Comments from Piers
APRIL WeatherAction Full EXTREME WEATHER & MAJOR #EARTHQUAKES (Trial) Forecast is AVAILABLE via ExtEvRestofWorld*** at WeatherAction OnLine Forecast shop http://bit.ly/dNhlNo . Subscribers to USA forecasts also get world extremes including Earthquake risk trails and vice versa
MAJOR EARTHQUAKE DANGER PERIOD 6th-9th April - With updating News
....Urgent breaking news 6th/7th.... April see Earthquake reports below
Following on the dramatic confirmation by the Myanmar Thailand M6.8 Earthquake 24th March of Piers Corbyn's (WeatherAction) Long Range warning of HIGH RISK of a major Earthquake 23-27 March WeatherAction is producing further trial forecasts of Severe Earthquake risk.
For confirmations links & videos see: http://bit.ly/hBHho1
These monthly trial forecasts are available to Weather Action subscribers as part of USA and Extreme events 'Rest of World' Services and are also made fully public just before the periods
Piers Corbyn (5 APRIL) said:
"The 6-9th April is our first major (Trial) Earthquake risk period of April and comes with related extreme weather events forecasts. In these trial periods we expect an increase in the serious M6.0 and above quakes in quake vulnerable locations (and related increases in lower level activity*) around the world such as the Pacific 'ring of fire'. This includes the WEST USA which in this time period is probably more vulnerable than for decades.
* including of course more/larger aftershocks from earlier Quakes
Links SolarSoft & Spaceweather below; X Ray flux http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5m.html
5th April, there was:
- a peak in Disturbance storm index (Dst),
Spaceweather.com 5th April
carries an amazing picture of an unstable solar filament.
That site has also noticed an increase in 'unexpected' auroral activity in the last few days. There is more to the solar wind than standard measures of it!
6th April Geomagnetic Activity hit RED (K index 4.0 or above)
EARTHQUAKE NEWS also via #Earthquakes or #quakes on twitter
various videos etc on http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=328&c=5
The USG links - M5.0+ http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
shows Earthquakes reports. Below we list recent M6.0 and above (Japan in brackets because of general disturbances there). The higher numbers are rarer. M7.0 has ten times the displacement and 32 times the power of M6.0 etc.
On average an M6.0 or above (mostly at the lower end) happens every ~2.4 days or so somewhere in the world.
(30th March M6.0 5:29z Japan)
31st M6.4 00:12z Fiji
(31st M6.2 07:15z Japan)
1st April None
2nd April None
3rd M6.4 14:07z Fiji
3rd M6.7 20:06z South of Java Indonesia
5th M6.0 11:14z Indonesia
6th April none but
BREAKING NEWS 7th April early morning BIG INCREASE IN #EARTHQUAKES #World #USA #SPAIN #Madrid 6th April REPORTED but USGS is not showing actual observed new quakes. VERY IMPORTANT VIDEO http://bit.ly/dNbjgG Please pass on Thank you
13:11z M6.5 Veracruz Mexico
14:39z M7.4 or 7.1 on updated usgs Quake Japan
The largest in Japan since 11th March huge events
Tsunami Information Bulletin for good map: 000 WEPA42 PHEB 071439 TIBPAC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001 PACIFIC TSU...http://1.usa.gov/g6vURx
8th April None
although interesting increase in lower level quakes especially USA eg Arkansas link http://bit.ly/evkVGP and a cluster in Baja California Mexico
9th April M6.1 12:58z Kyushu (NOT Honshu) Japan
6-9th April period of Extra Earthquake activity trial Forecast CONFIRMED
10th April None
NEW POINT ON THE WHERE of Quakes see WUWT site and Comment -
Yellowstone old volcano "worse than thought" http://t.co/SDL8DR7
COMMENT Could this help WHERE quakes?
|Comments submitted - 18||Add your comment|
On 11 Apr 2011, ipur wrote:
hi piers, what can you say about the increased proton density detected by ACE at the moment? will that not trigger a strong earthquake?
On 10 Apr 2011, Michael Sato wrote:
Piers, I live in Iwate, Japan and follow you on twitter (@satomichael). My story about how we were prepared for the March 11th earthquake because of you and your team's work, was recently featured on the UK's Channel 4 News website http://www.channel4.com/news/japan-life-in-the-shadow-of-nuclear-crisis Similarly, your warming of another quake http://twitter.com/#!/Piers_Corbyn/status/55295137898704896 proved to be spot on. It hit last Thursday. I just wanted to say thank you and hope that this publicity is useful. Michael.
On 10 Apr 2011, Jamie wrote:
Its obviously impossible at the moment to predict exactly where an earthquake will occur as its too hard to determine the critical point when a plate will rupture. at least by Piers methods it can predict that a major quake may happen at a certain time and if consistently successful could be used to alert the most vulnerable zones.
