Comments from Piers
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USA No update needed because Snowmageddon (most significant USA weather at present) is on cue - News below ]

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Welcome to abc viewers who saw Piers on abc tv (today) 28th interviwed about the snowmageddon and cold blast in USA which he predicted (forecast page below), the Jet stream and solar-driven Climate Change....
Here's the link =>  http://abcnews.go.com/Nightline/video/wild-weather-22278414
Have a look. Nasa were also asked to comment by Abctv who put on a Gavin Schmidt, a particularly nasty ignoramus who behaved in a most unprofessional, rude and deceitful manner and tried to obscure the fact that our WeatherAction forecasts give specific dates and regions (not general waffle) and as he should know have peer-reviewed proven significant skill (See Forecasts / Accuracy button) - unlike any other long range 'forecasters' or churlish 'experts' and charlatans who can't bear to think something is being done that they cannot do. 
One has to ask if his offensive and stupid remarks have the backing of the organisation on behalf of whom he spoke. If so it is not hard to see why Nasa is having increasing difficulty in convincing USA taxpayers to foot their enormous budget. The matter will be discussed at WeatherAction regular monthly meeting Frid Jan 31st.
And a special introductory Deal for all abc tv viewers or anyone....
=> AMAZING USA +S.Can OFFER till Sun Feb2* (*2400 PDT or when updated if later)

Great response to abc TV and AlexJones VID interview of Piers Corbyn
BRILL VID AlexJones PiersCorbyn SolarLunar drives Weather+Climate 

USA 30d Single $10 (£6) 6m for 5, 12m for 9 (was $15; 6/12m for 5.5/10)
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     AccuWeather Pics for 26th, 29th. WeatherAction 4 week ahead foreacst well captured the basic development and timing of the snowmageddon and cold blast ~25-29 Jan as predicted, below, by WeatherAction USA 4 weeks ahead
Computer flow line pic of the offset polar vortex which IS our WeatherAction cold plunge above (and going further) From DailyMail which had a hopelessly muddled Commentary. Why dont they just phone me 07958713320?
Approx copy below I added a Comm in DM on line re Mini Ice Ages and GULF (yes the sea current) Stream.

Image preview

(Commenting on someone else). Well put but you may like to know that over years of this WILD JET STREAM Circulation regime the GULF STREAM does in fact get dragged south. Low pressures crossing the Atlantic tracking further south drag surface water further south in their wake and the result is the Northern (Scotland etc) branch of the Gulf Stream weakens and the Spain branch strengthens and we move from the early stages of a Mini Ice Age (now) to a deeper stage of the Mini-Ice Age in ~10 years time.

In the depths of the last Little (Mini) Ice ages (Maunder minimum of solar activity late 1600s early 1700s) and Dalton Minimum end of 1700s early 1800s coastal sea froze at times in N Ireland and the Thames froze over a number of times. These type of events will happen again.
Dmail article: 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2548535/Hypnotic-animation-Earth-shows-freezing-Polar-Vortex-penetrated-deep-North-America-pushed-Gulf-Stream-south.html#ixzz2ruhaQLQG




AlexJones Vid:-

The three Realists / 'Sceptics' called - Prof Richard Lindzen, Donna Laframboise, Nicholas Lewis - continued criticism of the warmist position pointing out the models are not reliable and Climate is changing naturally anyway. Donna pointed out the IPCC is a self-justifying unaccountable operation and should be disbanded. 

Richard Lindzen said politicians should consider carefully before proceeding (further) down a path which will damage the economy and make no difference to Climate.
In the 8 point Subscribers update for last week of Jan and Notes on Feb WeatherAction is now releasing point 3:

"As is standard in WeatherAction forecasts the R4 (25 Sat-26 Sun) and R5 periods (27 Mon-29 Wed) (both +/-1day) will cause substantial activation of fronts beyond expectations of standard meteorology, deepening of Lows and strengthening of winds so TORRENTIAL RAIN – MORE FLOODS and DAMAGING STORM FORCE 10/11 WINDS are likely on land in Ireland and Scotland and some N/W parts England + Wales in the period 25-29th at times. Hurricane Force 12 is likely at sea at times also in Atlantic / Norway Sea."

As the active fronts crossed Ireland and England the importance of WeatherAction R4s and R5s was clear - eg powerful lightning Birmingham as a sample of what hit across Ireland then Wales+England with short very intense downpours  http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-25896795 

Lightning bolts also struck houses in Wollescote, Stirchley and Northfield.

 

25-29 JAN SNOWMAGEDDON NE USA + S CANADA being confirmed - many reports on twitter and Web
Interesting early Expanded Tweets ~24 Jan
Forecast soundings in Snowstorm #onstorm show what could be significant snow growth ie models may underestimating snow amounts pic.twitter.com/SLRUvdxiIj = instructive diagram and Comm
Niagara Snow+blow CONFIRMS WeatherActionUSA+SCan Fcst issue31Dec pic.twitter.com/gMNdKMZOvt

 Embedded image permalink

AND WHAT WAS SOLAR WIND DOING?
It was noted that despite recent and present low surfacce solar activity (observed in normal way) there was a lot of intense frontal activity on 25th on Earth. Interestingly the SOLAR WIND shows Bz prolonged neg (=STRONG LINKAGE) & density uniform high (=MORE EFFECT) early on 25Jan
Image preview

23rd/22nd onwards THANK YOU all for the many Retweets of Alex Jones interview with Piers
Astrophysicist @Piers_Corbyn at weatheraction.com explains the Solar-Lunar effects on climate  youtu.be/NoI5wMNWOjs

Piers Says: It's great to be on AlexJones show and really good how much people have been ReTweeting the link. Please have a look yourself and ReTweet/Pass on via FaceBook, Email etc.
 
WeatherAction, in the coming week, will be producing a Winter Olympics forecast   which will be available in the Eu Maps service at no extra charge. Watch Website and twitter for information.  
 
For news articles in 30d Forecast bulletins which went to subscribers first (Br+Ir 45d Feb news is NOT included because it contains forecast information) Click here:-
=>  http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews14No01.pdf  <= USA "Exceedingly Awesome Long Range Forecasts" say subscribers Eu and Br+Ir:  Why so many storms, When will they end? 
 
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Why sufferin ignorance?
WeatherAction forecasts set the pace - miles ahead of all the rest of LongRange offerings in Newspapers, TV, and standard Met Computer models - Brit+Ire, Europe and USA
No-one else can give you anything as remotely reliable and useful as WeatherAction 
 
 
Wed 15 Jan (Thurs 16 Jan in Aus+NZ) BBC Climate Cover-Up Exposed
Jan in Aus+NZ) BBC Climate Cover-Up Exposed
 
Superb-Report JoNova on BBC's "28Gate" or "Climate Cover-Up Gate" as Piers calls it in Comm #72 on JoNova's well researched report on shameful BBC activity: bit.ly/1eTdWBC 

Jo says in a comment on his Comment that Piers being blacklisted by BBC is a "badge of honour".
 
 

WeatherAction breakthroughs in stratospheric prediction confirmations continue.
 Piers Corbyn said 15 Jan:  "It is great today to see our forecasts for 'Sudden stratospheric warming*' advancing. - *Something of a technical term but also used flexibly because there are many levels to the stratosphere and patterns are just as / more / important than general warming of one level."
AND on 25 Jan "It seems the first period we trial predicted gave the start of these events in the form of warm blobs in parts of the (upper) stratosphere and the later 2 potentially overlapping periods gave peaks together in 2mb and 30mb ~7-11th and 12-16th. Extra Jet Stream meanders after those may be intensifying the snowmageddon and wild events Br+Ir+Eu around now ~25-29th although there could well be evidence of earlier effects"

Updating Upper stratosphere (2mb) graph: 

 

See also 30mb and 70mb for lower stratosphere below 
Interestingly although the trial forecast for upper was to peak earlier a rapid increase came at the same time as rapid increases in lower level (eg 30mb, 70mb) temps which were trial forecasted for "7-11th and 12-16th (poss overlapping events)". [In Br+Ir 45d and 30d forecasts front page]. The lower warmings carry much more energy than upper (air being denser at ~15x, 35x pressure). These lower SSWs herald greater meanders in the Jet Stream and therefore SNOW in the parts where cold arctic air is pulled south. Note NOT snow everywhere, the places where mild air is dragged north will be milder.  
 
The blobs in maps and/or the suddenly rising curves in graphs (espec for lower levels ie higher pressures, 70, 30 mb = hpa as shown below) indicate extra meanders will come in typically ~3 to 10 days after peak / almost peak temp rise and hence more snow somewhere. 
They began with 'blob warming' around Xmas which various ignorant word-worms and trolls tried to deny when Joe Bastardi sent around a map showing it. WeatherAction revolutionary Stratwarm trial forecast issued mid Dec and carried on front of B+I 45d and 30d forecasts forecasts was for upper strat (~2mb) warming ~28Dec-1Jan and Lower strat (~70mb) 7-11th and 12-16 Jan - overlapping events. 
 
 

 
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Welcome and Do get in touch with any questions / comments / speaking requests. Via the blog below for espec public comments (Please indicate) or via: piers@weatheraction.com 02079399946 / 07908734296. 
 
