Comments from Piers
WeatherAction

Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320  piers@weatheraction.com  www.weatheraction.com Twitter address Piers_Corbyn

1) Introduction – latest News

  • Go to http://twitter.com/Piers_Corbyn to see all Piers Corbyn's latest twitter messages. 
  • News is also on Piers Corbyn's facebook: http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100001281948141
  • For Web-available forecast products detailed list see below. Subscribe: bit.ly/utWrvj  Forecasts:
    • 30d & 45d ahead Brit & Ire &
    • CONVERT your 30d to 45d Brit+Ire Sub see below
    • 30day: USA, Europe, Quakes/ & Red warnings.
    • LONGER AHEAD eg up to 12 months are available directly from WeatherAction office. Enquire piers@weatheraction.com 
    • UPload UPdate. After delay due to computer problems, now solved, all 30d forecasts are  uploaded. Our apologies for any inconvenience. 
    • WHAT YOU GET AS A SUBSCRIBER - Handy Guide:  September's interesting forecasts cover 6 services now available under SLAT8B:
      • Britain+Ireland 30day - with news article '2012 - the year of no summer', 6 pages:
        1. Summary and news page
        2. 4 pages of maps in 8 periods of month and a one page graph
        3. One page overall figures expected and forecast guidance
      • Britain & Ireland 45day. This comprises 19 pages:- 
        1. BI 15-45d forecasts issued mid previous month. 4 pages
        2. 30 day forecast update as on 30day only service. 6 pages
        3. NE Atlantic + Europe possible pressure scenario maps (as in Eu service). 8 pages
        4. World RTQ (Quake trials) as issued on Extreme events Rest Of World. 1page 
      • Euro-Maps (regions + Atlantic/Europe pressure scenarios + RTQ) - with news article this month on Jet stream. The Eu Maps forecast comprises 18pages:
        1. Europe regionalized word maps. 9pages
        2. Europe / NE Atlantic  possible Pressure scenario maps. 8pages
        3. World RTQ (quakes etc) forecast ( as of Extreme events rest Of World). 1page
      • Euro-Maps Extreme Only, 8pg - Europe Regional word map showing extremes ONLY.
      • USA-Maps, 10pg - with news on end of USA drought on WeatherAction's cue:-
        1. Headline summary+news page, 
        2. 1 page key points of the 8 weather periods periods in the month, 
        3. 8 map pages of basic developments and extremes likely.
      • 'Extreme Events Rest Of World' (EEROW) = RTQ Quake trials which include a QV5+ NEW SOLAR HIT in this month's forecast.  1pg.  At times this service includes one off longer range experimental trials of extreme events anywhere in world - eg Australia, New Zealand, USA, Africa, South America, China,  some months ahead.
    • Britain + Ireland + Europe; NOW, SEPTEMBER BEGINS after the summer that wasn't (Britain+Ireland + NW Europe). WeatherAction warned of all major summer extremes so now is Get sorted time . If you are not a yet subscriber GET WISE IN SEPTEMBER.
    • FOR USA NOW, the last day of the summer months of extreme heat, drought and ferocious thunder and hailstorms has gone. WeatherAction warned of all major summer extremes in USA so now is Get sorted time . If you are not a yet subscriber GET WISE IN SEPTEMBER.  

NEW – WeatherActionTV! Latest VIDEOS
http://www.youtube.com/user/WeatherActionTV

    • Aug 24 Russia Today TV Video Piers interviewed on Greenpeace latest Delusional antics in Arctic  http://climaterealists.com/?id=10126
    • "Top class VID”: JULY 27th VID London 2012 Olympic Weather Detailed forecast & Jet Stream shifts August bit.ly/MsEAs5
    • Piers brill game changer VID presentation Jun5 (JubileeDay) at 'The Greenest Event' Jo'burg SouthAfrica http://bit.ly/N71AvS  It's the Sun not CO2!

LATEST WeatherAction NEWS / Pdfs / twitpics

{Sept6th 01gmt} QUAKE TRIALS being confirmed in first QV4/5 period of Sept
TWO M6+ quakes Sept 5th 
13:09gmt M6.0 Santa Cruz Islands S Pacific, 
14:42gmt M7.6 off Costa Rica
in WeatherAction QV4 trial warning period  5-7th inc.
 
Comparison 1-4 Sept which only had qv3 warning, Sept 1, had only one M6+, M6.4 S off Java Sept 3.
O/E = (fraction M6+ in QV4&5) / (fraction of QV4&5days) = (2/3)/(1/5)=3.7 
 
Note 'extra quakes' 30th and 31st August will affect the August 1-27th figures below when extended to 1st-31st but not change the basic message of skill expressed in these trails

QUAKE trials superbly verified in latest QV5 period and for August in R5 and R5+R4 periods.  - http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php etc
Strongest Quakes are most likely in highest level quake warning periods again confirmed:
M7.3 on 27th El Salvador, M6.6 on 26th Molucca sea AND California major quake swarm, ALL in QV5 5 period 24.5-27th & N hemisphere 
- as deemed likely in WeatherAction QV5 high major Quake (+volc) risk trial http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=10106 ,  http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=10048 ,  http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=10086 :-
  • For the 27 days since 1st August the Observed/'Expected' (O/E) results for QV5 and QV5+QV4 periods are as follows using fraction of earthquakes in QV5 (etc) days / fraction of QV5 in the 27days we get:
  • QV5:     M6+   (5/11)/(7/27)=1.8   M6.2+   (5/9)/(7/27)=2.1  M6.4+ (3/4)/(7/27) = 2.9  M6.6+ (3/3)/(7/27)=3.9
  • QV5+4  M6+ (7/11)/(11/27)=1.6   M6.2+ (7/9)/(11/27)=1.9  M6.4+ (4/4)/(11/27)=2.5  M6.6+ (3/3)/(11/27)=2.5
    • The strongest quakes are about 3 times (M6.4+) or 4 times (M6.6+) more likely (in this limited data trial) to occur than chance in the strongest Q (QV5) predictive trial period.  
  • Note the observed Rule: PREDICTIVE POWER (O/E) increases with M value and QV predictor value. This can only happen if the SOLAR-BASED predictors have validity both in timing and in strength. 
  • The Quake trial forecasts are part of 'Extreme events Rest Of world' monthly forecasts via  http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
  • SEE http://climaterealists.com/?id=10135#comments_top for further discussion. 
  • If you know anyone worried in California please pass on this link
Central US drought ends ON CUE confirming WeatherAction forecast 25 days ahead and 
=> Twitpic http://t.co/mUM2fI3I   pdf = http://bit.ly/ReqMgn    
If you know any USA drought affected farmers please pass on this link to them - Imagine they could have known when drought relief would come. 
NEW - Tropical Storm ISAAC END GAME comment further to pdf. 
We expected (see pdf) that in closing stages (eg during R5 period 24-27th) Isaac would probably veer a bit to to right of official tracks projected just before / during those times. This suggestion is difficult to assess because some bits of the storm broke-off / become a sub center to the right of the main center - making the main track a somewhat changed system which stayed on the official course within uncertainties. 
The fact Isaac came 7 years since Katrina to within a few days is interesting because 7years is the repeat cycle of stratospheric winds at a given time of year (3 X 2and one third (stratospheric QBO period) = 7yrs), although of course there are many other factors controlling hurricane development other than stratospheric winds.

