 deg. and looking a little balmy, hoping for a proper thunder storm :)
On 02 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

0˚C overnight, lawn was white with frost, mature tulips bent over for the second time, some of the earth in the pots hard etc. Brilliant sunshine though before cloud started moving in, flat bottomed cumulus all day with a good measure of sunshine, 12˚ max, down to 4˚ by 9.30pm, cold E’ly wind all day. MO says lots of rain tomorrow, they might be right as the HP to the N of us is declining.
On 02 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

MObeeb, giving out two different projections of the snow amounts over the Grampians late tonight through to tomorrow afternoon--hedging bets as usual.
On 02 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Rained all night and still raining this morn. Some great puddles for the kids! yellow rainfall warning up since yesterday for Ireland till this eve. 10 deg. dull with high humidity a good day for hiding in the Polytunnel getting the next batch of food on the go, cheers for May 30d Piers ;)
On 02 May 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

More severe weather in Australia, this time in Brisbane http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/australia/68217487/Brisbane-weather-Three-dead Plus, 7.1 quake in Papua New Guinea.
On 01 May 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Not a bad start this morning a mix of cloud and sunshine warm enough whilst stacking wood, usually don't use any between April and Sept. but decided a load in so can light the boiler on the odd naff day wouldn't hurt to have handy, max 10 deg felt a bit cooler as the day went on and the rain came, showers and a E'ly light wind now at 22.32 pm 8 deg. feels like 5.. showers have been good for the garden but hope it warms up again soon..
On 01 May 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

4˚C at 7.30, bright and clear start with a sharp NE’ly wind that lasted all day, showers off and on during the morning, including hail, dry afternoon, max temp 12˚, clear evening. == Plants are very slow because of the cold this year, carrots & parsnips are up but just hunkering down waiting for the warmth. When that happens there will be an explosion of growth - including weeds! == I agree with others that the April forecast has been accurate, very satisfying for us subscribers.
On 01 May 2015, Gerry 45d 223ft Kent-Surrey border wrote:

Well, Steve - let's see what the GWPF investigation into making up surface temperature data brings. The likes of Stott will have some explaining to do if caught unless the establishment tries to hush it all up. The BBC will be the last to catch up as they so often are when lefties get caught out. The Guardian too no doubt.
On 01 May 2015, Nemi wrote:

Woke to snow cover here in Genlivet the Grampians, been on and off all morning. Looking forward to spring returning ;-)
On 01 May 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

NEMI: sleety showers down here too in Perthshire and yet another BBC report about an extended ski season in Scotland.
On 01 May 2015, Nemi wrote:

Woke to snow cover here in Genlivet the Grampians, been on and off all morning. Looking forward to spring returning ;-)
On 01 May 2015, Sue G (Cambridge) Subscriber wrote:

April's forecast was superb - extraordinary accuracy. Bravo! When I wonder will the 30 day subscribers be seeing the outlook for May?
On 01 May 2015, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

Another week, another drop in the ocean of unscientific drivel from Auntie BBC - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-32534488 - More warm years according to 'Dr Andrew King from the University of Melbourne'...'Dr Peter Stott, of the Met Office Hadley Centre, said the new findings added to evidence that human-induced climate change was increasing the chances of record-breaking temperatures around the world, including in the UK. "At the Met Office we produced similar research late last year showing how climate change had made UK record breaking temperatures about 10 times more likely," he said.'
On 30 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

5˚C at 7.30, showery start with a stiff N’ly wind all day, gradually getting drier and brighter, max temp 11˚, down to 2˚ at 11pm.
On 30 Apr 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

C VIEW: The 'National' today reported that a major snowsport magazine had judged that Glencoe currently had the best quality powder snow in the world.
On 30 Apr 2015, steven wright wrote:

i agree with matt too one of the best months predictions although december 2010 was the best im sure may will be right too nice to see hot and sunny weather predicted for my birthday
On 30 Apr 2015, Matt (TheMaverickMan) wrote:

One of your best monthly forecasts since I became a subscriber in mid-2012. It's about time the Met Office and Co started behaving like scientists and ended their SLAT Denialism.
On 30 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Similar day yesterday sunny cool start, clouding over with showers some of hail, max 8/9 deg. Some more sunny spells in the late afternoon enough to give the Polytunnel a warm up & again showers followed, nice big crack of thunder or 2 in the eve. Looks similar again today 6 deg 8.30 a.m chilly start mix of sun and cloud around..
On 30 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Now this is interesting. Don't see many of these over Kinder Scout. >> http://www.boredpanda.com/rare-quadruple-rainbow-double-rainbow-amanda-curtis-long-island-ny/ <<
On 30 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Hardly a sunspot in sight, low magnetic flux, very low solar wind density and speed. If the coronal holes get any bigger, does this mean that the extremely hot (but exceedingly rarified) corona's heat output toward Earth will be compromised? As we head into Solar Minimum things are looking bleak! Craig mentioned the secondary importance of the solar wind when comparing it to direct magnetic components of coronal hole architecture, if that's the right word. I wonder how much difference the drop in heat and light output affects the weather and if the changes in Sun/Earth magnetic structure cancel or 'enhance' these effects? As far as a 'hibernating Sun is concerned, I think the corona is key. Whatever other changes are afoot, be they sub-surface or atmospheric, the solar corona may be the waving hand that signals the start of the next ice age!! The mythological Black Sun could be the Sun 'without' a corona, yes/no, maybe?
On 29 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, heavy rain overnight lasting to 10am on a SW’ly wind, brightening up but still cloudy with occasional showers, max temp 13˚, sown to 5˚ by 10pm. Thankfully no frost.
On 29 Apr 2015, C View wrote:

Looks like winter in the Scottish Highlands ain't over by a long way. Ski resortd that have decided to remain open reporting 6-8" fresh snow check out this pic. https://www.facebook.com/GlencoeMountain/photos/a.112454045449052.13670.111429118884878/1067627723265008/?type=1
On 29 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Chilly sunny start 4 deg. at 8 a.m with a cool breeze, becoming overcast some showers on and off all day and eve. max temp 10 deg. showing 8 now at midnight looking like it will drop again during the night, it's like a roller-coaster of alternating temps and seasons all day and night, glad I've not planted anything out too early as yet either, roll on May's 30d forecast April's has been well used as a guideline here..
On 28 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

1˚C at 7.30, very slight frost in places, sunny morning, max temp 13˚, cloudier afternoon with some beefy hail showers, winds variable from NW - SW, clear evening with 3˚.
On 28 Apr 2015, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

Hail this morning, cold, bits of light rain but basically not much at all. I am having to bring tomato plants into the house, they are stunted with cold and need tlc. Cloudy all day but nice big fluffy clouds with patches of bright sunlight. Spot on forecast and enabled me to set up the water butts ready for filling. also in no rush to plant anything out. Thank you
On 28 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Over on spaceweather.com there's a triangular shaped coronal hole. Seen them before on the web. Conspiracy theories and aliens aside, it shows how little we understand the Sun when it can put something like this on show and nobody seems to notice? The plasma filament 240,000 miles long yes, but an almost perfect isosceles triangle 200,000 miles across isn't worthy of note! How bizarre!
On 28 Apr 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

Heavy snow showers last night and hills well covered this morning. Nothing too unusual for April in Scotland or even May. I remember Sean Connery and friends had to give up a mid May golfing weekend at Gleneagles in 92/93 because of cold and snow..
On 27 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

-1˚C overnight, good old frost, the tulips that are fully out were bent double and the earth in the pots was frozen. Snow was still lying but was rapidly melting, all away by midday. Sunny morning, clouding over later, sleet shower around 7pm. NW’ly wind at first, turning into SW later, max temp 12˚, down to 2˚ by 10pm.
On 27 Apr 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

I've put a few comms over at TB's site regarding eq's, volcanoes+solar/lunar === https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2015/04/25/major-earthquake-hits-nepal/ === a sort of condensed version of my obs & musings here over the past 4 yrs. // Lovely day here in the sun but clouded over late on & chilly now. A westerly wind sourced from Iceland. Cracking April forecast Piers. // Dafs all gone, the odd sheltered tulip still going but noticed bluebells appeared almost as soon as I said it was 'tulip week' (last week I think I said that). Blossoms full but fleeting. My obs are several plants have had a brief flourish. Poppy's & roses strongly budding (roses took until end May in 2013) & primed to explode.The rain is most appreciated in the garden.// Read in Metro today the cold o'night could equal/beat record for 27/4 in Scot. Saw BBC/MetO showing 0C down my end. Thanks to forecast nothing out that will be bothered.// Still taken by the frost post Bertha last Aug. Blackened my Nasturtium!!
On 27 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

