On 21 Jul 2012, Russ wrote:
Blimey....this heat and sun is so surreal after such a long, dark, cold, wet period. Looking at the Sat24 cloud patterns and the raintoday radar, I think we'd better get outdoors and enjoy it while it lasts, because it looks like more heavy rain on the way. You may get your thunderstorms after all Piers. I can imagine the word over at WUWT will go something like; "Another fail ! That's a convincing fail for July. He never mentioned a sunny day. Did you hear him say sunny? I didn't see any mention of sun.". "And blue sky...did he mention blue sky? Not so much as a cryptic hint! And fly swarms... I saw no evidence of fly swarms in his entire forecast." "All Piers forecast said was large rain, giant apocalypses, and extreme cloudiness, but no mention of blue sky, sun, or fly swarms....it's just not science!"
On 21 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
Paul: yes indeed and in addition the Italian Meteo Web( see climaterealists) is also very interesting--snow down to 2000metres in the Appenines.
Nick: yes indeed too. It would be great if we could discuss the various alternatives and theories on the direction of climate change in an environment of political neutrality, but great vested economic and political interests are in play and they want the game stacked in their favour.
On 21 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Hi Piers. Many thanks for publishing my (and david's) recent comments - even though some of the points are a bit off topic, I think more and more people are realising that the warmist agenda must be pushed by officialdom and the media so that government and vested interests can maintain control, taxation and profits. I hope my (and david's) comments will encourage a few people to look at other issues with a similar scepticism. Keep up the great work Piers!
On 21 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
Lynne: we get a forecast, not a gaurantee and Piers admits it, if he gets it drastically wrong. You won't get a £43 million super apology from the Met Office when they get it wrong---just another 'scattergun' blast of hind-nowcasts.
On 21 Jul 2012, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
All those who thinks Piers has got it wrong would do well to look at Simon Keelings latest video at Weatherweb. Dry spell may well be short with possiblity of thunderstorms towards the end of next week in the south of England, with possible torential rain.
On 21 Jul 2012, Whenthesethings wrote:
WOW! GFS has recently changed its UK forcast for Fiday 27th. R4 means it will be even worse. Hope you get the credit you deserve Piers. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=euro&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=150&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=
On 20 Jul 2012, Lynne wrote:
Predictions for July 20th - 23rd don't seem to be holding up well.
On 20 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
I have re-posted this due to errors in my last post which I can only apologize for please ignore my previous post dated 20/07/12.
Yellow warning in place for Wales,North West England,Yorkshire& Humber, West Midlands,East Midlands, East of England, South West England, London & South East.
Issued at: 1025 on Fri 20 Jul 2012
Valid from: 0005 on Fri 20 Jul 2012
Valid to: 2359 on Fri 20 Jul 2012
Outbreaks of heavy rain or showers with a risk of thunder, may lead to localised surface water flooding in places, particularly in urban areas. As with all showery events many places will miss the heaviest rain and some places towards the south of the area may stay dry all day.
The public should be aware of the risk of localised disruption, particularly to transport during peak periods.
On 20 Jul 2012, Shaun wrote:
How can the experts get it so wrong. In 2006 NASA predicted Solar Cycle 24 to be a massive cycle:
http://science.nasa.gov/media/medialibrary/2006/12/21/21dec_cycle24_resources/hathaway2_med.gif
But now their recent predictions have it to be one of the smallest cycles in over a 100 years. So, why is it that people trust everything these so called professionals predict, like Global Warming
On 20 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
At last, it's an 80F heatwave: Dig out the T-shirts and shorts... after months of rain, a scorching weekend is on the way
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2175965/UK-weather-Hardy-beach-goers-enjoy-glimpse-sun-forecasters-promise-warm-weekend.html#ixzz21A3ZSqNB
Lets see how this one pans out as we have seen headlines like this before and we are still waiting for summer to start, so far all we have had is heavy rain and floods, severe thunderstorms, tornado's, hail the size of golf balls etc so a few days of warm weather can't be classed as summer! but to the warmest fraternity they will say anything just to get headlines news. here is one from me LITTLE ICE AGE NOW!!, DON"T BELIEVE DELUSIONAL WARMEST'S!!!
On 20 Jul 2012, Rob wrote:
Forecast on BBC Breakfast this mornig made a big thing about temps. rising next week to above average with sunshine but looking a the synoptic charts which go as far as Tuesday 24th there is a warm front draped across the middle of England and 3 low pressure centres to the West of Biscay. That doesn't say warm and sunny to me.
On 20 Jul 2012, mike from kent wrote:
Great tweet by Joe Bastardi, showing parallels in patterns from the 1950's.
On 20 Jul 2012, Guy Baker wrote:
I was listening to the Open on the radio this morning (20th) and they were talking about all the standing water on the course this morning apparently the forecast was for only 1mm an they had over 10mm!! It will be interesting to see how long this heatwave! (according to the bbc) lasts. In Leicester today at 12.30 the temp is 14c. Keep up the grt work Piers
On 20 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Contd./ - last bit - honest!) Instead consider that the wars were engineered - at HUGE expense in money as well as lives - to gain control of those country's previously independent central banks (and in the case of Libya to stop Gaddafi supplanting the US$ as the oil trading currency with the Gold Dinar). Then consider that Syria and Iran have independent central banks - and ask yourself what our Intelligence and Special Forces (+ USA and Israel's MOSSAD) are doing to start wars there. And how much our media - which is preventing a proper discussion on Global Warming, Pier's SLAT method, and a change to Little Ice Age climate - is also preventing a proper discussion of Syria and Iran. Then wonder if goverments and the media are bad for your health!