On 09 Apr 2011, steve wrote:
Piers, The Icelandic increased activity virtually stopped after the 9.0 occurred in Japan, Still quiet today, have noticed increased activity in Peurto Rico region, Baja Calif region and Vanatu. Space Weather earlier passed that a CME was projected towards earlier today by sunspots 1185 & 1186. Keep up the great work, I am sharing your predictions at work to change the GW types. Steve
On 09 Apr 2011, Marian M wrote:
Regarding increased ertquake activity and conection to increased solar activity it is veryintressting. However it is possible that there are more than one effect at the same time what is influencing this. We have had in past many solar maximum but I am not sure if we had so many very big eartquakes such as last in Japan at the same time. But what is new is that north magnetic pole is mowing at much higher speed towards Siberia. I think this can be due to changes of the movement of the inner core, which probably have its own rotational axis which is now mowing at much higher speed as earlier probably towards Siberia. This increase in speed may cause changes in pressure on earth crust plates influencing earthquekes and vulcanic eruptions. Not only complete reversals are intresting but also exakt north pole geographic position back in time up to half milion years are important. Possibly connections between ice ageas and position of magnetic north pole should appear. Marian
On 09 Apr 2011, Andrew Jones wrote:
Piers - I think the way forward is thus: Keep making Earthquake predictions public - if they keep verifying (maybe something like a 90% verification rate) people will start to take notice. The big money however will start when the US has a large earthquake that you have predicted - as is always the case these days - if it doesn't affect America directly - few people seem interested. I wish you luck and I hope your work continues. @wkd2639 - you recognise me? :)
On 08 Apr 2011, William Duncan wrote:
The video is interesting - is this typical USGS behavior or is it to do with the potential government shut down? Keep up the good work. By the way tired to get reply from the business as to helping to promote WA in the US, but no reply as yet. William
On 08 Apr 2011, Paul wrote:
I see that there is a film called "Sinking of Japan" dated 2006. I don't think this will happen but if major earthquakes continue around Japan it make you think. On the Sky at night program some of the astronomers say that the supermoon has nothing to do with earthquakes but I can't see how. If the moon can exert a gravitation force on the sea it can also on the atmosphere and the earth itself.
On 08 Apr 2011, Piers_Corbyn (Twitter address) wrote:
Ron, yes a Eurolotto ticket! Appreciated indeed. Thanks very much - for the thought even if it doesn't turn into funds! Piers
On 08 Apr 2011, Piers_Corbyn (Twitter address) wrote:
Thanks for your points Guys... Hugh, yes the activity is significant compared with background because (i) The Mexico quake M6.5 is much more powerful + rarer than M6.0 & (ii) The Japan quake was the biggest since the giant one + multi-shocks on 11th March; maybe just put Japan below 6.5 in brackets or note more/larger aftershocks is a measure which went up; the evidence is clear... Mark, Well I agree about earthquakes & first experienced one (tiny) as an exchange student in - guess?! - Tokai Japan nuke facility 1968. These are trials & come from our Solar-Lunar-Action-Technique 6a which was firstly for weather & we will carry on trials. Others have had some success in the past & continue to do so as far as I can see (see notes in other quake thread 23-27Mar) but I am unclear about consistency & likely over-forecasting. As far as money goes this work is totally unfunded & attracts interest but basically no subscribers. I hope this note might urge some to become such!! Piers
On 08 Apr 2011, Ron Greer wrote:
Piers has done it again: a major earthquake, slap in the middlle of the bracketed period of likleyhood. predicted. If we want greater definition then this guy should get the resources needed. Piers,I've taken an extra Eurolotto ticket tonight--if I get lucky--so do you! cheers Ron
On 08 Apr 2011, Mark Lane wrote:
Piers, For goodness sake, if you are the first person in history to be able to predict earthquakes (in time, if not in location) then put some scientific proof behind it. A proper statistical analysis should be able to determine whether you are on to something or not. This is far too important to leave to the market. I've been in earthquakes, and i've heard buildings fall, crushing their occupants. It is terrifying. Mark
On 08 Apr 2011, Hugh Evan wrote:
Not sure yet if I can see confirmation. Mexico falls in the pattern of 2.4 days, and Japan was "in brackets because of general disturbances there" but it appears the 7.4 is counted as substantially different from the other 6+ events in Japan? Has that to do with the magnitude (highest since the 9+) or what would make it different from the other "general disturbances"?
On 08 Apr 2011, Piers_Corbyn (twitter address) wrote:
Guys, THANKS VERY MUCH for your comments. We are very pleased with these Earthquake trials so far, the results compared with normal levels are clear verification. Len, it is an honour to hear such suggestions; thanks. To get there we need to grow right now and that needs more subscribers & donations. Do please pass that on!! Piers
On 08 Apr 2011, PATUCAWARRIOR wrote:
USGS World Seismic GRaphs going black... http://aslwww.cr.usgs.gov/Seismic_Data/heli2.shtml
On 07 Apr 2011, len holliday wrote:
Dear Mr. Piers Corbyn, I live in Belton, S.C. if anyone knows where that is. Do not forget. You were also right about the weather. We just had one of the worse Severe Weather Outbreaks in the history of the U.S. a few days ago. My son Matthew, who is the CEO of Firsthand Weather in Anderson, S.C. was at the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK when all this severe weather was taking place. Matthew is also a Meteorology student at the University of OK. I called him while he was out there and told him; Well Matthew, Piers Corbyn has done it once again! Believe me, if you keep coming out with these great forecast the world will take note. Tou will have all the money you need and then some! Thanks! Meteorologist Len R. Holliday firsthandweather.com
On 07 Apr 2011, Craig Mitchell wrote:
Very interesting today (7 April) and over the rest of the period. Magnitude 7.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN Magnitude 6.5 VERACRUZ, MEXICO
On 07 Apr 2011, BIll wrote:
Piers, It appears this prediction was correct. Another big earthquake and tsunami in Japan, off the north-east coast. Or is this simply a coincidence? How can you prove this if you don't know where the earthquake will hit? Bill