After a sunny start to the morning the cloud increased and my headache, followed by sunshine and showers max 8 deg. for a short time, a hefty hail shower later and wind that made it feel a lot cooler, 3 deg. now at 9pm..The owl around has been nice to go out and listen to the last couple of nights but tonight is a night for chilling with the fire..
On 27 Apr 2015, Catherine (45 d sub) wrote:

Interesting article by Matt Ridley in today's Times about Africa's need for cheap energy, rather than green energy, to enable it to prosper. He also quotes an analysis by Euan Mearns which found temps in southern Africa no higher than in the1930s. Mearns also found 'mass manipulation of temp records'. Article well worth a read. Can't give a link though as I was reading the paper not the on-line version. Ron, you might not have seen snow yesterday but my son had loads in rural Aberdeenshire. A few inches lying, not much above sea level. Plenty of hail and sleet here in Glasgow this afternoon. April's forecast has been pretty much spot on here. Very impressive.
On 27 Apr 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

@Bob - been commenting on the TB thread also+ did a quick post=== http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2015/04/27/nepal-earthquake-similar-pattern-seen-at-start-of-little-ice-age/ === Your idea of 'priming' very interesting. Vukcevic has commented before on NASA reporting that the (IIRC) magnetic orientation during odd cycles has the leading edge magnetised north (not found source article). Doesn't explain increase in seismic activity. Interesting the uptick followed on from increased solar activity which rapidly dropped off. I'll comment some more over at TB's // @Russ coronal holes give out Alfvén waves. === http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/news/solar-minima.html === but I think there are many things which come into place. I suppose like landing a punch - it can connect or be glancing. This might interest you btw === http://craigm350.wordpress.com/2015/04/26/electric-universe-valles-marineris/
On 27 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

.....and another thing! Auntie Beeb is saying that the quake has an historic pattern. A build up of stress over time, due to moving tectonic plates, put's the plate edges on a knife edge, ready for what? Geologists still seem to think that when the tension has built up high enough, the quake will occur. Maybe the geologists should go talk to some astrophysicists. When they listen to the latest findings from NASA, they might be inclined to accept a more plausible nudge factor...
On 27 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

You know Piers, if I could hit as many bulls-eyes at the fairgound as you do forecasting the weather, I could walk away with hundreds of big stuffed animals......... It's not just the fact that the weather is about to change over the next few hours (already has changed for most Scots), but it's the timing from many weeks out. Even Piers updates usually give a weeks notice or more........ The ground around here is baking dry, so the Swallows (yes we have Swallows), are finding it difficult to find fresh mud. Look at raintoday.co.uk and you'll see that the Swallows won't have to wait too long! Farmers won't be getting an early cut of hay this year unless temperatures pick up. It seems to me that the chill wind is the thing preventing the grass putting on a spurt. BBC article the other day pointed out that the blossom this spring is lasting exceptionally well, due to the warm sun and lack of bad frosts or high winds.
On 27 Apr 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

anyone relying on meto 5 day forecast last few days must be wondering what is going on lol
On 27 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