On 20 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Contd./ to funding what we are fooled into thinking we're paying for. Or better still - governments should stop robbing people and let us keep the money that will pay for Pier's forecasts rather than the Met Office fairy tales, proper education in critical thinking rather than the force fed wage slave training our children are now subject to, and proper health care rather than a monolithic and creaking system designed to keep the drug companies and surgical supplies companies in clover. Just try it for a day. And for an additional buzz, try considering that the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya were designed not to free people from the oppression they were genuinely suffering (that was just an excuse - more people are suffering from the largely unreported civil war in Iraq now than did under Saddam Hussein). (Contd./ - sorry this is so long - last bit coming up!
On 20 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Contd./ Can I suggest everyone tries this as an exercise - just pretend for a day that any government's main function is to increase control, exploitation and wealth confiscation. Left or right is irrelevant. Now look at everything you read, hear or see (newspapers, radio, TV) from that perspective. Now it makes sense that windfarms (which use 3 times as much energy to construct and maintain as they will ever produce) are being pushed so heavily. It also makes sense that the Met Office is not fit for purpose yet will continue to be paid for - probably including a new £43M supercomputer. It also makes sense that services are being cut, but the banks will continue to be bailed out, and Trident will be kept going. There is no shortage of money for the NHS, teachers, social services, and benefits for the genuinely needy - governments just need to change their priorities from wealth confiscation and supporting their friends in the financial, weapons and agrichemical industries (Contd./
On 20 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Re. Leftist CO2 waffle - while it's mostly coming from the left, I think it can be a little short sighted to be drawn into the illusion that politics is left versus right. They are two sides of the one coin - they are both corrupt systems designed to mislead the public. And the easiest way to do that is to get us polarised into left and right and get us at each others throats, rather than saying "Hang on, how come whoever is in power we are led into schemes which increase profits for the corporatocracy (banks, big-business), reduce individual freedoms (you WILL have wind farms in your back yard, you WILL eat GM food, you WILL have to use conventional medicine because the alternatives are being eroded, you WILL work for the supermarkets rather than have your own small business), and more of our wealth is confiscated (through increased direct and indirect taxation, price-fixing, LIBOR rate fixing, etc.)?" (Contd./
On 20 Jul 2012, AVERT electric quakes-Fukushimas explosions wrote:
Hitting RESCUER dr Corbyn is MISANTHROPIC FATALISM. Strong sun driven quakes hit N of Japan. Indifference to forecast and avert them is genocidal. http://avert-quakes-volcanic-eruptions.webs.com
On 20 Jul 2012, M Lewis wrote:
And this editorial in today's Daily Telegraph http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-view/9411978/A-break-in-the-clouds.html
Looks like the UK media are all going for broke on next week's weather! Maybe mind over mattter might just do it? If all the UK population wish for sun!
On 20 Jul 2012, M Lewis wrote:
Re Olympics Opening. It starts at 20:12hrs on the 27 July. Met O, BBC and ITV weather all stated the weather will change by Sunday - low 70's and a heatwave would hit the UK by Monday with temps in the 80's. They are all going for a rapid and prolonged change in weather patterns.
On 20 Jul 2012, david wrote:
Everything since 9/11 has been contrived and retold to suit the Establishment.
Iraq? Contrived to appear worse than it was.
Libya? Syria? The same people telling the same lies for the same reasons. Oil, money and regional domination.
It's about control. It's about the constant barrage of the intellect with dishonesty, bogus science, lies, made up statistics and spin. With each blow more people shrug and turn away, overwhelmed by the sheer ferocity of the lies, overwhelmed by the sheer number of public officials who have bought into the lies. They all protect each other, they all have too much to lose to go admitting that any of it is untrue.
And so, as campaigns of lies always do - they lead to more and more lies, each one required to cover up the previous one.
And ultimately - be careful - remember David Kelly. These people are not above murdering those who become serious nuisances.
On 20 Jul 2012, Mark Newberry wrote:
Thank you for your incredible accuracy on your forecasts. I have a question, When the mini ice age hits around 2035, how low will the Jet stream be in the Summer time? Will it be positioned over areas like the Mediterranean Sea and Southern California? I'm wowed by how much our Solar climate and Planetary climate has changed since the 1990's.
On 20 Jul 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
AND --- GERRY The Fiji quake and solar action ~18th - Yes see above. They are connected and the R5 / QV5 periods describe some of what would happen. There have been amazing deluges and events all over world. Fantastic hailstorm in New York. At least 3 tornadoes in England. ---- OLYMPIC WEATHER - Opening Ceremony. The MO-BBC are putting an optimistic gloss when there own models now admit there will be fronts around approaching the South (ie they are/have been moving towards what we say). What they don't know is our R4 from 27th will ratchet up anything around so the fronts they expect around Midlands will power-up and could easily reach London by 27th evening. Comments welcome. Note this is NOT like the May 22nd sudden warm-up. This is about timing of a deteriorating situation (ie rain coming) and the R4 should be in full swing by evening of 27th. So there will be heavy rain and prob thunder and hail around East England & it's still likely to reach the stadium N/E London by 7pm.
