Comments from Piers
=> NEW VID filmed Aug5 Top Hit! & links to major events 6-7 Aug + What next? http://t.co/ece5Msj
along with earth-facing coronal holes on Aug 4th
"Let us be clear a 1MeV proton burst is significant, this is a hundred times bigger! These events are the prime drivers of fast solar wind to come and our predicted 'qv' period 6-7 Aug and 'Qv' period 8-10 Aug for extra earthQuake and possible volcano activity (with Q signifying probably bigger quakes than q)" said Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction.com ,
"The 6-7/8th is also a WeatherAction predicted period of extreme events in USA, UK and Europe - and more follow just after. These are important periods for solar-weather action so WATCH OUT!"
=> Aug 5-6th WOW! K8 Geomagnetic activity
- See graph on WANews2011No10 via http://bit.ly/oNlSZX
(also twitpic: http://t.co/vm0wvdY )
- http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/kp_3d.html for current - updating
See floods pics via http://bit.ly/oNlSZX & forecast MAPS http://t.co/7tpMoSQ .
=> Aug 6th Tornado North Holland - video http://bit.ly/pCWWoM
=> Aug 6th Mount Etna erupts in WeatherAction period + USA storms
See twitpic with Etna images & 'qv' forecasts & USA links 6Aug http://t.co/ZrhQUUI
=> Link to latest US storms (eg Aug7) http://wickedwx.com/reports/#time=1312680600
WeatherAction LongRange USA FORECAST MAP for AUG 6-8: http://twitpic.com/62nnmh
This forecast a cluster of eg big hail events including WY, SD and NE which were prominent around 16:00-17:00 Central Time in the storms link above - which showed 96 extreme mainly wind events around 17:00 Central Time
=> COMMENT ON 8-10th AUG (at 21:30UTC on 10th Aug).
Observers will have noticed that our WeatherAction 'RTQ' forecast*, apart from for 6-7Aug, specifically for 8-10th Aug - see http://twitpic.com/6275ss expected:
(* 'Extreme Events Rest Of World' via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp )
=> 8-14AUG Floods, England, Scotland. Record rain in Scotland in WeatherAction LongRange Flood warning period, Road, rail, farms disrupted.
Confirming WeatherAction detailed long range maps: http://twitpic.com/65094h
=> ~ Aug 17th Top Red warning qv period - Events M6.2 Japan
=> Aug 19th No specific warning but next to 20-21- Events M6.3 Japan M6.1 Fiji
=> Aug 20-21 Top Red warning qv period - Events 20th M7.0 & M7.1 Vanuatu S Pacific
=> Aug 22 No specific warning but next to 20-21- Events M6.0 Sumatra Indonesia
Events awaited. Note on 23rd, interesting USA M5.3 Colorado & M5.8 Virginia perhaps a prelude to major Seismic events expected. For whole month see the forecast document - subscription info below.
To get the full forecasts for August - subscribe now and you will get September as well at the end of Aug inclusive -
=> Extra solar action, tornado+thunder and Earthquake/volcano consequences visit
http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp and subscribe to 30day Extreme events Rest of world
=> For forecasts of USA extremes (Maps); UK / Ire (maps & graphs); or European (Euromap) forecasts click on options indicated via the link. http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp
The USA forecast spells out how and when the great heat in the USA will end. Do not believe those who claim 'There is no end in sight'. There is! The fact is they cannot see and do not want to admit anyone else can. And we, WeatherAction, were right - it ended generally when we predicted around 15th Aug
Sharing Policy. If you subscribe to WeatherAction long range forecasts you are welcome to share them with a handful of associates for two months with a view to also getting them to subscribe. For further information on promotions contact firstname.lastname@example.org Thankyou
|Comments submitted - 39||Add your comment|
On 13 Sep 2011, Keylon wrote:
Thank God! Somoene with brains speaks!
