Comments from Piers
· The ideologically driven global warmist joke must be swept aside. The time has come for useful science-based forecasts to reduce misery & save lives.
· More end Jan extreme warnings for USA, Australia + UK/Europe.
· The most exciting weather year for a century has begun.
"The latest claims about World average temperatures by Government Weather organizations around the World such as UK MetOffice*, apart from being contrary to the actual experience of the majority of the world population – notably USA, Europe, IndoChina and South America, raise four points. (* http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2011/2010-global-temperature )
1. "The originators of this data are the same people and organizations who were caught fiddling data in the ‘ClimateGate’ affair,” said Piers. "The various whitewash enquiries arranged to cover-up their vandalisation of the scientific method cannot dodge the question:
· WHY is there a statistically highly significant systematic inverse relationship between the number of stations they selected for ‘official’ use and the average temperatures resulting? What average temperature would result from the 62% of stations they removed since around the 1960s - which had the coldest temperature averages and the highest number of stations - up to the present decade - which is officially the warmest and has the least number of stations? Anyone with a brain can see that this systematic connection means that either temperature is magically determined by the number of stations or there has been systematic selecting of data which is best described as data fraud”, said Piers. "This question requires an international inquiry which is independent of any of the organizations involved in this data creation. ( See See slide 9 in presentation http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=222&c=1 and http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KPMmCruPAWU )
2. "The experience of EXTREME cold for prolonged periods this year in a number of parts of the world – such as Britain, West Europe, most of the USA and much of South America (to name just a few) and the inane ‘cold is warm’ incantations, show the world average supposed extra warmth (which only exceeds the coldest year of the decade under their figures by 0.12 degree C - less than one quarter of a degree F) - is of no consequence or forecasting value whatsoever to man or beast. A one quarter of a degree F increase in world average temperatures whether real or fraudulent has no bearing on whether or not a blizzard will hit Connecticut; any more than a world population rise CAUSES more babies to be born in Birmingham” said Piers.
3. "The innuendo that this supposed ‘warmest year’ is somehow the driver of extreme events is baseless anti-science. It is no accident that the Met Office, BBC and New York Times / Guardian / Independent etc put forward various descriptions of circulation patterns such as La Nina as a cause of the things these phenomena describe and then pop-in that 2010 was the warmest year as if there were a connection. Why not tell us there is a Royal wedding this year, that would be more interesting. The only connection is their desperation to save their failed cult ideology.
ALL the global warmist predictions since 2000 have failed and the OPPOSITE types of extremes (floods, supercold and blizzards) to their predictions (droughts, warm winters and the end-of-snow) have occurred, so their warmist (or warm is cold) explanations for extreme events are as useless as saying "Wet days cause rain”.
If weather were just entertainment this would not matter but their refusal to accept their total failure forces up energy and food prices through low carbon cult measures and holds back real science which directly prevents governments and authorities from applying useful forecasts which can reduce suffering and save lives. People have died on UK and Europe’s roads through lack of winter salting due to Met Office failed warmist winter forecasts and Australian floods are worse because the Govt cut dam projects under Green ‘expect droughts’ advice - . The Global warming cult ideology is reducing living standards and causing needless suffering and death, and must be stopped.”
4. The very extreme weather events around the world last year and this year are caused by solar-lunar DRIVEN ‘sticking’ of the normal motions of the jet streams in the North and South hemisphere and of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ).
(i) Piers Corbyn of WeatherAction warned in June 2010 that such sticking and consequent SEVERE EXTREMES would be consequent to PREDICTABLE solar-lunar effects in periods to follow which we now expect will be years and he specifically correctly predicted:
(ii) The West Russian heatwave and when it would end to the day (along with the ending of the associated superfloods in Pakistan) driven by events on the sun – See link of the double sunspot solar explosion (video) and subsequent thunderstorms in St Petersburg Aug 15th 2010 - http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews10No31.pdf
Will the warmists tell us that solar flares are caused by CO2 on Earth?!
