Comments from Piers
WeatherAction

Going to parts other forecasters cannot reach
 
Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1 1HR +44(0)207939 9946 From Piers Corbyn +44(0)7958713320 piers@weatheraction.com  www.weatheraction.com Twitter address Piers_Corbyn 

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1] Events, Videos & Forecast news
 
Upcoming Meeting: Piers to speak at Kent Freedom Movement Gravesend Kent UK Thurs April 12th 8pm 
http://kentfreedommovement.ning.com/events/kent-freedom-movement-presents-piers-corbyn-from-www
 
MUST SEE YOUTUBE: "Piers Corbyn knocks them dead at the Internationale Klima- und Energiekonferenz in München, Nov 2011  - Climate Realists link - http://t.co/dBUwk5l5
 
The forecasts this April show major extreme events and situations in all parts of World forecasted - B+I, Eu and USA. This suggests there will also be extreme events in Australia, New Zealand, Asia, Pacific - anywhere - at the same time as the forecasted extremes in Europe & USA. Forecasts on web are:
  • Brit & Ireland 30 day uploaded - 6 pages
  • EuroMaps regions 30 day uploaded - 9 pages
  • Euromaps extremes only  30 day uploaded - 9 pages
  • Euromaps Pressure scenarios 30 day uploaded - 8 pages
  • USA KeyWeather & Extreme Events maps 30 day uploaded - 10 pages
  • World RTQ RedWarns+Thunder-tornado+MajorQuakeRisk (Xev r.o.w) - 1 page
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NEW WeatherAction News No 20 released 7April
"Dishonest, Delusional & Dangerous", 
Piers dismembers the latest Nature +BBC claim that  drives  
Good coverage a discussion via
This has been getting a lot of coverage:
Blogger News Network
And Piers Corbyn points out that Antarctica is where temperature changes are first seen (it has 91% of the earth's glacial mass) and that the Arctic follows ...

UK Astrophysicist Piers Corbyn rips new study claiming reversal of ...
Corbyn: 'The CO2 warmists have been desperately trying for a decade to 'hide the rise!' in observed (proxy) Ocean & Antarctic temps which precedes rise in ...
www.climatedepot.com/.../UK-Astrophysicist-Piers-Corbyn-rip...

Piers Corbyn On Shakun | Real Science
The publication of this paper is a monument to the corrupt, secret, unaccountable 'peer-review' process which dominates modern science and if Nature...
www.real-science.com/piers-corbyn-on-shakun

"Dishonest, Delusional & Dangerous”
How unbelievably absurd!” - Piers Corbyn astrophysicist, www.WeatherAction. com. WA12No20 April7 Delta House, 175 Borough High St, London SE1 1HR ...
www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No20.pdf

   
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2] Britain & Ireland 
Easter weather News - with new update Easter Saturday - is carried on Climate Realists in comments part of 'Heat gives way to cold...'  piece:  http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=9376#post_comments

Update April 9th 06:30ut 
WeatherAction Easter period forecast has been /is being confirmed with - in Britain & Ireland - rain coming in on weakening fronts, so SE less wet. The actual words of 7(8)-11th forecast map for the broad S/E England area including most of Midlands was 
"Dry at first, then some rain gets through, bec briefly breezy".
Note no mention of Snow unlike speculations in some newspapers!

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3] Quake trial forecasts & Solar News
Major Quake forecasts (RTQ) confirmed in the two periods in first 6 days of April. 
These forecasts are in 'Extreme Events Rest Of World. via PayPal subscription link below
The first two periods of major quake risk forecast (trial) by WeatherAction in April have been confirmed

Qv 1-2nd      CONFIRMED  April 2nd 17.36gmt M6.0 MEXICO 
Qv 5-6th       CONFIRMED  April 6th 16.16gmt  M6.2 PNG       

This is 2/2 success so far. 
Fun Note The skill of this result can be estimated assuming that two quakes would occur in the 6 days which are divided into three equal periods 1-2nd, 3-4th and 5-6th. This is the two peas each into one of three holes but not the same hole problem. If the peas (quakes) are a and b the possibilities for the three holes (periods) are:
(ab,0,0); (a,b,0); (a,0,b); (b,a,0); (0,ba,0); (0,a,b); (b,0,a); (0,b,a); (0,0,ba)
Of these 9 outcomes only the two in blue bold are what we wanted, so the probability of getting this result by chance is 2/9= 22%.
ClimateRealists April Quakes monitor: http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=9413

Quake+Solar News April 9th 05:30ut

Impressive Coronal Holes moving to center of solar disc for April 9th as we predicted. Coronal holes image is for 8th which means the biggest one will be Earth-Facing (EF) on 9th, the middle of our 8-10th period.

http://spaceweather.com/archive.php?day=09&month=04&year=2012&view=view

Note the official forecasts say to expect solar wind from these holes to hit Earth ~12-13th. This may be true but our work shows the important time for (earlier) influences giving Eartthquakes is when the holes are EF, give or take a day.

Now watch out for the quakes (8-10th as in forecast), mainly in NH, as in forecast.


