Comments from Piers
WeatherAction
 www.weatherAction.com, +442079399946, +447958713320 , @Piers_Corbyn,  https://www.facebook.com/piers.corbyn 

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WeatherAction Forecasts are entirely different from all Standard Meteorology Efforts and have independently proven peer-reviewed significant skill - unlike all others in the field. They are based on Piers Corbyn's revolutionary Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique (SLAT). They are for LongRange decisions in Britain+Ireland, Europe and USA - and other parts of the world and oceans at times.  
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Generally for short range detailed forecasts we direct you elsewhere. 

For some specific medium and short range situations we make COMMENTS (on this blog) such as:
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For Full information, independent reports of WeatherAction's significant skill and archives* of past foreacsts for more than the last 12 months as well as Informative Links to other sites Go To (NB This & some other links may require copy/paste or Highlight/GoTo):  http://bit.ly/RgEuYb    =  http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WhatAreWeatherActionForecastsAndInformativeLinks.pdf 

Archives carry all WeatherAction Web forecasts from Dec 2012 (& some before) to ~last month loaded for your reference http://www.weatheraction.com/pages/pv.asp?p=wact46 Special Asessment Reports also included.

THIS COMMENTS BLOGPOST- Contents: 
0 Important Forecast Services Announcements precede News content
1  Current Top Latest Notes+TOP COMMS / LATEST PIC(S) showing developments. 
2  Other Recent News - Pic Further Reports
3  Some Ongoing important news and issues - Pressing John Hammond into rational debate
4  Important General points and Subscriber assessments
5   User-Reader COMMS & TROLL FREE  RULES - YOU join in Comment & Ask Questions!

THIS BlogPost started 2014 SEPT 9th 
(9th) PREPARE FOR MAJOR STORMS AND JET STREAM HIFTS WORLDWIDE 15-18 SEPT (R5R4 period)
In this period 15-18 Sept Short range standard Meteorology TV forecasts worldwide are likley to significantly UNDERestimate frontal activity, wind rain and speed of developments and motion of weather systems. At the same time we expect (on average) more Geomagnetic activity / proton bursts / etc.
Some observers noticed a large increase in solar activity on the other side of the sun 2 weeks before. This should now be coming around to be ~Earth-facing ~15-18th. However note WeatherAction forecast fo this weather situation was made long before the events on te other side of the Sun, such activity is also part of Weatheraction forecasts. 
  • (12/13/14 Sept) SEE BELOW for ongoing monitors of Weather and Solar + Solar wind + Geomagnetic pre-events and comments and discussion in public blog (including from Piers).

TOP FORECAST SERVICES NEWS:
  • "The Vikings knew" HALF PRICE SEPT ONLY 30d forecasts Special Offer from 13th for B+I, Eu, USA  => http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM  <= 
(13th) Now you've seen the Aurora what storms will come?
This is 'half Month half price' occasional deal come early so you can see what storm/ thunder/etc forcasts we have for R5R4 pair 15-18th and if there are any Ex-Tropical storm fragments likely to hit B+I, Eu under SLAT10a in 2nd half of Sept. This idea has been the subject of some recent (Sept13) speculation in standard models which 'dont yet know', but which WeatherAction had a view on 100d ahead.  
  • October in Britain & Ireland for many is the most variable and exciting month of the year, so will this one be a 'Glorious IndianSummer', Raging Storms, or biting cold and frosts?  You need to know and you can....
  • OCTOBER Br+Ir 15-45d ahead AMAZING forecast with maps and graphs IS NOW released. Subscribe now => http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM    and get Sept inc free.
  • Piers says: "Wild Jet stream behaviour continues in October with more surprises, this Longer ahead service including Pressure maps - often as an upgrade (see below) from BI 30d - is increasingly popular

UPLOAD NEWS (as in previous blog):  Piers' Commentary: 
A PEEK AT SEPT - prognosis being confirmed: 
 Piers (1 sept) says: "Sept weather is often pretty boring but now with Mini-Ice-Age circulation patterns taking a stronger and stronger hold this is no longer the case. This Sept is showing some pretty zany pressure patterns In Br+Ire+Europe and the USA. This Wild Jet stream behaviour and dramatic contrasts continues through NH Autumn and Winter - and corresponding wild patterns in the SH Spring & Summer. They are all exciting forecasts and it is really interesting to see (expected) simultaneous rapid changes (Jet stream shifts) in different parts of the world.

" Another exciting aspect of this Sept is the expected EXTREME CONTRASTS across regions and through time - as happened in August but now even more acutely. The reason is that the top solar (R5, R4) drivers are present and bunched in consecutive pairs of (relative) extreme solar effect and much quieter periods in between  
  • WeatherAction coverage of the #CrisisOfClimateScience will expand with a fuller report soon following Notes from Piers in Reader Comms previous Reader Comms on the Institute Of Physics 2Sept Presentation by Dame Julia Slingo top MetOffice scientist.  
  • Anyone who wants a chance to get a better world weather picture can now do it by getting more than one WeatherAction forecast service eg USA and Eu or of course "TheLot(excBIWholeWinter)" Service which covers BI, Eu, USA and 'RTQ' (Red weather, thunder/tornadoes & Quake Risk (trials) - ie everything but not as far ahead as BI-Winter-Now which has to be available seperately).
  • If you are pondering getting top weather-wise with WeatherAction - world leaders in the field,  just do it - make a club with friends - up to 7 together if it helps - or get your social circle / school to subscribe. (Nb of course business and farming customers cannot share with other businesses). Read great comms on blogs for how useful WeatherAction forecasts are over months and years.
B+I 45d OCT SLAT10a awaits you 
in B+I 45d, 75d, 100d and ALL(excBIWinter) Services

B+I 30d SEPT SLAT10a awaits you 
in B+I 30d, 45d, 75d, 100d and ALL(excBIWinter) Services

Eu 30d SEPT REGIONS maps SLAT10a awaits you
in Eu FULL, Eu Regions ONLY and ALL(excBIWinter) Services

Eu 30d SEPT PRESSURE maps SLAT10a awaits you
in Eu FULL, BI 45d, 75d, 100d ALL(excBIWinter) Services
This was loaded late but is the same map information as used to produce BI+Eu Forecasts

WORLD 30d RTQ (Red Weather, Thunder/tornado+Quake Ridk(trials)) SLAT10a awaits you
in Eu FULL, BI 45d, 75d, 100d, World RTQ, ALL(excBIWinter) Services
This was loaded late but is the same information as used to produce BI+Eu+USA Forecasts

USA 30d SEPT maps SLAT10a awaits you
into USA and ALL(excBIWinter) Services

For information / subscribe / Upgrade / Extend Go to WeatherAction on-line shop: => http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM  <=

Extra months in lieu are given for 'double coverage' eg upgrading to BI100d, BIWholeWinter, TheLot(xcBIWW), ETC when you have a sub covering part of new sub 

AMAZING new B+I services await you:
100d (NOW including Whole Autumn) includes 75d, 45d, 30d; 
Whole Winter (200d) NOW incl 100d, 75d, 45d, 30d for Dec, Jan and Feb
If you are serious about weather you need these!  More info below.