(iii) That Britain (Central England) would have the coldest December for 100 years. NB The UK Met Office had said on their web in October that winter would be mild and then when it was cold claimed they had actually said it would be cold while there web still carried the chart published in October which stated it would be mild http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=6990 Yet THESE same people expect us to believe their world temperature data is worth a dime!
(iv) The monster thunderblizzards and snow deluges which hit N / NE parts of USA 26/27 Dec and again Jan 12th (especially Connecticut) and again on 22nd Jan – (5-10 inches in parts of NE and very cold blasts http://www.courant.com/news/weather/ctn-weather-forecast-connecticut-fox-ct,0,4543231.story – and there is more to come – see below!
This very specific stuck jet stream situation in USA bringing this long series of thundersnow – blizzards was specifically spelt out in WeatherAction’s USA forecast via link World Extreme events (except Eur) forecast via via http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp or http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews11No2.pdf . The New York Times ignores these forecasts rather than admit to its readers than their warmist ideology has failed.
(v) The Brazil floods are caused by ITCZ sticking (as was graphically shown on CNN) and the Queensland / Australia floods are caused by the Southern Jet stream (S Australia) & ITCZ (N Australia) sticking which follow from a combination of La Nina which is solar driven and specific lunar eclipse phase modulation - http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews11No1.pdf
Piers Corbyn said, 21 Jan, "Our long range TOP RED WARNINGS of very extreme events world-wide in the last week of January stand; Specifically:
· More USA deluges of very heavy thundersnow and very cold blasts South & East of the Great Lakes and notably in NE /E USA (see link Extreme Events Word Exc Europe via http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp for more detail as issued Jan 7th) around 25th Jan and again around 28th-30th Jan. NB since this is the end of that forecast media are free to publish it.
· Further Significant Australian deluges and Floods in most probably SW Queensland area – in forecast issued by link above on Jan 9th (Note North New South Wales can be included)
· Further blasts and snow in Britain (espec East) and NorthWest Europe in the last few days of January into February. Note a troublesome High has been holding cold air further East than expected (reasons now partly understood) but eventually cold blasts will take over.
· Further VERY extreme thunder-rain / snow deluges are likely in many parts of the world 25– 31st Jan.
· The year will continue with ongoing jet stream / ITCZ stickings and extreme events many of which we will predict, in detail months ahead by our Solar-Lunar Action Technique, information permitting. This will probably be the most exciting weather year around the world for a century.
It’s an open question as to whether the Warmist cult will switch to a total doublethink ‘cold is warm’ incantation or erase / re-choose / re-homogenize and re-brand most of their ‘data’ stations. They’ve been talking a lot about merging and rationalizing data sets – which as we all know when governments talk such talk normally means something else.
Other useful links
Where is Weather, Climate and the Climate Change Con going?