Earlier QV coverage on Climate Realists:  
where we show eg for March that success rate of forecasts is 
80% ahead of chance in the narrow time windows for M6+ quakes and 
180% better than chance for M7+ in the narrow time windows (although small sample)

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4] USA
Increasingly popular - WeatherAction USA "10/10 Brilliant consistent  long range skilled extremes forecasts"
All the key weather scenarios and major events USA in each of the last ten forecast time periods have been basically confirmed in a recent check from late February:-
For samples and links see below. For full forecasts see http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember5.asp USA Maps
 
Feb28-March 1st
"Snow in NE USA ~29Feb and major tornado activity MidWest & S/E USA at start of March were driven by our Top Red (R5) Solar Factor predicted 30 days ahead for weather effect around Feb 28-March 1 (with uncertainties/extensions ~1day) which triggered these events”, says Piers Corbyn Astrophysicist WeatherAction.com confirmed  http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No11.pdf
  
MARCH 1-3
(COMMENT ON TV WEATHER FORECAST MAPS OF THE TIME rather than forecast) Solar Factors: R5 ends after ~March 1st. => ~2-3rd becomes NSF/Q. "The very significant intense activity across USA in period ~28th-1st {last weather period in Feb forecast} was/is driven by the top level "R5” solar influences predicted. After 1st Mar although the general motion of systems West to East continues the intensity of activity will drop generally later. Confirmed see eg Mar2nd http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20120302.html
  
MAR 4-8 Solar Factors: R3, 6-7 March
Deep thundery low pressure over East of Great Lakes and NE USA with cool showery weather around West part of Great Lakes. Confirmed http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20120305.html
 
MAR 9-12 Solar Factors: NSF/Q then R2 11-12th.
High pressure (N-S) tendency persists in central parts and Low pressure Mexico gives very warm South winds in SW USA. Moderately active Low (moving East)over Great Lakes / East of Great Lakes…See  http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20120313.html for Temp increase(ing)(ed) early 13th
 
March 13-15 Solar Factors: R4 13-15
Heavy thundery attack NW USA confirmed http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No14.pdf
Massive thunderstorms, giant hail and tornado activity lower mid-west confirmed: http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews12No16.pdf
  
MAR 16-20 Solar Factors: NSF/Q then R3 19-20th.
The unseasonal heat in central and SE USA in 3rd  week of March was accurately predicted 3 weeks ahead
http://climaterealists.com/attachments/ftp/WA%20News%2017%202012.pdf (WANews17)
 
MAR 21-23 Solar Factors: NSF/Q
Texas Heat warned "Spot-on” by WeatherAction 24 days ahead
http://climaterealists.com/attachments/ftp/WA%20News%2018%202012.pdf  (WANews18).
The WeatherAction forecast maps for these periods 16-20th and 21-23rd clearly distinguish between the different heat distributions and were both confirmed.
 
MAR 24-28 Solar Factors: NSF/Q then R4 26-28th
… Frontal activity increases dramatically 26-28th. ……. Widespread intense tornadic developments 26-28th including much of mid west and especially in South and midparts of ‘tornado alley’ Low pressure Mexico, Hot/very warm in SW. High pressure SouthWest coast
Powerful active Low attacks Vancouver/NW from around 26th giving major thunderstorms.  Confirmed, see http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20120327.html  for powerful Active thundery low ~mid-west, heat ~SW and Powerful attack NW
 
MAR 29-31 Solar Factors: NSF/Q
High pressure persists over Great Lakes and Low pressure over Mexico. SW parts are very warm or hot…. Generally confirmed http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20120331.html
  
APRIL 1-4 Solar factors R2 (later R3) 2-3rd
 Generally mobile, with weather systems moving west to east. (Hail)/Thunder/tornado developments in central parts. Confirmed (obs maps show low pressure and high wind and hail activity 2 April). 
In terms of the forecast general pressure pattern and extra activity beyond standard Met expectations 1-4 April was confirmed. The extreme tornadoes Dallas 3 April were part of the same picture but 'extra events' in the sense we had not said anything about such there although they would not be excluded by the set-up we envisaged. See http://www.ksla.com/story/17316320/strong-winds-cause-several-fallen-trees-across-the-arklatex

As reported on WeatherAction new video:
The latest  (APRIL) USA Maps forecast includes a warning of a tornado swarm in late April in USA. 

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Quakes and Red warnings forecasts are now also included with B+I 45day and Euromaps.
 
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LONGER AHEAD FORECASTS up to 12 months ahead are available via WeatherAction Office piers@weatheraction.com
 
 
Comments submitted - 3 Add your comment
On 29 Apr 2012, Mary wrote:

Bravo! Your work is the best among the million fauulobs images on flickr, I can imagine how is your image beautiful. Such the great artistic eyes to captured/treatment it. I pleasure and honor to give you the awards. Feel free to display to My amazing group;SPLENDID PHOTO YOUR IMAGE WINS THE BEST ATTHE INSPIRE GROUP INSPIRE Invite ONLYYou are INVITED to display this wonderful photoin the INSPIRE Pool.Have a nice day:)
On 11 Apr 2012, John Planet wrote:

I have been looking at one of your videos and you mentioned the period between 1875 to 1879 as a period of summers similar to the ones we had. I have been looking at www.booty.com and weather world website for the summer of 1880 and the feature of this particular summer was thunderstorms lots of them in July. I also looked at the period of 1977 to 1982 which also had a similar run of lousy summers. The summer of 1982 was thundery and was followed by 1983 most thundery year of the 20th century.
On 10 Apr 2012, BLACK PEARL wrote:

Has anyone emailed Jonathan Amos at the BEEB with a link to the Climate Realists (Piers C's) answer to the latest Co2 C02 claims. Just wondering if they got a reply ? :)