On 20 Jul 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
THANKS ALL and THANKS YOU + OTHERS who have been combating churlish, dishonest attacks against me and WeatherAction (and they complain about others libeling them!) The link is:-
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/15/willis-on-why-piers-corbyn-claims-such-a-high-success-rate/#comment-1033589 With 'friends' like this who needs enemies. I posted July 15th 9.37pm Pacific Time (eg). Maybe it is no coincidence that this drivel on a once proud site happens now. The warmists are in a desperate fightback to the death of CO2 warmism. The BBC turning jet stream reality on its head drivel is the 1984 Ministry of Truth come for real. That R2 'debate' - who was The 'Realist'? The BBC set up muddled 'opposition' as straw men to be KO-ed. BTW I phoned BBC and left messages asking if they wanted to know why the jet stream moves and when the UK rains would end. No reply. Talking about the JS is their fatal mistake see my short vid linked above, but it's going to get very nasty before we win.
On 19 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
I listened also Matt, and thought what a load of BS which is what the BBC stands for British BS on Climate The sceptic really didn't stand up well in the interview he definitely needed throw more into the debate from the sceptics point of view but seemed to hardly have much to say which was disappointing. I was expecting a heated debate and it didn't even get started before it was over.
On 19 Jul 2012, Gerry wrote:
The BBC unbiased? Those days are long gone. It's like the Guardian TV Company. Firmly to the left on climate change, EU and political parties. The problem with getting involved with them is that they are in editorial control and can stitch up anyone putting a non-CAGW view. Even on Question Time the audience is rigged and right wing people are given less time to respond, interupted and cut off. Lefties can waffle on at will. Best to avoid them.
On 19 Jul 2012, mike from kent wrote:
Re: Matt. I listened to Radio 2 as well. I sent in my text in. FUNNY: they didn't read mine out. I've never heard so much rubbish. I thought the BBC was supposed to be unbiased. What a joke. The Climate Realist guy that was on, needed to be more stronger and forceful. What we need is the likes of Piers and Joe Bastardi on the radio and TV, hitting them with facts every time they come up with a claim on global warming CRAP.
On 19 Jul 2012, BLACK PEARL wrote:
On 19 Jul 2012, Matt wrote:
I feal your pain
I was thinking on silmilar lines with those facts.
Steam rollered again.
Whats needed is a good mouth piece loaded with the facts & let loose on a major news media program, but I think most of the media sources are controlled not to let that happen.
Eveything is poltics & money.
Go up against that in a serious way.
Bit like WMD maybe.... ?
On 19 Jul 2012, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
I wouldn't get too fixated on one particular prediction Piers makes if I were you, folks. Having bought a few forecasts and watched his predictions for a few years, it's clear that the following are true:
1. Piers predicts periods of heightened risk of extreme weather situations very well indeed.
2. Due to the difficulty of predicting a few weeks ahead, many individual predictions may not be accurate, even though the overall forecast for a month is.
We'll see where we get with the Olympics prediction, but if I were commissioning, I'd be paying him to flag up the following:
1. Heightened risk of extreme winter conditions (grit requirements, winter fuel requirements etc).
2. Heightened risk of prolonged rainfall (like this spring).
3. Heightened risk of prolonged drought (including 2 years of lower rainfall than average).
4. Heightened opportunities for a long, hot summer.
5. Heightened risk of late spring frosts or early autumn ones.
Specifcs come later: early warning s
On 19 Jul 2012, Mark wrote:
live in Bathgate, Scotland next to M8 Motorway. Best weather today for a while, not one spot of rain and a lot of sunshine. At 1900hrs cloud coming over from west to east over our heads, very dark angry clouds but no rain yet.
On 19 Jul 2012, Matt wrote:
Well im bloody anoyed. Yesterday on Radio 2 Jerremy Vine show. One of the topics was Climate change. People saying things like (Global warming doesn't mean warm.) ( Jet stream further South means warmer) (Ice caps are melting) they obviously dont check the (FACTS) The Antarctica is 659 square KM above normal no mention of that why? I tryed to get on but they wouldnt like what I would have to say. Hurricanes at an all time low. And yet they say the opposite. The BBC are a disgrace and misleading the public. I hope this winter in the UK turns into a freezer and shuts them all up! (ANGRY MATT)
On 19 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Yellow warning issued by the Met Office for today for London and South East England this also covers the East of England which as my previous posts have shown were not showing last night. Also an update on Yorkshire and Humber we did get heavy rain from 11.00 pm until the early hours of this morning which weren't covered by the Yellow warnings issued yesterday which expired at 9.00pm last night.
On 19 Jul 2012, east side wrote:
Have you seen this piece of cr..p in the independent today?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/people/profiles/sir-david-attenborough-this-awful-summer-weve-only-ourselves-to-blame-7942405.html
And people still believe Attenborough??
Just because he has a "sir" something or other in front of his name and makes wildlife films.....he makes people believe he ACTUALLY knows something about climate?
The man is senile!
They let him open his big mouth but where is Bellamy now?
Oh he is censored because he has a different opinion!