5 new videos from Piers Corbyn issued 6 Jan http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=292&c=5
27 Dec Fox News USA "It was an honour & great to be on Fox" says Piers http://video.foxnews.com/v/4475360/mocked-meteorologist-gets-last-laugh/
20 Dec ABCTV USA interviews Piers - http://abcnews.go.com/Nightline/video/extreme-weather-12464251
Piers on SKY NEWS 18Dec We Told You So http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNBlDnA0q3s
VIDEO Piers Corbyn this WINTER forecast summary issued 30 Nov 2010 HELL to Freeze over for Britain Ireland + Europe http://bit.ly/hQBp14
World jet stream shift ends Russia heatwave + Pakistan Superdeluges Piers Corbyn's Solar-driven forecasts confirmed Aug 2010 http://www.weatheraction.com/docs/WANews10No31.pdf
Extended Russia TV interview 22 Aug 2010 on Piers' predictions of ending of Russia heatwave & Pakistan superdeluges - http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=6173&linkbox=true&position=2
|Comments submitted - 36||Add your comment|
On 03 Feb 2011, Miss Jones wrote:
03/02/11 6pm And there is a mighty storm blowing in North Northumberland (tie down your sheep) The MET Office issued a general gale advisory on the 2nd ...but for Friday ...No flash warning Issued ...Where are the MET when you need them ? Maybe they are on holiday today ....somewhere nice and warm...#justsayin
On 02 Feb 2011, Piers_Corbyn wrote:
Dean, Jan has not been in the three coldest in 100yrs but is close to normal CET and cold in Scotland. We discussed it at our WeatherAction meeting on 28th and have done video on it - See: (as twitter post) Two new vids taken 28Jan: Dec+Jan Interesting Review with jet stream / blocking chat; Latest in Climate Wars VIA http://bit.ly/hRB9GN . . . There are also points in the Feb forecast to subscribers as on the video. The issue is stratospheric winds not being considered enough. . . Thanks Piers
On 01 Feb 2011, Dean Morrison wrote:
Hi Piers, You forecast that January in the UK was going to be one of the three coldest on record. Can you explain why you got this so wrong?
On 31 Jan 2011, Piers_Corbyn wrote:
John I am not quite sure what you are saying but let's be clear (i) the supposed importance of World average temperatures or/&CO2 levels as useful forecasting tools is totally DELUSIONAL.. . There are no observational causal relations between these two holy measures of the CO2 warmist sect and extreme or other local weather or climate events (other than of course a warmer world is warmer!) except when we get to really major changes of world temps - ice ages etc in which case we don't say low temperatures CAUSED an ice age but WERE the ice age; an average is a measure NOT a cause! (ii) The measure of world temperatures (which only had an official range of less than 0.25 F in the last 10 years) is itself ILLUSIONAL. . See these two tweets & links ---- Now We Know #8230; NASA Lied 2010 Was Not the Hottest Year Ever http://bit.ly/fWfk6y . ---- NOW it seems 2010 wasnt that warm! Chris Booker: Is UK Met Office again playing games with weather data? http://climaterealists.com/7123
On 30 Jan 2011, john wrote:
oops, incidentaly it is also the second warmest year in the uah satellite timeseries and stations have not dropped there....do you know that the world is not only europe/us?
On 30 Jan 2011, Piers_Corbyn wrote:
Paul, Our Feb forecast update will say more but notice: . . (i) The MetO & GFS forecasts for the week 31 Jan onwards have been all over the place. (ii) They are no longer saying a mild wet & windy 'most of week'.. . . (iii) today (30th from early GMT) their maps indicate potentially widespread snow on Thurs 3rd over UK although they do not forecast beyond Weds on TV.
On 30 Jan 2011, Clive wrote:
Our hot summer of 1976 happened when the idea of global warming did not exists. What I have seen is that our hot summers happen when there is a blocking high that is anchored over the country. This could happen at any time. The Russian heatwave happened as a result of a blocking situation. The dry summer of 1959 happened in a cold period in the northern hemisphere, a time when there were winters like that of 1947 and 1963. If we had a hot summer in 2011, 2012 or 2013 it would be as a result of a blocking high and not global warming.
On 30 Jan 2011, Paul wrote:
Still no sign of anything really cold coming in the new week apart from the current NE'ly winds which has produced a few snow grains on the east coast then turning warmer again.
On 26 Jan 2011, paul wrote:
Have you seen the BBC2 Horizon programme aired on the 24/01/11 at 9oclock in the evening about global warming. It was about why people don't trust the global warmists and makes out the sun is not the cause of global warming and that the earth is still heating up. It would be very interesting if scientists from both sides of the argument could get together and present their evidence but I image the global warmers won't agree to it. Only time will tell who's right and who's wrong. So if sea ice starts to increase, more glaciers start growing and there are more record low temperatures in the following years nobody will believe the warmists.
