Comments from Piers
WeatherAction
Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach!
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 piers@weatheraction.com www.weatheraction.com Twitter @Piers_Corbyn
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 piers@weatheraction.com www.weatheraction.com Twitter @Piers_Corbyn
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Forecast observers should note that WeatherAction LongRange forecasts are not an 'early' substitute for short range forecasts. They are intended to help decision making well ahead of events for which advance planning, like booking harvest machinary or gaining advance knowledge of likely energy prices, is a NECESSITY - in situations for which short range forecasts would be too late. For this reason WeatherAction does not normally give detailed Short Range updates because such are 'too late' for the use of subscribers; although for major events we will comment on how short range standard meteorology foecasts are likely to be in error on ocassions.
Forecast observers should note that WeatherAction LongRange forecasts are not an 'early' substitute for short range forecasts. They are intended to help decision making well ahead of events for which advance planning, like booking harvest machinary or gaining advance knowledge of likely energy prices, is a NECESSITY - in situations for which short range forecasts would be too late. For this reason WeatherAction does not normally give detailed Short Range updates because such are 'too late' for the use of subscribers; although for major events we will comment on how short range standard meteorology foecasts are likely to be in error on ocassions.
Past WeatherAction forecasts December 2012 onwards now available in Forecast Archive: http://www.weatheraction.com/pages/pv.asp?p=wact46 for Brit & Ireland, Europe, USA and 'RTQ' (Red Warnings, Thunder-Tornado & Sudden Polar Strato-warms, Quake risk) Aka World Extreme Events.
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"Anyone serious about weather needs WeatherAction"
Go to => http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
Farmers, Insurers, the public are being sleep-walked into deeper waether driven crisis warns Piers - see Reader Comms at foot of main blog. YOU NEED THESE APRIL AND MAY AND NOW JUNE FORECASTS live on this website and to get to grips with the developing Mini-Ice-Age now upon us.
Double New WeatherAction Product advances
=> NEW STYLE Brit+Ireland 15-45d SERVICE
Formerly 4 page portrait style with maps now 6 page landscape with maps AND graph (as 30d) at same price. The 15-45d forecast is now the same as the 30d - just 2 weeks earlier.The update at 30days will normally be minor and would normally include a change of news content.To subscribe please go to http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
=> GET JUNE NOW! NEW Brit+Ireland 75d SERVICE
Available Now 45-75d ahead with 45d and 30d updatesAt mid every month (done early, 14 April for start):- The forecast for the month after next is loaded=> JUNE 2013 is there now=> WITH the preceding months' latest forecasts - MAY and APRIL
*This Trial may be offered for limited period depending on uptake but all subscriptions will be honoured.CHARGE is only £60 per forecasted month (including nearer months)**To upgrade from 45d (or 30d) to 75d service pay the monthly difference for outstanding months to run on your 45d (or 30d) sub ie £35 (or £45) per outstanding month on 'donations' and inform us by e-mail (piers@weatheraction.com) and we ammend your sub service.** Discounts as other services: 6m charged for 5 and 12m charged for 9To subscribe please go to http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
Please mention these new service to others especially in farming, construction and emergency services.
Individuals can subscribe in groups of up to 5 families.
One much older 60day ahead forecast sample for Jan & Feb 2010 is also in the box for information and for you to note advances in contents and detail.
The 'All Forecasts' service price has increased by part of extra consequent on the advent of the 75d service. Existing 'All forecasts' subscribers will get the 75d as a free gift.
(posted 10 April)
"DEEP-MID-SPRING" Great Forecast Offer (Br+Ir)
When is Spring coming and will May even be any good?
StopPress: It came when WeatherAction said - on/just after mid month.
=> Subscribe NOW to Brit+Ire 45d service (inc of April 30d) and get the MAY forecast NOW
This is the 70d to 100d version normally for Full LongRange (Direct Email) subscribers, produced 20 Feb in 15-45day ahead style. This will be further updated to the 45d forecast, which might involve a few changes, on April 16th, inclusive.
This MAY-delivered-early forecast is NOW in the 45d access box, and is a free gift to existing 15-45d subscribers and to "ALL forecasts ('The Lot')" subscribers.
Note the 45day ahead service also includes current month Europe+B+I possible pressure scenarios and the month's Red weather periods and earthquake trial risk forecasts.
