Comments from Piers
Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 firstname.lastname@example.org www.weatheraction.com Twitter address Piers_Corbyn
22May - Summer speculation Express etc - See new posting
THE WEATHERACTION NEWS THE MET OFFICE WERE DREADING.
The STORM developing on and from 20th in Italy confirms WeatherAction long range forecast covering 19-21st of thunder + hail AND coming period 22-25th for Major thunder, hail (snow also in places), local floods & tornado developments
- for more get Full European forecast via Subscribe button below
Pics of Annular Solar eclipse of 20 May
and info on coming Lunar Eclipse 4 June and transit of Venus 5/6th June:
20May Eclipse In Japan : http://twitpic.com/9nf6kr ,
20 May A great stack of eclipse pics http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/galleries/323.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
Luanr Ecupise 4 June Vis in Americas and East Asia, not Europe Africa or West Asia:
Pinhole projector to safely view solar eclipses and transit of Venus. Want to make one for yourself? http://www.exploratorium.edu/eclipse/how.html
ScienceCasts: The 2012 Transit of Venus http://ow.ly/aZLFe Details of times around the world - for UK From sunrise on 6th June (03.46 UT in London = 04.46 BST) for about an hour and a half. For Europe an hour or two later. For USA in afternoon of USA Calendar June 5th - See http://astro.ukho.gov.uk/nao/transit/V_2012/index.html
HM Queen's Diamond Jubilee 4 Day hol 2-5 June, WeatherAction forecast issued 18(16)May is NOW available to current 45day and EARLY to current 30day subscribers.
Piers Corbyn, astrophysicist of WeatherAction.com said
"Given the national importance of this event and the inability of standard meteorology to forecast more than a few days ahead and our success and Met Office failure to forecast the Royal Wedding** last year we are making this detailed forecast available 2 weeks ahead at no extra charge to all current 30day and 45day UK & Ire subscribers."
Anyone who subscribes now to B+Ire 45day or 30day forecasts gets this whole page detailed forecast for the UK with regional detail and comments on the likely weather for Her Majesty's events inclusive. Key events are
- Epsom Derby Sat 2 June
- Thames Boat Pageant Sun 3 June
- London concert and beacons around the UK Monday 4 June
- Procession and fly-by London Tue 5 June
To Subscribe to WeatherAction Forecasts go to
Quakes and Red warnings ('RTQ') forecasts are now also included with B+I 45day and Euromaps.
Reductions for longer Subscriptions:
LONGER AHEAD FORECASTS up to 12 months ahead are available via WeatherAction Office email@example.com
READER COMMENTS AND FEEDBACK BELOW
- Some 'direct' just below One from Russ which got half delivered:
And when it gets much colder...then what?....> http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8965260/Concerns-about-ice-and-snow-falling-from-worlds-tallest-tower.html <..... I'm trying to get a mental picture of the devastation caused when an earthquake hits this thing.... Go get 'em Piers...>
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/9272469/Britain-colder-than-Arctic-and-Antarctic-with-just-two-weeks-until-summer.html <.... Another meteorologist on our side of the fence...>
<.... I can only assume they recorded these temperatures outside the doors of an inner city Tesco store...(or inside)....>
<.... I just checked our digital temperature sensor facing south and just 300mm from the kitchen wall and it read 8.9C @ 6.15pm but then we don't live in a nice warm city....!
Whacking the the McWarmist deluded zealots - Message from Ron G
Piers, Well I certainly did stir up a hornets nest amongst the MacWarmists, both in principle and in my support for your position. They of course hide behind monikers and I have challenged them to enter a dialogue with your directly having the conviction to use their own names in the process. One of them has even gone on to your site , read my supportive comments and has tried to use it against me( and by inference yourself). I have of course retorted, asked others up here to support me and I wonder if other Weatheraction supports might like to google 'Scotsman' and post or write in support. If nothing else this is increasing publicity for Weatheraction.
Overflow ? from previous post:
"May isn't over. Would it be safer and wiser to declare it a 'supercold month' when we reach the 31st? You may be right but you can't declare it yet."
Piers: "I don't think we have but it's a fair description of much of the month in UK so far compared to MAY normals."
|Comments submitted - 20||Add your comment|
On 22 May 2012, Richard .T wrote:
Andy the point i was making is ,these newspapers over hype ,terms etc.brainwash the public ,i knew Piers would have a response to it ,in my opinion he knows what he is talking about. These journalists pick bits out mix them together with some fancy words like blocking pattern etc and it fools joe public but not most of us . Redcar today was predicted to reach 18.c ,it never got past 16.c yes it was sunny but 12.5% overestimated by the mo!!!