On 18 Jul 2012, east side wrote:
Pretty wicked stormy end to the massive heatwave in Ural today. 32-35C for most of 2 weeks.
Gale-Hurricane force winds encased inside super cell style thunderstorms in fairly uncommon violence, taking down powerlines and trees.
On 18 Jul 2012, sean malone wrote:
i see james madden already predicting bad winter on the way what is youre thoughts piers or is it too early to tell and great forcasting piers keep up the good work.
On 18 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Scotland's Weather warnings have now been downgraded from an Amber Warning to a Yellow. No further Amber warnings have been issued by the M/O as of 18.41 on Wed 18th July, Yellows still remain in place for some regions.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/
No other weather warnings have been issued for the rest of this week including the weekend at the time of checking M/O website (see time above) I put this as the M/O are crafty and slip them in at last minute sometimes.
On 18 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Met Office have a Yellow weather warning in place for Yorkshire and Humber it is currently sunny, windy and warm, with scattered clouds here in York it's nice seeing some blue sky and sun for a change maybe that may change later as the warning is valid until 21.00 tonight.
On 18 Jul 2012, Gerry, Surrey wrote:
I see from Solarwatcher.net that a M1.7 solar flare with huge CME happened yesterday but states that analysis shows this won't hit the earth. Do you agree with this, Piers? I note that the site has an earthquake in Fiji today - connected events?
On 18 Jul 2012, JamesR wrote:
I was supposed to be taking my 10 year old son to a cricket match today. I woke up just before 8 o'clock to find it was raining. I then (incredibly stupidly) looked at the forecasts for today on both Accuweather and the MetOffice, both of whom were forecasting HEAVY rain for much of the day. I then decided to come to work instead and my poor son got dragged off shopping 20 miles in the opposite direction from the cricket.
Not only has there not been any rain at all since about 8:30 but the sun has been shining most of the morning and the cricket started just half an hour late.
If I hadn't discovered this website, I would be convinced that I had misread the forecasts. How can they get it so very wrong at 8:30 on the very day they are forecasting? Who pays these people? (Don't answer that. In terms of the MetOffice I won't like the answer)
On 18 Jul 2012, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:
So much for the rain!
Sunny and warm here all morning!
Met Éireann rainfall radar shows heavy showers building from the west.
Jet stream moving north? How can the Met Office suggest something like this! They cannot even forecast the weather 3 days in advance!
On 18 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Authorities in Tenerife have evacuated a town of 1,800 inhabitants as a wildfire continues to spread across the island.
http://news.sky.com/story/961572/hundreds-evacuated-as-tenerife-wildfire-rages
On 18 Jul 2012, Craig M wrote:
Beware dodgy media reports trying to make you feel good for the Olympics (remember the Jubilee & how this was due to be good wx?) Netweather said today " Jetstream (JS) +++could+++ well be about to move north and bring some improved weather to the UK" See the word heatwave? I don't, but yes it's possible as the JS is never static (LIA swings)-it has been +mostly+ south & does moves shown by the heat in late May, before JS sth=wet+cold returned once again. Recent wx has been so bad sunshine, showers & warmer for some is a massive improvement. Let's see what happens NEXT week. For this Weds an AMBER WARNING is in force for SW/Central Scotland 20-30mm widely & 50-80mm poss (good call by Malcolm in comments below) & YELLOW for NW+NE Eng, N Wales and ALL of NI. Looking at the MetO fax charts & animation the low is coming on track (Ire heading Sth Scandinavia) i.e. EXACTLY as Piers predicted in his SLAT 8A forecast issued 28 June 2012-THAT IS SERIOUS SKILL!
On 18 Jul 2012, Craig M wrote:
Although the models agree the weather will improve next week from what it's been they are picking up on a possible change around the Olympic opening weekend. This is 9 days out so the low pressure could easily be moved forward (or backwards - models do this all the time). Should this arrive the after effects are not clear. Confidence in any prolonged spell of fine weather is not that high, even if it is warm for a few days. Warmth can also result in thunderstorms.
On 18 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Met Office have issued an Amber rain warning for Scotland which was issued at 23.06 on Tues 17th and is valid from 0115 on Wed. Which just goes to show how much they underestimate severity and give little or no advance warning.
On 17 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
US geoengineers to spray sun-reflecting chemicals from balloon
Experiment in New Mexico will try to establish the possibility of cooling the planet by dispersing sulphate aerosols
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/jul/17/us-geoengineers-spray-sun-balloon
Everything these people say seems to be about Global Warming are these people clueless or what that they go around with their eyes shut and just don't see what is happening in the real world or in the depths of space. I just can't believe that these people call themselves scientists when all they do is bleat on about warming even though the world is cooling and then come up with such stupid ideas of reducing temperatures further by using chemicals. Piers please save us from all these mad delusional warmest's.
On 17 Jul 2012, Andrew wrote:
Scotland misses it's greenhouse emissions targets due to ""Scotland faced its coldest winter temperatures in almost a century and quite rightly people across Scotland needed to heat their homes to keep warm and safe"
Common sense meets idiocy
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-18871679
On 17 Jul 2012, Shaun wrote:
Game on! Piers says wet olympics 80% confidence and Met office for a dry olympics.