For Extensions to Subs we just take the extension from when the existing sub ends (we have the info and automatically check). 
For Upgrades to Subs. If you subscribe to a new service which includes something you already have (eg get BI 45d when you already have BI 30d sub) then we extend your new sub by an appropriate amount valued by the months which are double counted and/or add on anything over to your existing sub. 
You can also do upgrades directly for any length of an existing sub left to run by 'upgrade/donating' the appropriate amount and letting us know what you have done so we can ensure correct access.
Upgrades rather than extensions give you immediate forecast benefit.


Details of BI 100d & Whole Winter NOW Services

Br+Ir 100day ahead forecast at present covers  
WHOLE AUTUMN - NOV+OCT+SEP & AUG, NOW. 
NOVEMBER is single page summary with further detail soon.
OCTOBER is 4 pages in 8 weather periods with maps, no graphs
SEPTEMBER is 4 pages in 8 weather periods with maps, no graphs
AUGUST (30d) is 6 pages in 8 weather periods with maps and graphs
Sept upgrades mid Aug to 45d format 6p, 8 periods with maps & graphs
Current month Euro PRESSURE maps & RTQ are included as with 45d, 75d. 
NORMAL ISSUE / EXTENSION DATE is 22nd of each month for 3m hence 
eg Aug 22 would be normal upload date for Nov.
This service is tremendous news for Weather-serious operators in Agriculture, Emergency services, transport, holiday and retail businesses.
This 100d forecast service is available as a new subscrition or as a no-loss add-on to existing subscriptions; so months of existing (B+I 30d, 45d, 75d) services covered by this new service are credited towards extra months or parts thereof, of this new service or/and of existing service. (eg  for a 6m 100d sub an existing 45d sub being subsumed would extend 100d sub to 7m and give an extra month of 45d). The look ahead duration of an existing subscription will not be shortened. We have sub end information and automatically extend as appropriate.

 NEW Br+Ir WHOLE WINTER NOW 
(110-200 ahead) for  All winter months - DEC, JAN, FEB, NOW is released
- Currently single page summary of essential weather through the 3 months
- Updates in progress to 8 periods per month
- Then Further detail as 75d, 45d, 30d BI services - included.
SUBSCRIBERS TO THIS SERVICE get full extension credits for any months already in their current subs.  Eg if you have 30d/45d/75d subs which go up to or beyond Feb you get access to your 30 or 45 or 75d service increased by 3 months. The same applies to the 100d and the 'All forecasts except BI Winter in one' service.  For eg one month overlap 1m extensions apply.             
Subscription access details - ensuring you get your updates
30d forecasts: Access is to 28th of last month subscribed (uploads ~29-31st)
45d (BI) forecasts: Access is to 14th of last month subscribed (Uploads ~15-17th)
- so that next month which loads 15th onwards is excluded. 30d for that month is also loaded.
75d (BI) forecasts: Access is to 14th of month before last month subscribed
- so that next 75d month which loads 15th onwards is excluded. 
AND 45d access is given to 14th of last month subscribed
so 45d, 30d forecasts for the months load.
100d (BI) forecasts: Access is to 21st of 2nd month before last month subscribed
- so that next 100d month which loads 22nd onwards is excluded. 75d loads on ~15th
AND 45d access is given to 14th of last month subscribed
so 45d, 30d forecasts for the months load.
WINTER ONLY (BI) 200d forecasts: Access is fixed to 28 Feb 2015
First updates + extra detail for all months Dec, Jan, Feb will be soon and all normal updates around 15-17th and end month will get 75d+45d and 30d updates. 

1.  CURRENT-RECENT Top Solar-Weather News-Commentary - Br+Ir, Eu, USA, World (newest on top)

Solar-wind - Earth changes and interactions are (11/12/13th) becoming apparent just before the 15-18th predicted maximum (R5+R4) weather impacts and ~Major Quake-Volcano events (trials). The extreme weather events expected in USA, Br+Ir, Eu are in the forecasts available via  http://bit.ly/1bAYTtM  

16+17th (info also on home page) R5+QV5 IMPACTS CONFIRMED
  • Tropical Storms ramp up in R5 period 15-17th and 
  • Major quakes (M6.2, M6.7) hit early on 17th confirming WeatherAction QV5 (Quake-Volcano) Risk warnings (trial) forecast 

Updating Solar Wind data
(14th) The standard SolarWind OBS predictor of Earth impacts (note not always reliable) is now expecting a large increase in solar wind density on 16th - in Line with SLAT10a prediction of major impacts 15-18th NOW CONFIRMED
From Solarwind impact predictor Solar System Map http://www.hamqsl.com/solar1a.html

 Embedded image permalink
 
Note (redTrace) Magnetic Field Bz neagive = strong SolarWind-Earth connection
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_7d.html 

SWPC ACE RTSW MAG & SWEPAM 7-day Updating Plot



Updating X-RAY FLUX Flux 

Updating Proton Flux and Geomagnetic Kp index;
Note (3sept) showed 30 fold increase in 100Mev Protons as well as lower energies. 



R5 (1-3) + R4 (4-5) 
Sept 6th - Pdf Reports on 'DoubleR' success 1-5th USA and World:
Pdf of image below: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No39.pdf 


Temperature Inversion Mon 8 Sep morning Lake District Scafell / Great Gable
Panorama photo @BlencathraFSC Thanks to @CumbriaWeather Blencathra FSC is a Field Studies Centre on the South slopes of Blencathra. 
Embedded image permalink
The temperature inversion is where temperature increases with height compared with its normal decrease and so stops clouds and fog etc rise, leaving them in a low layer (see pic).
The relatively settled largely static High pressure giving these conditions over Brit+Ire in most of September so far is as forecast Long-Range by WeatherAction over 100days ahead and contrasts dramatically with deep quasi-stationary Lows in some other parts of the world - USA, S/E Europe, Pakistan, China - which have brought extreme weather - diabolical floods, giant hailstorms, thunder and tornadoes at times. These predicted wild contrasts are a consequence of wild swings and very long fetches in the Jet Stream which are Mini-Ice-Age / Wild-Jet-Stream Age conditions following from general low solar activity (under Piers Corbyn's Solar Lunar Action Technique, SLAT).


2.  OTHER RECENT REPORTS

Tornado forecast for Previous R5 27-29Aug confirmed in Russia:  Amazing vid of Tornado SW Russia,  Bashkorostan, http://bit.ly/1w8ZKjO  in ~region (extension of region to just off Eu forecast map) where WeatherAction (25-29th esp 27-29) warned "Major thunderfloods + giant hail, tornadoes likely, cloudy" .