On 23 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
And so it continues.... 8 quakes ranging from M 0.6-2.9 registered in LOCHAILORT,HIGHLAND between 0837 21st Aug - 0315 22nd Aug http://bit.ly/oY3c2Z The start of this sequence was therefore within your qv period 20-21 Aug BBC report: to have five on the same day "slightly unusual" http://bbc.in/p65bcK
On 17 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
Soputan volcano Sulawesi, Indonesia erupted August 14-15 within the qv 11-14 August period. http://bit.ly/rkXPJk
On 16 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
CRAIG, Thanks for your notes. In fact we had 3 joined up quake-volcanism trial periods in early August (and less in later parts). They were 6-7 (qv), 8-10 (Qv) and 11-14 (qv). Mt Etna was Aug 6 along with other volcanism. The boundaries between these periods is not certain. Your observation of more lower level and unusual quakes around these periods is interesting and helpful. The next period qv is ~17th. The full list and Red Warnings is in Extreme Events Rest Of World monthly forecast via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp which has now been REDUCED IN PRICE (by £1, £5 and £9 for single month, six consecutive months and 12 consecutive months) to encourage people to join in. Thanks Piers
On 16 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
Two more low level UK quakes: 7th Aug 17:11 11.9km (d) M 0.8 CHESTER,CHESHIRE 11th Aug 03:26 7.5km (d) M 1.1 CAERNARFON BAY Look at the time on the last one - a few hours after the end of your warning period 8-10th Aug. This period was notable for not having large quakes (i.e. M6), however there was an "Unusual earthquake close to Israel and the Gaza strip." 7th August http://bit.ly/ovjoWr Keep up the good work Piers. Best Regards
On 16 Aug 2011, Lorraine Lister wrote:
Piers I can't find much data on the late 60's. As you know NIWA manipulated temperature records so its difficult to access accurate data. Temperature records only began at Wellington Airport in 1959 when the airport was built and the accuracy of other Wellington temperature records is a little questionable. If I find anything else out about the 60's I'll let you know
On 15 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
More on the NZ Weather Event: Downtown Auckland’s first snowfall since 1939 [72 years] + coldest day on record [max 8.2C] “MetService head forecaster Peter Kreft [said] "It's a once in many decades event. We are probably looking at something like - in terms of extent and severity, maybe 50 years,'' he said.” http://bit.ly/pIRlFo Whilst the weather in New York on Sunday “broke an all-time record for a one-day rainfall...By 9 p.m., 7.7 inches of rain had fallen at Kennedy Airport. It was the most recorded there in a single day since the National Weather Service began keeping records 116 years ago.” http://nydn.us/qqWROd + http://bit.ly/q2ZcOw (video)
On 15 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
Lorraine, That is interesting. Do these similarities apply to late 60's and around now / a bit earlier, as well? Look for big situations - blocking patterns - but it may be that they are stronger now than then. Thanks Piers
On 14 Aug 2011, Lorraine Lister wrote:
Interestingly I came to New Zealand in 1972 and remember some very cold winters in the 70's. Its true that snow in Wellington is unusual and we had snow in Motueka (upper South Island) last month. However, I wasn't surprised by the latest cold snap and am seeing some parallels with the 70's.
