Comments from Piers
WeatherAction
Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach!
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 piers@weatheraction.com www.weatheraction.com Twitter @Piers_Corbyn
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 piers@weatheraction.com www.weatheraction.com Twitter @Piers_Corbyn
Past WeatherAction forecasts December 2012 onwards now available in Forecast Archive: http://www.weatheraction.com/pages/pv.asp?p=wact46 for Brit & Ireland, Europe, USA and 'RTQ' (Red Warnings, Thunder-Tornado & Sudden Polar Strato-warms, Quake risk) Aka World Extreme Events.
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1. Feb 26 and ongoing Comment post.
With Breaking News snips (newest on top)
See also Latest reports coming in from Observers in Reader Comments below main text
LATEST WeatherActionTV 3 NEW Vids http://bit.ly/R48q37 :-
Winter 2012-13 Blizzards & Stratwarms; Challenge to CO2 warmists; Why CO2 fails
Winter 2012-13 Blizzards & Stratwarms; Challenge to CO2 warmists; Why CO2 fails
Subscribe to forecasts at http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
UPLOADS: March forecasts await you for Brit+Ire, USA, Europe inc Pressure scenarios, RTQ (Red Weather Periods & Quakes trial forecasts); and the ALL forecasts service.
GET MARCH 15-45day ahead forecast for UK+Eire
Popular! Subscribe - link above - now & also get
30d B+I forecast & recent updates inclusive and
Euro+Brit+Ire Pressure forecast scenarios and
Red Weather Periods and Quake trial forecasts
30d B+I forecast & recent updates inclusive and
Euro+Brit+Ire Pressure forecast scenarios and
Red Weather Periods and Quake trial forecasts
Something you needed to know 100 days ago:-WeatherAction WINTER 2012-13 ESSENTIAL SUMMARY (Headline*) issued 13 Nov Stated:A 'LATE' WINTER WITH SEVERE, VERY COLD AND SNOWY PARTS LATER(*points were also made about each month)
Mar 13/14
TudorRd Folkestone Kent pic.twitter.com/NxuGrRuzkc , pic.twitter.com/TG4olIc70p.
The Forum Norwich pic.twitter.com/aH5ZO2WhaW
The Forum Norwich pic.twitter.com/aH5ZO2WhaW
Mar 12/13 UK+Eire+Eu
"Brill hit" say users: BLIZZARD SE UK ~12th eg Folkstone, Norwich on WeatherAction forecast cue of 25days ahead Extract from forecasty map section twitpic.com/caxle0/full
Mar 7/8 UK+Eire
MORE UK+IRELAND SNOW+BLIZZARDS Birthday (10MAR) present for Piers - coming on cue in WeatherAction predicted 'Beast from East'!! http:/ http://twitpic.com/c9j6it
Mar 7/8 USA & South Canada
Latest N/E USA snow and slush storms confirming WeatherAction March LongRange Forecast Headline and detailed sections
"...Ongoing wintry weather delays Spring North/East USA with sleet, snow...":- said WeatherAction's March LongRange FORECAST headline. The forecast maps 5-6 and 7-9th http://twitpic.com/c9gwpg are also (being) confirmed for N/E USA
- see AccuWeather reports: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/northeast-pics-from-two-feet-o/7610378
WeatherAction USA Long Range forecasts are increasingly popular - Order now before special offer ends
Mar 5/6
Quakes forecast (trials) improved formulation this month
March RTQ forecasts (Red weather periods & Quake trials) has simplified the Quake-Volcano (QV) risk forecast formulation and the month shows two distinct periods of high/very high levels of QV activity. Thse forecasts are included in Euro Maps and B+I 45d ahead services as well as the 'stand alone' RTQ / Extremes Rest-Of-World service. The R forecasts are increasinly used for warnings of extreme risk increases across the world and modification of standard model weathermaps.
Mar 4/5th
N/E USA STORM Piling in on WeatherAction cue
The snow/wet snow / rain / wind storm developing (4/5....) in N/E USA is in line with WeatherAction long range forecast maps - Reports: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/dc-virginia-maryland-midweek-s/7316664
Piers Corbyn says (Further to the question from Robert-Micel in Reader/Observer comments below) "Yes, WeatherAction long range forecast March maps show heavy/wet snow (/rain in S parts of the area) ~4-6th which intensifies in the next map period 7-9th when WIND AND DRIFTING SNOW become more of a problem due to extra solar factors.
Earth-Facing Coronal Hole confirms WeatherAction Top Red 'R5' period coming
Will this period nudge UK+Eire+Europe and USA closer to Spring weather?
The Feb26 Coronal Image http://spaceweather.com/images2013/26feb13/coronalhole_sdo_200.gif on site http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?month=02&day=26&year=2013&view=view shows a sizeable Coronal hole will be Earth-Facing on 27th - the first day of our next R5 period Feb27-Mar2.
Piers Corbyn’s Cold Outburst Lower stratosphere forecast tool – pdf released
This is a medium range forecasting pointer to predicting a significant set of NH winter cold outbursts
– Dedicated to Joe Bastardi who so assiduously and effectively observes and reports these matters.
- See pdf describing the tool with graphs and Jan / Feb stratospheric events reports:
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No4.pdf & (first Vid) http://bit.ly/R48q37
This is a medium range forecasting pointer to predicting a significant set of NH winter cold outbursts
– Dedicated to Joe Bastardi who so assiduously and effectively observes and reports these matters.