Reductions for 6m (17%) and 12m (25%) subs apply.
(1 April) UPLOADS 30d:
- APRIL Britain & Ireland with - NEW - Channel Islands on maps
- EuroMaps regions and Euro Extremes (extract from Regions maps)
- NEW UPGRADE Euromaps now include State Forecast developments through month for Azores High, NAO and Jet Stream position Europe.
- Euromaps Pressure Scenarios
- NEW UPGRADE Euro Pressure scenario maps now have coloured wind arrows.
- USA (& S Canada) Key developments & Extremes Maps
- World RTQ (Red Weather & Thunder/Tornado & Quake Risk)
- with this month NEW PROCEDURE SLATQVt3 for Quake-Volcano risk.
- Forecast users have already commented that this APRIL forecast is important to them - concerning when and where Spring 'starts' in Br+Ir, Europe & USA.
- Subscription Reductions:
- 6months of forecasts 17% off ie get 6m for price of 5,
- 12months 25% off ie get 12 month pay for 10.
- Subs dont cost much yet individuals can share subs with up to 4 other families and all get weatherwise not otherwise. April awaits you for UK+Eire, USA and Europe
- Thank you for your interest and support.
http://www.weatheraction.com/pages/pv.asp?p=wact47 or Section 2 below
1. "I didn't tell any lies - I didn't talk about Climate Change" - BBC Science editor - main subject of this blog - see below
With Breaking News snips (newest on top)
See also Latest reports coming in from Observers in Reader Comments below main text and see previous Comments From… blog posting
SEE PREVIOUS BLOG http://bit.ly/ZeavPb=> for end March / early April important devlopments in USA, Atlantic, Br+Ir & Europe weather=> Graphs and comment on Arctic sea ice as in new Videos below
SUPERB RESULT Oklahoma Tornadoes CONFIRM WeatherAction LowConfidence (70%) forecast ~13-16APR http://www.http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/midweek-severe-weather-threat/10272748
"The next period 17-21st, also only 70% confidence, is also shaping up well",
( http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html ) says Piers Corbyn; "This is an important result because we had some particular problems generating these USA forecasts, yet they are coming out pretty well. This means we will now more often be able to get higher longer range accuracy in parts of the USA which have hitherto presented difficulties."
15th April UK London, Putney Heath, Report
Piers Corbyn writes: "On Putney Heath 15th April 2013 in the afternoon; Sunshine and bare totally naked leafless trees like skeletons against a winter sky and the only green is from hardy evergreens. Yet this is mid-April so the sun is high and shadows strangely short for what would otherwise pass as an early February scene and the sky is angry - a Constable sky as in the early 1800's Mini Ice Age period. Not the traditional "**Oh to be in England now that April's there...the buttercup the little children's dower, far brighter than...." Buttercups? buttercups? What buttercups?!" ** http://www.bartleby.com/246/647.html by Robert Browning 1845 (warmer times than Constable)
'Diary' Reports are welcome from anywhere. Send to Comments below, eg from Russ Derbyshire
14(15)April
QUAKE NEWS Since April 4th there have been 5 M6+ Quakes in 11 days 4-14th, all of them in WeatherAction QV periods and the biggest in the strongest (QV5) period. For forecast see RTQ 30d fc for April via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
5th & 6th (M6.3, M7.0) in QV5 of 5-7th
9th (M6.3) in QV3 of 9-12th
13th14th (M6.0, M6.6) in QV3 of 13-15th
This is good but in this period there are not many non-QV days. Getting the biggest quake in the QV5 (which covers 3 of 11 days) is potentialy more significant: Obs/Expected = 1 / (3/11) = 11/3 = 3.7 However these are small number stats so conclusions are unsafe. Nevertheless generally higher skill has been observed for QV5 periods and biggest quakes.
