Comments from Piers
WeatherAction World RED WARNING for extreme weather 25-31 Dec
WeatherAction forecasted weeks ahead that there will be many dangerous weather events around the world in the period 25-31 Dec and specified a triple whammy of extreme events for Britain/NW Europe, NE/E USA and South/East Queensland Australia.
ALSO see here for comment "Will it or won't it on Xmas day in UK?"
The period 25-31 Dec 2010 is a Weather Action Red warning (World) period with top activity expected in sub-periods 25-27th Dec & 29/30th Dec.
"There will be many dangerous weather events around the world in this period", said Piers Corbyn astrophysicist of WeatherAction long range weather & climate forecasters. "Snow/blizzards/rain (where appropriate) and winds will be much more severe than standard meteorology will predict from 2 days ahead in these periods"
"For Britain/Europe, NE/East USA & East Queensland Australia we have specific long range extreme weather event warnings which we first issued end Nov / early December. The extremes to come are a consequence of Jet stream blockings and changes in both hemispheres caused by predictable solar-lunar effects".
For Britain and Europe we stated in forecast words & maps:
Two waves of blizzards and drifting snow especially 25th-27th & 29/30th largely for East/South Britain and for a large part of NorthWest Europe (along with thundersnow) around South Scandinavia, Benelux, N Germany, North Poland and perhaps parts of the Baltic States. AND that thundersnow is likley in (North) Italy in this period also.
Piers commented on 23 Dec re Xmas "Our expectation of snow in the UK on Xmas Day is at the starting edge of this Weather period so there are uncertainties. We notice short range forecasts have been changing a lot for Xmas Day which is probably a reflection of increasing solar factors which will upset standard forecasts in this period. We still expect snow in parts of the UK on Xmas day but note that the general centre of this activity appears interestingly to be shifted somewhat Eastward in Europe so snow amounts on Xmas day itself in the UK will not be large.
For NE/E USA we predicted (12-12-10)
Very Major snow and blizzard events will strike NE & E USA in a double hit centered around 25-27th & 29-30th Dec; One of the most significant snowfall/blizzard periods in NE & east USA for decades.
For South/East Queensland eg Brisbane region of Australia 25-31 Dec we prediced (11-12-10) HEATWAVE maybe peaking at 36C to 38C around 28th but date unclear.
On climate change issues Piers commented:
"Standard meteorology doesn’t know what is hitting the world this Northern hemisphere winter and will continue to make serious errors throughout. They will significantly underestimate the ferocity of events especially of snow amounts in our forecasted extra activity / red warning periods, and at other times may make some overestimates.
"Their forecasts for the cold / snowy parts of Europe and USA will continue to predict temperatures to return closer to normal in about a week's time but such forecasts will fail and generally be extended to further ahead on a daily basis until one of our less cold / milder periods is reached".
"Standard meteorology models ignore solar and lunar factors and are associated with the failed science and falsified data of the CO2-based warmist view of climate and are bound to fail again and again.
"This winter is like the battle of Stalingrad in the 'Climate war'. It will be long and hard and the public will suffer until the failed pseudo-science of man-made climate change - which become like a religion - is defeated; and instead available proven solar-based advances in forecasting science are applied to reduce misery and save lives".
Other Information News (as via twitter)…..
Superb piece by Boris Johnson Mayor of London in Telegraph 20-12-10 - The man who repeatedly beats the Met Office at its own game! http://bit.ly/fy4ddD
THANKS BORIS! Well I would say that wouldn't I? But seriously so many politicians are totally committed to the warme…http://disq.us/vd7cw
G-U-L-P! JANUARY 2011 WeatherAction further details 12-42day ahead forecast is now available - via http://www.weatheraction.com/member.asp
Piers Corbyn: Sky News Report WeatherAction - We Told You So! December Warnings. http://climaterealists.com/6879#ClimateRealists
18 Dec Record Cold in N Ireland & massive snow disruption WE TOLD YOU SO says Piers on SKY TV Comment6 http://climaterealists.com/6856
As Britain+Europe are deluged in 100 years record snow Piers says WE TOLD YOU SO! See front page of his Dec forecast http://bit.ly/fUqRMt
"You ain't seen nothing yet!" biggest blizzard for decades warning for NE USA 25-31 DEC from Piers Corbyn http://bit.ly/f7C8tx
Army rescues central Scotland from surprise blizzard 6Dec as MetOffice forecast fails. "The public don't need to suffer this much", says Piers Corbyn - WeatherAction long range forecast warned snow would be more intense than Met Office forecasts for5/6 Dec - http://bit.ly/f55e6K
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On 30 Dec 2010, Ben S wrote:
Hi, folks at Weather Action. As I understand it you had predicted a heatwave in SE QLD, Australia, for the end of the month of December using preliminary models not yet fully developed. One question - what exactly do you define as a heatwave? 35 or even 38 in warm parts of Australia is no heatwave unless it has an unusual duration, such as not falling below, say, 25 to 30 at night and continuing for several days or longer. I live in central Victoria and we get temps here over 40 every summer. A few years back we had days over 45 that did not fall below 43 for 9+ hours but nobody declared a heatwave. So, what exactly is a "heatwave" in Weather Action terms?