On 22 May 2012, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
THANKS ALL --- STEVE D, RICHARD T, RUSS Yes firstly the BBC have been consistently overstating warmth both in terms of Met O forecasts themselves being overwarm (eg Mon 21st) and reportage of forecast compared with other Channels (eg Sky news) small sample I know but today I noticed SKY NEWS top temps in London area were put 1C below that on BBC and they are all using the same MetO model output. I confirm that this is / will be a two day affair really ie Tue 22nd and Wed 23rd with 22nd prob warmest. More cloud and rain comes in from 23rd. The east has been consistently colder like we said in Long range. At month end we need a fair measure of East parts - east Anglia (Marham?) , E Midlands (Nottingham?) as well as CET. A Return to normal patterns said Express you say, but based on what? What they mean I have no idea. If there was a change back to normal it has lasted 4 days - the map on Friday even if out quite a bit is still VERY clearly Jet stream South - see main article above.
On 22 May 2012, Andy wrote:
Richard T: whatever I may think about Piers, he knows far more about the weather than the Daily Express. Mind you, so does a stone at the botton of Loch Lomond. The Express are simply a joke. As an aside, I did predict (20th April) that the 2nd half of May would see a change in weather and it would be warmer and drier, with the month ending just above average for temp and rainfall. Not sure I'm going to be right, but not entirely wrong either?
On 22 May 2012, Catherine wrote:
Piers, I'm intrigued. You frequently say 'we' whenever you make a statement on behalf of Weather Action. Does this mean that you work with a team of clever people - or do you use the term 'we' in the Royal way? As a newcomer to this website, I'm enjoying reading the posts here and look forward to learning more about your methods of weather forecasting.
On 22 May 2012, Steve Devine wrote:
MO just predicted (1pm BBC News 22/5) wall to wall sunshine for England & Wales up to and including the weekend with temps peaking at 27C in London Weds 23rd. And on the BBC News Website an article about proposals for an energy bill to boost clean energy production and reduce dependance on gas. "Carbon reduction % by year blah", etc. And guess what? Yup. Consumer bills to rise even further to cover these changes, including proposals to capture carbon if using coal mines. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18144412
On 22 May 2012, Richard .T wrote:
In the express today its say,s a pressure blocking system which caused recent summers to be cool and wet has moved away now ,that pattern has ended .Reduced levels of blocking should result in a better summer like 2002-06 warmer,drier,less windy and above normal temperatures . I say really we better ask our own expert Piers to see if this blocking pattern has truly moved away?
On 21 May 2012, Russ wrote:
Ok... so I got the eclipse timing cocked up... Doh!......... Max' temperature yesterday didn't get above 11.4C on our back garden. But then the Met did swap their initial 14C for 11C for our area. Then again, that's not really forcasting is it....what....4 hrs ahead? Makes a mockery of their ' temperature accuracy graph' on their new site..! What they are effectively saying is that no matter how far out their predicted temperature is at 8am, if they then change the prediction throughout the day until they get it almost correct by 3pm then that means they had a very accurate forecast. I'm sorry but that's just a load of hogwash...! If that's the best their supercomputer can do then it must be faulty...! Could always blame the software...or the data input...or the decision maker...! I'm sure they'll find something or someone to blame. ... .My own eclipse cockup? I blame me..! ;^)
On 21 May 2012, Steve Devine wrote:
Watched the MO forecast for the week ahead yesterday (Countryfile) and the hype for a heatwave was palpable. As Piers has mentioned on this very page, the MO have downgraded/backtracked in just 24 hours. My gut feeling is to go with Piers for 2 days of warm(ish) weather before the HP over Norway retreats and allows the Atlantic LP to encroach from the SW in time for the weekend. May temperatures just north of M25 show average of 13.3C by day, 7.5C by night with just 1/3rd of the month to go. Looking spot on for Piers' forecast, dire for those with multi-million pound supercomputers! "Flaming June" it may be next month but that may be more of an expletive than reference to heat!