ANOTHER TOPICAL USA ISSUE is the exceptionally hot July in many parts which was predicted by WeatherAction yet CO2 warmist claim is 'down to CO2' 
Good point but nevertheless it was pretty hot. Of course the reason why various state bodies and media talk-up these extremes of heat is so they can claim "It's all down to man's CO2". 
The argument however is drivel because it could be down to something else. Indeed something they didn't tell you is that at WeatherAction our long-range SOLAR-LUNAR based forecast for July 2012 stated it would be a month of extremes in terms of eg hail events and "searing heat in the West/South" - See:  http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No32.pdf for cover page summary of forecast with news and full forecast:
http://climaterealists.com/attachments/ftp/rynewspageFullfcKeyUSAMapsandExtremesSLAT8Aprod29Jun.pdf  
Readers may recall the WUWT 'Sneering Committee' pooh-poohed our forecast as 'fantastic claims'* - an unfortunate own goal in the fight against CO2 delusionism.
* For further information see: 
- John O'Sullivan's report on the matter http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=9922 ; 
- Numerous confirmatory reports of detailed success of our long range July USA forecast including a picture of the fantastic hailstorm in New York on July 18 see http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=472&c=5 ;
- Ongoing solar-lunar based forecast success including the timing of the rains which marked the end of the Central USA drought for farmers see http://climaterealists.com/attachments/ftp/WA%20News%2039%202012.pdf
All the huff and puff of the CO2 warmists who claim anything AFTER THE EVENT is evidence of their delusionism counts for nought when 'something else' BEFORE THE EVENT predicted what would happen.
Piers Corbyn  

Here Comes The Sun! Great Pics! Piers points out his weather switch forecast success in Southend-on-Sea August 18 New PDF http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No38.pdf plus B+I Weather Updates in pdf and with further Commentary BELOW Aug25/26 If you know any Britain or Ireland farmers please pass on this pdf to them. Imagine they could have known weeks or months ahead not just about this weather switch but get advance warning before BBC and Met office have even thought about it of the May frosts and the rain & floods and more rain & floods of this summer that wasnt.

·         Arctic Summer storm heralds Major Jet Stream shift http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No37.pdf

·         FREE London 2012 Olympics and Jet Stream August Forecasts: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No36.pdf

·         Mayor BORIS JOHNSON quotes Piers Corbyn for London Olympics forecast.Telegraph http://bit.ly/M24Q7C

·         Quake trials impressively Verified in narrow time window for QV5 period Aug 11.5 to 14th FOUR M6+ all in N hemisphere - as predicted most likely: http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=10077 http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
o        M6.4, 6.3 NW Iran on 11th, 12:23, 12:35
o        M7.7 Sea of OKHOTSK NE Russia 14th, 02:49 
o        M6.3 China XINJIANG-XIZANG BORDER 12th, 10:47


2) The Matter of the moment
WeatherAction weather switches are here

  • Britain & Ireland Weather Commentary and Forecast update posted Aug 25/26th The latest weather report maps http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html for 12 noon UTC Sat 25th show the track of the low crossing England is FURTHER SOUTH than it was forecast to be from 2 or 3 days earlier. This CONFIRMS our WeatherAction Jet stream (and Low tracks) shifting South prognosis in this period. However it is still the case that the shift South of Low tracks is not quite as far as we had expected. Low Centres 150 miles further South give the circulation we had expected. As mentioned in the pdf (WANews No38) this situation of ongoing thundery showers has caused problems for farmers and is continuing to do so especially in Ireland (notably the far South where we had expected the Lows to be just far enough South to give dry weather but in fact they are going through S Eire) and Central & South Wales and England. We advise that higher pressure and mostly fine weather will come to Ireland (including Kerry / far South) , Wales and England from about 30th as standard models come closer to WeatherAction** forecasts in the last weather period of August and continuing MOSTLY DRY AND FINE into September until about Sept 4th.  Forecast users who are able to plan and prepare for weather in days (rather than weeks which is what WeatherAction forecasts are mainly for) are advised to modify short range TV forecasts towards WeatherAction and enhance rain in R4 and R5 periods specified in WeatherAction forecasts (eg Sept 5th...)    ** http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=euro&MODELL=ecmwf&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=120&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
3) Full WeatherAction forecasts
http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp
Get ahead of the rest! Forewarned is forearmed – and recommend to others, Thank you

WeatherAction forecasts on web are:
Brit & Ireland 30 day inc maps & graphs - 6 pages
Brit & Ireland 45d (out mid previous month) - 4 pages, inc 30d update
Brit & Ire 30d=>45d upgrades are popular and easy to arrange – see below** 
EuroMaps regions 30 day - 9 pages & Pressure possible scenarios 30 day - 8 pages
USA KeyWeather Developments & Extreme Events maps 30 day - 10 pages*. 
World RTQ (Extreme Events Rest Of World) RedWarns+Thunder-tornado+MajorQuakeRisk - 1 page. 
Euromaps extremes only  30 day - 9 pages

** To Upgrade B+I 30d to 45d the charge is per month left to run in the subscription less one month for up to 5 months to run and less 2 months for up to 11 months to run. Then number of months X £10 to be paid in the PayPal donation/contribution button or direct to WeatherAction account (for details enquire piers@weatheraction.com ) ; and SEND Email to piers@weatheraction.com stating what you have paid for. Thank you
The RTQ forecast is also included with Europe forecast and Br+Ire 45d fc.
Latest quake events & analysis are carried on ClimateRealists 

The forecasts for Aug and Sept 2012 are of special importance and includes revolutionary jet stream forecasts.