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Comments submitted - 132 Add your comment

On 03 Feb 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Just saw the ABC interview. Gavin Schmidt - can he be that dumb? I'm grateful the interviewer puts credence in Piers' work. I have to wonder if anyone at NASA knows anything at all about the weather. For someone who is responsible for studying the sun-earth connection and climate, Schmidt provided no explanation for the polar vortex related weather. He made no attempt to provide a reasonable alternative to Piers' comments. What a disappointment. Schmidt gave me that much more motivation to prove him wrong and make sure EVERYONE knows it. This ignorant misdirection can't be sustained as we continue forward. Six years ago when it snowed in New Orleans as Schmidt said, we were in a no sunspot solar minimum; and during 1934, when New York City had record cold, the US had its highest temps on record, both characteristic of similar wild jetstream conditions we are starting to experience now. Americans are going to get used to Piers being right about the weather, come hell or high water!
On 03 Feb 2014, Russ 45 day subs NE Derbyshire wrote:

Bet man made CO2 will get the blame for this >> http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-25975251 <<
On 03 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Current (7:20 AM) temps 0.9 and 3.8 Celsius, actual and windchill respectively. Forecast is for wind to turn E and then SE, before turning more S beginning Wednesday. Wind is also expected to increase in strength later this week and temps to remain above 'normal'. Now, what would be needed to finally tip off these national 'weather militia' that repeatedly having to use the term "above/below normal' is a sure sign that things are NOT normal anymore?!
On 03 Feb 2014, east side wrote:

I would like to know how Joe Bastardi, and all the "weather forecasters" & UK newspapers predicting a "BRUTAL" European winter and impending doom all got it so so wrong? The fact is, even out here in Russia the weather is perfectly normal for this time of year, and the usual end January period of -30C was right on time, with no excessive cold. There is no intense cold now, & the cold air over northern Ural has stayed put. The UK & most of France as a result is well above normal for this time of year. WARM AND WET. In fact temps were a record warm in Moscow in November, and I was picking raspberries in Luxembourg in November. Jet stream as usual is the primary determinant of the weather, so how come everyone seems to have got it so badly wrong (except Mr Corbyn).
On 02 Feb 2014, Gerry wrote:

Winter subscriber. Not just UK suffering from floods! Storms have caused havoc in Italy: http://www.gazzettadelsud.it/news/english/78223/Storms-raise-havoc--Rome-in-turmoil.html
On 02 Feb 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Pleasant start with fast moving cumulus fragments through which Venus could be glimpsed, 4˚C at 7.30, strong SW breeze, sun out by 8.15, kept going for most of the day, though cloud increased. Felt like we haven't had such a nice day for ages. Max temp 6˚, down to 1˚ by 10pm. Candlemas today, Lichtmess in German, which sounds like measuring the growing light. http://www.squidoo.com/maria-lichtmess Apart from all other connotations it must have something to do with the growing daylight in the morning, which is now slowly beginning to catch up; Equation of Time again. “If Candlemas is mild and pure, winter will be long for sure”. Well, let's see...
On 02 Feb 2014, Sue H, N, Ireland (part-time subscriber) wrote:

Fri and sat were pretty horrendous over here, although the east side where I live still got off better than the west, with huge waves battering the coasts. http://www.itv.com/news/update/2014-02-01/irish-coastal-town-of-lahinch-battered-by-giant-waves/ Fri night we had sporadic wet snow and heavy rain. Sat was strong winds and intermittant rain. Today, (sun) was clear and bright, about 6 degrees. The next few days, Ireland seems to be going to get another battering with yet more storms. From the comments about the Feb forecast, which I didn't get, I'm assuming its either going to be WOW v. snowy, or wow bikini weather? Either way it'll be wild by all accounts.
On 02 Feb 2014, Russ subs NE Derbyshire wrote:

All this talk about P Charles reminded me of the article the other day from Grandmother Beeb, about the Queen blaming her staff for wasting her pennies. Poor soul is almost down to her last million. Does this sound like a ruse to get a bit more income froom the UK tax payer? Blame your situation on everyone else but not your own indulgent spending, then go begging to the people on minimum wages to bail you out of debt. So why does the Queen not get a mention when David Cameroon (hard man with a soft centre), starts spouting off about people living on state hand-outs and benefit scroungers? ..... Weather-wise it's a glorious day in the corps, with blue sky, fluffy white clouds and very warm sun. The chilly breeze being subdued nicely. No heater or air-con needed in the car. Almost shirt sleeves...in the first week of February? It's going to take a long time to dry up Derbyshire this spring. Should be another great year for sileage though.
On 02 Feb 2014, harris -occasional sub, wrote:

LOL at Paul's post- where did I read that last month!?? Here on loch Tay, the sleet was dinging down and snow above 250 or 300 m. Turned back on unploughed road at 150 m as snow covered.
On 02 Feb 2014, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:

Wonderful morning, clear skies mild wind and warm sun. More like April like February.
On 02 Feb 2014, Carl 30d Subscriber wrote:

Yes i heard Prince Charles calling us Realists headless chickens.This seems to me that this CO2 religion have become so desperate.God help us when he becomes King.It seems to me his two sons William and Harry have got more brains than their father.Even David Cameron made a quip by saying he thinks the Somerset flooding is down to CO2 is it a wonder that core Conservative voters are running to UKIP
On 02 Feb 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

No need to answer my last question. GFS is now backing off that prediction and is now suggesting much colder weather. I think that GFS would be more likely to predict my next bout of flatulence than weatther. BTW whatever happened to the record cold and snowmaggedon predicted by Exacta!? Luckily there is always Piers.
On 02 Feb 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Without giving away any details of the February WA forecaste, how credible is it that the GFS prediction for an upsurge of African origin air will occur mid month? With record amounts of snow in the Highlands above 1500ft the flooding implications are profound
On 02 Feb 2014, David wrote:

Bob - thank you, I was looking for a more "scientific" explanation.
On 02 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Currently (9:30 AM) 3.5 and -1.4 Celsius actual and windchill, respectivey. Wind is coming strong from a SSE direction but feels 'warmish'. Dew point at Kollum weather station (approx. 15 kms from us) is 1 Celsius. The sun is out as well. If and when my ship of money ever comes in, my fervent wish is to buy a simple but efficient weather station, solar powered and with PC connection. Our particular neck of the woods (well, not woods, sea clay) is always very different weather wise compared to places very near to us. Stronger winds, colder temps, more/less rain and snow than predicted. One of these days ...
On 02 Feb 2014, Richard Pinder wrote:

A “headless chicken” describes the dogmatic scientific ignoramus types like Prince Charles, as Lindzen said on BBC Parliament the other day, if you have not studied science, consensus is terribly important, because, then you do not have to understand it, but then if Lindzen, as an atmospheric physicist, tells them that the consensus is wrong, they get very upset, and in the case of Prince Charles, all he can do is give a speech with all the usual moronic thoughts that his little brain thinks about a Global warming peak or a Climate hiatus. “I, Prince Charles think only the headless chicken brigade could denying that the Climate changes”. This same scientifically ignorant opinion dominates amongst the poor quality arts and languages qualified, climate science journalists at the BBC. It looks as if all the best people with maths and physics, did not join the BBC, probably because intelligent people don’t read the Guardian.
On 02 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

I got the European forecast and WOW! This sure changes my thoughts on what to do the coming month. - OT: strong wind but very mild, chill factor just barely below freezing. Walking the dog was a HUGE difference, I didn't even need a scarf or my kiddie ski pants ;-)
On 01 Feb 2014, Gary wrote:

Currently watching snowstorm: britains big freeze this is very very interesting the metoffice trying to look and speak professionally is making me laugh for starters but speaking to meteorologist ps across the country are questioning is this merely a cycle or is this actually a coincidence? Explaining the winter of 47 when an old car was even driving across the river Thames now that was funny 6ft of snow fell in the midlands wow 47 what a rare event and to explain this year is definitely been a wet one lol but looking at this is there still a chance piers that even this far into winter maybe easterly still develop? Moist air cross aver the Antarctic making it unbalanced causing extreme snowfall in Britain! It's making me want to subscribe! I think I will to see what February and March has in store fingers crossed snow makes an appearance at this bottom half of the country!
On 01 Feb 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Re Prince Charles: Joan M Veon wrote a book 'Prince Charles The Sustainable Prince' – summary of book here http://bit.ly/1lrR9nS Quote from same: “There has been much speculation with regard to when Charles will become king. I surmise that he does not need a throne, for he already has one. The environmental agenda via sustainable development, and public-private partnerships with the world’s largest and strongest multinational corporations, many of which have cash flows and assets exceeding that of most countries, provide Charles his throne.” The fact that they get him to trot out the 'headless chicken' line shows that they are worried about those who question their narrative whose impact is slowly sinking the rotten CAGW ship. Once again, also read http://green-agenda.com/ for the lowdown on the hijacking of the environmental movement by those liars.
On 01 Feb 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

0˚C at 7.30, light frost in places, clear skies, haven't seen stars or sun for a while. Clouding over by late morning in a strengthening SSW wind, damp cold but nevertheless getting to 5˚ and staying there all day. Rain from 2.30 pm off & on, by 10pm the wind had changed to W direction, which makes a change from the endless S or SE winds. == Folks, Feb 30d forecast is available on the subscriber page.
On 01 Feb 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