- See pdf describing the tool with graphs and Jan / Feb stratospheric events reports:
http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews13No4.pdf & (first Vid) http://bit.ly/R48q37
Feb 23
Report of WeatherActionMeeting 22 Feb - Britain+Ireland+Eu UPDATE
Piers Corbyn gave a summary Winter report (Brit+Ire+Eu + USA + key world aspects) to the WeatherAction meeting which discussed WeatherAction advances including the stratosphere and likely developments in the closing days of February. See 3 New Vids: http://bit.ly/R48q37
Piers said that the first summary forecast of February did not have a burst of Spring in the last few days but an ongoing cold spell and that the question was never easy. He said:
1. "The transition period ie weekend+Monday 23/24/25 to milder would NOT happen but it would stay cold.
2. "The more explicit Burst Of Spring 26-28th might still be in with a half chance - despite what standard models say - in Ireland / West parts becasue the R5 from 27th will force the high pressure Eastwards. However he said "Our 45day forecast has a cold start to March so there is not the time for more than a 2 day weak 'burst'.
=> A Fuller UPDATE WITH COMMENT was placed in Br+Ire+Eu access web boxes Sat 23rd Feb.
=> A Fuller UPDATE WITH COMMENT was placed in Br+Ire+Eu access web boxes Sat 23rd Feb.
Feb 22/23
Significant Red Level R3 22-23 Feb events US, UK+Eire + Eu / News and updates
=> USA Winter Keeps on Coming
Major Snow/blizzards in central parts (including Arizona) moving to Great Lakes on early part of R3 (+/-1day) 21st & 22nd http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/21546916
More snow North/East this weekend 23/24th
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/foot-of-snow-for-part-of-new-england/6654310
Not as bad as 8-9 Feb great blizzard says Accuweather report which CONFIRMS WeatherAction forecast for 22-25 Feb issued 30Jan which includes "Strong (nb typo as 'Spring' in pdf) flow of cold air from Canada..." and "Heavy snow in North Central parts and over most of Great Lakes. Some thundersnow..." The rain-snow mix in parts forecast by WeatherAction is also confirmed in this AccuW report and VIDEO (the upper one in the article the lower being superceded).
The next USA weather period 26Feb to 3 Mar is very important and includes a Red Top Level 5 (R5) period. The USA rest of Feb-into March forecast is not subject to the special news/update of UK+Eire+Eu (see below) and is available FREE NOW to new and existing subscribers to March (and note 6months of sub is 17% off and 12 months is 25% off) via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
On subscribing (as for Eu, UK+Eire etc you get immediate access to the Feb forecast and on Mar1st (not 28th Feb because forecasts for Feb go to Mar3)
=> Extreme rain in Greece and Sicily 22nd and snow in UK 22nd confirm WeatherAction detail
WeatherAction Euromaps carries Warning over Greece and South Italy and Sicily "heavy rain espec 22/23" which is confirmed to the day from 3 weeks ahead - see astounding footage:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-21544352 and http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/21553503
The UK snow 22/23rd ( http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167 ) is despite rather low-snow airflow but the R3 gives extra and confirms. WeatherAction forecast which highlighted the NorthEast from 3 weeks ahead while the MetOffice warning is more of an extended nowcast / one day ahead.
Other events around the world ~22-23rd are also likely expressions of this R3:
Japan record snow this winter http://www.http://www.china.org.cn/environment/2013-02/22/content_28031869.htm
MASSIVE snowstorm NE Japan ~R3 period 22-23Feb. World events
The next USA weather period 26Feb to 3 Mar is very important and includes a Red Top Level 5 (R5) period. The USA rest of Feb-into March forecast is not subject to the special news/update of UK+Eire+Eu (see below) and is available FREE NOW to new and existing subscribers to March (and note 6months of sub is 17% off and 12 months is 25% off) via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
On subscribing (as for Eu, UK+Eire etc you get immediate access to the Feb forecast and on Mar1st (not 28th Feb because forecasts for Feb go to Mar3)
=> Extreme rain in Greece and Sicily 22nd and snow in UK 22nd confirm WeatherAction detail
WeatherAction Euromaps carries Warning over Greece and South Italy and Sicily "heavy rain espec 22/23" which is confirmed to the day from 3 weeks ahead - see astounding footage:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-21544352 and http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/21553503
The UK snow 22/23rd ( http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167 ) is despite rather low-snow airflow but the R3 gives extra and confirms. WeatherAction forecast which highlighted the NorthEast from 3 weeks ahead while the MetOffice warning is more of an extended nowcast / one day ahead.
Other events around the world ~22-23rd are also likely expressions of this R3:
Japan record snow this winter http://www.http://www.china.org.cn/environment/2013-02/22/content_28031869.htm
MASSIVE snowstorm NE Japan ~R3 period 22-23Feb. World events
2. Get ahead of Weather - Forecast services information
7 Forecast pdfs in 7 overlapping Services Available for Brit + Ireland, Europe, USA and World
● Brit+Ire 30day pdf & service – word-maps and graph - 6 pages
Each of the 8 B+I forecast periods has a 'traffic light' red=some dangers/probs Green=not many probs
● Brit+Ire 45d day (‘15d-45d’) pdf issued mid of previous month – word-maps - 6 pages
● Europe Feb Region details Maps pdf - Contrasts & Extremes, 9 pages
● Europe (+Br+Ir) Possible Pressure scenarios pdf 9 pages
● Europe Extremes Only pdf & service is an edit of Eu Regional Maps showing only extremes – 9p
● USA Maps Weather developments and Extremes pdf & service 10 pages
● 'RTQ' pdf and service ('Extreme Events Rest Of World') - Red weather periods, Thunder.tornado, Quake risk) 1page
NB the last 11 days of any month for any 30d service is enabled for subscription to the next month and free acces to the current month
Br+Ir, USA and Eu foreacst pdfs include news/research reports
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