On 17 Jul 2012, BLACK PEARL wrote:
King Canute & the Climate Committee
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124718309166920285.html
On 17 Jul 2012, Fanakapan wrote:
I imagine the column by Boris has set the Cat amongst the Pigeon's big style ?? probably leading the MO to play the familiar losing gamblers ploy of Double or Bust ?
If they get it Right, they'll recover some much needed credibility, if they get it Wrong, well who cares, its just business as normal :)
On 17 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
One or two are having a go at you on the Paul Hudson site, in respect of the later July period. I have retorted. I hope it rains on their 'parade'
On 17 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
The Met Office--Beeb have said what they have said and Piers likewise. We'll know by the end of the week/beginning of next who is correct or wrong. Piers , if he is correct, will rightly have a smile of satisfaction and if he is wrong, he'll have the dignity and grace to say so. Can his opponents say likewise?
On 17 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
I have just posted this on the Paul Hudson site:--? if the Jet Stream moves south in the NH and north in the SH, then the world will warm up because anthropogenic CO2 has reached 10 ppm.--Now let's see what they use for logic.
On 17 Jul 2012, Russ wrote:
Well that's a mixed bag Piers. Some good news and some bad news. I'm so glad I have your forecasts because even the near future looks highly unpredictable by standard techniques. It looks as if the LIA conditions, when they start, are quite an abrupt change. No sitting back and watching the mercury ease it's way up the tube for decades. The effects on nature are already apparent and could be quite devastating even this year. When the cooling gets worse over the next couple of decades, I hate to think what's in store. I never realised the jet stream could do that.....scary scary scary!
On 17 Jul 2012, Ruairí (East coast of Ireland) wrote:
The jet stream is to shift south snd we will have a summer! See link: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-18868494
Thiis come from the same Met Office who can't even tell us what day it will rain!
On 17 Jul 2012, M Lewis wrote:
And this article just published about the Jetstream is going to move on BBC Weather website http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/18869916
Seems the UK Met Office is definitely expecting sunshine and heat next week - brought across the Atlantic by the hot air arriving from the US Mid West. Piers what do you think?
On 17 Jul 2012, Steve Devine wrote:
http://news.sky.com/story/961078/us-drought-is-worst-for-50-years
US Drought worst since 1956 apparently...snowing heavily in South Africa...Antarctica ice levels above 1971-2000 average...UK rumoured to be emerging from 4 month long cool/drenched spell by end of July.
Certainly not a dull period of weather and Piers has nailed it at every turn. Time to start giving some much needed karma back in the direction of WUWT eh Piers?
On 17 Jul 2012, M Lewis wrote:
Dear Piers, the BBC News is reporting today that the Jetstream over the UK will shift northwards by the middle of next week in time for the Olympics http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-18867168
I subscribe and have your latest 30 day July forecast and you say that there is a less than 50% certainty that your forecast for London and the South East is wrong. Currently your forecast says torrential rain for the Olympics opening ceremony and also your advice to Boris Johnson, London Mayor in yesterday's Daily Telegraph was the same. Are you considering changing your forecast for next week? Is the Jetstream finally on the move north away from England and Wales? I look forward to your expert advice! Best wishes.
On 17 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
I see Kurt Davies of Greenpeace used 'there is now no natural weather' in his radio confrontation with James Taylor of Heartland. Following on from the recent use of the same line from the Scottish Environment Protection Agency, we can reasonably surmise this line is going to be extensivley promulgated by the Warmo-Panickers.
On 17 Jul 2012, Ries wrote:
@Saskia: according a couple of weather stations in the area where you live the temperature on the 13th was a minimum of 12C and a maximum between 18 and 19C. As said, this is slightly below normal.
On 16 Jul 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Great reader comment about the heavy snow in South Africa at http://iceagenow.info/2012/07/heavy-snow-south-africa/ - "In some places the global warming lies 3 feet thick!" Gave me a chuckle anyway.
On 16 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
My buddies in Alaska tell me that much of southern and coastal Alaska is having unusually cool weather, in fact near record lows for July. This is being [put down to a Jet Stream south scenario. It is largely being ignored by the mainstream media-----ring any bells!?
On 16 Jul 2012, Philippe (Alsace) wrote:
Hi Piers,
wow, spot on again! a coronal hole is emerging at the southern hemisphere of the sun in time for your R5 period of 17th-19th http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html , jet stream is forming again over europe, well south over central europe to Italy; maybe a sign of very bad weather and floods in the alps: we'll see where the bad weather will strike...hopefully not in the east of France...French MetOff nowcasting rather fine weather and almost all the time sunny for next three days...
On 16 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Hot weather on the way at last... but try telling that to these swans!
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2174328/Hot-weather-way--try-telling-swans.html#ixzz20ndIJ41X
I have no plans to put aside my rain coat just yet as we have heard this before and seen what happens when they announce hot weather or summer is on it's way it usually means heavy downpours.
On 16 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Tornadoes Tear Down Homes Across Poland
At least one person has been killed and 10 others injured after a series of tornadoes ripped through parts of Poland.
video and full story here:
http://news.sky.com/story/960619/tornadoes-tear-down-homes-across-poland
On 16 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Met office continue to upgrade weather warnings for Wednesday and now have a Yellow in place for Tuesday for Northern Ireland, North West and Wales just a shame they haven't got a clue and are constantly playing a game of catch up. Maybe by Wednesday we might see further changes to an Amber although even that happening is sometimes rare.