Repot from http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqarchives/epic/results.php
DATE_TIME LAT LON DEP MAG MT SC -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2013-04-14 01:32:23.29 -6.479 154.584 35.2 6.6 Mww us 2013-04-13 22:49:49.79 -19.135 169.637 270.7 6.0 Mww us 2013-04-09 11:52:50.12 28.500 51.591 10.0 6.3 Mwp us 2013-04-06 04:42:35.70 -3.513 138.477 66.0 7.0 Mw us 2013-04-05 13:00:02.10 42.713 131.105 561.9 6.3 Mw us
R4 13-14th and 14th explicitly WINDY DAY (Br+Ir) CONFIRMED
The generally windy + high thunder / tornado risk 13-14th has been confirmed Brit+Ire, Europe and USA and the spicific windy day warning on Br+Ir WeatherAction graph for 14th confirmed. Piers says "Yes, we have had nothing blown down near where I live off the Old Kent Road South London for months but this afternoon I noticed a substantial wooden builders barrier blown down across the pavement and leaning on a telephone box. There was also a lot of wind recorded generally in Britain & Ireland / Europe and USA. It was my fathers birthday on 14th April 98 years ago so I regard this event as a birthday present to him"
12 April Frid
Brit+Ire+Eu A burst of Spring looks like it is heading in on WeatherAction cue.
This Sunday 14th looks like being quite reasonable in S/W Britain & Ireland for a while then after a mixed Moday generally warmer weather looks set to come in on Tue 16th which was our WeatherAction radio announced day (give or take a day we said). For what is next in April and May you are strongly advised to get the full forecasts via the offer which gives you MAY Now.
The increased mobility and the retreat of the High pressure Eastward are powered by our predicted and confirmed R4 period which is associated with recent solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) as expected.
10/11 April
All-over USA storms arrive on WeatherAction cue (WANews13No8) in R4 period
Farmers, Gardeners!
STOP DITHERING LIKE THE BBC-Met Office!SPRING PLEASE WHEN? TV-MetO keep changing their mind. Only WeatherAction can tell you.
Subscribe link is above. It costs almost nothing compared to what you can save.
link aVERY COLD 6-8 April (and before) CONFIRMS WeatherAction forecast above like first issued in detail 15 March (also http://twitpic.com/chu6in )
"I didn't tell any lies, I didn't talk about Climate Change at the meeting"
- David Shukman, Science Editor for BBC News on being accosted by Piers Corbyn at the Royal Society in London after a meeting on March 4th and exhorted by him to "Stop telling lies (about Climate Change / Global Warming on the BBC)".
- David Shukman, Science Editor for BBC News on being accosted by Piers Corbyn at the Royal Society in London after a meeting on March 4th and exhorted by him to "Stop telling lies (about Climate Change / Global Warming on the BBC)".
The meeting was a Royal Society Event: Storms Floods & droughts: predicting and reporting adverse weather; David Shukman, Science Editor for BBC News, in conversation with Professor Tim Palmer FRS and Liz Howell Head of BBC Weather. At the meeting itself Liz Howell, who chaired, determinedly avoided taking any questions from Piers Corbyn despite the fact that the Royal Society's meeting microphone organisers clearly and conscientiously indicated to her that he was one of the few people wishing to contribute.
Piers Corbyn says: "I think the BBC, Met Office and the Science establishment of the UK know their CO2 warmism 'theory' is a pack of lies; either that or they have degenerated into a desperate religious sect for which belief rules over evidence.
TWO NEW VIDEOS (28.03.13) - "Warm means Cold" delusions exposed
=> Sir John Beddington challenged to produce EVIDENCE for CO2 changes driving temperatures in the REAL world with REAL Observational data:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AloLvPdXVBI&feature=youtu.be
=> Scientists discuss windfarms (aka 'Prayer Wheels') & other CO2 moneywasters
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oco7ExXRpEs&feature=youtu.be
THE CO2 WARMISTS DELUSION - THE FACTS
1. The world is cooling and has been for between 4 and 15 years depending on how you look at the data; while CO2 has been rising.
2. There is no evidence in real data (or even in the warmists 'standard' fiddled data) going back hundreds, thousands or a million years from the real world that CO2 increases have led to temperature increases.
3. The CO2 warmists have been challenged many times to produce such real data based evidence (not bluster and 'It must-be' claims) and failed.
For the latest challenge directed at Sir John Beddington (BBC link below**) please see the WeatherActionTV video.
4. The warmists claims that 'warm means cold' and CO2 drives extreme events is a stack of brazen lies. They claim extreme weather events explicitly correctly predicted months ahead via solar activity were somehow caused by CO2. They have no evidence for their claim, or if they think they have we must conclude that Man's piffling increase of the concentration of the trace gas CO2 on earth from 0.030% to 0.031% has caused various solar-coronal events (which themselves were in fact predicted by WeatherAction and not by the CO2 warmists)!