Access to forecast pdfs is open for 12days on 30day subs - so new subs started from 19th of month give you current month forecast and at month end you get the next month’s forecast as well. 
Access to the B+I 45day etc forecasts package is open 24days. 

● LONGER AHEAD FORECASTS
up to 12 months ahead available via piers@weatheraction.com


4) READERS COMMENTS & FEEDBACK:
100% Moderated because of cyber flood attacks and to disallow trollish postings clearly not of fair and honest intent. 
THANK YOU for the many well informed comments on this site. 
Note when commenting on recent forecasts please refer to full forecast words as some summaries / notes circulated, ‘reports’ of forecasts have been or can be incomplete or misleading. Also include actual obs / links where possible.Thank you.
Comments submitted - 78 Add your comment
On 10 Sep 2012, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Yep climaterealists sites down Its probably down the effects of the 0.009% volume increase in C02 affecting EVERYTHING. Nasty stuff that nearly for you as bad as laughing Gas or Helium
On 10 Sep 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:

Some more very wild weather in NZ with snow and hail http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/7650484/Snow-hail-as-cold-front-hits-country. An interesting contrast to the milder August that we had and still attributable to the R5 8/10 September
On 10 Sep 2012, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:

Russ; don't worry I took advantage of the lower price a few months back! Plenty in the tank. I will invest in a few bags of coal now to increase the CO2 levels too! The government would rather you freeze.... I hope we get a freezing winter with loads of snow to shut up those global warmers for good! Millions of pounds in crops were also lost this year due to the wet summer, when will the government ever learn!
On 10 Sep 2012, Ron Greer wrote:

Steve, Dorset. Aye interesting stuff on Rossby Waves, but I noticed a summary by Steve Stamford( a warmist) puts the changes down to Arctic warming. Do we have any info indicating that RWs slowed down during the LIA.? Anyone else have problems with accessing the Iceagenow and Climate Realist sites---looks like a hatchet job
On 10 Sep 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

Is this the reason we could have a cold weather pattern over the winter. When the polar vortex weakens, the polar jet stream slows and meanders in a form that allows the extension of low pressure lobes much farther to the south. These can become stationary for days and block the normal circulation of the atmosphere. The negative AO/NAO is associated with a slowed polar vortex and polar jet stream. When the jet stream slows, it meanders in a waveform pattern (Rossby waves). The general effect is illustrated below (fromhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rossby_wave). We will see if this happens, But note this is not and never has been caused by global warming as the BBBC would have you believe.
On 10 Sep 2012, Russ wrote:

Ruairi.... time to fill that oil tank? You want to hurry up before they rack up the price again. As soon as they start expecting a long cold winter the price will rise guaranteed. Then again, if they listen to the Met Office and think it will be a barbeque winter, then the price could drop! ............................... John Planet.... That jetstream south dropped the temperature by such a large amount throughout the summer; if the same thing happened over the UK in December we could be looking at well below freezing temperatures for many weeks. Spring might not start until April.
On 10 Sep 2012, John Planet wrote:

I think if the summer pattern was to occur in the Winter. We would be seeing a cold and very wet winter. Low pressure over the south west of UK would be coming into the south and giving a mixture of rain sleet and snow for most of the time. The North would be have a succession of fronts moving into the colder air and give continuous periods of heavy snow. The places in the north would have ended up with a massively high snow thickness reaching unimaginable heights. We could have had a combination that would have let to a very cold but one of the wettest winters on record.
On 10 Sep 2012, Steve Devine wrote:

What a year it's been so far. After a nondescript Jan/Feb and with media frenzy regarding drought and hosepipe bans after a scorching March, it then rained 75% of the days between April - July, giving us the wettest summer in 100 years, followed by record cold in August that witnessed frost in parts of Scotland. Of course most of all this was brilliantly forecasted by Piers. Now that we've got the first 10 days of September out of the way, will it be an indian summer or return to autumn? Only subscribers can find out...
On 10 Sep 2012, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:

Snow was reported in the Cairngorms in the last week of August (winterhighland.com) The Alps have seen a lot of snow in the last few days (iceagenow.info) Jet steam heading south. Ireland escaped the cold last year due to a buckle in the jet stream, while England and Europe shivered at record lows. Time to fill that oil tank!
On 09 Sep 2012, Dawn wrote:

Matt wrote on the 02 Sept "The big question is will the jet stream go back to a normal pattern over winter or stay south. If it does stay south it looks like a cold winter in store" Matt-You might want to track the AO and NAO too, this will help decide which way winter might go this year. http://www.appinsys.com/globalwarming/AO_NAO.htm
On 09 Sep 2012, Matt wrote:

Well everybody is now asking the big question on this winter 2012/13 in the UK & Europe. Joe Bastardi put out an early warning that we would suffer another freezing winter like 2009/10. Next week looks like the first taste of true Autum coming down from Iceland and will peg back the Thermometer. also the wind's will pep up shaking the leaves from the trees. A sign of things too come looking globally the northern hem this winter could really be a shocker but its early doors time will tell looking forward to a cold snowy winter!!!
On 09 Sep 2012, Danny wrote:

A question for Piers, Hello MAINMAN, Piers what is your take on man made clouds? only yesterday 8th sept 2012 i was watching planes at very high altitude, spraying what ever it is in to the atmosphere, which eventually turn in to very hazy clouds. I was watching this through a good quality pair of binoculars, for a good few hours. For any body that has not witnessed this, go take a look for yourselves, and tell everyone you know. Thank you piers, Danny...............
On 09 Sep 2012, Andt B wrote:

Please help us out and add some comments to this page of rubbish views http://www.globeinternational.org/index.php/blog/item/global-pricing-as-a-tool-to-enhance-national-climate-laws#comment-172
On 08 Sep 2012, Ron Greer wrote:

Aye the BEEB, are certainly pushing the ice flows out these days. Ironically( or is it deliberately) the warmist are now also pushing the idea of the Jet Stream shifting south---so how is that going to make things warmer then?
On 08 Sep 2012, mwhite wrote:

Remember this http://www.bbc.co.uk/sn/climateexperiment/whattheymean/theuk.shtml There must come a time when there will be a BBC Horizon "The Climate, How Did We Get It So Wrong"
On 08 Sep 2012, In The Telly We Trust wrote:

I liked that bit about huge chunks of ice collapsing into the sea off the edge of a glacier. Very dramatic stuff that was, which nearly frightened me it was so unnerving to see. Blimey, is driving my old banger around responsible for this environmental disaster? That there Norwegian scientist looked like the real thing, or was he recruited from Central Casting. You just can't trust the media these days. In the end Climate Change is all about money like everything else. Unfortunately, a lot of us don't have much of the filthy stuff these days so we have to trust the liberal Establishment who must know what they are doing. I guess like most uninformed dunces everywhere we believe what is shouted out the loudest and for the longest. Piers is a gentle breeze in comparison. He should be a raging Hurricane. Hurricane Piers.
On 08 Sep 2012, John Planet wrote:

We could do somethng to modify the climate in the South East of Europe to lesson the difference between the Atlantic and South East of Europe in terms of heat and cold by creating more lakes and channels within the region to be bring more water into the region from the Meditariam sea to cool the region in the summer and to warm the region in the winter. This lessons the difference between the Atlantic and South Eastern Europe in the summer and makes North Western Europe less stormy.
On 08 Sep 2012, Sean Searl wrote:

I'm sure Joe Bastardi tweeted a map and a graph a couple of days back showing that article ice is building again since the turn if the month. Seems to me that this news report had been made a few weeks back before the rebound started. As usual the beeb insists on pumping out this junk journalism irrespective of the truth. They are so hell bent on this AGW CO2 crap, Its unbelievable! I am concerned what the coming LIA will bring us (how soon & how severe) and if we will be prepared enough, but I am looking forward to the egg on the BBC, UKMO & AGW crowds faces!
On 08 Sep 2012, John Planet wrote:

Why do they always look up to the Arctic for the reason for what type of summer UK has. One region that has been an interest to me a long time now is South East Europe and that also has cold and warm phases like that of the Atlantic and Pacific. At the moment it is at a very warm phase in the summer and has been like that for several years now and the UK has had a series of cooler wetter summers. In the 1990s South East Europe was in a phase of cooler summers and the UK had warmer drier summers. Isn't there more of a connection between what happens in South East Europe than the Arctic that affects how summers UK. The heat of South East Europe causes a greater contract between the cooler Atlantic and itself causing extremes to occur both sides of the Jet Stream increasing the storminess around the region of the Jet Stream as a result.
On 08 Sep 2012, JamesR wrote:

Matt, Asking the BBC to have a fair debate on anything is like asking the breweries to get together to campaign for an alcohol ban. It will never happen. The BBC has its opinions and unless you share them you get nowhere. And yet, we are required to continue to pay for it, whether or not we watch, or listen to it. In the past 18 months I have received very aggressive, threatening demands from the Licensing Authority on two places at work where there is little likelihood of anyone having a television. They are a law unto themselves. They are not interested in Piers' views or the views of anyone who disagrees with them on any other issue. If you want proper debate do not looked to the Biased Broadcasting Corporation.
On 07 Sep 2012, Matt wrote:

The BBC news have shown Animals on a piece of ice in the Arctic as if they are drowning. To pull at your heart strings. Makes me laugh they survived the medieval warm period just fine. It was much warmer then they showed a Sea Lion and made out it was in danger. Why do they have to resort so low to try and brainwash the public into there way of thinking Why can we not have a fair debate on the matter. people like Piers Corbyn, Joe Bastardi, and Christopher Moncton are shut out of the media WHY??? Ok iv had afew gin & tonics but I don't like liars or one sidedness. LETS HAVE A GOOD HONEST DEBATE!!! After all thats what Science is all about.
On 07 Sep 2012, Carl wrote:

STOP PRESS!!! Anybody see the six oclock news on BBC1 tonight (Friday 7th August 2012) when they had a propaganda report on the Arctic sea ice melting at records levels and guess what "Due to man made climate change the Jetstream will be forced South in the summer and Stormy summers would now become common place.(in 2003 they said these high temperatures and droughts would become commonplace.WOW!!! the BBC are getting realy desperate now
On 07 Sep 2012, Carl wrote:

yes Malcolm i saw that programme as well.Notice the met office Whammy Summers would get hotter and drier and droughts common but will also get wetter at the same time.It is now time for the met office to produce the evidence instead of spouting something they never ever do
On 07 Sep 2012, matt wrote:

Well once again the BBC are up to there old tricks. They don't have a clue whats coursing the Jet stream to change course.if u remember not so long ago they said Global warming would course the UK to be hot, tropical country with drought and mild winters with no snow. Now its changed its mind and we will have lots of storms now. Can somebody please tell me how they do there research? They are a standing Joke in my eyes. On the other hand Piers told us when we would get these changes in the Jet stream and gave an explanation as to why this would happen. It seems to me the BBC and others have every angle covered just to cover there bets. Keep the good work up piers would love a vid on what is happening at the poles. If the globe was warming up the Antarctica wauld also be loosing Ice also but its increasing instead can you do a vid to put this matter. To rest. Thanks!
On 07 Sep 2012, Colin Kirk wrote:

"Mars's Dramatic Climate Variations Are Driven by the Sun ScienceDaily (Sep. 6, 2012)" This site is normally very mainstream and generally supports agw, so guys, Earth's climate, Earth being bigger and much closer to the sun of course, is not dramatically driven by the sun????? Jeepers
On 07 Sep 2012, Rosebud wrote:

have you just seen BBC Breakfast..... report on the arctic ice melting and "how it must somehow be influencing the weather worldwide" (not quite exact wording but what i remember) and that "this will result in more severe storms and weather patterns worldwide in the future. No experts provided, just the reporter pontificating. Disgraceful. was lost for words watching it, popularist B&ll&*cks.
On 06 Sep 2012, Malcolm wrote:

Just been watching the Tonight programme "Whetever Happened to Summer?" Helen Chivers of the M/O going on about warmer summers in the future obviously she isn't aware that we are heading for a mini ice age and that the world is cooling and not warming. It seems the M/O love bleating on about warm/hot rather than admit the opposite occuring.
On 06 Sep 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:

THANKS ALL FOR GREAT INFO & COMMS! -- CINDY Our WeatherAction USA MAPS Sept forecast has continuing heat Lousiana for first 6 days of Sept after which a bit of respite starts - details in forecast, confirmed so far -- MICHAEL yes I didn't see the BBC drivel but what is needed is a climate policy U-turn to prepare UK+Eu farming for the developing new Little Ice Age -- MIKE WALLER Yes true it's totally bizarre BBC were not in the Ukraine / SE Europe (and USA) daily reporting on frying people; maybe they got scared of the idea that we might turn up and point out WeatherAction LongRange Euro forecast was for continuing heatwaves E/SE Europe (& most USA). They know they are lying & stick to the warmist sects main Goebells-esque campaign catechism to lie+lie again about 1 item, the Arctic -- RUSS Thanks v much I hope everyone will pass on your words -- LORRAINE v useful obs -- STEVE GLOSSOP The Arctic claims are brazen baseless lies and we are doing a special WeatherActionTV piece.
On 06 Sep 2012, cindy wrote:

Piers, I live in Lousiana and it is still very hot here. Are you telling me that we will have cooler weather soon? I sure hope so because i just went thru hurricane Issac and it is not any cooler. Thanks
On 05 Sep 2012, Michael wrote:

Watching news night on bbc2 and the Green parties response to man made c02 is to act now to help bring back the farming industry, and reduce fossil fuel consumption. How disillusioned are they?
On 05 Sep 2012, Rob wrote:

Great comments Steve & Carl. Can anyone remember when it was decided that AGW started? It seems a very long time now and we were promised, Mediterranean summers mild wet winters, an absence of frost & snow more extreme storms not forgetting we were told we would be invaded by exotic insects etc etc. This would all happen in the future they insisted, which is very convenient because it is very easy to keep moving the timeline.Their argument is indeed wooly
On 05 Sep 2012, Mike Waller wrote:

Really odd that the media seem to have completely ignored what has arguably been the world's single most dramatic weather event of the summer; the extreme heat 'enjoyed' by a large area of southeast Europe from the Balkans to the eastern Med. Most places have experienced average daily temperatures above 30 deg (say 40 by day and 20 by night) for most of the period, resulting in a large number of heat related deaths, crop failures and water shortages.
On 05 Sep 2012, Russ wrote:

Well, I kept my faith in Piers forecast and it paid off yet again. All this petty, 'how big were the raindrops...was it tiny, small, microscopic, smaller than usual hail' doesn't mean a damned thing in the real world. Piers said there would be a window of fine weather with the odd shower, about 30th Aug to 4th of September and that's what we got. My 3 day break in the Scottish Borders trying out my new motorcycle was a huge success. I did have doubts because the Met Office were so sure of rain and storms moving across the country. I thought I may have to cut short and maybe even travel back at night to avoid a very wet ride back. But I saw an Image of Piers with a mouth full of used notes and went to sleep. It did shower 20 mins the last night, but I woke to a glorious sunny morning. The ride back was beautiful all day, even taking in detours through North Yorkshire seeing parts I'd never seen before in spectacular September sun. Images that will stay with me for life... thanks Piers!
On 05 Sep 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:

According to the dictionary the word unprecedented  means "without previous instance; never before known or experienced; unexampled or unparalleled: an unprecedented event". It is obvious then that warmists use words to describe events such as this year's arctic ice melt without bothering to check their meaning first - or is it that they are 'deniers' of that which has previously occured in history? Couldn't resist that one!
On 05 Sep 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:

Severe hailstorm in Christchurch last night. NZ Met Service described it as a 'one in 10 year storm' - we'll see. http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/your-weather/7615520/Damage-after-severe-hailstorm. It occured at the beginning of an R4 and just after last week's CME. We tend to get hail in spring here so let's hope its not a sign of things to come.
On 04 Sep 2012, Carl wrote:

Well done Steven Glossop for pointing that fact out!!! Back in July Steven the BBC also stated that the Southerly track of the jetstream was caused by melting arctic sea ice caused by man made activity.The BBC are just a global warmers propaganda machine.Also you commented the fact ten years ago they said we would never see anow in the U.K again and when that went belly up they then claimed "Warming is cooling and these Norwegian style blizzards would be common place and to cap it all after a record breaking (well in some parts) heatwave in August 2003 they said "get used to it theses high temperatures will be common place in summer along with droughts.All their predictions on future climate have totaly and utterly FAILED!!!!
On 03 Sep 2012, steven glossop wrote:

Hi Piers, just thought i would add a little more to the comment i made a few weeks ago. About the BBC's news sory on the artic ice sheet been the lowest ever. Well 30years! They also said on the report that 70% of the warming is down to human activity and only 30% natural causes.? How can they say such rubbish, when there is no evidence co2 causes any warming. Also i have seen some reports recently. That the world cooling over the next few decades due to solar activity, will be cancelled out due to man made warming. Can we believe them? Well these are the same people who said snow would be a thing of the past by the end of the last decade.
On 03 Sep 2012, John in France wrote:

I like david's "Global Wooling" and hope it goes viral.
On 02 Sep 2012, matt wrote:

The big question is will the jet stream go back to a normal pattern over winter or stay south. If it does stay south it looks like a cold winter in store. On friday I was on the north Yorkshire moors. And at 7.30am it said 2C on my car thermometer and there was frost on the ground. It felt more like November with the sun shining. Time will tell but my gut instinct looking at the way nature has been behaving I think this winter will be cold. I also think the Arctic ice will bounce back big time. Not that the Global warming bed wetters will notice. They are so busy watching the Arctic they fail to see the Antarctic massive ice extent. Growing since 1978 it would be nice to have a balanced debate but the Global warmers fail to mention the Antarctica so I will mention it! Keep the good work up Piers let the truth be known.
On 02 Sep 2012, david wrote:

The dear old MO. On Thursday they said Friday would be nice. On Friday they said Saturday would be nice. On Saturday they said Sunday would be nice and today they're saying that tomorrow will be nice. It has yet to be "nice" on any of these days. The planet is warming, they say. Others say it's cooling. I propose a new name - Global Wooling. It serves several purposes; 1) it implies that globally some sort of trick with wool is being perpetrated. Being pulled over eyes perhaps? 2) It's is a nonsense word, entirely made up, and therefore nicely apropos to the "science" of Man Made Global Warming, which is itself, nonsense and entirely made up. Any thoughts?
On 02 Sep 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

Richard Black resigns from the BBC, Hallelujah, now lets have a less biased correspondent in his place. Don,t hold your breath though will you.
On 02 Sep 2012, Ron Greer wrote:

The last day of summer in Scotland was marked by one of the coldest August nights on record and indeed both Aviemore and Braemar did have their coldest August night on record. Doesn't look as if the supposed CO2 blanket was switched on!
On 02 Sep 2012, Andy B wrote:

Here is an article that offers some explanation of the Artic sea ice. http://notrickszone.com/2012/09/01/veteran-german-journalist-calls-claims-of-unprecendented-arctic-ice-melt-gross-nonsense/
On 01 Sep 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

From the Climate realist site New blockbuster paper finds man-made CO2 is not the driver of global warming An important new paper published today in Global and Planetary Change finds that changes in CO2 follow rather than lead global air surface temperature and that "CO2 released from use of fossil fuels have little influence on the observed changes in the amount of atmospheric CO2" The paper finds the "overall global temperature change sequence of events appears to be from 1) the ocean surface to 2) the land surface to 3) the lower troposphere," in other words, the opposite of claims by global warming alarmists that Instead, just as in the ice cores, Ect. worth a read.
On 31 Aug 2012, Craig M wrote:

By the way I think this couldbe a cold wintr withv wet spell in Oct-wet sumers often are flwed by this but not always. We have been lucky also with the cold in recent winters as they have not really lasted all winter (obv in North in 2010 it did after it released the south from its grip). If it does that will be 5 winters in a row with a v cold spell which will only get worse after solar max. I noticed an apple tree with NO fruit whreas last year it was laden. My apples are fine matching last year but I have an early flowring variety which caught thebees in the March warm spell. Variety will help farmers and growers. It always has.
On 31 Aug 2012, Craig M wrote:

Russ would say the past few summers have been poor but this year has been something else! Although a change seems to have occured since 2007 with the then record ice melt this year seems to have turned the cooling in the uk down another notch. personally I've enjoyed more bearable summer temps grnerally parked in the 70's having said that the past two days have been really cool. Last year locally we dropped to 9c atwthe lowezt last nite it hit 6c! I ws wearing a coat and jumper and I was still cold walking yestrday evening. I don't believe it's an indicator of winter more the change of pattern generallyand a foretaste of many 'poor' summers to come. I saidbefore expect poor summers to be the norm with hotspells intrspersed whereas we are usedtothe opposite.
On 31 Aug 2012, Ron Greer wrote:

Several parts of the Eastern Grampians of Scotland recorded their coldest August night on record last night. I can't understand this as I was told by Warmo-panickers that because of CO2 night mimima were getting warmer. No doubt I'll be told that it was a warming Arctic that caused this record cold. There is an old Scots word for this kind of thinking 'SHARN' and yes it has the same meaning of a colloquial English word beginning with SH.
On 31 Aug 2012, Rob wrote:

I note that overnight 31st Aug. temperatures at several recording sites in the North of Scotland dropped to below freezingand at 1300 on was recording only 6.4c. Adding to the signs of nature, I have noticed this year that despite the rain my grass has not been growing anywhere near as fast as I would have expected, a sure sign that the temperatures have been poor and sunlight low.
On 31 Aug 2012, John Planet wrote:

There is one hope is that 1913 was a much drier summer than 1912. Let hope that 2013 will be much direr than 2012
On 31 Aug 2012, DAVID ROWE wrote:

Hi Piers, Just a follow on from the comment from Steve Glossop the other day.Daily Mail science web page says based on satellite records dating from 1979,Artic sea ice has shrank to 1-61 million sqare miles.Ted Scambos (who is he?),a data centre scientist,blames man made emmisions of greenhouse gases? There have been several articles concerning Artic ice lately.What is going on Piers?.Regards Dave Rowe,Wirral.
On 30 Aug 2012, Russ wrote:

The jetstream certainly looks much further south. I'll bet the people of Spain are wondering what is going on. The huge looped weather system sat over the UK all summer long is starting to seriously pi** me off, I mean, how much longer can it sit there? Piers dude, is there any end in site for this stuck jetstream or is it likely to stay like this until 2045?? Gawd help us if it gets stuck over winter, we'll won't be digging our cars out of the snow, we'll need bigger shovels to dig our houses out of it like they do in Alaska...!
On 30 Aug 2012, Russ wrote:

Its been a horrible summer to try and plan a decent long ride out on the motorcycle. Local rides have been fine, but to get to a 150 mile radius to see some serious countryside like Snowdonia or Cumbria has been almost impossible. Lots of other riders have been on two day rides and got soaked either going or returning. When bad arthritis only gives you narrow windows of opportunity, then it becomes a nightmare trying to enjoy your favourite hobby. Cars you can do in the rain, same with walking, cycling and numerous other activities like boating, fishing and caving. Bikes are different because you don't create any body heat, you're just sat there, and waterproofs rarely do what it says on the tin. At 50mph rain will find a way to penetrate and when it does you get cold, even in August. I'm going to go for broke with Piers 5 day window, a two day ride from Sunday 2nd to Monday 3rd. Sat24.com shows huge amounts of cloud heading toward the UK so I may have to abort at short notice...AGAIN!
On 30 Aug 2012, Ron Greer wrote:

Rob, 'No oligarchy ever gives up its power voluntarily' and in this case the Meteo-establishment are no different. The Warmo-panickers will use everything from subterfuge to outright mendacity to maintain their position. Did you notice in the MSM media how they sneaked in comments about possible changes in the Jet Stream and ocean currents:---a belt and braces approach in case it gets colder? We even had bloggers in the Scotsman trying again to rake up cold snowy winters in western Europe being caused by a warming Arctic---worried about a cold winter again this year? It's the old cold, warm or average--it's caused by CO2 routine.
On 30 Aug 2012, Russ wrote:

Rob... The warmists know that cold water absorbs CO2 and warm water releases it. Very old science and old news being used for more scare mongering. Far more important is the fact that sunlight and CO2 are used by phytoplankton. If the ocean surface temperature drops and receives less sunlight due to more cloud cover, then the plankton die and the international delicatessen chain for ocean going creatures shuts up shop, and all the whales and fishes will starve. All the chip shops will shut and we'll have to rely on pizza and kebabs for junk food hehehe. As I remember it, summer is 'usually' warm and dry and sunny. Winter is usually cool and cloudy with lots of rain, wind, snow and ice. Winter has more cloud cover and a weak sun but just imagine a generally cooler summer like the one we just suffered but year after year and more widespread so the oceans are affected. Some effects of the LIA could be very bad indeed! In 1850 low fish stocks wouldn't be noticed in 2020 they will...
On 30 Aug 2012, Rob wrote:

piers, I see in your latest post that your next meeting will be used to blast a lot of the garbage being spoken about the Arctic at the moment. Is that the same garbage I heard on the radio this morning about researchers from Manchester University going on about the Arctic being a massive carbon store and how if it is released we will get a huge positive feedback loop blah blah blah. This strikes me as an old story, how do these guys keep getting funding. Their statements seem to be all ifs,buts and maybes yet people take it as gospel truth.
On 30 Aug 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:

THANKS ALL. Good points. --- The geo-engineering question from DT is important I can think of incidences but they are not proof and could be coincidence. In the long run of decades or centuries it may well be that Man will be, by a large measure, in control of weather. --- Meanwhile it's end of month SUBSCRIBE TIME so please remind anyone - farmers, businesses... - you know who is impacted by the weather that it would have been really useful to have known of the Brit+Ire cold blast in May and floody summer; the Europe summer super heat in the East; and USA hailstorms, drought and heat. SEPTEMBER is going to be interesting too! Subscribe link is: http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp --- NOTE WeatherAction regular monthly meeting is this Friday 31st 12 noon via Delta House, 175 Borough High St, London SE1 1HR:- Summer review - Autumn comment - Blasting CO2 delusional drivel around about the Actic. Thanks, Piers
On 30 Aug 2012, Bspin wrote:

Steve,Dorset wrote: "WUWT. In mid-August, Germany opened a new 2200MW coal-fired power station near Cologne, and virtually not a word has been said about it. Green with Envy." Also on WUWT same article,quote"Yes, you read that correctly, twenty three-new coal-fired power plants are under construction in Germany, because Germany is worried about the increasing cost of electricity, and because they can’t afford to be in the strategic position of importing too much electricity." http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/28/germanys-new-renewable-energy-policy/
On 29 Aug 2012, DT wrote:

Piers, Have you looked at all into the geoengineering of weather and have you been able to notice any unnatural phenomenon in your forecasts which could be related to weather modification? Here is a new documentary on the subject, called "Why in the World are They Spraying? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mEfJO0-cTis Also, for anybody who is spiritual, regarding the strange nature of the seven years between Orleans hurricanes: http://www.wnd.com/2012/08/eerie-bible-coincidence-for-hurricane-isaac/
On 29 Aug 2012, Wiggers wrote:

New evidence for link between sun activity and mini-ice-age conditions: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/08/29/frozen_euro_winters_linked_to_low_solar_activity/
On 29 Aug 2012, Steve,Dorset wrote:

WUWT. In mid-August, Germany opened a new 2200MW coal-fired power station near Cologne, and virtually not a word has been said about it. Green with Envy
On 29 Aug 2012, Jolly wrote:

I have noticed here in SC that birds seem to be arriving sort of early. I heard flocks of Canadian geese overhead about two weeks ago. We have noticed the weather seems to be on the cooler side lately too. That is unusual for the South in August. It feels more like September. This may be a really cold winter.
On 28 Aug 2012, Bspin wrote:

In a certain part of America they are sweating on whether recent Earthquake activity has cracked a 'Salt dome' full of Liquid Gas. Close by is a growing 'Sinkhole' and Hurricane Isaac is on the doorstep. Video here. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wcbLvO0-huQ
On 28 Aug 2012, Andy B wrote:

The Cuban Institute of Geophysics and Astronomy is restarting research it begun during the last decade of the last century into the frequency of morbidity from acute myocardial infarction (heart attacks) and its link with sun phenomena. http://www.caribbean360.com/index.php/news/cuba_news/609742.html?utm_source=Caribbean360+Newsletters&utm_campaign=ad36792de8-Vol_7_Issue_94_News8_27_2012&utm_medium=email#axzz24p5glhBH
On 28 Aug 2012, Steve Devine wrote:

*Russ, thanks for your notes in the previous link, I know what you mean about Mother Nature delivering apocalyptic warning signs. Animals always know when a tsunami will strike (they were fleeing for high land well before the Boxing Day Tsunami for example apparently!). The absence of bees and (very) premature arrival of migrating birds indeed seems like an omen. Time to replace the draught excluders and place extra insulation sheets on the glass to keep the warmth in. Methinks Winter 2012/13 will be a sign of things to come in this LIA! Piers - can't wait for the September forecast. Personally I think it will be a very wet autumn followed by freak snowfall early in the season. No reason, just gut feeling!
On 27 Aug 2012, Steven Glossop wrote:

Hi Piers, I have just been watching BBC news on the evening of the 27th August. One headline story was about the arctic ice sheet been the smallest ever recorded in summer. Again it sounds like brainwashing from the BBC. I just wonderd what your thoughts are on this news story? Thanks Piers, keep up the good work. All the Best. S. Glossop
On 27 Aug 2012, D.M. wrote:

The warmists are so tied up with their statistics, adjusted temperatures and hypotheses that they can't see the wood for the trees. Here is a simple experiment which shows that there is no positive feedback effect from water vapour in the atmosphere, which the warmist hypothesis says there is. (If there was positive feedback the earth would have fried a long time ago!). An interesting video to watch and understand. http://climaterealists.com/?id=10136
On 26 Aug 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

Link for Will A http://www.tech-know-group.com/papers/Memo_10.12_National_crisis_ahead.pdf Enjoy the read
On 26 Aug 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

NOAA adjusting the data again SCAM. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/19/july-was-also-the-329th-consecutive-month-of-positive-upwards-adjustment-to-the-u-s-temperature-record-by-noaancdc/#more-69570
On 26 Aug 2012, mwhite wrote:

According to this site http://www.mnn.com/earth-matters/climate-weather/stories/magnetic-north-shifting-by-40-miles-a-year-might-signal-pole-r "The magnetic north pole is currently shifting at a faster rate than at any time in human history"
On 26 Aug 2012, mwhite wrote:

I'm curious, the north magnetic pole is moving across the arctic toward siberia at about 40 miles per year. Does this affect the earth sun magnetic cpnnection, and if it does would it also affect the weatheraction forecasts?
On 26 Aug 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:

THANKS ALL! --- DAVID JetStream forecasts, yes they are forecasts and different sites might well have different so (i) check they are talking about same dates/times UTC (ii) Best use USA sites for USA jet stream and UK/Eu for Europe. It's fair to say these are estimates and will never be measured properly - unlike rainfall predicted which can be measured. See notes above re Jet Atlantic - Spain 26th pretty well as forecast 4 days before but particular pic came maybe half day earlier and was a bit more wavy - furtehr South in Atlantic and further North in East Spain but same basic. --- All we Have --- MATT ALL YES we got some but not most right and we have UPDATE forecast - as above and WAnews38 for before. I notice trolls ignore this and insist on 'assessing' the error fc. (not) Curiously after the MetOffices 5th attempt at any forecast (normally are about 5 distinct statements) they always use the most recent not the worst old one they can find. STEVE Ta give link Will A is great.
On 26 Aug 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:

Contd./ But perhaps they had to add that bit about anthropogenic CO2 to ensure they keep getting funding!
On 26 Aug 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:

Contd./ The winters of 1985 and 2007 would have had higher industrial activity, population density and urbanisation in the Rhine catchment area than at any other time in history - resulting in warmer water being discharged into the Rhine. Probably a much bigger effect on potential freezing than a microscopic (on a total atmosphere scale) increase in CO2. So I question the paper's authors' conclusions that anthropogenic CO2 has resulted in the lack of freezing. And even if the globe has been a bit warmer recently, and even if there is a correlation with increased CO2 (both highly questionable when sources of bias in data collection are taken into account) those do NOT show that human CO2 is a major climate driver - correlation does not of itself prove causality. As the Little Ice Age weather over the next 25 years will probably demonstrate! So an interesting paper, but like so much "science" nowadays, the analysis has not been rigorous enough where CO2 is concerned. (Contd./
On 26 Aug 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:

Interesting article http://iceagenow.info/2012/08/cold-european-winters-linked-solar-activity/#comment-33432 confirms Piers' work. I'd like to read the original paper and look at the actual data - too often summaries and abstracts reveal biased thought processes, and the original papers reveal faults in methodology and analysis. I cannot recall the exact details off the top of my head (?jet stream moving south?), but one of the major climate/solar linkages is much stronger in odd numbered 11 year solar cycles than even numbered cycles - in other words that particular factor follows a 22 year cycle. We have not had winter 2012 yet - though the summer here in West Wales has done a good impression of some of the milder winters we've had! LOL. The lack of freezing in the 1963 to 2011 period represents just over 2 of those 22 year cycles - in other words it didn't get cold enough for significant freezing in the 2 most recent peak cold winters, presumably 1985 and 2007. (Contd./
On 25 Aug 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:

From the ice age now site an article worth a look at. “Increasing reports that the world could be entering a mini ice age.” – Professor Will Alexander
On 25 Aug 2012, Matt wrote:

Bad luck with your forecasts for this period Piers, here in Sheffield we've just had a huge thundery downpour with hail, but I'm keeping the faith in Weatheraction since your Jet Stream South forecast happened right on cue. I guess that if your jet stream forecast is just slightly out it can render your weather forecasts significantly out. However, well done on forecasting the jet steam moving south. Any chance of telling us why this happened at this time? The Met Office say that jet stream south conditions are due to a warmer Greenland and other global warming relating reasons. It would be good if you could put an alternative explanation out there. Thanks.
On 24 Aug 2012, david wrote:

Where do you get your jetstream charts from? The ones I look at are from (and don't ask me why) eldoradocountyweather.com and they show the jetstream over the UK/Europe area as still close to, and partially across, the UK. Link - http://www.eldoradocountyweather.com/forecast/europe/europeanjet.html Just curious and slightly concerned that there appears to be more than one map of the jetstream and that they disagree as to its location. Perhaps the one I'm looking at is not as reliable?
On 23 Aug 2012, BLACK PEARL wrote:

My God BBC New Science & environment posting link to how solar activity affects the climate. But its still a little warmer...... Heh ! Is this back peddling, a cunning plan or reacting to being tooooo... biased