On 29 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel Lavoie wrote:
Thanks Piers for taking time to respond to our comments. Hope to read your views for January and February, specially for NE US, since we live In Montreal, Canada, close to the NY and VT borders. 28 inches of snow so far this December over here, but that is about average for us. What is a little weird is that no storm came from the South or SouthWest. All the snow moved from an opposite direction, with storms looping around in the Atlantic. Never saw such an unexpected and insistent pattern. Just to prove your say: ''This winter, the unlikely is very likely''. Guess that note applies to North America as well as Western Europe. Best wishes again for 2011. Appreciate you and your works very much.
On 29 Dec 2010, Piers Corbyn wrote:
James, YES, unlike all others we rarely change forecasts. There will be more detail but our general view still holds. Standard Met doesn't know what is hitting them this N hemisphere winter and will continue to overestimate warmth/ mobility except at key times which generally speaking we know about well in advance. This winter the 'extremely unlikely' is the reality. ....Thanks Piers
On 29 Dec 2010, James wrote:
Piers, great forecast for NE USA! As the forecast for the waves of blizzards in the UK didn`t exactly pan out, are you still confident that at least one of either Jan or Feb will be the coldest (or in the 3 coldest) for 100 years. I only ask because I am thinking of subscribing and many other forecasters (including if i`m allowed to say it - the MO and Accuweather) are saying that the recent cold spell will be the coldest spell of this winter. They say it will go cold again but not to the extremes of recently. From your `GULP` and `CRUEL` descriptions for the January ahead, do you still stand by your original predictions for these next two months ahead - or will you be `tweeking` them? I oversee an important industry outside, and the weather affects everything we do! Thanks Piers.
On 29 Dec 2010, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Guys, Nicholas, Robert,.... Thanks....Yes....It appears we should have made that 25-31 time window into two periods because it has been in two halves. 25-27 worked very well US - Monster blizzard - and Brit/Europe - VERY cold then snow; although both patterns a bit further East than expected. Note for Brit & Europe we provide tighter spatial resolution than US and The N Sea is a complication... The 29-30 is a solar hit but the pattern has moved after the 27th so for USA we have a big hit in West 1/3 of USA, NW continental Europe the effect is as predicted because although cold air has shifted it is still there....For Britain / Ire we did say it would be milder to West and that is correct but the penetration of mild Eastward has been more than we thought. HOWEVER notes 1 The mild air is being blocked by more than standard models expected as it moves north, and they have had a lot of attempts at this one! 2 Standard models now admit N'ly flow returning on/by Jan 1st...Thanks Piers
On 29 Dec 2010, Nicholas Harrison wrote:
Sorry Piers, but what happened to the "Waves of blizzards and driving snow esp...." for the southeast UK? I've only seen a comment from you that events were further eastward, and that's it. You've been spot on throughout the year since I started following you, and this is the only time where as far as where I live it hasn't worked. Plus the MetOffice (albeit from 2 days out) has seemingly got it right with temperatures. At least my sister-in-law was able to fly back to Hong Kong. Looking forward to hearing your thoughts. Keep up the good work.
On 28 Dec 2010, Mid wrote:
So nice to hear the truth about the Global Warming political scam from someone who actually knows what he is talking about! Keep up the good work...following your tweets. http://twitter.com/Midspoint
On 28 Dec 2010, Ed Rich wrote:
I am a grain farmer in the corn belt of cent. Ill. in the usa. How do I get your forcast for the 2011 growing season for this reagion of Ill. ? I'll even buy it if I have to !
On 28 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel wrote:
Hi Piers! What I understand about the snow banding pattern given by US standard meteorology in this past storm is that a high pressure area wasn't poised up North which would have helped to push the snow westward and produce a more uniform shield of snowfall. Also the cold dry air to the west of the storm prevented the expansion of the precipitation. Anyways, your prediction was awesome, As for the intensity of convection and electricity in this storm, little light has been made on the phenomena. I think your research has the key to this important matter. Can't wait to read your January forecast for America and hoping for some hints in my neck of the woods. Again, all my respect for your dedication in your work. Happy New Year to you and all your team if I don't contact before.