5. The CO2 warmist theory of Man-Made Climate Change is a delusion.
6. ALL the changes in Jet Stream circulation, world temperatures and extreme weather events predicted by WeatherAction in the descent to a new Mini Ice Age have been and are being confirmed. Yet, the IPCC, UN and UK Government (especially the LibDem wing of it) are pointing the world in the wrong direction - ie to assume warming when cooling is the reality - and are engaged in organised theft from the public and holding-back of third world development in the name of a delusion.
** The BBC Link article carrying Sir John Beddington's direct lie " "The evidence that (man-made CO2) climate change is happening is completely unequivocal." is:http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-21357520Piers says: There is no real data evidence in the world supporting their claim that CO2 changes drive temperature and climate changes. What the warmists do is play a game of smoke and mirrors.
Para below recently shown in Tweeted article from Arizona Farm Bureau http://paper.li/azfb/1312588675
They report various events and facts usually with extremist innuendo. Their media leaders BBC, Independent, Guardian , New York Times, eg, make statements like "Scientists report (various alarmist facts..."; "Scientists estimate that IF (Greenland/arctic melts, sea level rises, temps rise.... etc) THEN (...end of world etc)..." - without telling you that the various scenarios will NOT happen and refer to the "PROBLEM" of "CO2", "Climate Change". NOWHERE (whatever the headlines claim) is their EVIDENCE that CO2 is doing and has done in the RERAL WORLD what they claim. There is on the other hand firm evidence of the opposite - ie that world (sea) temperatures in the long run control CO2 levels - See Presentation to Parliament Select Committee on supercold Dec 2010 predicted by WeatherAction- via WANews11No5 - http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=318&c=1
Please pass on this information and raise these points with others.
For further information see also
http://www.facebook.com/groups/fayrepealtheclimatechangeact/
http://repealtheact.org.uk/climate-change-act
http://climaterealists.com/index.php
www.WeatherAction.com - eg Readers feedback on latest Comments; and news pdfs:-
http://www.facebook.com/groups/fayrepealtheclimatechangeact/
http://repealtheact.org.uk/climate-change-act
http://climaterealists.com/index.php
www.WeatherAction.com - eg Readers feedback on latest Comments; and news pdfs:-
SEA ICE & THE MINI ICE AGE - THE FACTS (Further to Video of Piers)
i. Added 08.04.13
ii. The Truth Behind the Shrinking Arctic Ice Cap - Facts paint a different picture - Brilliant piece by Joe Bastardi - http://patriotpost.us/opinion/14736 (Sept 13 2012)
2. Get ahead of Weather - Forecast services information
7 Forecast pdfs in 7 overlapping Services Available for Brit + Ireland, Europe, USA and World
● Brit+Ire 30day pdf & service – word-maps and graph - 6 pages
Each of the 8 B+I forecast periods has a 'traffic light' red=some dangers/probs Green=not many probs
● Brit+Ire 45d day (‘15d-45d’) pdf issued mid of previous month – word-maps - 4p
The B+I 45d service is this pdf plus B+I 30d pdf, Eu Pressure sketches pdf & ‘RTQ’ pdf
● Europe Feb Region details Maps pdf - Contrasts & Extremes, 9 pages
The Euro map service is this pdf plus Euro Pressure sketches pdf and the ‘RTQ’ pdf
● Europe (+Br+Ir) Possible Pressure scenarios pdf 9 pages
● Europe Extremes Only pdf & service is an edit of Eu Regional Maps showing only extremes – 9p
● USA Maps Weather developments and Extremes pdf & service 10 pages
● 'RTQ' pdf and service ('Extreme Events Rest Of World') - Red weather periods, Thunder.tornado, Quake risk) 1page
● ALL FORECASTS service is all the pdfs available in one service.
NB the last 11 days of any month for any 30d service is enabled for subscription to the next month and free acces to the current month
Br+Ir, USA and Eu foreacst pdfs include news/research reports
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NORMAL REDUCTIONS (NB These are superceded when there is an offer on):
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=> ALL together Forecasts - 'The Lot' - service
gets 24% off for single month of all; 1/3 off for 6mths; 50% off for 12mths of all forecasts
3. WeatherActionTV reports, forecast information + Links. Please see previous blogs
http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=514&c=5
4. READERS COMMENTS & FEEDBACK:
THIS Site is DEFENDED SPACE - 100% Moderated and troll-free because of ongoing cyber flood attacks and to stop postings not of fair and honest intent and to engage in fruitful discussion.