On 26 Jan 2011, John wrote:
Don't know if you are still checking these comments Piers but on a related point where you claim the station dropout in the 1990s caused a jump in temperature, how do you respond to this blog entry? http://rhinohide.wordpress.com/2010/02/01/ghcn-high-alt-high-lat-rural/
On 26 Jan 2011, Chris wrote:
Did anyone notice that they made not one mention of the chemtrail program? No they used the northern freeze to bag good science instead,, and offered every conceivable reason for the big freeze except the chemtrail program.
On 25 Jan 2011, John A Jauregui wrote:
Do you have the latest status of the Landscheidt Grand Minimum generating this extended La Nina weather? Can we expect next winter’s severe weather anomalies to be as bad or even worse? How might it affect spring’s planting and summer’s crop production? The answers to these questions will go a long way toward helping us know where food prices are headed later this year. They’re already not looking good.
On 25 Jan 2011, Donald wrote:
180 Degree Shift is Happening NOW until dec 2012, day by day watch the sunrise and sunsets they have moved significantly already, our latitude and longitudes are different
On 25 Jan 2011, Val wrote:
Thank you. :)
On 25 Jan 2011, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Thanks all, Phil or anyone, others can comment on Chem trails or other matters too. Farmgirl, Yes indeed it is very mild and wet rather than snow west of Rockies / Pacific NW because of the circulation pattern we predicted which makes most of USA especially East very cold and snowy. All weather extremes are driven by circulation patterns and/or intense thunder/frontal activity both of which are solar/lunar controlled. If you think about it the idea that a less than one quarter deg F world (supposed) temp difference between the warmest and coldest years in the last ten cause these extremes of cold or anything is complete utter mumbo-jumbo delusional anti-scientific drivel. See Now What? links above for our USA forecast or the sample first page in pdf - http://www.weatheraction.com/displayarticle.asp?a=293&c=1 click on bottom of it. . Thanks Piers C
On 25 Jan 2011, Phil wrote:
No mention of the Chemtrail (i.e. "we're doing it to cool the planet") issue again. It is my opinion, at least in part, that 'they' are holding onto to the 'warmist' stance to continue with the Chemtrails.
On 24 Jan 2011, Linda wrote:
Please let us on the SE US coast know wether we should expect any hurricanes this year. Keep up the good work and disprove all these politicians (for they are surely not scientist!) Thank YOU and your TEAM
On 24 Jan 2011, Jason Merritt wrote:
Hi, Ever thought of doing an "app" for the iPhone/Pod/Pad? Would be by far the quickest way of reaching the masses with the truth! Needless to say a paid "app". Regards
On 24 Jan 2011, Farmgirl wrote:
Hi Piers, I love hearing your forecasts and think your method is genius. But I am wondering why it is sooooo warm where I am right now? I should be going skiing today, but I"m going for a mountain bike ride instead...in the mountains...in the Rocky Mountains of Colorado. They are predicitng rain at the ski areea. Rain??! While this is somewhat normal at ski areas in the Pacific NW (I used to live there) I have never heard of it here in Colorado, where I have lived for 14 winters.
On 23 Jan 2011, Mike Odin wrote:
http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynop?zona=artico&base=bluem&proy=orto&ano=2011&mes=01&day=23&hora=12&vtn=Tn&enviar=Ver Here is how they do it-- (for example in Canada) by only acknowledging these phantasmagorical automatic weather stations' recordings whose readings are greater by from 35-40 C degrees than the surrounding manned stations (which are ignored)- e.g. Rampart River Automatic Weather Reporting System (Canada) Latitud: 65-57N http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?ind=71981&ano=2011&mes=1&day=23&hora=12&min=0&ndays=30 Haldane River Automatic Weather Reporting System (Canada) Latitud: 67-04N http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?ind=71982&ano=2011&mes=1&day=23&hora=12&min=0&ndays=30 compare to--- Little Chicago (Canada) Latitud: 67-12N http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?ind=71164&ano=2011&mes=1&day=23&hora=12&min=0&ndays=30 Qavvik Lake, N. W. T. (Canada) Latitud: 68-15-28N http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynres?ind=71583&ano=201
On 23 Jan 2011, Stu N wrote:
Hi Piers you arguments that the data isn't reliable seem to focus on ground based measurements. What about satellite measurements?