cont'd ... If a huge dollop of iron and many other metals and gases, is racing through the galactic magnetic field at 200km/s, then isn't that stellar dollop going to 'induce' electric charge to flow? The EU people have a theory that the Sun is both an anode and cathode, the anode being the poles and the cathode being the equator. Would go some way to explaining the hexagonal polar cloud vortex on Saturn. Bulb filament and Sun, both use moving charge to emit heat and light. Electrons induced to jiggle at the power station feed the bulb with jiggling electrons so charge can flow across the filament and emit heat and light. The movement of the Sun through the galactic magnetic field induces electrons to move throughout the Sun and it's atmosphere, creating it's own opposing magnetic field. Isn't this conflict why the magnetic field in the photosphere is so complex and prone to flaring? Gives off heat and light as prescribed... Venus and Moon focus solar wind onto Earth increasing effects
On 27 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Bob.... yes you make good points on the Tall Bloke site. If the Sun is driven electrically and externally, then as it passes through galactic space, the mechanism which creates the solar cycles must cause electrical anomalies on the planets. Nothing is guaranteed but those lunar beats are the guiding factor, dragging all other details into line; the moon acting like a huge space-bourne antenna. As we drop toward solar minimum again, I'm watching the pattern of coronal holes as a sign of near-future solar activity. The corona is key. The ancients knew about those shapes surrounding the sun and would have clearly seen the corona during a total eclipse. The shape of the corona being a guide to future weather patterns. Or maybe even predicting local volcanic eruptions? By the time of Pompeii, we had lost all those old skills and knowledge. ... cont'd
On 27 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Yesterday stayed mostly sunny although on the cooler side it was fine enough to work outside, max temp 12 deg. Cold this morning only 3 deg at 8 a.m but sunshine again although some cloud around so may change later, the North of the country here has been recording -4 I believe some snow on some hills here in places also..
On 27 Apr 2015, Lee Barrett wrote:

Hi Piers.congratulions on ur brilliant success this month, how are you? And keep up the fabulous work :)
On 26 Apr 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Its been a wild night across NZ and it is continuing today http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/68066277/heavy-rain-and-gales-ahead-for-much-of-the-country So far about 35 mils of rain here in Motueka following a wet and windy night. Rain eased about 9 am but is now at 10.30 am heavy again.
On 26 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

1˚C overnight, very slight frost in places, sunny morning but cold. Went to the seaside & could see rain falling inland being held off the coast by the stiff NE’ly wind. Over the sea it was always bright & when we returned home at 4pm sleet was beginning to fall, in a thick veil and straight down at times because the wind had suddenly dropped. Around 5.30pm it started snowing big fat flakes and carried on until about 8pm by which time it was sticking, and the NW’ly wind started picking up again. Once the front was out of the way we had a glimpse of clear sky in the west, temp round about 0˚ by 9.30pm.
On 26 Apr 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

JB- since when do the co2ers do 'balancing up'. if they did they would be forced to say that during inter glacial warming period there is no ice at the north pole which is NORMAL. That temps can go up 4c and still be in normal ranges. They would also have to explain why as ice recedes remains of forests and settlements are being revealed. They would also have to dump their decontextualised 30 year averages and all the other deceptions they use.
On 26 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Cooler with rain showers yesterday max temp 10 deg. Sad more lives are lost and even more so that money spent in the wrong vain could be better spent preparing areas that suffer these extremes.. 5 deg. at 8 a.m mostly sunny at the mo..
On 26 Apr 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

a distinctly cool, but gloriously sunny morning here in Highland Perthshire, no sign of the 'Mirrors' freezemageddon or even snow on the top of Ben y Ghlo at 1100 metres
On 26 Apr 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Another storm for Sydney, Australia Saturday afternoon and night http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/sydney-storm-warmer-calmer-conditions-forecast-as-coastal-areas-mop-up-20150426-1mtca0.html
On 26 Apr 2015, Bob Weber wrote:

Thanx Russ. This goes beyond an enraged eco-psycho - need I say more... Per your's and Craig's comments wrt recent tragic natural disasters, you might be interested in this analysis I just did here https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2015/04/25/major-earthquake-hits-nepal/comment-page-1/#comment-100186 and would appreciate any feedback here and/or there. The events I described there are examples of the coupling mechanisms between the solar wind, magnetosphere, and the ground, which is where the ACTION is, and is what Piers has grappled with in developing his SLAT versions. I know some people think he pulls off his success from a crystal ball or something, but as far as I'm concerned, it's cutting edge applied science. Solar flux dropped again today, and it's going lower as the active regions are rolling out of view. Solar sector boundary crossing today not so impressive. Nice day here for cutting wood. Got new laptop and will now spend a week loading software and a terabyte of data.
On 26 Apr 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Just to clarify last comment...spring seems a time of large eq's. Why? Not sure// It was always going to be bad in Nepal due to infrastructure & in remote areas mud mortar. Building standards matter e.g. Japan can 'take it', the old pagodas have weathered the shockwaves well these past few centuries === https://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2015/04/25/japanese-pagodas-in-earthquakes-on-youtube/ === A few new posts over there too, please have a look-suggestions/comments welcome. Also check the video=== http://craigm350.wordpress.com/2015/04/24/and-then-theres-social-justice-warriors/ === it's not about climate per say but my is it about who is controlling the climate debate. Jazz hands instead of applause as it can be 'triggering'! My word what has this world come to when these authoritarian 'snowflakes' control the narrative & agenda. May remind you of a few alarmists out there in mainstream miasma land. // Wet but still warm. Rain o'night, sunny most of day. Rain came in eve.
On 25 Apr 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Just after 11pm here & watching RT for the latest on Nepal and I just heard Piers speaking!! Only 30 seconds but very sage commentary. Lots of scare mongering about aftershocks out there but Piers covered sensibly. Lots of aftershocks are likely but some out there were saying "in the next 2 hours". Death toll over 1500 according to === http://earthquake-report.com/2015/04/25/massive-earthquake-nepal-on-april-25-2015/ === & looks to rise much, much further. Horrible, horrible stuff. [Russ thanks. Caught it on way out the door AM & knew it wasn't good in light of past few days activity. Spring always a bad time. I'll comment later - seems more to it than just CH's - flux is key. Will write more when have a mo. News blog always being updated or @CraigM350 on twitter for updates]. // Cretins already linking climate change. Utter scum. How the **** can an SUV cause an eq? === http://ow.ly/M7mpz
On 25 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, snow flakes mixed in with the rain, the really colder temps have come slightly later for us than per Piers’ 30d forecast but they’re definitely here now. Max temp today was 13˚, back down to 3˚ by 10pm. After the rain had passed we had a really sunny day, though with blustery WNW’lies and with amazing flat bottomed cumulus towers. == We in our mollycoddled BI have no idea what it is like to experience an earthquake when life as we know it disappears in seconds.
On 25 Apr 2015, Richard T yearly sub Redcar wrote:

That volcano Calbuco produced some stunning pictures ...ufo,s aswell lol.. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3053876/Was-Chilean-volcano-eruption-incredible-attracted-observers-space-Mysterious-white-light-seen-hovering-giant-ash-cloud-grounded-flights.html what interested me more was the last time it had a major eruption 1961 ,a year later if you click the link below, on each month of the following year in 1962 the word cold,cooler than average appears a lot so next year could be very interesting!! here is that archive ..remember 1962 .. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/archive/monthly-weather-report-1960s
On 25 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

I have no doubt that if another huge coronal hole seemed to trigger another big quake (plus big volcano eruption in Chile a couple of days ago), the standard issue (Best Buy) scientists, would still blame plate tectonics!! It's time they pulled their heads out of the sand and smelled the roses? ....... Bob I am shocked! But the harrassment simply reinforces the fact that these people are the worlds true terrorists. Dictionary breif definition: "Terrorist; A radical who employs terror as a political weapon." ... Say no more! Probably some out of work, computer programmer, environmentalist type, who has nothing better to do than harrass folk like Bob and others trying to get people to see the truth. I've spoken to people who have these views and abilities, and they think nothing of spending a Sunday afternoon stirring up homophobic, racial and other highly political hatred on web forums. The asylums are now closed down, so we have to deal with these parasites ourselves I'm afraid.
On 25 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Wow! Thanks for the heads-up Craig. I hadn't caught the news, been really busy working long hours. I would confidently put that down to the massive coronal hole which was pointing earthward for a couple of weeks. The energy that was pumped into the earth throughout that time must have been immense. I read a year or so ago, that the charge flowing into the earth's poles, tries to get back to space by completing what we would think of as an electric circuit, by tracking through the mantle and crust by following pockets of extremely hot gases in fissures in the rock heating them even more, giving rise to expansion and therefore sudden release of energy by volcanic eruption or earthquake, depending where the charge is moving. The high mountains of Nepal, covered in water (snow and ice) makes for a perfect release of that energy, the mountains being closer to earth's magnetosphere and the water making a perfect conductor of electrical energy (charge). Wonder if anyone saw ball lightning?
On 25 Apr 2015, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Devastating shallow M7.8 happened earlier this morning in Nepal, the worst since an M8 in 1934.An M6.7 aftershock occurred also. Over 600 dead and rising (deaths also in China, Bangladesh, India). Base camps on Everest destroyed from avalanches. The death toll will rise further as Kathmandu is densely populated, the epicenter was ~75km from the capital and it will take time to reach those areas. Many historic buildings are gone. This is part of a recent seismic uptick over the past few days including an M6.2 in Canada, the South Island quake in NZ that Lorraine reported on and the Calbuca volcano in Chile that coincides with the recent solar activity uptick. Ben Davidson was warning about this in recent days. Thoughts and prayers with all. So very sad.
On 24 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Cloudy start with light showers, Dry for a time then a few more showers during the day with sunny spells on occasions too, high humidity feeling muggy, the sky quite stormy looking and a downpour around 6pm max temp 14 Deg. around 6 now before midnight, some rain is welcome though as the soil was getting hard and dry to work, the headache I have is a little less welcome..
On 24 Apr 2015, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C at 7.30, reasonably sunny day with a S’ly wind for most of it, max temp a respectable 18˚ out of the wind, quite foggy late afternoon & evening, rain after 9pm, temp at this time 9˚, I’m surprised it is not colder just yet.
On 24 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