On 21 May 2012, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
The newspapers really are a joke. Firstly they trashed your May forecast, then they backed it totally without naming you, then they said a week ago that 'it will be cold until the jubilee' now it's going to be hotter than Greece. Does kind of say 'we don't have an effin' clue' doesn't it? Based on growth in the garden, May has been cold. Many seedlings have been growing very, very slowly, although the spuds loved the rain. There seems to be a significant difference in growth between 12C days and 16C days.
On 21 May 2012, Steve Devine wrote:
More tripe quoted in the Metro newspaper today (Mon 21st May) in which the University of Alaska has stated that methane seepage from melting tundra landscapes will have a massive impact on the CO2 levels in the atmosphere. Blinded by (anti) science methinks...
On 21 May 2012, Andy B wrote:
Here is an interesting article supporting Piers drop in temperature http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/05/20/premonitions-of-the-fall-in-temperature/#more-63946
On 21 May 2012, Ron Greer wrote:
I see James 'the Hoaxer' Hansen is getting a roasting from John O'Sullivan in Climate Realists today. Wonder if it's warm enough for him now---nothing to do with CO2 --there 's heat Jim, but not as you know it!
On 20 May 2012, CraigM wrote:
Notice the coronal hole rotate across the solar equator? Well done Piers. Another CH on way, eclipse in the middle. Then venus transits during the jubilee. These events are a wonderful opportunity to measure the solar landscape.
On 20 May 2012, AVERT volcanic winter-next ice age wrote:
There was at least a 4,2R PRECURSOR before 6R in Italy (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/usb0009tje). PARASITIC governments (as the prof under trial there, who told people to go drunk before l'Aquila 2009 quake...) DO NOT CARE, have NO FORESIGHT. But WE CAN FORECAST: http://www.mediafire.com/download.php?37yp537u1v3q0r3 (3rd edition)
On 20 May 2012, Nick Stoneman wrote:
Hi Piers. One correction - the nation has actually been given 2 days public holiday to celebrate my birthday on the 6th! The Royals have shamelessly taken advantage of this for their own shindig. ---- Thought this link might be interesting - http://iceagenow.info/2012/05/ice-age-arrived-months/ Is it time to start planning moving 700 miles nearer the equator? Or perhaps we could all club together to lease a cruise ship and sail that into warmer seas as a floating climate refugee camp. We could fit oars and get recalcitrant warmists to row us there. Only joking, obviously - I was a dedicated warmist (and vehement ANTI-conspiracy theorist) until I stopped accepting "expert" opinion from my fellow "scientists" and actually looked at the evidence. Well done to Piers for his excellent research, his ability to forecast much further ahead than others, and his great skill and tenacity at making a convincing case for the solar-lunar climate control model. Viva true science!
On 20 May 2012, Russ wrote:
Plus there was a solar eclipse just a few hours before the Italy quake!
On 20 May 2012, Russ wrote:
Well now, what a strange coincidence! 2am this morning a blast from the sun hits earth.....also at 2am a magnitude 6 quake hits Italy..... I wonder if there could be a correlation... hmmmm?....> http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-18135898 <.... ....> http://www.spaceweather.com/ <....
On 20 May 2012, Russ wrote:
Piers...is it normal parlance amongst physical'cists to talk of "shock waves" in space? If satellites were constantly bombarded by "shock waves" then they would end up orbiting Mars surely? I can understand rapid increases in heat, light or other forms of radiation and even increases in particles, but a "shock wave"...in a vacuum? How do you apply Hooke's Law in space?? Or do you just work to 11 decimal places?.....On a more terrestrial note, the temp sensor is in place and the Met are forecasting max 14C at 4pm for my area Sunday 20th. If it reaches 14C we'll be getting the sunlounger out..!
On 20 May 2012, Rob wrote:
Ron, I too have been educating the McWarmists. They told us we were on a one way ticket to wet/warm winters and hot dry summers.Skiing in Scotland would be consigned to history or at best an infequent activity, funny that as I skied last weekend on several inches of fresh snow and people are still skiing today , May 20th. Piers predicted cold for the East but in the West where I am it has certainly been cold as well with more late season frosts than I can ever remember. Every time I hear someone grumble about the weather I smile to myself and think..if only you knew!.....Get weatheraction, then you'll know.
On 19 May 2012, Russ wrote:
Question for any global warming fanatics out there. IS MAY COLD ENOUGH FOR YOU YET..?? Any of you living in the south, don't throw your scarves in the bin just yet, there's another great dollop of cold air and cloud pushing down from Iceland. Oh boy!!