On 23 Jan 2011, Shah wrote:
Dear Piers, Your forecast has been perfect. Keep up the good work. In your recent comments you are saying that there will be more cold blasts and snow in Britain.... I don't know if we will see some thing like December. Will there be more snow in end of Jan and Feb... I mean the Models fails mostly to give the perfect output. I hope there will be more snow in coming days.. Give me a good news lol..
On 23 Jan 2011, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Robert, yes that's ok and thanks again. Well I have to say WOW to look at those weather maps you mentioned - the animated forecasts for next days on http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html show ANOTHER really DEEP low in our ongoing train zooming up the coast and really blizzarding NE USA 27th+28th and on 29th a new deep low coming from NW. These will confirm our forecast for 28th-30th which this time includes MIDWEST (and dont forget DOUBLE ANY SNOW AMOUNT standard Met advises of 1 day ahead in this period) of:- TOP RED WARNING 28th-30th. Large area of major Heavy snow & thundersnow inMidWest & NE – including Washington & New York. . . . To get these forecasts - NB subscribing now will INCLUDE the forecast for FEB to be posted 31 Jan - subscribe via http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp and get Extreme Events World exc Europe which covers USA pdf and Australia+Indian Ocean pdf Thanks Piers
On 23 Jan 2011, Robert-Michel wrote:
Hi Piers! Hi Team! Correction: when I wrote the St-Lawrence Valley of Quebec was nearing record non snow, it was for the month of January only. Sorry! Pleeeeeeeeze, keep spreading the results of your research.
On 22 Jan 2011, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Thanks Brian H; . . Yes you give a handy quick look to the graph link (which is the same graph as in my Ref in point 1 above).. . And on data - YES quite! - about 1.5deg C of fraud, or if you look at past periods and allow for possibly a real rise of 0.5C you are left with 1degC of fraud which takes out ALL the GW Sect's sacred warming of the last 100 years. . We must relentlessly pursue this - spread it around - and as I said before take no prisoners. . Of course to get to the real root of it we have to look at the 5800 stations removed from 1988 to 1992 and see what changes in average they produce. . Any warmist sect members out there send us the data through all of the period for those stations. WHAT HAVE YOU GOT TO HIDE? Well I know what you have got to hide. Why not admit fraud now? I realize we are asking the equivalent of calling on the Pope to say that Jesus never existed.. The point is when a delusional sect replaces science civilization has a problem. . Thanks Piers
On 22 Jan 2011, Robert-Michel lavoie wrote:
Hi Piers. Your work is indeed awesome and can be of help for millions. A Top Ted Warning is now issued for the NE US around the 25th and another 3-5 days later. Curious to see what this will do in The St-Lawrence Valley of Quebec and New York State. So far, the winter as been easy up here, with near record low snowfalls, especially in Montreal (21cm) and Quebec City (17cm). Very moderate cold waves. Persistent pattern of storms circling around the area and cold waves aiming mainly southward. All part of the extremes you forecasted. Hope the storms get shoved up here, we love snow and have the habilities to cope with it.
On 22 Jan 2011, Brian H wrote:
Piers, concerning your observation about the weather station culling, here's a graph created by Tim Ball: http://www.canadafreepress.com/images/uploads/ball120610-2.jpg The article it comes from is here: http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/30752 My eyeball and hand calc summary said that the switch-off of stations in 1990 immediately caused a 1.5°C change in baseline average.