On 14 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
CRAIG This is really interesting and an expression of the EXTRA TOP RED WARNING 11-14AUG we are now in. For info to all, Full Forecasts of Red warnings through the month are in Extreme Events Rest Of World (and note Subscribing now will get you SEPTEMBER at the end of August as well as the warnings for the rest of August now) via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp Thanks Piers Corbyn
On 13 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
Very interesting Southern Hemisphere Weather Event: http://bit.ly/oLbnMe A 6000km high pulls Antarctic air and low to New Zealand. Thunder and Tornado also reported. 'Weather Watch senior analyst Philip Duncan said the low-pressure system was one of the biggest he's ever seen. "This set-up is something that you see only a few times in a lifetime."' http://bit.ly/oHU0E5
On 12 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
HUGH Thanks for that about the sunset effect in that part of AZ; such things are rare elesewhere? . . RON, DAVE Yes please keep up the fight and references like these floods were forecast by WeatherAction using solar activity very appreciated! Piers
On 12 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Hi Ron, Saw your piece in the Scotsman the other day. Poor civil engineering and frozen water supplies are all grist for the global warming sceptic mill but cold comfort for the poor customer. You'd think that a country with the most fresh water per capita of any country on the planet would have the knack by now. However, behind every crap management decision lies an accountant who has chosen autism as a lifestyle. It was ever thus. By the way, even so, you could live in a worse place than Blair Athol. Apropos writing to the News of Jocks, I think I'll need to crank my Salmolini offensive literary ordnance back a few notches; I think I'm too strong a flavour for the poor sods. Yours aye, Dave. ps, as one Weegie wise guy observed on a Radio Scotland climate phone-in last summer, 'At which point during a globally warmed summer dae ye get tae turn aff yer central heatin'?'. My office in the sperr room wis pure Baltic the day.
On 11 Aug 2011, Ron Greer wrote:
Another spell of record rainfall and cool temps in Scotland and autumn is only 3 weeks away, so no Bar B Q sumer again. Dave I just type in Scotsman letters each morning and get stuck into the blogs. One senior politician is begInning to listen. Another freezing winter will do the trick---any thoughts Piers?
On 11 Aug 2011, Hugh Evan wrote:
About the sunset effect, I've seen that many times here at the sea side too. What appears to be happening is that the setting sun manages to light distant clouds in the East from below: the two wide but still somewhat focused beams pass right over your head but you see only their effect on the clouds! A combination of cloud holes and sharp edges of the mountains in this case are giving a very selective lighting on two places, possibly even after the sun has sunken slightly under the horizon. It might be somewhat dependent on atmosphere (temperature, clarity) and cloud type as well - that I don't know.
On 10 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Dan, Well, sunset phenomenon aside, what a beautiful landscape!
On 10 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
KARON, Thanks for that information. Our Long range forecast warned that there would be more fierce heat before the breakdown to proper cool. So, well, not wishing anyone to suffer, but it is what we expected. Those X flares will probably make it worse before the break down, and in Europe it is making cooler UK. We need a circulation pattern (jet stream) shift to cool you - see the full USA extremes / maps forecast.. . DAVE Yes there is work to be done.. . DAN, Those are FAB pics some really strong reflection phenomena but I am not an expert on that. A question must be how high are those clouds in the East? Maybe very high? For how long after actual sunset in West did this 'Mock sunset' in East go on? Tell us.
On 10 Aug 2011, Dan wrote:
Sun Ray Phenomenon Continues In Arizona August 3, 2011: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hr0AttWPlF8
On 10 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Hi all, Apologies for absence; been out rioting for the last few nights. It's bloody hard work you know. I think I've done me rotator cuff a mischief. Some o' them half-bricks is quite heavy to throw, especially if the old bill is seventy yards away. Hi jph..etc, To be fair, I need to bone up on the Younger Dryas miasma so I'll defer on that one. My 'laid to rest' observation was based on the last thing that I read which opined that the geological evidence was scant. Anyway, apropos astrophysical and solar events, earth-impact related or otherwise, I think Piers needs to be encouraged to get a book out on the hows and whys of the Sun's strategic command of the blue planet's weather. Then us dunderheads can deport ourselves with greater authority. Ron, Gimme the URL please; Hootsmon ain't googling for me. I get a page telling me it's quit. Best regards, Dave
On 09 Aug 2011, Karon wrote:
Piers, Will the effects from the X-7 solar flare this morning be of any consequence to earth related events? It is still triple digits here in Texas, 109 today. Can't wait for it to end and for some rain!