On 28 Dec 2010, Not supplied wrote:
For information (not sure about accuracy) Changes in Solar particles & decay rates http://video.godlikeproductions.com/video/Surprising_Scientific_Discovery Changes in Gulf Current http://www.forbiddenknowledgetv.com/videos/meteorology/scientist-gulf-loop-current-is-brokenmini-ice-age-predicted-for-europe.html
On 28 Dec 2010, Piers Corbyn wrote:
Thanks Robert! Yes of course we forecast storm events for what they are expected to do in the most affected areas rather then what they dont do elewhere....Nevertheless the storm covered a huge area/length of coast and the regional 'striations' of snow deluging are very interesting. Were they to do with local convection associated with the reported THUNDERSNOW or were they to do with winds so strong that falling snow got gusted away and dropped in more sheltered places... There was a lot electrical going on in this storm - in line with our prediction so I would be interested to know what standard meteorology has to say about the standard convective or not reasons for the variagation/striation you noted.
On 27 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel Lavoie wrote:
Piers! Your prediction for the 25-27 Dec storm near the US East Coast was absolutely outstanding. Your work HAS TO BE be recognized and worldly respected. This storm, though, will be long remembered for its underachievement in many areas. Much banding effects which gave 15 cm of snow in spots and has much as 60+, 30 miles away. The worst of it remained very close to the coast. New Jersey and New York City were creamed. Very little further North, in New York State and Northern Vermont. For adjacent Southern Quebec where I live, nothing at all. This storm was certainly a remarkable one, but short of being an historical one. Surprising when one sees the storm's pressure center. Seems the precipitation was stopped by a brick of wall on its way North and West. But forecasting this storm 2 weeks ahead supposes much research, work and pattern recognition. Bravo! Waiting to see developments on Dec. 29-30. Not much showing up in standard forecasting. My best to you and your team.
On 27 Dec 2010, sas wrote:
20" in central park, nyc; 25" in brooklyn; 29" in towns in new jersey (just across the river). i've only seen 2 storms of this depth in my life (1977 -- 18", 2006 -- 27") in my life, b. 1951. great call, piers!
On 26 Dec 2010, Piers Corbyn wrote:
THANKS Robert. Yes, interesting. For full picture we have to wait till it's over but it is a hell of a storm http://bit.ly/fjUhWk when we said (period 25-27th Dec and we warned 14days ahead - http://bit.ly/f7C8tx and another hit 29/30th) & where we said (East/NE USA) - with declared states of emergency/massive disruption of road and airports N Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, New York & New England States. I would be interested in snow amounts forecast about 12 hrs ahead (eg 'could be 16 inches New York) and actual - awaited. Do let us know. Piers
On 26 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel Lavoie wrote:
WeatherAction's prediction for the 25-27 dec period is materiazing near the NE US Coast, but only in a very narrow band. It MIGHT be a memorable snowstorm but just for some. We have seen much worse in the past. This one seems too much East. Nothing serious away from the coast. Maybe it will swing more inland by tomorrow. After denying the formation and the track of this storm, US experts are now hyping it way too much. Can't wait for December 29-30th. Thank you.
On 26 Dec 2010, Piers Corbyn wrote:
For 25-31 - first bit 25-27Dec Dec UK & Europe snow hits it is happening in Europe and I have WON money on Xmas snow UK and William Hill are announcing that - NE England an Scotland - DESPITE ALL MODELS UNTIL IT WAS HAPPENING..... However it is fair to say that the whole system has been further East so although there is now more snow (26th) coming to UK it is happening on the other side (Wales / West midlands) of the cold Higher pressure as it is being shifted east. ..... FOR USA see also My Comments from... dated 13-12-10 and news from USA on that....THIS is a massive hit. Interestingly that has maybe also been a bit further East but not too far.
On 26 Dec 2010, Sceptic wrote:
"Two waves of blizzards and drifting snow especially 25th-27th & 29/30th largely for East/South Britain" 25th - 27th? Calm and sunny in Kent with no snow yet....
On 26 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel Lavoie wrote:
Woop-dee-do, Piers. Fantastic! The first blow you predicted is shaping up fast near the US Southern Atlantic Coast. And the storm is not for the fishes as it was advertized only 24hours ago by most of the meteorogical community. Bravo! Red flags everywhere along the coast. Now again, my persistent question: can you tell if the snow shield will reach Montreal in Southern Quebec? Thanks again for your fantastic scrutinies and sharing.
On 25 Dec 2010, Jeroen wrote:
For the first time I have seen my Dutch hometown grind to a hold with snow. Thanks to your predictions and warnings I was prepared. Happy Christmas and a Happy New Year
On 25 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel Lavoie wrote:
Merry Xtmas Piers and to all your team. A storm will form near the US East Coast tomorrow according to different source. Where will it go? To the fishes is the consensus. If your analysis turns out to be right, I will make it public on TV. (No joke). At the moment, no one sees any storm of consequence for the NE for days to come. Hope you are right. Your work has been awesome for Europe for a long time. Thank you!