David - I debunked that snow thing right away. The snow sublimates into vapor - no drips. The butane combustion leaves soot and smell. Ice is a tight lattice by comparision to snow, which has lots of air, and melts differently. I left a pile of it in a tub overnight and it all melted into water. A proper experiment would entail melting the snow the same way, except under a glass enclosure. Logically, the water vapor would then cool and condense on the inside surface of the glass. Of course this does not negate what was witnessed in the skies prior to the storm, nor what any chemical test of the snow may reveal. I can actually taste the stuff when "they" do "that"... more on that whole ball of wax down the road... first things first. The Geoengineeringwatch.org guy for some reason doesn't think mother nature has anything to do with the weather anymore... his heart is in the right place though. Such weather has occurred cyclically throughout time long before people learned to fly.
On 01 Feb 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Russ - you caught that huge coronal hole too. Amazing isn't it - how everything works together - we're still here.
On 01 Feb 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Another day of rain, with ocasional wet snow flurries here at 140m, but another dump abov 250. There is now a great deal of snow above 500 metres and with GFS predicting an upsurge of African area around the 15th, then there is the potential for massive flooding in the Scottish Highlands. That's of course of you can put any trust in GFS.
On 01 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Russ ... That is a situation in which metal fatigue would not be opportune! Guess these guys have the same type of character as the ones which helped build the skyscrapers way back when. BTW, neat site. As a former D.J and radio reporter, I find it very interesting. Thanks for the link, I appreciate it ;-) - OT: A 5BF wind is still causing a 5 degree windchill, but even so, temps are barely below freezing. The wood stove has been taking a breather from working hard, as have I, as that hungry thing demands to be fed every 30 mins or so. Dutch KNMI is predicting temps above normal for the coming period, up to 10 Celsius. I wonder ...
On 01 Feb 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

Bob.... very interesting video. Thanks for that. One thing of note was the description and footage of the gigantic coronal hole on the Sun circa 1977. That was one helluva hole dude.... So if the activity level is extremely low and prolonged, could there be a period lasting many decades where the corona disappears completely (mythical dark Sun)? If so, the level of ultraviolet light would also diminish which may cause widespread reduction in plant growth. CO2 levels are now rising from a very low level, and may counter to some degree the lack of plant growth due to lower ultraviolet light levels. Maybe this is one of those 'lucky' evolutionary quirks where nature gives with one hand but takes with the other. The ancients would see the corona at total eclipse and would notice a bright, extended corona at solar maximum but hardly any corona at solar minimum. They could have used these observations to plan crop rotation or the timing of sowing to avoid flooded crops etc...
On 01 Feb 2014, David wrote:

Subscriber East Anglia Piers, great forecasting! Any comments about the snow in the USA that allegedly doesn't melt like normal snow?
On 01 Feb 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

Saskia.... >> http://youtu.be/y_obCDVHIQE << .....
On 01 Feb 2014, Rhys Jaggar 30d annual subscriber wrote:

Report from NW London: Standing water at the bottom of the garden 7 out of the last 10 days after the ongoing heavy dousings. This morning, 1st February, was the biggest yet and the drainage ditch around the salads raised bed had two inches of standing water. Sunshine this morning has given over to more cloud this afternoon but we are hoping for 3 days of drier weather, hopefully with some wind, to dry the garden out. Little chance of dry soil before June right now, which is good for early growing if the rainfall calms down for February and March. By the way, Piers, do you do a seasonal forecast? Planting decisions in the garden would benefit from having a top-level view as to what will happen until the end of April (notably frosts).
On 01 Feb 2014, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

I spent last night watching the climate change committee of the HOC interviewing 6 people, of whom three were pro AGW and three more skeptical. Points to take from that: 1. Not all HOC committee members were died-in-the-wool warming fanatics. The Scottish Labour guy was and so was Tim Yeo, but Peter Lilley, Graham Stringer in particular gave both sides both a fair hearing and also a good grilling. Graham Stringer in particular clearly was well briefed and, as a chemist, was prepared to think independently in his lines of questioning. 2. The HOC committee were brought face to face with the undeniable truth that the computer models don't match the empirical data and, therefore, can't be correct. One of the skeptical guys pointed out the reasons why this might be so and, hence, why modelling shouldn't be relied upon. The committee will be required to note that in their report if they are professional. 3. The IPCC's reputation was put under the spotlight: minority reports to be wri
On 01 Feb 2014, Andy (Occ-sub) wrote:

Regarding Charlies comments,as a "denier chicken" I would at least be a free range headless chicken bred on a diet of truth and sunlight. Rather different to the "trace gas-gang" chicken, factory farmed with a sphincter at both ends to prevent headlessness and the chance of ever knowing anything different.
On 01 Feb 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

GIS - check again, it worked for me this morning. I am still working out how to do everything right on YT, and my website is going to take some time - lots of projects underway here... Gill - Never seen a groundhog in N Mich or anywhere else. Checked space weather this morning, ACE satellite magnetics showed rare absolutely flatline conditions most of the last 24 hours, SSN went down as active regions 1959/60 rolled out of sight, but flux remains steady on account of 1967/68. Earth-facing solar disk looks bare except for them. Higher flux levels from last five days or so bringing higher temperatures to SE US southern border & Moon headed northward now in declination angle, jetstream responding - not going so far south now. Too bad so many pols like Charles and Gore are so dumb about weather and climate - but they have an agenda (21) to protect... Like Piers says, they don't learn from reality (watch - they'll use that phrase on us now...) Looking forward to Piers' Feb forecast too.
On 01 Feb 2014, Rob wrote:

Piers just watched that report onABC news that you did, can't believe the attitude of that NASA guy towards you. Ironic given how much time NASA has spent studying the sun and the earth.
On 01 Feb 2014, Gazza wrote:

According to this, hurricane winds and 63feet waves in the Atlantic west of Ireland a few hours ago? Thats 20m waves !!!! Comments? https://twitter.com/NWSOPC/status/429530361664512000/photo/1
On 01 Feb 2014, GIS Sussex wrote:

Sorry Bob but there seems to be a problem with your YouTube link. Could you check and re-submit, please.TIA.
On 01 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

You guys want to see something absolutely stunning and breath taking to start off your weekend? Watch this! http://bit.ly/1aPkVP3 And make sure you do it full screen. It took my breath away! ;-)
On 01 Feb 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

@Paddy - No harm, no foul; I wasn't offended by what you said ;-) As for us here on this forum being somewhat out of the ordinary, yes, I agree (even if some of us would object the matter ;-) Admittedly, a lot of people do not award any level of intelligence to me either, dressed as I usually am in jeans, worker shoes and wearing a cap. I think I can tag along nicely though *grin* - OT: Currently (Noon) actual temps at 5.4 Celsius and windchill just above freezing. It feels positively balmy compared with the previous week or so. I, too, am VERY curious as to what Pier's Febr forecast for Europe will say. I just looked at the Dec 2010 forecast, and sincerely hope that is NOT what Piers means. However, I have a sneaking suspicion that he does :-\
On 01 Feb 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

9am - A hail shower torrent exploded out of the sky. Fortunately for me I have a covered stable yard, so I stayed dry, though the cat did a runner in sheer panic. Immediately following the hail the wind picked up. As non scientists (Prince Charles) are allowed to state their opinion on GW, perhaps Bob could ask the groundhogs what their opinion on GW is and whether their burrows are getting any warmer, then PC and the groundhogs could engage in a debate - should make a change from talking to plants.
On 01 Feb 2014, stephen parker subscriber wrote:

The problem with much of human en devour comes when money becomes involved, prince charles is no exception. Think about it, massive landowners and top of the parasite class in the uk, he wants the status quo to remain and the green agenda is just a form of control. Its like diet books weather forecasters and healers and plumbers, when money is involved, BUYER BEWARE!
On 01 Feb 2014, linda haynes wrote:

Snow on the ground more expected 0.3 o live in brynmawr gwent 1350 ft asl........
On 01 Feb 2014, occassionally David wrote:

Greetings from Birmingham. The irony of Prince Charles's remarks about "global warming deniers" is that in calling them "headless chickens" he is perfectly describing global warming believers. You need to disconnect your brain entirely to believe in it as it breaks just about every law of physics in existence. Though I hate to say it - there isn't a lot of hope for truth and science in this day and age - everything that contradicts "policy" is rejected, smeared and ridiculed, even if it's based on real science and facts. The Establishment has become like a Lewis Carol character - "facts are what we say they are". In order to be taken seriously you have to spout the same nonsense they do (ditto in economics). This is a beautifully simple, self preserving heresy, for only heretics are allowed to speak out and so the semblance of a unified front is maintained. Goebbels would have wept in admiration.
On 01 Feb 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Overcast, slight drizzle, low cumulus fragements racing across the sky from a SSE direction, 4˚C at 7.30, heavy rain forecast for the afternoon, snow further inland down to 300m, ferries cancelled on the West Coast. Radar showed huge swathe of rain crossing the country, heaviest in the west all the way down, we just had a short interlude without any. Very heavy rain & strong winds tonight for a time, temp at 11pm was 5˚ @Saskia: oops, my comment was meant in the friendliest possible way, hope no offence taken; if you saw me in my work clothes you wouldn't think I could string two sentences together. Regarding oddballs, I think most of us commenters are non-conformists, ie we don't buy what passes for the official version of life, which is mostly distortions & lies.
On 31 Jan 2014, Man Bearpig wrote:

Just found this old crock of s~~t. Global warming is going to push the Jet stream towards the poles increasing drier areas. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/05/060525194257.htm How wrong was that?
On 31 Jan 2014, Wendy wrote:

Prince Charles is as usual acting as a complete*** Lets hope his sons don't agree with him!!! How can he justify such remarks about GW? Probably the Duchy of Cornwall has invested inwind farms etc.!
On 31 Jan 2014, Steve,Dorset,UK wrote:

Prince Charles has in his green global warming way built over a whole lot of beautiful hardys dorset countryside with a small town on the edge of dorchester,I do wonder how much of his carbon footprint he has left for dorset to clear up, humbug. Or chicken humbug.
On 31 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

All are encouraged to spend 48 minutes watching a fascinating video from 1977 called 'The Sunspot Mystery' at http://youtu.be/v3frXY_rG8c to see what scientists back then knew about the sun-earth weather/climate connection. It's interesting to see how far from that basic understanding we've come in the last 37 years as scientists ignored history while taking us down the wrong road. This is my first video upload on The Electric Weather Channel. Video productions of my own will be similar in scope, and some will include a favorable look at Piers' work. I appreciate all your comments and interest. I am not going to be in the weather forecasting business like Piers is - more a scientific look at all aspects related to it.
On 31 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

What really irks me (to use a polite phrase) is the fact that people are so darn black&white thinking! I.o.w., ecological aware folk - and I do count myself as one of those - should ALL be "pro-warming-up". It's as if being environmentally conscious immediately lowers your IQ by at least 50 points. Like NewAgers. Just because you might be interested in, say, astrology or other esotheric subjects, does not mean you should spend the rest of your life with your head in the clouds and feet off the ground. If you claim to be pro-environment but refuse to accept the earth is warming up, or if your interested in esotherical subjects but scoff at the 100th reincarnation of Napoleon or Jeanne d'Arc, you are for ever ousted by 'the community' and not taken seriously. How daft! I am VERY ecologically active, but I would consider myself an absolute moron if I even tried denying the Cold creeping up on us.
On 31 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

why do the words mad and king often go together?
On 31 Jan 2014, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Prince Charles is now calling me and others a 'Headless Chickens' because we dont believe in global warming. Is this guy for real ? Could it be he wants to keep crown lands productive with plenty subsidies being well covered in wind turbines ?
On 31 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Gill, I always make time to keep up with WA news and comment because I like what goes on here; it's interesting, informative, & fun. For several years I've become progressively more interested in studying solar-lunar weather effects, and Piers' site is about the only place where others like yourself give regular feedback. Besides, we're in this together, wherever we are in the world. Seven years ago I took the winter off and really started to learn about the sun-earth connection; this winter I'm home again, putting together a new weather related website and youtube channel, both called The Electric Weather Channel. I have made it my mission to learn and convey a broad scope of knowledge regarding electric-magnetic weather effects. Its been a real eye-opener. As a result of my recent bloggings at WUWT, I was asked by the Thunderbolts.info group to speak at their next conference, where I'll reveal The Electric Weather Effect & discuss Piers' work. See their website for more. Stay tuned!
On 31 Jan 2014, Catherine, 45 day sub wrote:

I see that well known scientific mastermind Prince Charles has launched an attack on 'climate change deniers', talking of a 'barrage of intimidation' from climate change deniers, calling such people 'headless chickens and also a 'powerful group'. I'm only going on what the BBC reported but it appears that he uses the phrase 'climate change denier' for anyone who doesn't accept AGW. Perhaps he's been overwhelmed by the 'barrage of intimidation' from the Beeb et al.
On 31 Jan 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Rob, There are long lying snow beds in the Cairngorms and in the Mamores/ Ben Nevis group that only melt once or twice in a generation and if you look at the temperature lapse rate, then the Highlands are not far off the permanent snowline. If you go to western Norway which has a close bioclimatic profile with the Grampians, you can see hills about the height of Ben Nevis/Cairngorms with similar snow patches and just a little higher up, extensive snowbeds. So we are not far off that even now. It's all about enough preciipitation falling as snow and not melting in the summer. The eastern Highlands are drier than the West Highlands and summer temps are higher, so it is to the Mamores/BenNevis we should look to for significant change. If the Mamores had a similar area above 4000ft that the Cairngorms have then we might have had much greater numbers of long lasting snow patches even today.
On 31 Jan 2014, Rob wrote:

Ron, is not currently the case that parts of the Cairngorms have near permanent deposits of snow? I am sure I saw a news story about a woman local to that area who had made it her mission to ski right through the year a feat I am sure she managed by seeking out patches of snow that allowed her to complete at least 2 or 3 turns.
On 31 Jan 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

Saskia, I said the other day my husband was a dyke dredger before coming to England to farm in 1978. Bob - how come you've got time to post on here? Surely you should be outside shovelling snow non-stop, otherwise your poor little groundhogs won't make it out of their burrows on Sunday to check their shadows. LOL
On 31 Jan 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Guys, I see that I have interposed metres for feet in my comment, probably because when corresponding with my American buddies I am in and out of the metric and imperial systems. Apologies for any confusion. Nontheless 12-13 ft of snow at Glencoe is an unusually large amount and the BBC commentary mentioned that the pistes had more snow than at any time in the last 20 years---hardly supportive of 'the end of snow' predictions by the warmists!! As a student of ecological history and as a freshwater biologist specialising in Arctic Charr( a salmonid fish) I have long been fascinated by the impact and nature of the Younger Dryas glaciation. This was a partial re-advance or re-occurrence of glacial conditions after the main glaciation had ended and the main ice dome was situated in the West Highlands in the Mamores-Rannoch area. Extra heavy snowlie and/or below average summer temps might mean that we could yet again see semi-permanent snowbeds or incipient glaciation in these hills.
On 31 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

[cont.] - Btw, seems more than just lunar abnormalities this year. - In Sweden's Abisko National Park, Chad Blakley has been an aurora tour guide for many years. "I believe January 2014 will be remembered as the best aurora watching month of my life!" he says. "Last night, for the 25th time this year, we enjoyed an amazing display of northern lights." (Spaceweather.com; today) - @Paddy regarding "dress up doll" - The time of evening or night at which I take the dog for a 'drag' guarantees that I will not encounter anybody else. Not that I would give a hoot about what people would think; I've been considered an 'odd ball' basically all my life, so nothing new there. What always gets me is how people complain about the cold while being dressed according to the latest fashion. Are surprised about repeated bladder infections yet wear nothing more than *cough* 'butt floss'. Can't wear the same pair of jeans both when it's 30 Celsius and -5 Celsius out.
On 31 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

[cont.] - that they simply don't have the time to 'move with the flow' of nature's rythm. The increase of flooding in our country - most of which basically sits beneath sea level - has caused the government to designate selected areas to be used as 'emergency flood basins' whenever ordinary measures won't cope with the water. Some of these areas are inhabited and the measure has generated quite some protests, but aparently allowing some people's houses to flood is the lesser of two evils. - @Craig: here we have numerous old farms and even houses built on so-called 'terpen', which are manmade dwelling hills. Fryslân was almost completely flooded around 250-400AD which instigated a major relocation of the people who lived there. While a large percentage of the population moved to the SE (i.e. Drenthe province) another large group moved to England. That's why modern English still has words which are based on the Frysk language ;-) [continued]
On 31 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Current (8AM) temps at -4.3 (actual) and 10,9 (windchill) Celsius, again the coldest spot of the country. @Theo regarding dredging etc; in our area there are still a few medieval fields left over, and it's remarkable how well they can cope with flooding opposed to the more modern, flattened fields. Those fields that are cultivated 'the modern way' have puddles and even whole areas that are drenched whenever it has rained for several days, while the medieval fields all drainnicely into ditches. Removing reeds every year is mandatory here as well (called "hekkelje" in Frisian) and if you don't have your stuff in order by November, you're in for a hefty fine. All in all it's pretty obvious that in the olden days, farmers were much more aware of how nature works and what the season's would bring. Having said that, modern farmers are under so much pressure to produce timely (and LARGE) crops in order to keep their heads above the water [continued]
On 31 Jan 2014, Maria 45day sub somerset wrote:

I live just a very short walk down a lane to the levels Theo. The local farmers do maintain all the ditches constantly, their practices are good here. The levels have always filled with water but the runoff is far too slow nowadays and the grass below is being killed off. Peat was taken by every local but has now stopped, the voids were also useful for drainage. Man made naturalistic nonsense like mouse habitats have come before landcare. Dredging has to take place or the upstream areas will also start to be affected. Somerset on the media today, what areas will be next? and don`t get me going about overpopulation on this small island
On 31 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

You know Craig, I always thought there was something loony about that Moon. EM Smith is quite a guy I hear, and thanx to him we're now all a little more wary of that Moon. Its like it has a mind of it's own... Yea, there's something wrong with that Moon alright! I'm very suspicious now... It's always mocking us with that funny look on its face, peering down on us, laughing at us as it's yanking us around with those tidal forces and electric-magnetic connections... That darned Moon ... what would we do without it though? I mean how could Piers have a Solar-Lunar Action Technique without it? Although this thread is intriguing, I have to remind myself of what happened in 2012, when everyone thought the world was going to come to an end on my birthday... All I could do was roll my eyes and look the other way... maybe this is one of those moments... maybe not... maybe my lady Ms. Moonbeam knows. I better leave it up the ultimate authority here: Piers, is the Moon off-kilter or what? Help!
On 30 Jan 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

Overcast & cold, 2˚C at 7.30 – and stayed there all day. The wind from an E'ly quarter we have now become used to, it's a weird humid and drying wind at the same time, picks up water vapor from the sea but by its strength can nevertheless dry things out. I remember 10 or more years ago we had three weeks of this, no rain, not even frost if I remember, and the soil really dried out, raspberry canes that I had shoved in to plant later on practically died of drought before I got to them. Feels very cold too on account of the humidity. – @Bob W: I know, we're a bunch of wimps over here, we talk about the weather all the time as if it was the greatest catastrophe – you would be utterly unimpressed if you came over here :-) Though 12m snow depth in Glencoe is not bad, see Ron Greer's comment.
On 30 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