28Aug - Geomagnetic and aurora activity ramp up as Coronal Hole (pic 28th) becomes Earth facing and weather extremes - hail - thunder -torrential rain - hit across world in WeatherAction R5 period: see http://spaceweather.com/   SEE PREVIOUS BLOG

Superb forecast success for USA Map and heat +storms in R4 25-26th:
Pdf for pic below is: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No38.pdf 


3.  ONGOING IMPORTANT POINTS+NEWS/MONITORS

23 Aug
John Hammond watch
Ignorant dishonest Co2 warmist nonsense in BBC propaganda vid:
The new vid says many things:
"A 30-year cycle in the Atlantic ocean may be behind the slowdown in global warming. John H reports for
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/28901854 = 

A glance at John Hammond's body language suggest he knows he is lieing.
 
We CHALLENGE JOHN HAMMOND TO A PUBLIC DEBATE on his ignorant, stupid, misleading, disingenuous claims
He talks about cycles 'upsetting' the warmist LIE.
FACT The sunand moon drive these (60yr) cycles as first explained 6 years ago by WeatherAction and presented in a New York climate conference, the cycles themsleves are NOT NEW.
FACT BBC-MetOffice charlatans re-invent the wheel on a weekly basis and pretend work by WeatherAction and others does not exist. They work to destroy science not build it.
FACT There is no warming but cooling. Data fraud not world temperature is on the rise.
FACT Ocean expansion is nothing whatsoever to do with the CO2 warmist LIE - it has been happening since the end of the last ice -age at a rate unchanged by the advent of Man's CO2.
To get matters straight have a look at:
( i ) RECENT TOP VIDS + PDFs by Piers Corbyn - short links
- Electric Univ Pres http://bit.ly/1nJecee 18,433 hits Aug27
- CO2 Scam Nailed http://bit.ly/QS0k34  13,873 hits Sep1
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No11.pdf 
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No43.pdf

(ii) Other links on data fraud:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/environment/10916086/The-scandal-of-fiddled-global-warming-data.html 

http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/08/23/australian-met-office-accused-of-manipulating-temperature-records/

http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/thermometers-show-that-the-us-has-been-cooling-for-nearly-a-century/    (re United States Historical Climatology Network  )  WATCH USHCN FRAUD SWITCH BELOW
(For 'Final' read 'Fiddled')
Read artcle(s) for glaring evidence of fraud perpetrated by data 'selection/de-selection', and 'adjustments'/ 
modifications/'corrections' to make past processed 'data' colder and present warmer than objective honest records.
(iii) Tweets and links from Matthew Brown via
https://twitter.com/mattielb/status/502885795729272832


4. Further Comments & Forecasts General News

As we go further into Mini-Ice-Age circulation in Autumn and Winter (NH) months forecasts are, as might be expected, very interesting and important both sides of the Atlantic.

What Subscribers say
Many idependent reports verify WeatherAction's world- leading significant forecasting skill (see Forecasts =>Accuracy on Home page) and from time to time we report individual user Comments and see User Comments in public blog info. 
Hear Saskia Steinhorst a Netherlands Subscriber on WeatherAction Euromaps Forecasts:-

 "(re May)....It feels like the climate is like a ping pong ball, bouncing all over the place. Keeping track is hard and would've been virtually impossible if not for Piers' EXCELLENT forecasts! ..."


5. READERS COMMENTS & FEEDBACK RULES

THIS Site is DEFENDED SPACE - 100% Moderated and troll-free because of ongoing cyber flood attacks, the misguided and mis-informed ravings of deranged greens and to stop postings which propagate misinformation or ignorance or are not of fair and honest intent or which give away WeatherAction subscribers forecast information.
The aim is to engage in fruitful informed discussion. All fair comment is published.............. 
Comments submitted - 95 Add your comment
On 23 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

It's snowed in Norway on Sunday night and was still on the ground in the morning! Unusual to stay, but it snowed on 5 Sept in early 70s. It also snowed in June so that's a shortened summer. We have snow on the Scottish Highlands left from winter. Significant snow early this month came to North America weeks early, a frost in mid August for the UK (that looks like a massive anomaly on the wunderground monthly chart) not to mention the midsummer snow in Scandinavia. Normally I see early cold blasts in say mid or late October as a poor sign for any real cold in the coming winter (a taste that often flatters to deceive) but this is really early. Could a long cold Northern hemisphere winter be beckoning? We need to tweeze the years when this happened before out from the reports === http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/09/23/signs-of-the-mini-ice-age-summers-shorten-in-norway/
On 23 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Fantastic forecast Piers. I had this weekend pegged out since the 75d in June as had guests due so I was happy it was a No Solar Factors/Quiet period. Although Sat was grey & cool Sunday & today were lovely days. It was slack (note - pressure rose in this period & is now slackening) cool misty with variable skies (=30-60% cloud cover) bright afternoons. Winds northerly. Coming off the previous period of thunderstorms. Showed one guest from abroad the 2 forecast periods - v. impressed they were/// Today's items on the news blog ; NASA | The Difference Between CMEs and Solar Flare (video)…” // Who Signed the Climate Declaration? (Canadian journalist Donna Lamframbois looks at the vested interests & lobbyists+links regarding my last comment below) // Polar bears are not in peril due to recent sea ice changes (are we really surprised that we hear the opposite of truth ahead of the UN Agenda 21..sorry UN climate meeting next week). === weatheraction.wordpress.com
On 23 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Being an artist at the top of her game you'd think Emma Thompson would be able to spot when someone is feeding her lines. Jetset Emma spoke out against big oil at the so called 'people's' march & only last month when she sailed to the Arctic with Greenpeace-yes the same Greenpeace who happily took big oil money (BP) & have executives that fly to work from a tax haven. Bill McKibben's 350.org were instrumental to the 'people's' march & just happen to be funded by the Rockerfellers who made their money from big oil & who just happen to have announced they are divesting themselves of fossil fuels (but not the luxuries it affords). The 'people's' march brought to you, not by the 1% but the 0.1%, demanding more of our money to fund renewables & carbon trading which will drive up the price of fossil fuels. It is a win win for the energy industry who are manufacturing this 'people's' 'dissent and Emma just played her part in a live action propaganda film.
On 21 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Overcast morning today, a cool 10˚C at 7.30 with a noticeable N'ly wind. Even though the sun did come out around 2pm (as described in Piers' 30d forecast) it never got warmer than 14˚, back down to 10˚ by 10pm. == Re wasps: we certainly had some this year, though not as many as other years, they are always very attracted by the flowering cotoneaster simonsii we have in some of our hedges. Plenty of bumble bees though, planted a good bit of borage for them and they were on it even in the fog when there was probably not much nectar flow.
On 21 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