On 16 Jul 2012, Steve,Dorset. wrote:
This was a comment on the WUWT site about the reports of large hail.
Richard Holle says:
July 15, 2012 at 11:58 am
Seems to be valid from looking here http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/120713_rpts.html
Hail Reports (CSV) (Raw Hail CSV)(?)
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2121 150 SILVER LAKE MCLEOD MN 4490 9420 OFFICER IN SILVER LAKE REPORTED QUATER TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL. (MPX)
2233 150 3 WNW MENDOTA HENNEPIN MN 4490 9322 (MPX)
2249 100 4 WNW FARIBAULT RICE MN 4433 9335 (MPX)
0022 100 6 NW BANCROFT KOSSUTH IA 4334 9431 TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (DMX)
0032 175 3 W BANCROFT KOSSUTH IA 4330 9429 GROUND COVERED IN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL STONES. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. (DMX)
0032 100 2 SW FROST FARIBAULT MN 4356 9396 (MPX)
0042 100 5 NE BRICELYN FARIBAULT MN 4361 9374 SIGNIFICANT CROP DAMAGE REPORTED FROM LARGE HAIL. (MPX)
0044 100 4 S BANCROFT KOSSUTH IA 4324 9423 (DMX)
0045 100 2 NNE BRICELYN FARIBAULT MN 4359 9379 (MPX)
0100 125 4 S ALDEN
On 16 Jul 2012, Ken wrote:
Hi, as a beekeeper, I can tell you that the bees are struggling to forage, because of this weather. Honey bees, however are not the main pollinator of Apple Trees, it is Bumble Bees. The sugar in the Apple Blossom nectar is about 20%, and the bees will forage on Dandelion in preference. Piers weather forecasts are very useful for Beekeepers, in areas such as queen rearing, because of the need for fine dry weather for the newly hatched queens to get out and mate. Keep up the good work Piers.
On 16 Jul 2012, Saskia Steinhorst wrote:
@Ries - I live in the province of Fryslân, top North. As you might well know, it happens quite often that there's a large temp difference between my neck of the woods and, say, the province of Limburg. Differences of 10 Celsius or more are not unheard of. Furthermore, if the KNMI says that "temperatures are SLIGHTY below normal" and then predict a chance for night temps of 9 Celsius where nearly 14 would be normal for this time of year (check the website) then I think the term "slightly" is misappropriate. Also, the KNMI has been predicting for temps to "rise to near nomal values" for weeks now, where in effect they have been far below normal. At least - as I stated previously - where I live. BTW, there was a small but nice aurora display here last night. Wonder what tonight wil bring.
On 16 Jul 2012, Paul wrote:
Hi, got here via Boris Johnson's column in the Telegraph today and this is a response to Russ' comment below about Bees.
Volunteers running a community orchard here in Hull have been wondering why it looks like there won't be many apples & pears this year. This is what they found out:
******
Well, I've done the online research and it's just as I thought, this year is a disaster for orchards. The warm weather in March caused the Queen Bees to lay thousands of eggs. By the time the eggs had hatched the weather had turned for the worse and they had to eat their own honey to stay alive.
The bad weather meant the bees couldn't leave the hive and hey presto, the worst crop of apples for 50 years. According to one grower, bees only need a couple of hours to pollinate the flowers but even that was denied them this year! It's just incredible. The whole of Europe is affected not just the UK, which means higher prices in the shops.
*******
On 16 Jul 2012, M Lewis wrote:
Piers, finally you have the spotlight. Ensure you use it wisely! Be CAREFUL of the media as they can turn on you very quickly. Now is your chance to explain to the public in simple terms how the Sun and Moon affect the Jet Stream. Is Boris blind? The Hit Factory concert of Pete Waterman, Kylie and Jason in Hyde Park last week was cancelled because of the rain. Homes and shops have been flooded in towns across England and Wales. When will the people that govern us wake up and smell the coffee? Why do they bury their heads in the mud? Probably because there is big money in carbon tax and wind farms and the powers that lead us have a vested interest for the scam to continue.
On 16 Jul 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:
Russ, NZ is probably one of the few countries that has experienced growth in population. Our current population is 4,430,400 whereas in 1972 it was 2,959,700. However, this is not unusual as NZ is still a relatively young country in terms of immigration and has always attracted people from the UK and some parts of Europe as well as Asia. You made a good point though.
I'm not surprised about the hawthorn, elder and blackberry not setting fruit as you had such wet weather at pollination time. Your fruit yields in general will most likely be down this year. A wet spring and summer can quickly reduce fruit crops.
On 16 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
Update to my lasts post about Met Office Weather Warnings as of Sunday 15th there is now a Yellow alert out for Wednesday 18th for parts of Northern England looks more western side at present. I knew it couldn't last for long without any being issued!