As an example, warm your water using a kettle, then see how long it takes to warm using the air in the room. Don't forget, heat can only transfer from a hotter to a colder body, so no matter how warm the atmosphere gets, the surface of the ocean can only get to the same temperature as the atmosphere, 'not one tenth of a degree more'. So if the water surrounding Antarctica is so warm that it is rapidly melting the sea-ice, that warmth CANNOT have come from the air, otherwise the ice would be melting from the top down...not from the bottom up!!! Isn't logic wonderful? d:^)
On 24 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

Sea temperatures are constantly blamed on a tiny increase in CO2 causing a tiny increase in the global average atmospheric temperature. We all know, from a very young age, that water is difficult to heat, holds it's heat well, and takes a long while to cool off, unlike 'air'. Looking at the vast amounts of water in the oceans, doesn't it seem plausible that the water might be receiving it's heat from undersea volcanic vents, rather than trying to suck that tiny amount of extra warmth from the thin layer of atmosphere, in contact with the ocean surface. As humans, we have an innate ability to sift out probabilities using logic. That's how our unconscious brain works. It has enabled us to evolve into the most successful and intelligent of all animals. Listening to politicians and corrupt scientists, then believing results from tampered data sets and useless computer models, we are destined to revert back to an earlier order of primate...
On 24 Apr 2015, Russ NE Derbyshire wrote:

John Blakely.... Overall, average sea-ice amounts are pretty accurate to measure laterally but the thickness is more of a challenge. So the numbers aren't exactly arbitrary but shouldn't be used as accurate data. With all the undersea volcanic activity going on, especially along the Pacific rim, it's no surprise that the average sea-ice extent is falling. All that warm ocean is creating extra atmospheric moisture, which Hadley Cells hold in proximity to Antarctica, which the bitter and powerful Catabatic Wind drives down onto Antarctica's interior, dropping huge amounts of extra snow. Last thing I read was that overall, the average Antarctic 'ice extent' was growing. Also of note, any increases in Arctic ice should see a corresponding decrease in Antarctic ice, and vice versa. I've seen several theories, all seem plausible, but I don't think anyone has a clue why this is so. By the way, lots of physical, visible magnetism being reported on spaceweather.com ....all I saw was plasma!
On 24 Apr 2015, Bob Weber wrote:

If anyone has a chance to see Piers and Bob Johnson speak tomorrow (see above news blurb) please avail yourself of the opportunity to listen to two bright minds discuss my favorite topics. Bob Johnson gave two great informative presentations at EU2014. Johnson will be talking about the coupling that occurs in the upper atmosphere, ionosphere, magnetosphere, with the solar wind - and is vitally important to understanding electric weather and associated terrestrial effects. If I were in the UK, I'd make it a point to go see Bob and Piers together. This month I've done more electric weather research and found out some very interesting things wrt volcanoes, dust storms, and solar activity, which will all be added in & fleshed out with supporting data in articles for my new site, now looking like a May opening (keeping my fingers crossed on that one). Solar activity to ebb and flow into the minimum, April ave F10.7 @ 134 is higher today than SWPC monthly forecast; near the 2015 132.8 ave.
On 24 Apr 2015, Bob Weber wrote:

WA April USA forecast review has worked out with a few exceptions. Unfortunately I had a severe cyber attack on Earth Day, and just recovered most of my data, so until my new computer is set-up and going, specific detailed forecast analysis will have to wait - sorry. Add on top of that the SILENT PHONE CALL HARRASSMENT I've been enduring since I first come out for solar-driven weather/climate and electric weather in Nov/Dec 2013, especially during the entire time I was preparing for EU2014. Calls at all hours with no one there, and when I tried to return calls, no rings - nothing... In Dec 2014 I had over 500 calls every 30 minutes for days before it ended, for example. ALL part of the ongoing intimidation of climate skeptics... We had a solar spike this month as Craig mentioned, bringing a warm-up as well as polar vortex action that still has us cold here in Michigan (22F this morn). Snowed several days ago here, still barely melting. 7 M-flares April 21 => Chile volcanic eruption!
On 24 Apr 2015, John Blakely wrote:

Richard E.Mids - cherry picking data is very concerning. To avoid this would it have been best to add the balancing quotes; March 2015 "was the smallest March Arctic sea ice extent on record" and "When combining the Northern and Southern Hemisphere sea ice extents, the globally-averaged sea ice extent during March was 19.87 million square km (7.67 million square miles), 0.3 percent below the 1981-2010 average. This was the smallest March global sea ice extent since 2011. Global sea ice extent during March is decreasing at an average rate of 0.9 percent per decade."?
On 24 Apr 2015, Ron Greer wrote:

MSM now hyping up next week's Arctic-maritime outbreak. Gorebull warming will be the cause of this no doubt. Lime trees here suddenly burst bud yesterday, moths and bats out at night. Bit of a shock coming for them.
On 24 Apr 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

This afternoon's big NZ quake has been downgraded to 6.2 by GNS. An interesting week with the weather in New South Wales, our quake in NZ and the erupting volcano in Chile. What next?
On 24 Apr 2015, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

6.4 quake this afternoon in NZ http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/news/68035548/strong-earthquake-shakes-nelson We felt this one and it was scary enough to make us dive under the dining room table.
On 23 Apr 2015, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Incredible starry sky last night 6 deg this morn. enjoyed another warm sunny day 17 deg max. Now 8 @ 21.45pm some cloud around as it got dark tonight, a weather change is on the way..
On 23 Apr 2015, richard [subs east mids] wrote:

from NOAA..."The March 2015 Southern Hemisphere sea ice extent was 5.48 million square km (2.12 million square miles), 1.07 million square km (420,000 square miles), or 24.26 percent, above the 1981-2010 average. This was the second largest March Antarctic sea ice extent on record. The record largest March Antarctic sea ice extent occurred in 2008 at 5.74 million square km (2.22 million square miles). Antarctic sea ice extent during March is increasing at an average rate of 5.0 percent per decade. " 24 % above their cherry picked average? Oh NO>>>>>>lol
On 23 Apr 2015, Gerry Surrey/Kent border 223ft 45d wrote:

The cloud of this morning has gone and the sun is beaming down, with the unfortunate side effect of heating our office up. Excellent for St George's Day and for our village gathering to celebrate this evening as it is outdoors. Lots of blossom on the trees and leaves starting to appear. Blue tits nesting in one of my boxes. Still no response from the Tory MP seeking re-election to my question regarding the Climate Change Act.
On 23 Apr 2015, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

http://news.sky.com/story/1470441/chile-volcano-erupts-for-first-time-since-1972 - Could an eruption of this magnitude have implications on the 2015/6 winter? You know how a drop of 1 - 2c can be the difference between widespread snow or rain instead? Anyone remember mid December last year for example when everyone south of Cambridgeshire got nothing and everyone north of there got pummelled?
On 23 Apr 2015, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/68243-australian-weather/page-37 Some distressing images and videos of extremely cold conditions in Australia...