Mostly grey and overcast over The Downs yesterday with a burst of rain during the night. Sunny spells today with the clouds moving along on a NW wind. The solar wind has been above its resting state all weekend so far with increases in density and currently speed. The soppy actress on Andrew Marr was Emma Thompson - daughter's name? Case closed M'Lud. I find the celebrity cause insults my intelligence. Why would I listen to them on a subject and take it more seriously just because they say so. Would you take their advice on the structural design of a bridge? No, didn't think so. Tax avoidance maybe - Bono & U2 lead the way on tax hypocrisy as they run off to hide their Apple iphone6 dollars. No doubt Marr gave her an easy ride. No where did all the antarctic ice come from? Why isn't it getting any warmer this century? How come none of the Greenie predictions have come true?
On 21 Sep 2014, Christine Gaskill wrote:

Sue H I have to agree with the lack of wasps this year, very strange. Very few bees now after that August cold snap too.
On 21 Sep 2014, Steve,Dorset,UK sub wrote:

Andrew Marr had some actress on who had been brainwashed by green peace to tell us the world is doomed because as we all know thousands of scientists around the word told us so and all the ice will melt as well and we are all doooomed she said, "or words to that effect" and look at me in my nice new glasses do i look good in these (no) she has been to the Arctic with greeeen Peace and it has to be so. Utter BBC coblers. Nice start to the day sunshine and the mugginess has gone, 10.05am sunday
On 21 Sep 2014, Sue H (N.Ireland) wrote:

We have had beautiful sunny weather over the last few days and no rain to speak of for weeks now. We missed any rain that has been going through Ireland. What I was surprised at yesterday in the garden, as i was picking loads of fruit( raspberries, damsons, blackberries, pears and apples etc), is that we have not got a single wasp. Not one! Don't know what has happened to them. Normally on a nice sunny autumn day I would have been hard pushed to get anywhere near the raspberry cage as it would have been full of the little blighters. We have plenty of butterflies on the verbena and sedum, plus the little Irish black bee, and another couple of types of bee, but no wasps. I was wondering if Maria from Ireland had noticed the same ?
On 20 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

What a relief, after all the fog, to see that blue sky still exists, we actually had a lovely day of sunshine and clouds, even though it started quite cool with 10˚C at 7.30 and a noticeable N'ly breeze. It got to 17˚ on the thermometer, more in sheltered spots. Clear starry night at 10pm, temp 10˚, feeling cool. == 'Our' swallows left this week, not sure exactly when, the only ones we see now are passing visitors catching insects in the shelter of our trees on their way south. It's been feeling autumnal for a good while, now at least it's 'legitimate', equinox being on the 23rd this year.
On 20 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Continued to rain heavy for the remainder of yesterday until early eve. Overcast start today followed by some blue sky some sun and cumulus around calmer conditions, top temp. 16/17 deg.
On 20 Sep 2014, Steve Devine (sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

Just went to the local library with my daughter and felt the blood boil in my veins when I stumbled across a book called "Unstable Earth; What happens if the ozone layer disappears?" (https://www.hachettechildrens.co.uk/books/detail.page?isbn=9780750283625). Now they're brain-washing the next generation into believing the planet is locked into a permanently heating cycle with ice caps melting and major cities sinking under rising seas. ARRRRRGGGHHH!
On 20 Sep 2014, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Some pretty wild weather around NZ today http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/10523810/Enjoy-the-sun-while-it-lasts
On 19 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Relieved that the fog has left us, it was beginning to be somewhat oppressive; sure, the sky was still mostly grey stratus clouds of various descriptions but at least their contours could be discerned, and the white disc of the sun was even visible for a few minutes. 12˚C at 7.30, rising to a repectable 17˚ during that brief spell of sun visibility, 13˚ at 9pm. MO says sunshine tomorrow, certainly in line with Piers' present weather period of 'Quiet'. Maria Somerset: yes, we are fortunate on this just past R5 occasion that we have been spared the full wrath of nature. But as we know from experience, none of us are immune to its effects at one time or another. == This morning I heard on the new-fangled contraption they call the wireless that the weather here is apparently still British…
On 19 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

I have been reading about the terrible storms abroad. So many people affected and so much destruction, right in the middle of the R5 period. I feel so glad to be in the quiet and balmy uk right now. R5 has happened and big time and not far away in world miles
On 19 Sep 2014, Gerry(annual 30 day) wrote:

Drove to our recycling centre today (CanveyIsland) then onto carpark adjacent to seawall in brilliant sunshine. Walked upto wall to be confronted by sea mist, Vis varied twixt 50-100 metres. Shame Boris wasn't there to see it. Wasn't cold as sun was still breaking through, 20c on return to car, back home in Thundersley late afternoon 23c. Canvey now has a significant tourist attraction, too far to visit - no matter it's all here: http://www.canveyisland.org/category/flood_mural_on_seawall
On 19 Sep 2014, WENDY wrote:

SUB HIGH PEAK DERBYSHIRE. Horrible grey murk all day ,fine drizzle.Glad I am not driving over the moors today.Fog lamps needed!
On 19 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

Quote of the week from Spaceweather - 'No geomagnetic storm was in the forecast for Sept. 19th, but a storm occurred anyway.' Just when you thought the period had passed through without any action - bang storms and flooding aplenty. thunder woke me just after 1am and I could hear it was pouring down. Not much thunder and saw no lightning. So spot on for the forecast from at least 45days out. Otherwise it is back to high pressure early murk and then the sun burns through. Lots of flooding in Europe and mainly affecting campers - beware the allure of a riverside campsite in rocky hills or mountains. Loss of crops in Pakistan and more early snow in US all putting pressure on food supply. Anthony Watts of WUWT is heading to the UK to attend talks in Bristol being given by Cook (97% consensus fraud) and Mann (hockey stick fraud). Others such as Lord Monckton will attend. Should be interesting.
On 19 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Nice thunderstorm going on for the last hour :))
On 19 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

some really heavy torrential downpours since last post and high humidity, just what the ground needed...
On 19 Sep 2014, Nigella wrote:

Obs from East Berks. It is positively tropical. Humidity at 97%, thunder storm and downpour at some point in the middle of the night. Unusual September weather. Grey & murky this morning, overnight low of 15 degs and nearly 18 degs at 9.30am. Radar showing some big cells further west.
On 19 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

A few spots of drizzle yesterday afternoon followed by warm humid and sunny for a short time then overcast, a heavy downpour around 4 a.m today, foggy humid and overcast this morn 13/14 deg. and showing a chance of lightning later..
On 19 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