Bob, Piers, Russ - EM Smith has a v interesting series of posts on lunar orbit. Crux is lunar model hindcasts are wrong as observation shows. Eclipses documented in India should not have happened/been seen but they did! Links (most is fairly easy read) === http://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/01/30/the-moons-orbit-is-wrong-it-can-change-a-lot-and-tides-will-too/=== http://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/01/29/a-remarkable-lunar-paper-and-numbers-on-major-standstill/ === ancient rcords of tides an eye opener too - 80 cubits (~37m)!!!! +++ been bugging me for days but could the vortex which is causing storms/rain be removing lots of ocean heat? Does not bode well for down the line and could be a sign of the drop to come? Thoughts anyone?
On 30 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

How about, with immediate effect, we pull all funding for all co2 based policy. This money can then be put to dredging, building barriers or reestablishing natural flood plains etc to soak up the excess water which is what a flood plain is for. Some older houses round here, pre1910, on the plains are built on stilts - wonder why - instead we have new houses besidethem waiting to be flooded. If you wear slip on shoes and walk on ice expect to fall - especially if you don't even clear the ice on your doorstep. +++ So the floods are worst in *some* areas for JUST 100 years. That means the records do not cover times of similar low solar activity like Dalton, Maunder , Wolfe minimas. That's like a summer visitor to our isles coming over in Jan and saying it's the coldest ever! Expect an overdrive of waffle from the Ambulance Chasing Climate Vultures in the days ahead. Those who shout the loudest often have nothing of worth to say but shout so they are heard anyway.
On 30 Jan 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Carl: further to your comment on the 100 year record wet January mentioned in the news bulletins, we had an item on the BBC Scotland bulletin on the huge amount of snow above 1000ft in the Western Highlands ( the most glacially prone area--not the Cairngorms) There is 12 metres depth of snow in the upper Glencoe slopes and condiitions generally are the best for 20 years( yes ven deeper than the last 3 bumper years). Just had some emails from buddies in Alaska going on about weird freezing rain storms and a buddy in Maine was saying that there are icebreakers being used in some of the coastal ports---at just 45 North.
On 30 Jan 2014, Theo wrote:

@ Danny re. dredging. Dredging the levels is a bit of a fiasco and will help little I guess. Roughly speaking, since about 1850 weather has been improving after a long period of intermittently cooler, wetter weather. Farming over the last 150 years didn't just mechanise; it also shifted its entire thinking and practice because the weather allowed them to get away with things that have never been the norm. There have been over a million ponds and lakes filled in across the UK in the last century. Ditches are never maintained. How important must they have been that they dug these BY HAND! As you drive along, look at the hedges that they are now cutting with their flail mowers filling the ditches with brash. A guaranteed two crop season is not normal, and will not be again for a while. The size of machinery and depth of compaction are not normal. The flooding of the levels, towns, villages won't stop until farming practices adapt to LIA weather, and the land's water capacity re
On 30 Jan 2014, stephen parker subscriber wrote:

just got the 30 day, a brave forecast!. As always, time will tell!
On 30 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

#Kerry Digion - I think that was Ann Peebles, not Confusius ;-) More memorable covers were done by Eruption and Tina Turner. - @Bob from USA: I'll take snow any day over rain. The air is cleaner, and even though it involves shoveling (which is good exercise, look at the bright side ;-) it beats humid hands down. The windchill and cold you can dress for, humidity however ... it creeps down and into your clothes like a thief in the night, stealing your body heat. OT: Current temps just above freezing but the windchill is still almost -7 Celsius.
On 30 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

bbc say ..... South East and central southern England had a record 175.2mm (6.9in) of rainfall in January - beating the previous record of 158.2mm for the same parts of England set in 1988.......so desperate to make a headline that they give partial truth for a region not for the whole of the uk where 1948 was wetter........they later say on radio this is due to man made climate change..........http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25944823
On 30 Jan 2014, Carl 30d Subscriber wrote:

BOB WEBBER U.S.A.Just looked at your comment the January you have had in the U.S i am surprised you have not frozen to death -50 windchill WOW!!! that is chilly all seems to be caused by massive swings in the Jetstream. Always interested in what happens in the U.S.It is a false claim that what you get in the U.S.A U.K gets 3 days later because when you get extreme cold in the U.S it comes straight down from the Canadian arctic from the N.W where as in the U.K the cold will also come from the arctic but the coldest weather in the U.K always come from the East straight from Russia.Hope it turns Milder for you guys in the U.S
On 30 Jan 2014, Carl 30d Subscriber wrote:

Just announced January 2014 is the wettest since records begun over 100 years ago.Looked at records since 1900 Do i agree well NO!!! according to the number crunching January 2014 U.K average was 164.6mm (BBC statistic) but have found that 1948 the U.K rainfall was 177mm on average with serious flooding in the North so bit of BBC deception their This January it was the South that took the brunt where in 1948 the North took it.This year in the North it was only a little above average but in the far North of Scotland average rainfall this month was quite a bit below average
On 30 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

BBC radio 4 Today programme about 17.10pm a speaker claims no one can predict when this flooding will end....... See the economic damage of the co2 driven models that can't predict and gave no warning of this weather and can not predict when it will end. .....Blind leading the blind costing the nation money. All for dogma and greed.
On 30 Jan 2014, danny wrote:

daniel 14:57 To: news@sky.com From: daniel Sent: 30 January 2014 14:57:01 To: news@sky.com (news@sky.com) I have been watching sky news and they asked for viewers comments about the somerset levels. This is my view.... The environment agency seems to be stalling on the dredgeing of the rivers, are they worried that the dredging of the rivers might actually work, that would leave the enviro agency looking quite embarrased. Dont keep wondering, pull your socks up and start dredgeing the rivers, and there is also talk of the cost to put plans in to action, well when you think that it actually costs the UK 53 million pounds per day to be in the EU, and they can ill afford the money to sort the floods out in this country,Something is very wrong, it needs to be said. Kind Regards, Danny,Sussex
On 30 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Russ, Gill, Saskia, Paddy, et al: You want some snow, come and git it! We've got enough here to go around. So sick of shovelling... Never realized how different GB's weather is compared to ours. Am I practically the only customer Piers has from the USA? Maybe his peeps from here are so busy and wiped out from our winter that they don't have enough energy left to write a comment or two. Bluejays are back...pigging out too.
On 30 Jan 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

Logic and past experience tells us that a relatively mild winter will, in all probabilty, be a wet one. Maps showing the extent of glaciers and more general ice cover during the ice ages show lots of ice across the US as far south as Mexico and Texas, also across the Middle East and China is mostly covered, yet the UK and Western Europe are virtually clear, except poor old Scotland and the tips of Denmark and Germany. Thankfully the Gulf Stream keeps transporting equatorially warmed, surface ocean currents to our region, holding the deep cold at bay, most of the time at least. The pattern of cold we are seeing at present across the Northern Hemisphere is almost an exact copy of ice age conditions with warmth in the NW USA & Canada warmed by the Pacific Ocean, and W Europe also being kept warm by the Atlantic Ocean. Just keep those fingers crossed that we don't get a Jet-Stream loop break off and sit over Southern Europe pulling down cold polar air for weeks at a time..... -25C anyone?
On 30 Jan 2014, Stephen Parker ( sub) wrote:

The models going for more of the same with a big hit next week end. Eagerly awaiting feb 30 day to see what piers says
On 30 Jan 2014, Kerry Digion wrote:

Piers, I think it was Confucius who said..."I can't stand the rain against my window." Boy, I sure know how he felt! - Will it ever stop in Wales and everywhere else??
On 30 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

bbc weather in a video claim 'no one could have predicted' this weather.......What has caused the UK's bad weather? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25958382
On 30 Jan 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

Yes Russ, it is pretty depressing all around. At an NFU meeting on Monday - someone pointed out that by not dredging / clearing - or allowing farmers to clear streams & rivers , the EA who by their restrictions on what farmers can do - wanted to save all the insects / beetles / worms etc - have now ended up drowning them instead. My husband - when he lived in the Netherlands in the sixties and seventies - used to dredge out the dykes for farmers every year. It was compulsory and if you didn't do it you were fined. Over here - touch a stream / watercourse without EA approval and you get fined. We have the Pevensey levels and Romney marsh here in E Sussex- but even they are not as in a bad condition as Somerset. I think the drainage boards around here at least are doing something.
On 30 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

This morning (10:45 AM) we're the coldest spot in the country with actual temps of -4 and windchill temps of -11.1 Celsius. Dew point at -6 Celsius. Have I said already that's it's cold? That wind!
On 30 Jan 2014, Sue (ROI) sub wrote:

Max wind gusts on Saturday around noon. Widespread hurricane-force in western Ireland. Ryan Maue on Twitter warning of Heavy snow for Ireland Friday -- moves east ahead of the Low. No advance warning from Met Eireann yet. They say severe gusts of 90-130km/hr would that not be considered Hurricane force? 130km/hr being 80mph on Beaufort scale that would be violence & destruction.
On 29 Jan 2014, Wendy wrote:

Russ.We have a black scottie,Iappreciate your comments about the westie having problems in this awful weather.We are in Derbyshire too in the High Peak.Snow forcast for Thursday. The fields are so wet for walking him.
On 29 Jan 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

It's 11pm and have just returned from panto rehearsal and it is still raining but it is so cold that I can't believe that it is more than a few degrees from turning into something white. Raining steadily all day in Westminster and chilly from an easterly wind.
On 29 Jan 2014, Ron Greer wrote:

Rhys: well said. Despite the so-called mildness of this winter there has been a great deal of snow above 1500 ft in the Highlands, especially in the West Highlands. The Scottish ski resorts have yet another year with deep snow, but not the still ant-cyclonic pleasures of the last 3-4 years. It is in the hills of the Mamores that the Younger Dryas glaciation was at its greatest extent and with fresh research showing that there were indeed glaciers in the Highlands during the Maunder Minimum, we should quite literally keep a weather eye on nival conditions in this area.i
On 29 Jan 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

A wet night, still raining in the morning, 4˚C at 7.30, stiff ESE breeze and feeling raw, dry after 9.30 and turned out to be quite a reasonable day. Wind slowly abated, isobars further apart, calm tonight at 10.30, 3˚C. == @ Russ: thanks for the elucidation! == @ Saskia: you must look a picture when you're all kitted out! :-)
On 29 Jan 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

Gill.....re: hoof prints filling with water on a steep slope. We noticed the local farmers stunted crops were starting to look brown instead of green. Maybe he should try rice? He has been up and down the field (quartering) with a tractor unit. What for I have no idea, maybe using an aerator to force the water to drain. It's not working! But the tracks made by the tractors tyres have filled with water, like shiny plastic tyre tracks reflecting the sky between the 3 inch high crop. Not looking good. Grassy footpaths on solid sandy ground are starting to suffer too, and that's only from the feet of dog walkers, mostly. When you are walking a Westie with 5inch long legs, you have to choose your walks carefully as he can get into a terrible state, not just muddy, but he can get quite stuck, with his body resting on the surface and his legs sort of paddling to try and get himself free. He doesn't like it at all.
On 29 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Currently (7:30 PM) actual temp of -3.2 Celsius and a windchill of -11.3 Celsius. That's a 7.5 and 9.2 degree difference with the SW, respectively! It is bone chillingly cold!
On 29 Jan 2014, Rhys Jaggar wrote:

Glencoe Ski Resort gets buried due to global warming….. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-25912317 It's not completely unknown - spring 1994 saw it happen also, New Year 1991 was particularly deep snow on the hills, but it's all in the spirit of 'you'll never see snow again', isn't it?!
On 29 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Current (3PM) temp is -3 Celsius with windchill of -10 Celsius. I managed to get the wood stove to work again and inside temps have now reached 12 Celsius, and rising. At least our spoons won't freeze to our lips when eating dinner later on. - @Russ: thanks for that suggestion! However, as I walk anywhere between 2 and 3 kms every night, I am rarely cold (the poor dog though ...) Also, if there's a lot of wind I simply wear old children's skipants (the ones with the semi-bodice and suspenders; don't care what it looks like ;-) and a workman's orange coat, rain and wind proof. Underneath demi-woolen army underwear woolen socks and a pair of worker shoes (the steel toed ones) I use when chopping trees. Top it off with (yet again) demi-woolen 1-piece army scarf and mittens and I look like the Michelin doll but am TOASTY! As soon as I enter the village again I start to heat up and usually open my coat, take off the scarf and mittens. That wind here is a real killer!
On 29 Jan 2014, Steve Devine (Sub) Waltham Abbey wrote:

Rain turning to sleet across much of Greater London as I speak (12:37pm); http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=radar;sess= Looks like the Atlantic will force the eastern block of cold air further back into Russia as we approach an extremely wet end to the week, piling even more pressure on already (undredged) rivers!
On 29 Jan 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

Weather expert accuses Met Office of 'warm bias' in getting annual predictions wrong 13 out of the last 14 years Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2547950/Weather-expert-accuses-Met-Office-warm-bias-getting-annual-predictions-wrong-13-14-years.html#ixzz2rn3iFRml Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
On 29 Jan 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

The 'drier or less wet period ' has now turned into five days of rain (heavy) at some point. 1.15pm yesterday dashed out side to bring horse and pony in as deluge arrived. Today - just left them inside - steady rain all morning. Worryingly, hoof prints in the field are filling in and holding water, and this on a steep sloped hill. Garden showing first signs of holding water and not draining either. -Can't remember when that last happened. 2012 wet autumn produced less surface water than now. Birds eating an incredible amount of food. Usually I fill the the grain feeder two or three times a week. At the moment everyday.
On 29 Jan 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

I did notice though Richard, that the article in the link you gave had to have that nasty, dangerous C02 AGW hint as part of it's conclusion. Poor man is still shackled to the university payroll so must feel obligated say that human produced C02 could spell disaster....... Paddy... dam is an abbreviation for 'decametres'. The 540 dam is a relative thickness of the atmosphere, so 540 decametres, which is 5,400 metres in depth. That particular figure is used as a 'not particularly accurate' measure of the atmosphere's depth, in winter, at which the weather can change from rain to snow and vice versa. It's known as the 540 dam line. I think this was what Craig was referring to in predicting the chances of it snowing.
On 29 Jan 2014, Russ NE Derbyshire subscriber wrote:

Richard.... Remember President Regan in his address to the nation when he asked what we would do if there were an extraterrestrial threat to humanity. All the UFO conspiracists jumped up and down for joy thinking that this was a hint that ET was alive and living in Regan's sisters house! I believe that the hint was that the Sun could, at any time, vary in it's output and plunge humanity into another ice age. It is a 'variable' star after all. It has to be the Sun's variable nature which causes the ice ages to start and finish so rapidly. So I totally agree with all this. It's 12.8k years since the last ice age ended, and interglacials last for an average of 11,700 years. We are overdue for a freezing my friend! Better get stocked up with that firewood. In fact, better order a few trees! .... Saskia... if exercising (walking doggy), try wearing lighter, semi-windproof clothes to allow your sweat to evaporate to acheive more comfort. >> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dew_point <<
On 29 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

"The earth’s climate has gradually become colder in the last 40 million years. Approximately 35 million years ago the ice cap on Antarctica began to form, and circa 1-2 million years ago the ice cap in Greenland and in Scandinavia and Canada arose........ Over the last 40 million years the CO2 level in the atmosphere has fallen from 1000-2000 ppmv to a minimum of 180 ppmv 20.000 years ago. Not since the Perm period circa 250 million years ago has the CO2 level been so low...... it takes circa 10.000 years for an ice age to gradually come to an end; but for a climate ripple (for example, the end of the Younger Dryas) the change in weather took, 25 years later, just one year, temperature wise "....... http://www.nbi.ku.dk/english/sciencexplorer/earth_and_climate/golden_spike/video/spoergsmaal_svar1/ so ice ages can happen almost overnight?
On 29 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Current (9AM) windchill at nearly -9 Celsius with actual temps just below freezing. Humidity above 90% with dew point at -2 Celsius. Wood stove quit on us so inside temps are barely 11 Celsius with just the propane tent heater warming the living area. The wind is still coming from the E-SE and seems to carry along very cold air. Wonder if the KNMI is right about things warming up the coming few days.
On 29 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Returned at 00:30 from walking - or should I say, dragging - the dog. The wind has picked up again and is bone chillingly cold! We're now (1:30 AM) the 2nd coldest spot in the country again; temps just below freezing with the windchill dipping below -7 Celsius. Contrasts are stark yet again; from cold in the far NE to nearly 6 degrees warmer in the SW, approx. 300kms as the crow flies.
On 29 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Solar flux and wind are slowly increasing with the re-emergence of old 1944, renumbered now to 1967. Six M-flares in 24hrs, xray flux 2 orders of magnitude higher in recent days. I expect a subsequent warm blast from the tropics northward and southward if this keeps up, and possible cyclogenesis. Moon finally "going the other way" after today; it has dragged an already pushed jet stream further southward - very cold in SE USA with snow in parts of Florida. Wouldn't be the first time a new moon helped kick out arctic air this year. R5 cold (-20F wc), high winds, snow nearly over here thankfully; recent snow was very dense and heavy. R5 shovel cracked under pressure, I had to shovel R5 snow with R4 shovel - bummer. We fed bluejays and squirrels in between R4 and R5 on 26th, but now they're nowhere to be seen since yesterday - its too cold. Used 8 face cord of firewood already this winter. Prediction: Feb full moon will bring a few days of somewhat warmer temps to northern hemisphere.
On 28 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

What a refreshing approach to the flooding. From the Irish Independent (4th Jan) === "New homeowners attempting to stem floodwater is another reoccurring theme in the photographs, which leads the question-is the possibility of flooding considered when housing estates are built?" === http://bit.ly/1dLRd7T ===seem to be stuck under a succession of showers now, with a long line of heavier stuff incoming. Nothing like East London/Essex as there are some ripe purples & blues passing (2230hrs)+++ Latest models flagging another system the weekend. Just what we don't need. Look backs not encouraging for dry as patterns stick but 2013 was a dry year for most of UK === http://bit.ly/1hKjT5T === this from booty "1778 - 1800 Dry years frequent in London area... 'noteworthy': 1780, 1781, 1788, 1795 & 1796. Includes 4 warm summers (1778**, 1780, 1781 & 1783). [ ** wet July!][ However, note also that this period contained some notably wet years/summers! ]"
On 28 Jan 2014, Lorraine wrote:

Someone at my work tried to jump the gun by saying they had read somewhere that snow was on the way even hinting she may have heard it on the bbc. So to be absolutely certain I have the insider information keeping my cards a secret - can't wait to walk into work with a knowing grin - looking forward to buying Feb :)
On 28 Jan 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, still dry but the rain started shortly after 8.30, continued most of the morning & into the afternoon, sometimes very heavy showers with a strong ESE'ly breeze, a classical January wet day. I won't complain about how much water there is everywhere as there are people in this country who are really suffering from it, but it IS bloomin' wet! By 9.30 the temperature had risen to 5˚, still feeling raw in the wind though, what with all the humidity being forced up our nostrils. Nevertheless, the snowdrops are showing plenty white and the robins are singing their little hearts out in the morning. == @ Craig/Russ: for the uninitiated like me, what is dam?
On 28 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

A mild winter so far at +1.9C CET but could a real sting in the tail lie ahead? ===http://bit.ly/1ee4OcX +++ @Rob glad links useful. One thing I have noted is the proof/theories exist already but there is often a disconnect (& contradiction) in the assumptions for current 'settled science' theories-however thetrend to assume lack of variation (averaging) couldwell play a part +++ @Russ all I can say is DAT is a work of fiction but explains why some Climate Morons mistook a precedented event (polarvortex) as 'proof' - expect /disbelief when the sun shines next! ;-) +++ @Gill/Gerry saw quite a reasonable forecast by thomas schafenacker last nite. explained well the rain was not bands but clumps of showers which would affect some not others. Lovely sunny & spring like earlier @10C but now 4C with the bands of showers hitting us this eve where they passed well N & S earlier. Winds have swung SW to SE (90 deg by obs) so warm to cold in 5-6hrs. Quite heavy patches on radar +++ radar
On 28 Jan 2014, Gerry N Downs 600ft 45d wrote:

At 2pm in the Big City, the Met O's forecast yesterday for heavy rain in London today is not working out too well. One short shower and lots of sunshine.
On 28 Jan 2014, Nino VAN EECKHOUT wrote:

Subscriber. Well everybody what a weekend we had with severe thunderstorms on Saturday evening resulting in lot's of rain and hail. There was substantial damage in different parts of the country (Belgium). Sunday was chilly and rainy, but in the Ardens they had 10 to 15cm of snow by Monday morning. Monday in Gent we had the FIRST snowflakes of the winter but with temps above 0°C no white landscape. It's supposed to get colder on Thirsday, but this seems to be short lived. Temps will rise after the weekend again. Some are even implying this is the end of the winter. Guess they forgot how bad February wa slast year.... I myself am starting to doubt as well so I'm really really looking forward to the February forcast Piers...
On 28 Jan 2014, Gill 1066 East Sussex - subscriber wrote:

Sunday evening - Countryfile- we were told the good news that this week would be less wet (a relief for those wet and saturated areas!) but that it would get colder later on. Ok .... so less wet - could we define that please as - according to my 5 day MO forecast today - every day apart from Thursday is going to have heavy rain! So my understanding is four out of five days with rain is less wet! ..... methinks time to find a wall to bang my head against. On the other hand, had a really fab and interesting visit to the European Centre for medium range weather forecasting in Reading yesterday, (and YES it was pouring as I arrived lol!) I took loads of notes which I will write into a document and send to Piers as I can't post the amount of info here. Maybe Piers could then post the document on the website.
On 27 Jan 2014, Russ 45 day subs NE Derbyshire wrote:

Craig..... Talking of that dam atmosphere(sic), in the Global Warming 'plopaganda' film The Day After Tomorrow, the reason for the intense cold was the low dam figure pulling the atmosphere down to very low levels and low pressure(?), drawing down the icy cold upper atmosphere from the edge of space. But surely, if the atmosphere at 115km is at around 1,500C then wouldn't this melt all the snow and vapourise everyone on the New Jersey streets?? Another huge boo boo from the producers!
On 27 Jan 2014, Russ 45 day subs NE Derbyshire wrote:

I wonder why physicists have trouble explaining the solar corona (Sun's atmosphere), where particles have an excessive temperature, said to be around 1 million degrees Kelvin. The temperature of the Earth's atmosphere drops sharply at around 90km to about -90C but soon after that at around 115km the temperature shoots up to 1,500C. So we are seeing the same thing in the Earth's atmosphere just on a far smaller (cooler), scale......isnit, ey, what? The solar wind describes a huge spiral wave as it spins through space and develops electrical current sheets at it's magnetic wave peaks. But so does the Earth. It has current sheets in it's ionised upper atmosphere, over the poles, so what effect does this have on the Jet-Stream I wonder? Those current sheets run perpendicular to the magnetic field which meanders around the poles just like the JS. I'll bet they have something to do with stratospheric warming! ...>> http://1.usa.gov/1aYVFDA <<
On 27 Jan 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

3˚C at 7.30, overcast, light rain, feeling raw in the strong SSW breeze, rain gradually easing off during the morning, wind slowly backing into SSE, drier in afternoon with only the odd heavy shower. Calm evening but still cloudy, temp still at 3˚ by 10pm, still rain showers.
On 27 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

Somerset levels flooded but they did also in 1703-dif track of storm but not unprecedented. The lack of dredging not helping but so much rain lately hard to tell, however good management is always key to managing/mitigating. Lest we forget hurricaine Katrina was a prime example of what happens when we fail to manage the land/defences- a point so called warmish environmentalists should heed rather than flailing about non warming (see Bob's pertinent comms below). +++ Watch dewpoints closely this week- some big flips possible. The low currently affecting us pulls air anticlockwise so as it sinks into France it will pull in cold air from the east (see Saskia's comms for that air). Look also at isobars to see where the air originally comes from. Arctic and Siberian air is not far but warm air is not far either. Unusually we could get cold Atlantic air from the polar vortex but it could be wrapped around with warm air too. I guess things could get bumpy!
On 27 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

for 90s & 00s we had mostly - but not exclusively - mild. Whilst this is a warm winter so far (even my crocus are flowering) expect flips. An MIA/LIA type pattern is not full on cold it is 'extremes' but in a general cooling pattern, which is to my mind becoming quite obvious. I mention Feb 2012 over and over as it is a great example. Piers had the cold (528 dam = cold) spot on but the margins are so tight a slight shift of the meridional pattern (n-s jetstream rather than usual e-w) moved us into the warm (546 dam) air lurking west. The same pattern is there now. On Sat Ireland is but a few miles from the 510-546 dam bars (look at the dashed lines on the MetO fax charts). Could we end up with a S/N split again - look at the US west vs East coast contrast as a current example. +++ Big pattern change coming over the USA as the blocks adjust. Further strat warmings coming but it's a dice roll between warm. cold or more blooming rain!
On 27 Jan 2014, Craig M (@CraigM350, Berks, sub) wrote:

An absolutely fascinating period. I was out Sat and had to duck the nasty stuff which I was watching on the radar. Just made cover in time before the hail chucked down ~4pm. Bounced waist height! Same system seen in Midlands & later the cat lifting tornado (see multiple links below). When yesterday's system cleared it iced quickly. A cold week ahead but snow (528 dam) most likely from the Wash to the Severn Weds-early Fri before warm air comes back (546 dam). A real roller coaster seems ahead with 510-546 near ourlocale. Poss av overall but swings ahead it seems. btw 510 dam, if we ever get it, is a snow machine. Could we go to massive flips in days? +++ I mentioned blck holding other day & following the mods flipped loosing the cold easterly. However, we are in an unusual position with snow quite possible from the Atlantic! But...we could quickly flip to warm. We are really on the edge. 2012 was a v good example of extreme cold in Sth which quickly flipped to v mild
On 27 Jan 2014, Robert-Michel wrote:

From Montreal, Québec, Canada. By Joves, Piers, you did it again! Today, the 27th, we had snow and lots of it. Very strong winds blowing it all over. EC (environment Canada) was predicting 2-4 cm yesterday. Turned out we measured an average of 13-14 cm in four burroughs of the city. Of course, EC will publish other measurements: they usually apply the 10/1 rule. We know better, we shoveled it! Thanks for the warning.
On 27 Jan 2014, jpt wrote:

Rob - I watched the 'Tea' version of this show a couple of weeks back and on it a Masai tribeswoman in the middle of nowhere said (via subtitles) that 'climate change' was making it impossible for her to raise cattle therefore she was now growing tea! She actually (according to the subtitles) used the phrase 'climate change' three times if I remember correctly - although I very much doubt that she ACTUALLY used it even once. How can the BBC be allowed to get away with this?!
On 27 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

"Looking back" six years ago this month to the start of SC24, when there were NO sunspots for hundreds of days, the solar wind speed varied in the ranges we see today. When we were in a coronal hole stream back then, SW speed went up near 600km/s, just like it can during maximum conditions (and even higher), but otherwise the SW speed back then ranged between 300-400km/s, not unlike now. Usually during quiet times the SW particle density is very low. You can access the Spaceweather.com time machine by date for more. When Bz goes south for an extended period, it couples constructively with Earth's magnetic "field", and I think those conditions allow for more Birkeland current flux ropes to enter further into our atmosphere, delivering whatever is available from space into our environment, be it protons, electrons, or just the cold of space, all of which can cause weather effects. That's a educated guess. I'm positive Piers knows- we'd all be smarter if he'd just spill all the beans!
On 27 Jan 2014, Rob wrote:

Snow pictures of some interest. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-highlands-islands-25912317
On 27 Jan 2014, Gerry, N Downs, 600ft 45d wrote:

I was working in my local church hall when it hit on Saturday afternoon. The noise of the wind and the buffetting of the building was amazing. I have no idea of the speed but it sounded powerful. Then came the rain, hosing down the building and leaking down onto the stage. About 7pm when I went to get some food and drink, the stars were out and it was very cold. Lots of rain and still windy yesterday, and then a sharp hailstorm around 7pm. Green Tax: while the government idiots may be reducing the job-killing carbon tax, energy costs will still rise to pay the £billions needed to build high voltage transmission lines from the windmills to the people who need energy. In the good old days of common sense, power stations were near the end users. Now no Battersea, no Wandsworth, no Bankside, no Croydon - I have no idea where my electricity is acutally generated. Long distance power transmission is expensive, has losses and is vulnerable to interuption by wind & snow.
On 27 Jan 2014, Steve,Dorset.UK wrote:

Must be an election in the offing Hey. The Government is set to freeze the controversial carbon tax – which penalises coal and gas-fired power stations – in a surprise move that could stop energy bills soaring. The levy adds about £5 to the average energy bill, but without a freeze this would rise to nearly £50 by 2020. The move is being seen as a fresh sign that the Coalition is reining back its green ambitions. http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/bills/article-2545904/Coalition-freezes-carbon-levy-curb-energy-bills-shock-U-turn.html
On 27 Jan 2014, Rohan (Sub) Hackney, London wrote:

@danny - you are bang on, as I reported the same in the last post of the previous blog. The R4/R5 period is definitely throwing up extremes and heres a strange thing. MetO forecast for tomorrow (tues) is for more heavy rain and nothing else..http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=2 Metcheck has a severe thunderstorm warning for the same period (and into weds morning), with the rain of the MetO warning only mentioned as a footnote... http://www.metcheck.com/UK/warnings.asp The Metcheck warnings content has more in common with R4/R5 (more extreme/wider coverage than forecast). Methinks there be a secret subscriber to WA somewhere there..... lol
On 27 Jan 2014, Rob wrote:

Whilst watching a very enjoyable and interesting programme last night about coffee growing in Vietnam my enjoyment was brought to an abrupt halt when some "consultant" in otherwords a self styled so called expert popped up saying how climate change would cause havoc with the Vietnamese coffee harvest in the future as cyclones were now more frequent and stronger than ever and how he had seen models that confirmed his prognosis.AARGH. Meanwhile back in the real world the R4/5 period has been doing nicely as this morning's update from Glencoe ski centre says..."OMG how good have the snow gods been to us. Tonnes of snow, lots of digging out to do, Access Chair and Poma will be running shortly with other lifts to follow as we get them dug out. Please Bear With Us - We are Doing our best!. "
On 27 Jan 2014, richard wrote:

the only reason for the bad weather is you are not paying enough to the co2 priests who can then give you dispensations for 'your' sins. apparently it doesn't matter to earth climate if the sun is there in the solar system or not? The earth they say is isolated from any effects the sun has calling any effect negligible . All that matters is how much global warming tax you pay? If paying money changes climate how much we have to pay to stop an ice age?
On 27 Jan 2014, danny wrote:

The bbc get it right again (YEAH YOU WISH) i watched bbc,s met wrongcast on sat morn, and basically it was meant to be a calm day,well at least from the South Downs to London,well that is what the met map was showing. Well Saturday afternoon, Sutton in Surrey, Wallington Surrey, Croydon, i had a couple of phone calls from friends stating what they described, what felt like a mini tornadoe, trees down, weelie bins being thrown about, billboards being blown into roads, fence panels down and the rain and hailstones was like they have not seen before. This happened in the spate of about 10 mins, then dead calm. STRANGE BUT TRUE. ANOTHER FAMOUS FISHY WRONGCAST FROM THE BBC MET (COMMON PURPOSE)
On 27 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

The sun is out, the snow is melting. Temps just above freezing with a wind chill of several degrees below 0. According to the KNMI this is, indeed, Winter's little end game. There will be another short period of frost and then after the weekend, temps will be on the rise. Let's see if they're right on that one, can't wait for the Febr forecast to come out. PIERS - a tentative remark with regard to solar winds: am I correct in noticing that, when solar spots are at a minimum, solar wind seems to increase? I peeked at some charts online and this is the general idea I'm getting from them. I do know the magnetic particles emitted by, say, a CME can wreak havoc with earth's magnetic field, both on the sides facing towards and away from the sun. However, despite most claims of CME's resulting from solar flares (sunspots) I sometimes get the feeling they may be unrelated. What's your view on that?
On 27 Jan 2014, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Unseasonal summer snowfall for Mt Hutt ski field, Canterbury NZ http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/9654858/Summer-skiing-at-Mt-Hutt. Temps were cooler across most of NZ today. Definitely a cool start to the morning here.
On 27 Jan 2014, @piers_corbyn wrote:

THANKS ALL. Great how R4 and now R5 being confirmed. Thanks RW for USA REPORT. How to get through to more in USA? Interesting how USA v good now but high less blocking over Br and Ir am thinking on that. READ update forecast, all. Any Comms on my solar wind report above? Piers
On 26 Jan 2014, Paddy (Aberdeen south, 130m elevation, sub)) wrote:

2˚C at 7.30, strong S wind, overcast but dry as yet. Rain started around 8.30 along with dramatic uptick of wind after 9.30, got to a very wild gale up to around midday, then abated. The noise of the rain on the tunnel roof was so loud, you could hardly hear yourself think. It cleared up around 2pm, the wind had dropped and it was possible to go for a walk. By evening it was really calm, the stars were out and temp was down to -1˚C. Looking at the 18:00 weather map confirms the present R4/5 effect, MO is giving yellow rain warnings for our are for the next 3 days. == Amazing pics, Saskia!
On 26 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

The Dutch KNMI at 20:35 hrs said "it is heavily overcast and a precipitation front of predominantly rain covers the country. In the northeast precipitation again is in the form of (wet) snow, which in the provinces of Groningen and Drenthe again may yield several centimeters". Meanwhile, in the NOT mentioned province of Fryslân, the snow is coming down hard and heavy! And yes, we now have at least (!) 5 cm of the stuff and it's still piling on. Love this end (?) game of winter ;-)
On 26 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

This morning and early afternoon roads in our region were dangerously icy, resulting in several accidents. No serious personal injuries as far as I know. Pictures http://bit.ly/1d3Fguf and http://bit.ly/1aXNmoq Currently (just before 5 PM local time) temps are -3.8 Celsius with a windchill of -11.3 Celsius, against just above 0 in the middle of the province (Leeuwarden, windchill -5.3 Celsius), 5.1 Celsius in the southwest (Limburg, windchill still above or just below freezing) and 5 Celsius in the southwest (Zeeland and Zuid-Holland, windchill just below freezing). The far northeast (Nieuw-Beerta, Groningen) is -6.1 Celsius with a windchill of -13.2 Celsius. The northeastern part of the country obviously is caught in a cold pocket, as happens quite often.
On 26 Jan 2014, Saskia Steinhorst (part-time sub. Neth.) wrote:

Currently -3.8 Celsius with wind chill of nearly -11 Celsius. We're in for a cold night me thinks.
On 26 Jan 2014, Bob Weber, N Mich USA sub wrote:

Good day! Piers' Jan 25-29 USA forecast looks very much like todays' weather map. Sometimes he leaves me wondering: how does he do that? We definitely had R4 conditions here all day yesterday - snowy, cold, and very windy. Today I noticed that the ACE and GOES satellite plots for yesterday had data dropouts for an extended period, esp ACE. Al Gore's been out there being himself again... this time he says "extreme weather events are 100X more common than 30 years ago". How does he get away with that? If anyone else claimed something that preposterous, the whole world would fact check him, and then after finding out what a BIG LIE it all was, come down hard and never print another word of his again - but somehow Al Gore gets a free media pass once again - he gets more "credible" with every "incredible" statement of untruth. Maybe someday Gore and his band of "climate leaders" will finally understand how it was always the Sun causing warming & cooling and extreme weather events.
On 26 Jan 2014, Wiggers 30d UK subcriber wrote:

Tornado in Surrey! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-25902371
On 26 Jan 2014, Rob wrote:

CraigM. Thanks for the interesting links in the previous blog Good to see NASA agree the evidence for sun/earth magnetic connection is in their own words "incontrovertible" Here is the link http://1.usa.gov/18LHspg
On 26 Jan 2014, Piers_Corbyn (twitter) WA Forecaster wrote:

GUY Thanks. Well we certainly do part of Canada and the Snowmageddon now upon NE USA and nearby South Canada is an example. We have quite a few subscribers in South Canada. We hope to expand further to more of Canada. Do pass on information about us. PC
On 26 Jan 2014, Lorraine Lister (sub) NZ wrote:

Some rather wild NZ weather today in the R4 period http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/9651795/Mini-tornado-in-Kapiti. It was wet with a very windy Northerly in our part of the top of the South Island. It has cleared now.
On 26 Jan 2014, Guy Bedard wrote:

Piers, I heard you on the Alex Jones show, very interesting listening to you speak! I like the way you blow away this 'climate scam' and shed light as to what is really going on! It's unfortunate that you don't do forecasts for Canada! I would be one tremendously interested person in those forecasts as I have a farm and an orchard. Best, Guy Bedard