On 24 Dec 2010, Haveyounoshame? wrote:
Heh, your goalposts move sooo quickly!
On 24 Dec 2010, Marcia wrote:
Thanks, Mr Corbyn I saw you on Sky TV last week for the first time and found you highly informative and interesting will be visiting your website on a regular basis for updates.
On 24 Dec 2010, kendwell wrote:
Far eastern Coast of Maine: We had two major rainfalls this fall, last @ 2 weeks ago over 8" local in 30 hours. Weather reporting missed both, and zero comments local radio of the potential for nasty blizzard. Remember 1978, when the third quick blast required front end loader to open driveway back up, drifted over 6 feet. an 8" of rain equivalent would be impressive.
On 24 Dec 2010, Danny wrote:
Dear Piers and team at this moment in time i am raising my glass to you with a Bacardi and coke. Just thought i would mention that i just looked at Metcheck,s website and GUESS WHAT ?? they have a weather watch in place, just in case something happens in the way of bad weather, only after reading Weather Actions weather warnings of course. They make me sick. Looking forward to Christmas dinner. Happy Christmas everyone, from Danny and Fagin, My lurcher...
On 24 Dec 2010, Mark wrote:
At last - someone who can predict weather accurately. Interesting too that Piers completely dismisses the concept of man made global warming. I'd rather trust him than the scaremongering politicians.
On 24 Dec 2010, Ros wrote:
I have spent the last hour or so checking various weather websites, the result being that they are all more or less saying it is "warming" up after Christmas - no sign of anything Piers has forecast - cant wait for him to prove them wrong again!!! Merry Christmas WeatherAction.
On 24 Dec 2010, William wrote:
Piers, you are doing very important work, and I believe you should take your science to a new level in terms of publicity. Start a new Youtube channel for WeatherAction with daily updates and you will make a boatload of money through new subscribers and others willing to purchase your predictions, as things get worse for the official "climatologists" who are there only to push the climate change global taxation agenda. The world is already waking up to the financial fraudism called Keynesian economics, now we need the same awaking to the climate pattern arena. Anyhow, thank you for the work you do.
On 24 Dec 2010, Axel wrote:
See our Special "Battle of the Forecasters" page (Link near the top of the index page at our website) where Piers Corbyn's recent reports, are compared side by side, with those of the UK "Met Office". See who is correct. I think we know the answer to that one already. Many factual and arcane videos on other pages, related to Climate Change and the hidden Govt Agenda. http://fraudulentclimate.atspace.com/
On 24 Dec 2010, Mike wrote:
Piers, thanks again for your informative and science based forecast. One of the Daily 'Rags' had the headline, UK -27C but it didn't say where or when. According to the Met this cold spell is coming to an end with milder conditions 'forecast'. A Merry Christmas to the WeatherAction Team.
On 23 Dec 2010, Shannon wrote:
Thank you Mr. Corbyn for the heads up! The local weather forecasts here in the NE US are so often wrong [and most are COs kooks to boot]. No panic will be had here- just a bought a few extra provisions, salt, kitty litter and prepping the snowblower for the incoming storm. A little forward thinking now prevents panic later!
On 23 Dec 2010, Robert-Michel wrote:
Piers? It's the 23rd of December! Most modelings are chickening out of a big storm over the NE of the USA They estimate one randomly, but push it in the ocean. This will be a great test for your work. Any chance that any storminess and sow deluge reach Montreal, Quebec, Canada? Love your work. Thank you.
On 23 Dec 2010, Bdaman wrote:
Piers, Tu es tu hombre = You are the man I might be Bdaman but you are the man
On 23 Dec 2010, Danny wrote:
Piers thank you for your weather warnings, although i do not purchase them because of my finances, are already stretched, i have been watching when you release information, regarding that bad weather is going to hit, all the papers start with their headline weather story,s but only after you have stated this on weather action. As for the met o they follow suit but are never certain, and choose their words very carefully indeed. I will be blunt,, the met office are not worth two bob AND THE PAPERS are not worth tuppence. Piers your the main man, you and your team at WEATHER ACTION, KIND REGARDS Danny. AND HAPPY XMAS TO YOU ALL, WELL DONE.
On 23 Dec 2010, Cynthia wrote:
Keep up the good work. I enjoy reading your information that you post. I first saw you on ABC news. Since then I visit your website on a daily basis to see what predictions you have made.
On 23 Dec 2010, Rhys Jaggar wrote:
Piers I don't know if your US December forecast included the blizzards in California - Mammoth Mountain ski resort had 15.5 FEET in 4 days, a record since 1969 when they started keeping them. If it did, I'd trumpet it if I were you!!