On 22 Jan 2011, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Thanks Guys, The issue of honest provision of data and meaningful data sets must be pursued relentlessly and we should take no prisoners. Joe D'Aleo has just written a superb document on the issue. . . Mike, would it be fair to say the guys in charge of the data will be of the highest integrity and moral fibre like the politicians and bankers in whose employ their data project lies (rather than rests)? . Piers
On 22 Jan 2011, Craig wrote:
Hi Piers, I have to say I'm enjoying your forecasts. Your call for another monster US storm (like Dec) now looks very likely. One thing I've noticed from following MetO forecasts this winter is how late they make changes to warnings - especially when severe. I recall one evening when the Thames Valley had no warnings at all yet I saw the snow falling before the warnings were updated. Currently there appears to be only 'snow showers' on the horizon for the s/east over the next month, yet there is an obvious split of the (shifting) blocking cold and warmer incursions. That, to me, indicates snow, possibly significant, is possible. L/range forecasts picked this up weeks back. Why do MetO not say there is even a possibility? I understand caution but it's winter it can and does snow. Is this indicative of closed minds? I was weary of your forecasts at first but I am objective-something scientists seem to have forgotten as it may contradict their sacred dogma (or affect their funding).
On 22 Jan 2011, Danny wrote:
Piers keep up the good work keep proving them wrong they must hate to see their lies of c02 and global warming theories crumbling around them. People are well and truly waking up to the corrupt powers that be, and seeing for themselves just how the system realy works, and its all about ££££££££££££££££££, out of our pockets to make the elite even more rich. I think 2011will be a very interesting year for the masses, Elite beware, for the sleeping giant is stiring, to your wicked plans. Well done for all your hard work piers, YOUR THE MAIN MAN..
On 21 Jan 2011, Carl wrote:
The claim of 2010 being the second hottest year on record is rubbish.I read that in August and prob Piers would be in agreement but didnt mention here is HOW POSSIBLY COULD YOU MEASURE WORLD TEMPERATURES WHEN YOU ARE JUST GONE HALF WAY THROUGH THE YEAR.The global warmers seem to be very good at exposing their own lies!!!!
On 21 Jan 2011, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Bilal, Thanks for that note. Interesting point but I do refer to SouthWEST Queensland rather than SouthEAST. I wonder if there is a reason for what you suggest, or just that it hasnt happened often and we dont have enough data to know. If there is enough sticking of jets / ITCZ then more than once seems possible. The ITCZ might be more to do with one lot of rain from the North and the Southern hemisphere jet the other one. We should watch carefully to see if anything happens. . . . Arijigoku, yes originally one of the links did go I thought to my comment on his article so you would see that and scroll up for the main article. Maybe the the hotlinks changed when discussion closed. Is that possible?
On 21 Jan 2011, Arijigoku wrote:
TYPO: in the "Other useful links" at the bottom you have "The man who repeatedly beats the Met Office at its own game!" and the one for "and my Thank you" linking to the same address.
On 21 Jan 2011, Mike wrote:
Aside from the fact that you seem to have joined the rather bizarre world of conspiracy theories, you have definitely managed to confuse weather with climate. Based on your PR I had assumed you knew something about the subject but clearly I was mistaken. Very disappointing words from someone who should know better.
On 21 Jan 2011, Axel wrote:
Another useful link is ..... The Battle of the Forecasters page at the Fraudulent Climate website, which has many of the videos described above, all on one page, and a use fule comparison of what Piers Corbyn says Versus The Met office shenanigans ..... http://fraudulentclimate.atspace.com/twitterfight1.html
On 21 Jan 2011, Bilal wrote:
I'll watch closely 25-29th Jan, Queensland and if you are right(as you were at many occasions before),it'll be most bizarre event that I ever come across. Reason being that once flood recede they won't come back any time soon. Honestly you should be thankful that you won't born in medieval France where they usually burn extraordinary genius people claiming that they are possessed by Demon. Keep up the good work, both thumbs up for you.