On 16 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
I wish to ask that anyone who has or hasn't done so far that we all should be engaging our local MP's or even Parliamentary MP's in any weather related issue that is deemed to be of a serious nature as seen over the past few months and still ongoing also the fact that Piers Corbyn who has an excellent track record for Long Range weather forecasting is left out in the cold is a total travesty and should be respected for his sterling work in alerting the public to extreme weather events around the world. The warmest fraternity seem hell bent on silencing anyone including Piers who believe in anything other than global warming and it is time we started giving them a real challenge whenever we can by speaking out to those that try and stop us, we know the truth so lets get the word out to anyone and everyone who want's to take notice! And if it means going to the highest level's and your happy to do it go for it, that's what i'm doing!
On 15 Jul 2012, Simontific wrote:
Well it's been over 24hrs since I posted a comment on the METO blog site article about the jetstream. *** http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2012/07/12/the-uks-wet-summer-the-jet-stream-and-climate-change/ *** As yet my post has not appeared. I wonder if that has anything to do with the fact I said the record low ice extent was misleading as the article they link to only covers the satellite era. I provided a link to an article on Steve Goddards blog ** http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/06/04/the-1935-arctic-trip-in-perspective/ ** I also queried why it was they made no mention of solar factors possibly effecting the jet stream and that there was some compelling research in this regard. Obviously not the sort of input they were looking for......
On 15 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
Thought you had heard it all from the Warmo-Panickers!? Well to day in the Scottish Herald we have a piece in the home news section from a 'scientist' Peter Singleton of The Scottish Environment Protection Agency saying that there is no natural climate anymore and it's all down to mankind. Has the enormity of that arrogance taken your breath away? Needless to say we are on the blog posts having a go. Hope some of you can log in and help out.
On 15 Jul 2012, Ries wrote:
Saskia wrote that the temperature in Holland on the 13th was only 14 C; well, as a matter of fact, that was the minimum temperature for most of the country. Maximum that day was 18 to 19 C which is indeed just slightly below the "normal" temperature of 21 to 22 C for July in Holland.
On 15 Jul 2012, Russ wrote:
Wow! We are so lucky. While all around us are being battered by heavy showers we in the Midlands have had a pretty perfect day.
Two days ago mid Wales had blue and white bits (rain radar), across the Newtown area for many hours. Scotland has had heavy showers almost endlessly. The south west and south east have been hit too. Toady, it was warm sun, very cool stiff breeze, almost windy by 3pm, and fairly humid. Bikers were swarming today, both cyclists and motorcyclists, making hay while the sun shines, as were the farmers, working their socks off trying to get the hay in before the next wet day.....Now listen up people because this is important. I noticed today that both elderflowers and hawthorn flowers have not been pollinated. They are NOT forming berries! Neither are blackberries. I can only assume that the chaotic, cold, wet weather has prevented bees from harvesting pollen through the crucial pollination period. Once that window of opportunity was gone, so were the berries. Bad!
On 15 Jul 2012, Paul, Bedfordshire wrote:
Just had an aurora red alert come through due to geomagnetic storm at 16.00.
Frorecast here in Beds is clear this evening.
Will there be an aurora borealis tonight
And what on earth will this bring for the weather this week
On 15 Jul 2012, Michael wrote:
Well not posted on here for ages, although I have been following this site everyday.
Just thought I would tell you how the weather over here in japan is lije recently.
Western parts of Japan, (Kyushu area) have had as much as 500+ mm rain fall in a matter of hours, because of two fronts blocking each other.
Although we get typhoons and masses amounts of rain this year has been over the top.
Where I am on the east side, hasn't been as hot as usual, with some very funny skys, more like autumn in fact.
Actually dragon flys and cabbage butterflys are already around about 3 weeks earlier than last year, and last year they were out about 3 weeks earlier than what is usual.
Dragon flys and cabbage butterflys signify the start of autumn, and we are only in mid July.
Last winter we had massive amounts of snow, be interesting to see what this year will be like.
I will know in about a month or so what this winter will herald!
On 15 Jul 2012, Danny wrote:
Hello MAINMAN, and to all at WeatherAction
I would just like to put this across to any FARMERS
that use weather action, tell your friends about this website, it could save thier crops, after all our BRITISH farmers have been getting shafted for far too long,So come on MR GILES get the word out and do yourselves all a favor, may be a mention in the farmers weekly wouldnt go a miss about WeatherAction..
Piers just a thought, if this was to take off,
may be you could have a section for farmers,
for best days to plough their fields and scatter and for the cutting of their crops.....
Anyway piers good luck from Danny and dave, dave being my lurcher dog..
PPS. the establishment are petrified of you piers
that is why they will not allow you a voice.
As always good luck piers, THEE MAINMAN
On 15 Jul 2012, Russ wrote:
We are told that almost every western nation is trillions of dollars in debt, mostly to each other(??), yet nobody seems to know or care where all this massive wealth went.... So how much do you want to bet that the world population isn't really 7 billion or however high the figure has rocketed. If the amount of debt we are in is a con then how about taking a closer look at population figures. In the time it's taken the world population of 3 billion to reach 7 billion, the UK population has hardly altered. So how can we be so sure that all other country's have exploding populations, except us? Any other people out there, Lorraine, Saskia, have you noticed your population remain fairly stable over the past 40,50,60 years?
On 14 Jul 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:
Flooding has worsened since my previous phttp://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10819693osting and the weather is now heading to the Lower North Island.