THANK YOU for the many well informed comments on this site.
All fair comment including critical points are published.
7 Forecast pdfs in 7 overlapping Services Available for Brit + Ireland, Europe, USA and World
● Brit+Ire 30day pdf & service – word-maps and graph - 6 pages
Each of the 8 B+I forecast periods has a 'traffic light' red=some dangers/probs Green=not many probs
● Brit+Ire 45d day (‘15d-45d’) pdf issued mid of previous month – word-maps - 4p
The B+I 45d service is this pdf plus B+I 30d pdf, Eu Pressure sketches pdf & ‘RTQ’ pdf
● Europe Feb Region details Maps pdf - Contrasts & Extremes, 9 pages
The Euro map service is this pdf plus Euro Pressure sketches pdf and the ‘RTQ’ pdf
● Europe (+Br+Ir) Possible Pressure scenarios pdf 9 pages
● Europe Extremes Only pdf & service is an edit of Eu Regional Maps showing only extremes – 9p
● USA Maps Weather developments and Extremes pdf & service 10 pages
● 'RTQ' pdf and service ('Extreme Events Rest Of World') - Red weather periods, Thunder.tornado, Quake risk) 1page
● ALL FORECASTS service is all the pdfs available in one service.
NB the last 11 days of any month for any 30d service is enabled for subscription to the next month and free acces to the current month
Br+Ir, USA and Eu foreacst pdfs include news/research reports
.
Subscribe Via WeatherAction On-Line Forecast Shop:
http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
NORMAL REDUCTIONS (NB These are superceded when there is an offer on):
=> Subscriptions for 6mths charged for 5 (17% off); 12mths for 9 (25% off)
=> ALL together Forecasts - 'The Lot' - service
gets 24% off for single month of all; 1/3 off for 6mths; 50% off for 12mths of all forecasts
3. WeatherActionTV reports, forecast information + Links. Please see previous blogs
http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=514&c=5
4. READERS COMMENTS & FEEDBACK:
THIS Site is DEFENDED SPACE - 100% Moderated and troll-free because of ongoing cyber flood attacks and to stop postings not of fair and honest intent and to engage in fruitful discussion.
THANK YOU for the many well informed comments on this site.
All fair comment including critical points are published.
Exceptions to publication are:
- pharmacy-obscene-spam, obscene terms, and libel (Note WeatherAction publishing site as well as original libels are culpable since publication was allowed).
- items which reveal paid forecast detail,
- items which are in a large part clearly false in which case writers may get a direct response,
- items which are totally irrelevant and/or trollish in which case they may be advised, or not, on where to go.
Items from people who do not use real names and persistently do not provide an e-mail address may be ignored depending on the circumstances
When commenting please say whether you are a subscriber or not and give your approx address / location (or precise location and Obs time if giving a weather report!).
When commenting on a WeatherAction forecast refer to actual forecast words as far as possible as some summaries / notes circulated, ‘reports’ of forecasts have been or can be misleading. Also include actual obs / web links where possible. Please give working links when you refer to other articles/sites. Previous comment blogs eg http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=490&c=5 carry more Reader comments on previous weather.
- pharmacy-obscene-spam, obscene terms, and libel (Note WeatherAction publishing site as well as original libels are culpable since publication was allowed).
- items which reveal paid forecast detail,
- items which are in a large part clearly false in which case writers may get a direct response,
- items which are totally irrelevant and/or trollish in which case they may be advised, or not, on where to go.
Items from people who do not use real names and persistently do not provide an e-mail address may be ignored depending on the circumstances
When commenting please say whether you are a subscriber or not and give your approx address / location (or precise location and Obs time if giving a weather report!).
When commenting on a WeatherAction forecast refer to actual forecast words as far as possible as some summaries / notes circulated, ‘reports’ of forecasts have been or can be misleading. Also include actual obs / web links where possible. Please give working links when you refer to other articles/sites. Previous comment blogs eg http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=490&c=5 carry more Reader comments on previous weather.