I said boring too soon. The thunder and lightning is back...but the centre is a fair distance off. Large cells passing east and west of here. Garden getting a well needed soaking. /// from the newsroom === Driest start to September in over 50 years [MetO say the driest start to Sept in 50 years - using a metric that only goes back...erm 50 years!] // Microburst destroys trees along San Diego River. [Impressive damage for such a short event ...a squall on steroids] // Apocalyptic floods affect 2.3 million in Pakistan [I seem to recall brutal heat in the North Indian subcontinent earlier in the summer. Along with a Russian warmth - shades of 2010 pattern?] // Five Dead As Fatal Floods Hit Southern France // Philip Eden & The Armada [LIA summer storms not seen in this century] // Snow hits northern Ontario (and yes, it’s still summer) === all over at the newsblog weatheraction.wordpress.com
On 19 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Well the weather is still 'boring' but it's a sticky humid kinda boring as the low throws up warm air. Overcast mornings that the sun burns through are the order of the day. The high is nudging east to Scandinavia - now how did I know that was going to happen? SUBSCRIBE!!! / This non weather story reminded me so much of what happens to Piers when he's invited on the BBC http://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives/2014/09/channel-4-censorship/ === Couple of stories from the newsroom: green hypocrisy === http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/09/19/lording-it-up-green-style/ === when people say 'you're not a scientist' remind them what horrible things have been done in the name of science.. not just individuals but systemically (eugenics anyone?). === http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/09/18/the-wisdom-of-crowds-and-the-foolishness-of-the-eggheads/
On 18 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

really kicking off close to us, lots of lightening and pouring down. Fingers crossed it comes over us
On 18 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

And now for the news from Foggy Bottom, Greyshire, Murkistan : 14˚C at 7.30 & throughout, froggy dizzle all day again, King Damp rules supreme. The air is fresh and enlivening, but hardly any wind, NE turning to SE, 13˚ at 9.30pm. R 4 + 5 have been cancelled here - well, perhaps all this fog is part of it! Our son worked a few miles further inland today where he said it was grey alright but warm and pleasant, unlike at home on the hill between the sea & the Dee Valley. Not complaining though, keeps our trees wet, so no need for watering.
On 18 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Overcast to start not sure on temp. this a.m hectic morn! but 18 deg. now @ 12.15 pm and some broken cloud but mostly overcast hazy with some sun and a breeze but mild n damp humid feel... I love cold autumn/ winters the best but hope the warmish flow continues for as long as poss. to save on fuel !-)
On 18 Sep 2014, WENDY wrote:

Sub. High Peak,Derbyshire Extensive hill fog here for two days.Temp.14.7, still warm at night Quite dry.Garden pots need watering!
On 18 Sep 2014, Michael wrote:

Japan 850m Alt! Hi it's Michael from Japan again, with an autumn update! Well we have a decent sized earthquake a couple of days ago, gave the house a good shake for a little while. It had been a while since we had felt any shakers, so it was a bit of a wake-up. Anyway our summer was as I had predicted, wet, lots of rain, lots of cloud, hardly saw the sun all summer, and been cool for most of the summer and autumn came early for us, around mid Aug. We are into full on autumn now with quite cold weather and even frost in places, certainly colder than it should be for the time of year, bu then this year has for tbe most part been colder than usual! I am predicting another very cold, maybe extremely cold and very snowy winter again for here. Whether we will beat out 2m of snow fall in 24hrs we had last year I don't know, but I expect totals to go way above that figure. We shall see how it all works out. Another update later in autumn.
On 18 Sep 2014, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

A mild stormy north westerly front looks set to spread across NZ tomorrow followed by a cold southerly on Saturday. More impact here at the end of the R4 than during the R5.
On 17 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

A boring month so far in terms of action but the weather has been most pleasant with cool nights & looks to be warming up a bit more as we approach equinox. For here it has been forecast well from 100 days out. /// 8 years ago I remember it reaching ~28C around now. Cool down looks to be on the cards for month end but does October have a nice warm farewell for us or another jetstreak? Will November be like 2010 which started fine & dropped like a stone or 2011 which was so warm+windy in North? Subscribe people 'cos winter is a comin' /// Iceland - Lots of fog around the eruption site (so nothing to see on the webcams) but Bardarbunga's caldera continues to subside & of the Icelandic Met Office's 3 'most likely scenarios' 2 involve a big eruption=lava+ice. VEI4 of Grímsvötn 2011 to a 5 or 6! updates here === http://bit.ly/1qLKkA1 /// Record ice in Antarctica, smashing the records === http://bit.ly/1qLMcc7 /// Stories on News blog you won't find in the MSM!
On 17 Sep 2014, Richard traut yearly sub wrote:

7.1 magnitude strikes Guam in the period 15th-18th .
On 17 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

Latest news, a report shows that global warming will cause more cooling as the arctic ice melts the circumpolar vortex will drop down more frequently to bring more nasty cold snaps. Before you leave the room screaming that it's worse than we thought, the word 'model' was mentioned. Yep, just another installment of Grand Theft Global Warming for your xbox. Meanwhile in the real world, another similar day where the murky cloud persisted well into the afternoon before any sun came through and then only briefly. Very light drizzle in the morning walking to the station driven by a NE breeze.
On 17 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Foggy drizzle or drizzly fog, take your pick, all day though there was a short period in the morning when cloud shapes could be discerned but that didn't last. 10˚C at 7.30, rising to 14˚, with a slight NE breeze, all typical East Coast stuff, available any time of year. It was still 14˚ at 10pm, feeling mild and very damp, of course. == I was startled by the spider webs on the gorse bushes, hung heavy with water droplets, you could have been forgiven for thinking it was winter with hoarfrost, took a pic.
On 17 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

Gerry, it is the big one that bothers me. could happen If icelandic rifts develop so that a lot of SO2 gets into the atmosphere. Iceagenow has a very good bbc timewatch video somewhere on the site. The equivalent of 100,000 people died in the uk. The jetstream oscillations will surely open up these potential rifts. The thought of sulphuric acid in the lungs is horrific. I would rather freeze
On 17 Sep 2014, Not supplied wrote:

Apart from a wind that sprang up on Sunday last and rain on Monday we have gone back to "nothing" weather again. That was obviously a short interlude in the seemingly endless calm, dry, cloudy high pressure boring stuff here in Fife.
On 17 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Sunshine broke through for a short while today reached 17/18 deg, but mostly overcast humid and breezier now this evening still reading 15 deg. feels damp in the air....
On 17 Sep 2014, GerryB(annual 30 day) wrote:

Earthquakes Keep Hitting Bárđarbunga Volcano, 20,000 in last month. Every day, up to 86,400 tons of SO2 is being spewing into the atmosphere from the eruption. As per: http://icelandreview.com/news/2014/09/17/toxic-gas-mapped-icelandic-met-office What will that do to weather Piers?
On 17 Sep 2014, Robert-Michel (sub) wrote:

Hi ! From Montréal, Canada Remarquable site with out standing infos. Beautiful show in the Sky the last Friday, wish all the auroras. Nevers saw them as beautiful since 1972. Coolish in this part of the world, but no extremes. The forecasted very dangerous low up the East from the Gulf between the 15th and 18th is a complete flop. A very unusual mistake. Love ya!
On 17 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

EAST SIDE: loolks like it could get even worse next week.
On 17 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

calm, warm 25 degrees and oh so dry again. Our rainwater harvester is empty as from today and the october forecast has made me very thoughtful. The cabbages on my allotment are wilting and covered in whitefly and, my parsnips have started bolting. A whole new set of growing conditions
On 17 Sep 2014, east side wrote:

Exceptional cold in Ural for mid september. First frost this night, -1C with a wind, a wind from N>NNW that announces a very early cold winter coming. Trees have turned colour in a week and losing leaves one month early.
On 17 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS and MOBEEB going for noneventful spell for B&I during R4/5 period and indeed right through to the last week of the month, when it gets more lively and a brief chilly spell to start October. According to GFS, Fennoscandia, Baltics and western Russia in for a sharp Arctic blast next week, but not us.
On 17 Sep 2014, Nigella wrote:

Obs from East Berks. Weather very calm for days now. Temps in the mid 20s with overnight lows in the mid-teens. Grey & dull in the mornings, sun breaking through late morning & then very warm in the afternoon.
On 17 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Yesterday the sun came out late morn. and temp reached 20 for a wee while, a hazy day followed by cloud and contrails in the afternoon and followed overcast again for the remainder of the day. Mild ish overnight. Mist with fog patches again this a.m 12/13 deg. mild overcast though looking like cloud may break earlier today...
On 17 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

A repeat of yesterday on The Downs and in town. More clouds hanging in the trees and taking slightly longer to clear as the sun burnt it off. The Open Atmospheric Society has been formed for all those who are disgusted by the warmist views of such as The Royal Society, etc. It is committed to supporting real science and will only publish papers that come with all data, code, sources to allow proper replication or analysis. No stone-walling and hiding data or refusing information as the warmist crowd do. WUWT has the details. Poor old Obummer and BankyMoon look like being a bit lonely with all the no-shows at their climate jamboree in New York. Excellent Aussie PM Tony Abbott said he was too busy running a country (removing green laws and other environmental rubbish no doubt) to attend. The German haus-frau is too busy coming to terms with anti-Euro party Alternative fur Deutschland having gains seats in Thuringen, Sachsen and Brandenburg.
On 16 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Fog so thick today that you could cut it with a knife, practically all day except for a brighter interlude around the middle of the day. 13˚C at 7.30, rising to 17˚ in that brightness, 13˚ again by 9.30pm, practically no wind. A very muted R5 so far, at least for us.
On 16 Sep 2014, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:

Warmists were gleefully hailing the irreversible retreat of the west antarctic glaciers. Ice age now report that volcanic activity causing geothermal heat has been found under them which is causing the melting.
On 16 Sep 2014, steven wright wrote:

looking forward to see what october has in store for us from what i have read and seen on web this winter could be very cold i hope im right as i am a snow lover
On 16 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

A little fog to start and 10 deg. around 7.45 a.m still overcast now @ 9.40 a.m light E'ly breeze warmish 13/14 deg. waiting for the sunshine again though Met have said warmer in the West - mid West today...
On 16 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

PIERS: yes Iceagenow site is very informative ( though don't always agree with some of the Tea Party type trolls on it) Great to have the updates on the Icelandic volcanoes ( it ain't done yet) and the record extent of Antarctic sea ice. AGWers are of course putting this down to CO2-induced warming melting the land ice, but don't supply the data on warmer terrestrial temperatures to prove it. Where is the data? Noted divergence between GFS and MOBEEB predictions for the next few days, so the standard cr#ppers can't even agree with each other.
On 16 Sep 2014, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Heavy rain in parts of NZ with a forecast of colder weather from Thursday with snow in parts of the South Island. A noticeable change in this R5/ R4 period from the milder weather of the last few days.
On 16 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

Daughter`s horse and other horses have been going bonkers the last few days.
On 15 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Grey and wet today, though not as persistently wet as MO had forecasted. Rain started around 8am and went off & on all day, with occasional really heavy bursts, but not as much as expected. Temperature-wise we just moved in a narrow band of 12-14˚C between 7.30am and 10pm. Real autumnal feel of the wet variety in the NE wind but not feeling to cold. I think most farmers around here have got their barley in & the straw baled, for those who haven't, it'll take some pretty stiff wind to dry everything out again.
On 15 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

Cloud was hovering in the tree tops this morning as I left and lots of murk over London which then cleared for another fine day. But how many more to come as spaceweather has the arrival of a CME from a filament tomorrow. They state it will have less effect than the recent solar wind but then they are often wrong. ABC (Aussie version of warmist BBC) are claiming warming is setting the new record ice extent around Antarctica. The warmth(which fails to show on any temp record) is changing the wind. And apparently there has been another tweak to the GISS record - 3 guesses which way it went. Oh, you all only needed one. Record early snow up to 20ins in Wyoming and record cold temps in mid-America as iceagenow points out it is still summer!
On 15 Sep 2014, Steve (sub) wrote:

Here by the Forth Bridges we had an end to the dull, calm weather yesterday PM when it blew strongly from the east. The telly forecasters gradually abandoned their "another week of warm, dry etc" and forecasted slight rain here - it has varied from slight to quite a lot all day. Also gradually the various services have changed to forecasting low cloud, drizzle and heavier showers for 2 extra days - lets see how much they catch up with WA over the next week! We were lucky though that the last of the quiet weather allowed us to wander down the road and see the fantastic fireworks display on the road bridge (it is now 50).
On 15 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

I have been watching local metO forecast and suddenly there are black clouds on it, tomorrow and friday. I finished all my washing today having made the effort and going by WA R5. Pressure has fallen a tad and I watch and wait, so interesting tbh
On 15 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

I was wrong in the sense it turned out a nice enough day, but temps only reached 17deg. max so a lil cooler here in the Midlands than last couple of weeks, It also tried to rain once more after last post but only a few mins of drizzle again, I hear some parts of the West and South West Ireland could do with some rain, Sun came out around lunch time onwards and a lot more Cumulus and Alto-cumulus around this evening light breeze again too..
On 15 Sep 2014, Nigella wrote:

Obs from East Berks. Increased cloud levels since Friday but has remained dry & warm. Interesting to see another little low pressure moving in from the East.
On 15 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Overcast grey and damp slightly humid feel, started 11/12deg. @ 7.30 a.m and 15deg. now @ 10 a.m a few drops of rain for a few moments 5 mins ago but stopped again now, slight chilly light breeze moving in and a different feel to today compared to last week...
On 15 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

CLIVE: right with you and indeed posted in similar train of thought recently. If the pattern we have seen since Bertha remnant hit us, was in December, it would be another 2010 scenario. I have already laid in extra wood for the stove and dried/canned foods----there will be power cuts.
On 14 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Another grey & mild start, 12˚C at 7.30, but by 11 a hazy sun came out and it actually got to 19˚. We visited friends further down the coast and had to drive through some thick haar before we got to them, sunny again there. By the time we came home around 4pm, it was all grey again. 13˚ by 9pm, MO forecasting heavy rain for tomorrow mid-morning. == Maria Somerset, not sure what you're getting at, I hadn't made any comment on cold & snow. If Iceland sneezes, the whole of Europe will get a cold! If we get the sulphur cloud I'll at least be able to say 'I wasn't me' when someone looks pointedly in my direction...
On 14 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Temp started today around 10deg. It didn't get much higher than 16/17 today and quite grey and overcast except for some bursts of sunshine with clearer sky @ times. Noticing more leaf fall on the garden now and the horse chestnut tree is turning more now also...
On 14 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