On 09 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
Thanks Carl, Ron, Craig, Eric. Very useful information. This feedback and news is really helpful. I tweet about the appearance of new comments to about 5,000 on twitter. Piers
On 09 Aug 2011, Carl wrote:
Went fishing Saturday.Two days ahead met office said dry for the South and got drenched in a very heavy shower.So Piers was right again MORE RAIN THAN STANDARD METEOROLOGICAL FORECAST A DAY AHEAD Top forecast again Piers
On 09 Aug 2011, Ron Greer wrote:
Piers, Still taking the fight to the enemy in the Scottish press. The severe flooding at the weekend and the continued low temperatures of this summer have helped the case. Have got one Warmist to agree that Scotland emits only 0.2% of world anthropogenic and then he asked---so? !!!!!!!!
On 08 Aug 2011, Craig M wrote:
Hi Piers, Thought you may be interested in the latest UK quakes (4/8): M2.0 Barnard Castle, Durham M2.1 Leominster, Hereford (http://tinyurl.com/2y3bsp) - a few hours before your latest ‘q/Q’ period when Spaceweather reported that "the number of energetic protons around Earth has jumped nearly 100-fold" (http://tinyurl.com/3qd9ywy) The M6.3 in the Kuril Islands was earlier that same day. Big quakes happening just (<24hr) before your q/Q periods, warrant further investigation. Proton flux? You may also be interested that on Sunday (7th), we had an immense Thunderstorm in East Berkshire. Hail, lightening, thunder, very high winds and one very intense downpour. I haven’t seen a violent storm like it since the one that washed out Hangar Lane in London back August 2004.
On 08 Aug 2011, Eric wrote:
Yes Piers there was high winds 2 inchs of rain in 2 hour time period in lincoln Nebraska on the 6th of August.. Alot of tree damage
On 07 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
THANKS GUYS! RON, DAVE Good to hear you are Keeping up the pressure on the Green delusionists in Scotland. On Climate Fools Day (UK) this year Weds 26OCT maybe you could have a little action up there while we have an event in London Parliament. LITSSEHIMMIL, thanks very much for that vid - now mentioned above and twitttered around.. . JPH. Younger-Dryas well maybe our 'being extended' version of SLAT could do it but I have not got an answer to you at present. This is an important issue I agree. Piers
On 07 Aug 2011, Ron Greer wrote:
Dave Rice Hootsmon still up and running and having good debates on climate change. Flooding again today fits in well with Piers' 'floody summer' forecast. Younger Dryas was definely not caused by anthropegenic CO2!
On 07 Aug 2011, Litsehimmel wrote:
Strange weather indeed! Although we quite often have small tornado-like phenomena, a rather large one touched down in our area (Ternaard, Northeastern Fryslân, coordinates 53 22' 50" N / 5 57' 50" E) early Saturday evening. See http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yhq-qvphn3Q&feature=player_embedded All predictions by weather stations have been completely off, and our nation weather station even tries to maintain temperatures "being higher than normal" while in reality they're dropping like the Dow Index! A very strong indication of temperatures dropping is the fact that the 'corn bunting' (Miliaria calandra), which had not been breeding in The Netherlands for the past 2 decades, has returned!
On 07 Aug 2011, jph6345789 wrote:
Actually what I wanted to know is what is Mr. Corbyn's opinion of the possible cause of the YoungerDryas event, not whether he thought that there may have been some sort of impact from whatever source. (The previous comment was just one possibility.) I'd be very interested to know how the "Solar-Lunar" hypothesis fits in with Younger-Dryas. Thank you.
On 07 Aug 2011, jph6345789 wrote:
Hi Dave- I'm not exactly whar your response means, so maybe you could tell me what the generally accepted theory of the event is. I say that not in contempt in any way, just that I;m not sure what you mean. I get that the "impact hypothesis" has been found wanting, but there is another type of impact that can explain the presence of the :micropsherules that are obviously there, but were used as evidence for a Tunguska type event. Not evidence of an asteroid impact has been found, AFAIK.An event involving a huge discharge of plasma that hit the earth can explain all these anomolies. It's obvious that the earth and the sun are connected electromagnetically--aurorae--so why couln't that type of relationship be extended to the Cosmos? Google "Ionospheric Precursors for Quakes", then look at the "tsunami" event (and subsequent earthquake)in England a few weeks ago. Remember "Connections" the TV series?