On 14 Jul 2012, Craig M wrote:
Tornadoes in Poland > http://bit.ly/NPYH0y If there are any readers who can let us know when/if there's been an uptick in tornadoes as I've seen a few examples/reports since 2008 when 'true believers' tried them to link to 'climate change' (http://bit.ly/MupVa4) - Christopher Booker addresses this aspect well http://bit.ly/NXPPUX (via CR)
+++Swan Upping was cancelled due to the weather http://bbc.in/PW6uxC for the first time in 900 years-counter that with organisers & the environment agency upholding their responsibilities (imagine if it wasn't cancelled & someone was injured?) +++ This LIA will be hard for one reason - there are more people in more areas throughout the globe,especially on floodplains & coastlines. These events cannot happen in a vacuum and it will be rare that someone is not affected. There are six billion more people now than in the last LIA.
On 14 Jul 2012, Lorraine Lister wrote:
Very heavy rain in the Nelson/ Tasman region, NZ overnight. On track with the R4. The Buller river was at 11.3 metres this morning, its historic high was 11.8 in 1970.
On 14 Jul 2012, Richard. T wrote:
Video: NASA releases images of the X1.4 Solar Flare that occurred July 12, 2012 - @nasa
http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/videogallery/index.html?media_id=148343221
On 14 Jul 2012, Malcolm wrote:
At 20.34 Saturday evening the Met office have No weather warnings in place for the UK for the next 5 days, wonder how long it will be before this changes?
On 14 Jul 2012, Paul wrote:
Just had heaviest rain of the year so far here on the central beds greensand ridge 14.4mm in one hour starting 19.02.
Todays forecast is /was for dry weather at the time although now showing light rain until 10PM
Coincidentally got an aurora amber alert which showed geomagnetic event starting at 19.00, I wonder if there is a connection.
On 14 Jul 2012, Matt wrote:
The following appeared on the Guardian website this week:
"What is affecting these changes in the jet stream is the million-dollar question, said Chivers. Variations could be caused by temperature changes in the Pacific, but meteorologists are also studying how shifts in the Earth's temperature, caused by global warming, affect weather conditions.
Basically, they haven't got a clue. Why don't you tell them about SLAT Piers!
As usual, they're trying to blame it on just one thing - global warming:
"A lot of work is being done into the decrease in Arctic sea ice," said Chivers. "Essentially, if you warm up a sea, you change the temperature differential between the poles and the tropics and that in turn influences the jet stream. Research has already shown the influence on north-west Europe winters, making them drier and colder, but what happens in the summer is still relatively unknown."
On 14 Jul 2012, Fed_Up wrote:
Biggest hail stones in 30 years in U.S!
http://tinyurl.com/79e6nw6
On 14 Jul 2012, Fed_Up wrote:
Regarding Piers comments above regarding the MO upping weather warnings during Weather Action R periods: I checked the environment agency website last night there were several "Flood Alerts" for this area. This morning they were upgraded to "Flood Warnings". Remarkable work Piers!!
Many commentators are noting the cold, however for me the main feature hasn't been cold per se, but the dizzying switch from hot to cold over a few hours, it has been happening for several weeks now, almost impossible to figure out what to wear when when going out. This morning went out at 10.00am wearing T-Shirt, this afternoon looking/feels like I will need warm rain coat.
On 14 Jul 2012, Fed_Up wrote:
Just as a follow up to my previous post, Mrs Fed_Up took a call from a friend last night who was in the middle of a thunderflood near Coventry.
Current MO nowcast is now adding "breezy conditions" (what most people would call "windy") to their nowcast. Fair's fair, I challenged Piers on some of the elements of his forecast for the 1st week of July, but since then it has been spot on TO THE DAY, at least in my area.
On 14 Jul 2012, AVERT electric quakes-volcanic winters wrote:
Dear ANTI-FATALIST friends, let's not leave dr Corbyn alone: it's not too late to form LOCAL groups to discuss-prepare-AVERT volcanic clouding-cooling=next LIA: http://avert-quakes-volcanic-eruptions.webs.com
On 14 Jul 2012, steve_m wrote:
Reading people's comments recently, we seem to be witnessing a general Awakening.
Man-Made Global Warming is now seen to be a cleverly put-together fabrication designed to control / tax the population and also sooth their fears about difficult times ahead by implying that we are in control of the climatic shifts, when in fact the governments have a good idea about the real problems ahead for the expanding population and contracting resources (decrease in food production etc) The work done by Piers and very few others enables us to see whats really happening.
On 14 Jul 2012, Saskia Steinhorst wrote:
Yesterday, temps didn't rise above 14 Celsius. And still the KNMI continues to state that temps are "slightly below normal". All our cats remained indoors, curled up; the dog kept trying to snuggle underneath the blanket on the couch; my kids kept begging me to light up the woodstove; and we have the feeling that the coming winter will yet again be "colder than normal". Although cold is now becoming "normal". Venture to make a wager as to when national weather institutes will finally adjust their definition of "normal"?
On 14 Jul 2012, m labbett wrote:
piersforecast said cloudy in wales 8th /13.We harvested 70 acres of silage in this period .It was very risky none of my neighbours got much done.some of my grass would have been lost without this forecast many thanks
On 14 Jul 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
Edinburgh has onlly recorded 2 hours of sunshine in this fine LIA month, but in Scotland, any sin, including sunny weather, is tolerated---as long as you don't enjoy it!!
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