Paddy. worse than the cold and snow was the sulphur dioxide which killed the equivalent today of 100,000 people in the uk alone. That video on iceagenow is very scary and the situation could very easily be repeated.
On 14 Sep 2014, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter) WA Forecaster wrote:

THANKS COMMS ALL -- WENDY, GERRY, STEPHEN. Yes interesting points. YES! The cold trends we keep seeing more often around the world AND THE DAMAGE TO FOOD PRODUCTION is as we predicted in some detail in the GAFTA (Grain & Feed Trades Assoc) in Geneva in May 2013 and again in IAOM (International Assoc of Operative Millers) Tunisia October 2013:- http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No43.pdf --- EX TROP STORMS Yes interesting changes in MetO forecasts. SLAT10a is intended to get a better handle on ex-Tropical storms in N Atlantic and we have expected effects twice during September - clarified in forecast details / on Euro maps (for Eu Full forecast & BI 45d,75d,100d and AllTogetherExceptBIWholeWinter. --- ICELAND VOLCANOES ETC IceAgeNow great site. I would add that while volcanic dust is cooling in effect extra volcanism is also associated with Low solar activity periods, so we have cold due to BOTH low solar activity (espec even cycles) AND add-on of cold from volcanic dust.
On 14 Sep 2014, Eric wrote:

When do you think California will see rain again. Is this going to be a decade long drought.
On 14 Sep 2014, WENDY wrote:

sub High Peak.Derbyshire. Just been reading Iceagenow. What a scenario!!It really is quite alarming. Weather here cloudy,with a very slight breeze.Temp. 16/17 degrees at 2.10 pm.
On 14 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft wrote:

In Australia, early planting of crops due to winters getting warmer (as modelled) and of types that will resist heat and drought is being hit by frosts that will reduce the harvest. Meanwhile in Wyoming and Dakota, heavy snowfalls have damaged the crops that were about to be harvested. This will cause a loss of animal feedstock as toxins will develop in the grains (farming team might like to confirm?) and so meat prices will rise. Very clear indications of why cold is so much worse than a very slight warming - and even that is questionable due to data manipulation. Cheerier news - unless you run an off-shore wind farm - is that the economics could be worse than first thought. Bearings are suffering from axial cracking of the races and this can reduce the life drastically. The bearings are critical since they can absorb so much energy so they are close to the edge of failure anyway. You can just imagine the cost of repairs at sea.
On 14 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

Some very interesting reading around the net at the moment but N Downs weather first. The slack high pressure weather of the last few days has changed with a stiff breeze arriving yesterday and continuing today. Gone are the foggy starts with cloud burning off slowly to give sunny days. Sunny spells with more cloud around today that looks like it could give some showers. Wind now from the east. Surprised at the low lawn growth but then v little rain of late. Anyone see the BBC weather Sat eve showing the low to SW and high to NE and saying that a possible hurricane might shift the static systems. Late bulletin had fine weather to continue through week to next weekend unless something comes to drive change...wonder what that might be. Iceagenow has some scary stuff re Iceland and if it blows bigtime. Also there is the Calgary clear up of trees felled by the snow due to still being in leaf. And in further reports the start of food problems due to frosts and early snow.
On 14 Sep 2014, stephen parker ( sub ) wrote:

You lot following the events in Iceland?. Possibility of a large eruption that could give us all the cold and snow we want this winter!
On 13 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Grey in grey in grey - all day, fog I'm talking about. But not cold, 10˚C at 7.30, warming up to 17˚ & back down to 13˚ by 9.30pm. No chance of aurora watching here :-( Not a breath of wind, even not our reliably inevitable sea breeze, this morning the air was filled with midges, they seemed to have a field day but weren't interested in biting. The High above us really has a lot of power, keeping the Lows at bay, the one off Spain I thought was going to power up is now filling, so can't wait to see what happens from the 15th onwards.
On 13 Sep 2014, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:

I think I may have seen the Aurora in Bedfordshire about 23.30-00.00 last night. The sky to the north seemed to have a very faint greenish tinge immediately above the horizon at times, like a faint streetlight glow but with a green tinge.. Also on the way home I looked north at a good vantage point and briefly saw a yellow red quite wide "swoosh" go across the sky in a hockeystick trajectory. I wondered if I imagined it but I don't think I did. The green tinge was like this photo but not nearly as bright https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=971272579556555&set=p.971272579556555&type=1&theater The red yellow swoosh was the colours of this photo, mainly yellow and much smaller https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10152240164782000&set=p.10152240164782000&type=1&theater Earlier at 22.00 my daughter thought she saw a purply pinky flash the colour of the purple in the above phot. It cd be our imagination and this mrng I concluded that, but the colours correlate with the photo too well
On 13 Sep 2014, Clive wrote:

The thing about this year unlike last year. There is a lot more northerly blocking taking place. Although we in the warm side, the influence of northerly blocking is giving an easterly component to our weather this September. If we go into winter with both an activate Atlantic and strong northerly blocking. The lows would be forced further south of the UK than last year and that could allow very cold air from the east which could cause many of the storms to produce blizzard conditions to the south rather than heavy rain like last winter.
On 13 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Yesterday turned out a good day some overcast moments but sunny inbetween and nice enough to do a birthday bbq for one of our children, temp 9/10 this a.m now 14c @ 10.24 a.m blue sky sunshine with a lil cloud around and light breeze..
On 13 Sep 2014, @Piers_Corbyn [FOLLOW ON TWITTER!] WA Forecaster wrote:

THANKS MARIA, JAKE, PADDY! --- ALL See those aurora and our 'The Vikings were right' Sept (reminder) only half price --- JAKE YES, Good Question. Well to see what is going on in 2nd half Sept people can get the half price offer.
On 13 Sep 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

I have been mostly awake all night and I think it is down to the ions disturbing my body. Just gone 5am now and the sky is so unreal, it should be dark but it is pink and the moon is so bright. My ionisers are already on and working full pelt. I`ll be working hard to move produce safely indoors today. Superb accuracy from WA yet again
On 13 Sep 2014, Jake benson wrote:

Piers is this for real ...? http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/510262/Violent-tropical-cyclone-heads-UK-weather-floods-gales
On 12 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Another lovely & milky autumn day, misty start with 10˚C at 7.30, brightening up by 10am and reaching 17˚ max but feeling really pleasant, hot in our tunnels of course, but with an agreeable SSE breeze. Down to 12˚ when I came home at 11pm. Remarkable situation looking at the present weather map, the High is really dominating and we're actually getting some boring September weather, brilliant as far as we're concerned up here.
On 12 Sep 2014, @Piers_Corbyn (twitter), WA Forecaster wrote:

THANKS ALL --- RON ~15-18th (R5R4) Dont sound surprised about Br+Ir! Our forecast has Br+Ir generally high pressure with frontal effects ONLY on one edge. Within the High pressure there can be isolated intense thunderstorms nevertheless - not the sort of thing apparent on GFS maps. It is important to understand R5 and R4 periods mean tighter isobars, more storms, cyclogenesis and deep Lows (& all preceding on Sun &c) but at the same time there must be (blocking) Highs - often larger+stronger than average - somewhere. Low pressure everywhere is not poss meteorologically. Re Aug+Sept, Ron yes in terms of our forecast pressure patterns - blocking over BI/NW Eu they were similar & indeed but for Ex Bertha Aug was correct in WeatherAction LongRange: first 9days and last week OK. 10-22 Aug very different after Ex-Bertha broke the block. For 15-18 Br+Ir cloud cover and thunder risk will be a good watch. For storm effcts though look at USA, Tropical storm developments and parts of Europe.
On 12 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Just been thinking 2 things: if this weather pattern had established last month, then a very hot August would indeed have occurred and secondly, a weather pattern like this in December would result in very cold weather indeed. Windfarms useless in this situation too.
On 12 Sep 2014, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:

NOAA currently have activity level 10 on their aurora map
On 12 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS still going for a benign 'Indian Summer' scenario right through the R4/5 period and beyond, indeed with only a brief sharp cool period near the end of the month. Bardarabunga seems to be powering up again and the next week looks interesting.
On 12 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Misty 10deg. start but looks like another gorgeous day, sunshine and 14c @ 10a.m mostly blue sky atm just the odd bit of cirrus cloud around also a light breeze, I'm running around making the most of any fine weather too, bring on the R5 for a rest!
On 12 Sep 2014, Susan (Dublin) wrote:

I've been plugging away at preparing and painting the west facing gable end of my house that's very exposed to wind and rain...pressures on now to complete the job before the jet streams shifts and screams in again and Autumn begins proper! Thanks Piers you'ii have me run ragged this weekend! 😩
On 11 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Started the day @ 7 a.m with a lil mist and fog ( some severe fog reported in some parts of the country) 11 deg. Temp. up on recent mornings, still a sunny warm day 18/19 deg. But with more cloud and overcast on occasions, back down to 11 now with some stars around.
On 11 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

Interesting to watch that Low off Spain deepening over the last couple of days, intensifying & deepening all the time - setting up for the R5? Grey start today, 13˚C at 7.30, but by 11 the cloud lifted and temps went up nicely to just hit 20˚, which is very pleasant at this time of year. Lovely alto cumulus clouds drifting on a good SE breeze, like tightly packed sheep in various groups. 12˚ at 10pm.
On 11 Sep 2014, Steve (sub) wrote:

Here's a good point about Co2 and its supposed "Gore-tex" like trick of one way heat transfer etc. Double glazing contains air with the usual 0.038% of Co2 so why doesn't it allow heat to pass unhindered one way and then reflect it back the other way? We could easily try pumping extra Co2 in to up the concentration - say 40% and see if it made any difference at a whole thousand times more than in normal air.
On 11 Sep 2014, Craig M (@craigm350, sub, Berks) wrote:

Earth directed Xflare & CME due to hit tomorrow 12th. Strong possibility of mid latitude auroras. Also if you've been watching recent solar wind impacts have sparked minor geomagnetic storms where normally they don’t - a possible sign of our weak magnetic shield? Story here === http://weatheraction.wordpress.com/2014/09/11/sun-unleashes-earth-directed-x-flare/ === Going on previous xflare activity this year (which if I recall was not earth directed) we had an increase of storminess shortly after - with a bit of a lag if you think of the winter storminess. Note Piers has been directing us to the shift in the upcoming R period "Very major changes and extreme conditions (thunder-tornadoes, water-spouts, funnel clouds, giant hail, floods etc) in parts and major jet stream shifts world-wide which will change present weather patterns in many places are predicted for ~15-18th Sept (a 'double Red R5R4 period) under SLAT10a." WATCH THIS SPACE.
On 11 Sep 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

GFS has stopped its animatiion at the 14th. Wonder what's starting on the 15th?!
On 10 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

More cloud moved in this eve and so tonight milder, still showing 13/14deg. @ 22.42pm I think temp. will not drop below 10/11 tonight here..
On 10 Sep 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub) wrote:

9˚C overnight, waking up to a clear & cloudless sky until some cloud did move in, but not for long. By 10.30 temps were rising steadily and peaking at 19˚, SE sea breeze set in by then and was most welcome by us working in the sweltering tunnel. Though the sky was mostly clear, there was cloud from time to time, quit a bit of low stuff drifting north along the coast; it was an ideal autumn day, warm with milky sunshine & a feeling of mist & mellow fruitfulness. By evening, clouds moved in en mass & the temp by 9.30pm was a mild 13˚. == GILL: for trees a second growth spurt in September is quite normal, especially on younger ones. I planted some willow sticks this spring, some of them have put on 6 feet and I expect them to produce more length yet.
On 10 Sep 2014, WENDY wrote:

Sub High Peak. Glorious Autumn sunshine from Monday here.Tee shirt and shorts weather!Plagued with wasps at the moment.Trees look amazing ,the leaves are all turning golden.Temp .19/20%. Hope the weather lasts the week
On 10 Sep 2014, Maria ( Ireland sub ) wrote:

Chilly start @ 5 deg. this morning but again mostly blue sky and sunshine, some fog/mist paches over the fields again too @ 6.45 a.m beautiful day again temp 19c now @ 15.12 pm quite likely we reached 20 at lunch time. Gill yeah I have left one big wild area around a water garden where we had tadpoles earlier in the year and watched with the kids as they changed, they have made that there home as saw another tiny frog the other day about the size of a fingernail and some adult ones around there too, have been very careful not to disturb them and stuck to clearing verges and an area out in our yard..;)
On 10 Sep 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

While the warmth may be confusing plants here, iceagenow is reporting the early arrival of snow for parts of Canada and the US. Will this help to turn the global temps down as the pause becomes a decline?
On 10 Sep 2014, Gill1066 East Sussex (sub) wrote:

Confused? - Not me - nature.I have noticed over the last couple of days that far from preparing for an early autumn some of my flora are thinking the opposite. The Clematis Montana - a spring flowering once only shrub has flowers on it in places - albeit high up rather than all over, and I noticed today an oak tree has produced new vivid green leaf growth. Obviously they haven't picked up on the decreasing day length - but the amount of lightness is that of early April - so maybe they are thinking 'Spring' until the temperature cools again. Maria (Ireland) - don't strim and clear everything away. I tidied up some bricks in overgrown grass by the fence the other day and disturbed a frog who had quite happily made them his 'des res' - I apologised and put them back!
On 10 Sep 2014, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Heres the real affordable near future for energy http://www.worldcoal.com/news/coal/articles/Coal_discovered_in_North_Sea_674.aspx#.VA-K8fldUqw Just been looking at the BBC's latest Enviro. on CO2 levels The only global warming / climate change appears to be in these stories. Where in the real world is it ?