On 06 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Hi jph6345789, I kinda thought that the Younger-Dryas hypothesis had been laid to rest. Has something new cropped up? Regards, Dave.
On 06 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Sad to say Ron, I thought Hootsmon had been shut down by the nefarious Benito Salmolini thought police? Am I looking in the wrong place? We live in trying times.
On 06 Aug 2011, Ron Greer wrote:
Dave Rice, No doubt you've seen my commentary in the Hootsmon about windfarms and global warming. Thanks to Piers we are better informed than most about the realities in prospect. I' way ahead on the wood fuel this year already! See Katla is rumbling away and it will be interesting to see what this latest solar activity brings. cheers Ron
On 06 Aug 2011, jph6345789 wrote:
Do you have an opinion on what caused the Younger-Dryas event about 12,000 years ago? Was it caused by a solar anomoly (reduced solar output) or what? Is it significant that the solar system was halfway around (on the other side) of the Milky Way galaxy at the time, or is that just a coincidence? Or none of the above?
On 05 Aug 2011, Dave Rice wrote:
Superb interviews Piers! However, two things: first of all, it wasn't six inches of snow last December, in the Pentlands it was over five feet but I suppose you predicted it so I'll let you off. Secondly, although I know you're right about global cooling, (it's bloody cold here right now - and raining - your August forecast refers), you've depressed the he'll out of me. I've just bought a ride-on mower and have spotted that I should have bought a ride-on snowblower instead. That way I'll be able to get to the post office to collect my infinitesimal state pension during the summertime when I'm seventy. Finally, some news from the parish pump, with luck, our odious wind-farm-loving dictator Eck Salmond's bravado is sliding into the mire: http://news.scotsman.com/news/Alex-Salmond39s-TV-offer-to.6813239.jp. Not weather related that but it does give me a pleasurable little frisson. Regards, Dave
On 05 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
VINCENT! Good Question. . The way I see it is:- 1. The earth impact of a solar event is NOT solely dependent on the solar event, there are important lunar and magnetic modulations. [Example If someone throws stones at your house they wont get in unless the windows are open]. . . 2. All MAJOR solar activity changes are in principle predictable BUT there are also essentially random 'noise' events of lower power which limit the DETAIL of predictability... 3. Additionally there is also noise in the lunar-magnetic etc modulations which affect what the actual response of the earth is. . . . Please use this opportunity of USA heat to help get USA farmers/ anybody to actually subscribe to our forecasts. Cheers Piers
On 05 Aug 2011, Vincent Jappi wrote:
This means that certain solar events are predictable and others are not ?
On 05 Aug 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
PHILIPPE, Thanks. Yes Almost right! We have a Solar-LUNAR Technique so sometimes things are not what it might seem they ought to be. The effect of these tremendous solar events in Europe is indeed more mobility and low pressures with thundery deluges sweeping in. However in the USA the immediate effect - although there will be major deluges in some North parts - will be continuing even intensifying fierce heat in the South [and I have done a YouTube mentioning this - link (to be) posted]. The PROPER WIDESPREAD LASTING COOLING the USA needs follows that and the date is on the Maps in our '30day extreme events USA' forecast available via http://www.weatheraction.com/wactmember.asp Thanks Piers
On 05 Aug 2011, Philippe wrote:
Hi Piers, looking at NOAA's space weather forecast since a few days, and the forecasted CME, I wondered if you would write something on it and its effect on the earth weather or quake activity. Now I have my answer. so if not ended at the end of july, the heat wave in the US would have ended now with this solar event , no? congratulations for your great job.